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华泰证券:多重因素推动7月进出口回升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 01:30
【大河财立方消息】8月8日,华泰证券研报认为,以美元计价,7月出口同比增速较6月的5.9%再度反 弹至7.2%,进口增速亦明显改善,显示全球贸易活动的景气度回升。 海关总署公布的数据显示,2025年7月美元计价的中国出口金额同比增速从6月的5.9%回升至7.2%,高 于彭博一致预期的 5.6%;进口金额同比增速则从6月的1.1%回升至4.1%,高于彭博一致预期的-1%;贸 易顺差略回落至982亿美元,同比多增128亿美元,仍对总需求形成支撑。 首先,8月关税232等法案亦可能对部分行业加征全球关税,仍有部分"抢出口"效应支撑。同时,4月中 美关税大幅上升以后,中国企业出海及供应链延伸进程亦有加速,二季度以来中国对东南亚、欧盟等地 区出口显著回升,上述地区或承担更多贸易分流作用。此外,全球的半导体周期走强或持续推升相关行 业出口回升,比如7月对韩国及中国台湾的出口均大幅改善。 8月前"抢出口"效应仍有提振,叠加全球制造业回升,带动全球贸易景气度提升。7月31日美国总统特朗 普签署行政令,调整了对69个国家和地区征收最新的"对等关税"、税率在10%至41%不等,新的"对等关 税"将以8月7日凌晨为界。其中,针对中 ...
华泰证券:7月化工价差偏弱,25H2或迎复苏起点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 01:30
Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry is experiencing weak price differentials as of July, with supply-side adjustments expected to accelerate, potentially improving profitability in the future [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - As of the end of July 2025, the CCPI - crude oil price differential is approximately 294, which is below the 30th percentile since 2012 [1] - Global macroeconomic tensions are causing high volatility in oil prices, while most downstream chemical products are entering a demand off-season, leading to a decline in chemical product price differentials [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Price increases in July were primarily due to supply reductions and effective destocking from previous periods [1] - The industry's profitability has been at a low point in recent years, but under policy guidance, supply-side adjustments are expected to accelerate, which may lead to improved profitability for bulk chemical products [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - In the medium to long term, the exit of high-energy-consuming facilities in Europe and the U.S., along with growth in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, is expected to contribute to demand increases [1] - The export market is becoming a significant growth engine for the domestic chemical industry [1] - In the first half of 2025, the industry's capital expenditure growth rate turned negative for the first time since early 2021, indicating a shift in supply-side adjustments [1] - The second half of 2025 may see a recovery starting point, with downstream sectors likely to recover first due to cost reductions and improved demand [1]
华泰证券:二季度可能形成煤炭龙头的业绩底
人民财讯8月8日电,华泰证券认为市场对于短期煤价上涨的预期并无显著差异,而分歧点在于之后煤价 在淡季的走势,其结果也更容易影响明年长协谈判的价格。需要强调的是,即使没有本轮"抓超产"带来 的供给冲击,由于煤耗增加,2025年三季度环比二季度供需结余也会收紧1.1亿吨。参考2023年四季度 到2024年一季度情况,此次2025年三季度环比二季度的边际收紧在1.2—1.6亿吨,对煤价持续反弹形成 支撑。从龙头公司盈利敏感性测算上来看,2025年二季度可能形成煤炭龙头的业绩底。 ...
华泰证券:需求淡季下7月石油化工行业整体价差偏弱,供给侧有望加快调整
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 00:28
华泰证券研报表示,25年7月末CCPI-原油价差约294,处于2012年以来30%以下分位数,全球宏观局势 延续博弈致油价高位波动,且下游多数化工品进入需求淡季,致化工品价差有所回落。7月提价产品主 要系供给量收缩和前期去库较好的品种,我们认为近年来行业盈利已处底部,且在政策引导下,供给侧 有望加快调整,大宗化工品盈利或迎改善。中长期而言,伴随欧美高能耗装置退出、亚非拉地区经济增 长等需求增量驱动下,出海/出口成为国内化工行业的重要增长引擎;25上半年供给端行业资本开支同 比增速自21年初以来首次转负,供给侧加快调整下25H2或迎复苏起点,成本减压及需求改善的下游环 节或率先复苏。 ...
华泰证券:需求淡季下7月石油化工行业整体价差偏弱 供给侧有望加快调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 00:27
来源:金融界AI电报 华泰证券研报表示,25年7月末CCPI-原油价差约294,处于2012年以来30%以下分位数,全球宏观局势 延续博弈致油价高位波动,且下游多数化工品进入需求淡季,致化工品价差有所回落。7月提价产品主 要系供给量收缩和前期去库较好的品种,我们认为近年来行业盈利已处底部,且在政策引导下,供给侧 有望加快调整,大宗化工品盈利或迎改善。中长期而言,伴随欧美高能耗装置退出、亚非拉地区经济增 长等需求增量驱动下,出海/出口成为国内化工行业的重要增长引擎;25上半年供给端行业资本开支同 比增速自21年初以来首次转负,供给侧加快调整下25H2或迎复苏起点,成本减压及需求改善的下游环 节或率先复苏。 ...
华泰证券:预计美联储下半年的潜在降息将进一步催化红利板块的配置价值
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 00:18
华泰证券表示,市场对于短期煤价上涨的预期并无显著差异,而分歧点在于之后煤价在淡季的走势,其 结果也更容易影响明年长协谈判的价格。需要强调的是,即使没有本轮"抓超产"带来的供给冲击,由于 煤耗增加,3Q25环比2Q供需结余也会收紧1.1亿吨。参考4Q23到1Q24情况,此次3Q25环比2Q25的边际 收紧在1.2~1.6亿吨,对煤价持续反弹形成支撑。从龙头公司盈利敏感性测算上来看,2Q25可能形成煤 炭龙头的业绩底。预计美联储下半年的潜在降息将进一步催化红利板块的配置价值,而煤价重回港口长 协价格之上将有利于保障龙头公司长协兑现率及现金流稳定性,强化红利逻辑。 ...
关于景顺长城创业板综指增强型证券投资基金新增中信银行为销售机构的公告
Group 1 - The company has signed a sales agreement with CITIC Bank to sell its fund starting from August 8, 2025 [1] - The fund involved is the Invesco Great Wall Growth Enterprise Board Index Enhanced Securities Investment Fund [1] - Investors can consult details through the company's customer service or CITIC Bank's customer service [4][7] Group 2 - The company has also signed a sales agreement with Huatai Securities to sell its fund starting from August 8, 2025 [4] - The fund involved is the Invesco Great Wall Jing Sheng Dual Income Bond Securities Investment Fund [4] - Investors can consult details through the company's customer service or Huatai Securities' customer service [7]
华泰证券发行50亿元短期公司债券
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 13:16
Core Points - Huatai Securities (601688)(06886) announced the completion of its public issuance of short-term corporate bonds (the seventh phase) aimed at professional investors on August 7, 2025 [1] - The first bond type had an issuance scale of 2.5 billion yuan with a coupon rate of 1.56% and a subscription multiple of 4.18 times [1] - The second bond type also had an issuance scale of 2.5 billion yuan with a coupon rate of 1.65% and a subscription multiple of 4.23 times [1]
华泰证券(06886)发行50亿元短期公司债券
智通财经网· 2025-08-07 13:14
Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities has successfully completed the issuance of its seventh tranche of short-term corporate bonds aimed at professional investors, with significant oversubscription rates and competitive interest rates [1] Group 1: Bond Issuance Details - The total issuance size for the first bond type is 2.5 billion yuan, with a coupon rate of 1.56% and a subscription multiple of 4.18 times [1] - The total issuance size for the second bond type is also 2.5 billion yuan, with a coupon rate of 1.65% and a subscription multiple of 4.23 times [1]
HTSC(06886) - 海外监管公告
2025-08-07 13:09
(於中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司, 中文公司名稱為華泰證券股份有限公司,在香港以HTSC名義開展業務) (股份代號:6886) 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據上市規則第13.10B條規則作出。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴 該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 茲載列本公司在上海證券交易所網站刊登之《華泰證券股份有限公司2025年面向 專業投資者公開發行短期公司債券(第七期)發行結果公告》,僅供參閱。 釋義 於本公告,除文義另有所指外,下列詞彙具有以下涵義。 「本公司」 指 於中華人民共和國以華泰證券股份有限公司的公司名 稱註冊成立的股份有限公司,於2007年12月7日由前身 華泰證券有限責任公司改制而成,在香港以「HTSC」 名義開展業務,根據公司條例第16部以中文獲准名稱 「華泰六八八六股份有限公司」及英文公司名稱「Huatai Securities Co., Ltd.」註冊為註冊非香港公司,其H股於 2015年6月1日在香港聯合交易所有限公司主板上市(股 票代碼 ...