南方财经12月23日电，南财投研通数据显示，12月22日有21家上市公司得到券商推荐，其中皖新传媒、 神开股份、鑫铂股份均获得1家推荐。从目标价涨幅来看，券商给予上市公司目标价共5次，按最新收盘 价计算，目标价涨幅排名居前的公司有五粮液、华友钴业、天振股份，目标价涨幅分别为94.87%、 20.38%、20.27%，分别属于白酒、能源金属、家居用品行业。 查看原文：五粮液目标价涨幅超90%，21股获推荐丨券商评级观察刚刚 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the target price increases for several listed companies, with notable gains for Wuliangye, Huayou Cobalt, and Tianzhen Co., with target price increases of 94.87%, 20.38%, and 20.27% respectively, across the liquor, energy metals, and home goods industries [1] - On December 22, a total of 21 listed companies received broker recommendations, with Wuxin Media, Shenkai Co., and Xinbo Co. each receiving one recommendation [1] - There was one instance of a rating upgrade on December 22, where Dongwu Securities raised the rating of Huasheng Lithium from "Hold" to "Buy" [1] Group 2 - On December 22, brokers provided 13 instances of initial coverage, with Shenkai Co. and Xinbo Co. receiving "Buy" ratings from Aijian Securities, Tianzhen Co. receiving an "Increase" rating from Tianfeng Securities, Hezhu Intelligent receiving an "Increase" rating from Northeast Securities, and Shenhuo Co. receiving a "Buy" rating from Xinda Securities [1]

Core Viewpoint - The market perceives the company as a beta play following cobalt prices, but the greater focus should be on nickel, which is currently near its bottom price level, with a potential cyclical turning point expected around 2027-2028 [1] Group 1: Nickel Market Insights - Nickel project investments are substantial, presenting significant financial and scale barriers to entry [1] - The company has established a full industry chain layout from nickel ore to nickel intermediate products and nickel products, showcasing its core competitive advantages [1] Group 2: Investment Rating - The company is considered a relatively rare alpha-type company in the market [1] - A price-to-earnings ratio of 26 times is projected for 2025, with a target price set at 78.98 yuan per share, initiating coverage with a "buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 78.98 CNY per share based on a 26x PE for 2025 [2][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to have a net profit of 57.52 billion, 67.48 billion, and 80.84 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with EPS of 3.03, 3.56, and 4.26 CNY respectively [2][25]. - The market views the company as a beta play on cobalt prices, but the report emphasizes that the greater opportunity lies in nickel, which is currently at a cyclical low and may see a turning point around 2027-2028 [2][19]. Summary by Sections Nickel - Nickel prices are at a cyclical low, with potential for a turning point in supply-demand dynamics by 2027-2028. The company has established a full industry chain from nickel mining to intermediate products and final products, showcasing significant competitive advantages [3][20]. - The investment scale for nickel projects is substantial, creating high barriers to entry, which further strengthens the company's market position [3][20]. Cobalt - Cobalt supply is concentrated in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), with significant policy disruptions affecting exports. Demand is stable, driven by electric vehicles, consumer electronics, and high-temperature alloys [4][22]. - The company’s cobalt business has shown resilience, with gross margins increasing even during price declines, indicating strong competitive positioning [4][22]. Three-way Precursor and Cathode Materials - The report anticipates that solid-state batteries will increase the market share of ternary materials, leading to stable profitability for the company [4][23]. - The company benefits from upstream raw material security, midstream manufacturing scale effects, and strong customer relationships, which are expected to reinforce its leading position in the industry [4][23]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to reach 746.85 billion, 830.75 billion, and 1,038.31 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 22.5%, 11.2%, and 25.0% respectively [18][25]. - The company’s gross margins are expected to be 16.0%, 16.6%, and 16.2% over the same period, reflecting stable operational efficiency [18][25].

行 业 及 产 业 有色金属 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 证券分析师 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 22 日 美国通胀降温助推降息预期，金属 板块景气持续 看好 ——金属&新材料行业周报 20251215-20251219 究 报 告 相关研究 - 、 ⚫ 一周行情回顾：据 ifind，环比上周 1）上证指数上涨 0.03%，深证成指下跌 0.89%，沪深 300 下跌 0.28%，有色金属 ...

西部证券 股份有限公司 给予 华友钴业 买进的初始评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant upward trend, particularly in the non-ferrous metal sector, with the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) showing a notable increase and substantial trading volume [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of 9:58 AM, the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) opened with a gap up, rising by 2.5% and seeing a significant increase in trading volume, with 200,000 net subscriptions recorded during the session [1]. - Key stocks in the non-ferrous metal sector, such as Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold, have shown strong performance, with Zijin Mining increasing by 4.66% and Shandong Gold by 4.37% [2][4]. Group 2: Commodity Trends - Precious metals are experiencing a surge, with spot gold rising over 1% to exceed $4,383 per ounce, setting a new historical high, while silver has also reached a record of over $67 per ounce [3]. - The overall non-ferrous metal sector has seen an impressive increase of over 85% this year, indicating a strong market performance [4]. Group 3: Economic and Policy Context - Following the December Federal Reserve policy decisions, a monthly operation of $40 billion in reserve management purchases is expected to provide liquidity support to the market [7]. - The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% to combat rising inflation, marking the highest rate in 30 years [7]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted as a leading investment vehicle, covering a wide range of metals including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing super cycle in the non-ferrous sector [18][20]. - The ETF has a high concentration of key metals, with copper accounting for 31% and gold for 14%, making it a competitive option in the market [20]. Group 5: Long-term Outlook - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive, driven by factors such as declining real interest rates and increasing central bank gold purchases, with forecasts suggesting gold prices could exceed $4,500 per ounce in the near future [15][16]. - The copper market is also expected to see a growing supply-demand gap, with projections indicating that copper prices may reach new highs due to robust demand from emerging sectors like AI and renewable energy [16][17].

Group 1 - Platinum prices reached a peak of $1987 per ounce on December 19, marking the highest level since late July 2008, with an annual increase of over 110% [1] - Silver prices surged above $67.49 per ounce, setting a new historical high [1] - The SHFE gold price hit 987 yuan per gram [1] Group 2 - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) rose by 0.96% as of December 22, 2025, with notable increases in stocks such as Yahua Group (002497) up 1.90%, and China Aluminum (601600) up 1.84% [1] - The Nonferrous Metals ETF (159880) increased by 0.77%, with the latest price at 1.84 yuan [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Nonferrous Metals Industry Index account for 52.34% of the index, including Zijin Mining (601899) and China Aluminum (601600) [2]

西部证券股份有限公司给予华友钴业买进的初始评级。 ...

Group 1 - CATL has launched the world's first humanoid robot for large-scale production of energy storage battery PACK, achieving a connection success rate of over 99% [3] - Ganfeng Lithium has signed a project agreement for a 10GWh zero-carbon industry base in Jiangxi, which will include lithium battery production lines and a distributed photovoltaic power generation system [4] - Envision AESC has officially started production at its Sunderland battery plant in the UK, with an initial capacity of 15.8GWh, enough to supply batteries for over 200,000 electric vehicles annually [5] Group 2 - Guokai Energy has launched a smart manufacturing base for energy storage batteries in Anqing, Anhui, with a planned capacity of 10GWh and an expected annual output value exceeding 5 billion yuan [7] - Pylontech has commenced the second phase of its 10GWh lithium battery R&D and manufacturing base in Hefei, aiming to enhance production capacity and meet market demand [8] - Xinnengda plans to invest 2 billion yuan in a mobile energy storage vehicle production line and related projects in Jiangxi [9] Group 3 - A 27GWh battery cell production project has been signed in Feicheng, Shandong, with a total investment of 5.5 billion yuan, expected to generate an annual output value exceeding 8 billion yuan [10] - A new generation lithium battery project with a capacity of 60GWh has been established in Hunan, capable of meeting the battery needs of approximately 1 million new energy vehicles [11] - Volkswagen's PowerCo has launched its first battery cell production facility in Germany, with a target annual capacity of 20GWh to support around 250,000 electric vehicles [12] Group 4 - Dafu Technology plans to sell a 49% stake in Dasheng Graphite for a minimum price of 206 million yuan [14] - Yongtai Technology has reported a production capacity of 18,000 tons per year for solid-state lithium hexafluorophosphate [15] - Yuntai Holdings has established a complete supply chain for iron phosphate with an annual capacity of 50,000 tons [19] Group 5 - A 2,000-ton silicon-carbon anode material project has been signed in Sichuan, with a total investment of 650 million yuan, expected to achieve an annual output value of about 800 million yuan [20] - Huayou Cobalt has signed a binding memorandum to supply 79,600 tons of ternary precursor products to an international client [18] - Tesla plans to start battery production in Germany by 2027, with a production capacity of up to 8GWh [30] Group 6 - BYD has achieved a significant milestone with the production of its 15 millionth new energy vehicle [31] - CATL and Lantu Motors have signed a 10-year cooperation agreement to enhance collaboration in technology application and product supply [33] - Chery has reported a monthly sales figure of 111,577 units in December, marking a 54% year-on-year growth and positioning itself among the top three in the industry [34]