Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the A-share market has experienced an "eight consecutive days of gains," approaching mid-November highs, with the sustainability of the "red envelope market" being a key focus for investors [1] - Although the overseas environment has improved compared to mid-November, the market is still in a policy and performance vacuum, and various funds have not yet formed a cohesive force, suggesting that the A-share market may remain volatile in the short term [1] - Despite the short-term volatility, there is a potential support level for the A-share market around mid-December due to counter-cyclical capital inflows [1] Group 2 - There is a recovery motivation for insurance capital allocation, indicating a foundation for a spring market rally, with attention on the disclosure of annual report forecasts in mid-January and potential reserve requirement ratio cuts [1] - The report suggests continuing to position for the spring market, focusing on sectors such as batteries, certain chemicals, military industry, and consumer goods that are expected to improve, while also advocating for a strategy of high-cut low within themes to identify low-positioned stocks with price increase and policy logic [1]

Group 1 - The LLM-FADT text stock selection strategy has underperformed relative to the CSI 500 index by -1.5% this month, with a year-to-date excess return of 2.9% [1][18] - The LLM-FADT strategy has an annualized return of 29.05% since January 2017, with an excess annualized return of 26.56% relative to the CSI 500 index, and a Sharpe ratio of 1.13 [1][20] - The AI industry rotation model recommends holding non-bank financials, petrochemicals, beverages, steel, and utilities for the upcoming week, with an annualized return of 26.49% since 2017 [3][41] Group 2 - The AI theme index rotation model suggests holding petrochemical industry, 300 non-bank, Shenzhen dividend, and China construction indices for the next week, with an annualized return of 16.58% since 2018 [4][28] - The AI concept index rotation model has an annualized return of 22.29% since 2018, with a maximum drawdown of 19.19% [33][34] - The AI industry rotation model has a year-to-date excess return of 29.13% and an annualized excess return of 19.53% [39][41] Group 3 - The AI-enhanced stock selection strategy based on full-frequency fusion factors has achieved a year-to-date excess return of 19.98% relative to the all-A equal-weight benchmark [2][6] - The AI-enhanced CSI 1000 strategy has a year-to-date excess return of 24.24%, with an annualized excess return of 21.89% since 2017 [2][10] - The LLM-FADT strategy has shown more stability and smaller excess drawdowns compared to the BERT-FADT strategy since October 2024 [18][21]

Electronic and 2025 年 12 月 28 日 看好 相关研究 《保险公司资产负债管理即将迈入全新阶 -非银金融行业周报 (2025/12/15- EG --- 2025/12/19)》 2025/12/21 《头部非银机构监管红利有望释放 -- 非 银金融行业周报 (2025/12/8- 2025/12/12)》 2025/12/14 《券商板块信心提振，补涨逻辑有望逐步 兑现 -- 非银金融行业周报 (2025/12/1- 2025/12/5)》 2025/12/07 《高弹性标签助力板块"破圈"，看好资负 两端改善趋势 ——2026 年保险行业策略 报告》 2025/11/18 《证券行业 2026 年投资策略:权益浪潮 下的券商机遇：财富扩容,国际增效》 2025/11/17 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjg@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-bank financial industry [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the recovery in the securities sector, with a projected increase in December performance driven by improved investment returns and a rise in equity financing [4][7] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from the clarification of income tax treatment under IFRS17, enhancing profit predictability for insurers [4][11] - The report emphasizes the growth of ETFs, which have surpassed 6 trillion yuan in total assets, indicating a strong trend in the investment landscape [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,657.24, with a weekly increase of 1.95%, while the non-bank index rose by 2.09% [7] - The securities, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported increases of 1.58%, 2.97%, and 2.66% respectively [7] Securities Industry Insights - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market for December is estimated at 1.84 trillion yuan, with a 5% decrease month-on-month [4] - The margin financing balance reached 2.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a 3% increase [4] - Equity financing in December totaled 508.4 billion yuan, a 72% increase from the previous month [4] Insurance Industry Insights - The report notes that the implementation of IFRS17 will standardize income tax calculations for insurers starting in 2026, which is expected to improve profit visibility [4][11] - The insurance sector index rose by 2.97%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.02 percentage points [4] Investment Recommendations - For the securities sector, the report recommends focusing on leading firms with strong competitive positions, such as Guotai Junan and CITIC Securities, as well as firms with significant earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities [4] - In the insurance sector, the report suggests investing in major players like China Life and Ping An, highlighting their systemic value re-evaluation opportunities [4]

二级速览： 中资美元债二级市场涨跌不一，截至12月26日，Markit iBoxx中资美元债综合指数周度上行0.06%，报251.26；投资级美元债指数周度上涨0.08%， 报244.35；高收益美元债指数周度下跌0.14%，报 241.3。地产美元债指数周度涨0.12%，报178.37；城投美元债指数周度下跌0.01%，报153.9；金融 美元债指数周度下跌0.06%，报290.9。 基准利差： 截至12月26日，中美10年期基准国债利差缩小至229.47bp，较前一周缩小2.13bp。 评级异动： 近两周市场情况 一级市场： 据新华财经统计，近两周（12月15日至12月26日）共发行12笔中资离岸债券，其中包括6笔离岸人民币债券和6笔美元债券，发行规模分别为430.58 亿元人民币和2.96亿美元。近两周发行方式为直接发行的债券共9只，担保发行2只，"直接发行+担保"的1只。 在离岸人民币债券领域，近两周人民币债券单笔发行最大规模为10.5亿元人民币，由南安市发展投资集团有限公司发行。近两周人民币债券发行最 高票息为6.9%，由淄博高新国有资本投资有限公司发行。 在中资美元债券市场，近两周美元债券单笔最大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry has adjusted its product structure and increased exports since 2021, but prices remain under pressure. Recent anti-involution policies have alleviated supply-demand conflicts, leading to a recovery in corporate profits. However, this round of anti-involution differs from the supply-side reforms of 2015, as the current supply relies more on self-discipline mechanisms and demand remains differentiated [1] Group 1 - Since 2021, steel companies have focused on adjusting product structures and increasing exports, but they face price pressures [1] - The implementation of anti-involution policies this year has marginally eased supply-demand conflicts, resulting in a recovery in corporate profits [1] - The current supply-side adjustments depend more on self-discipline mechanisms, while demand continues to show differentiation [1] Group 2 - The industry is expected to continue improving in supply-demand dynamics under the influence of anti-involution policies, although the extent of improvement may be limited [1] - The overall low level of industry bond spreads indicates ongoing differentiation in the fundamental conditions of companies [1] - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on central state-owned enterprises with significant scale and funding advantages, while also exploring opportunities in perpetual bonds within three years [1]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market in 2025 is characterized as a "non-bull, non-bear volatile market," with interest rates ending a four-year downward trend and the ten-year government bond fluctuating within a narrow range of 1.6% to 1.9% [1] Summary by Themes Market Characteristics - The market is showing new characteristics such as desensitization to macroeconomic factors, increased volatility, and a seesaw effect between stocks and bonds [1] Investor Experience - This year has been particularly impactful for investors in a "low interest rate" environment, with significant reductions in coupon returns and challenges in capital gains, as well as rapid shifts in market trends [1] Key Themes in the Bond Market - Important themes for the bond market this year include: 1. Respecting trends while also trusting common sense 2. The difficulty of executing wave trading strategies 3. The presence of structural opportunities even in a volatile market 4. Profound changes in the bond market ecosystem 5. A shift in asset allocation direction, indicated by the trend of looking at stocks while investing in bonds [1]

Core Viewpoint - Long-term oil price support is expected to stabilize around $60 per barrel, driven by the marginal costs of major oil-producing countries and a preference for quality over quantity in production [1] Group 1 - The energy sector is likely to present investment opportunities, particularly for leading companies that have the capability to increase production and reduce costs [1] - Companies with growth potential in natural gas business segments are highlighted as having favorable positioning in the current market environment [1]

Core Viewpoint - Over 80% of public REITs products experienced an increase this week, with the China Securities REITs Total Return Index rising by 1.56% from December 22 to 26, 2023 [2][5] Market Performance - The China Securities REITs Total Return Index saw a slight decline of 0.18% on December 26, closing at 1014.80 points. During the week, 67 out of 79 listed public REITs recorded a rise, with the highest increase being 7.86% for the Zhongjin Chongqing Liangjiang REIT [5][6] - The top-performing REITs included Zhongjin Chongqing Liangjiang REIT (7.86%), Huaxia Fund Huayun REIT (5.99%), and Bosera Jinkai Industrial Park REIT (5.94%). Conversely, 10 products experienced declines, with one falling over 5% [5][6] New Developments - The highly anticipated Xinjiang first hydropower REIT, Huaxia Zhongke Clean Energy REIT, successfully concluded its issuance, attracting over 1616 billion yuan in subscription funds, with a public investor subscription multiple of approximately 392 times [3][8][9] - The underlying asset of Huaxia Zhongke Clean Energy REIT is the Bopona Hydropower Station, the largest in the Hotan region, which has maintained stable revenue and power generation for over 14 years [9] Market Insights - Analysts suggest that the recent price fluctuations in the public REITs market are largely unrelated to the underlying fundamentals, but rather influenced by discussions surrounding the accounting treatment of OCI principal and interest [5][7] - The market is still in a policy dividend period, and it is recommended to gradually focus on low-priced opportunities in relatively stable projects [7]

更惊喜的是——未来还将与小艺深度联动，让专业交易 服务真正"听得懂、够贴心"！ 一句话设定盯盘指标，动动嘴就能操作；自然语音创建 条件单，交易从未如此简单；开户时证件一键精准识 别，又快又准；隐私授权精细管理，安全感直接拉满！ 华泰证券旗下的AI涨乐鸿蒙版，把"智能交易"玩出了新 高度： ...