Group 1 - The rise in risk aversion has driven precious metals higher, with spot gold surpassing $4870 per ounce, showing a daily increase of over 2.3%. UBS strategist Joni Teves expects gold prices to have upward momentum in the first half of the year, potentially reaching $5000 per ounce if concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence persist [1] - Silver is benefiting from the rise in gold prices and a narrowing supply-demand gap, with expectations to challenge $100 per ounce this year [1] - The copper market is tightening due to demand from energy transition, leading to an expected increase in price levels [1] Group 2 - As of November, the U.S. unemployment rate has dropped to 4.4%, indicating a temporarily stable labor market, with market expectations that the Federal Reserve will halt interest rate cuts from January to April [1] - In the medium to long term, risks related to U.S. federal government debt remain, and the dollar's status is facing challenges, suggesting continued opportunities for gold in the context of a global monetary system restructuring [1] Group 3 - The CSI Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) has risen by 1.76%, with component stocks such as silver and tungsten companies showing significant gains, including a 10.01% increase for silver companies and 9.92% for tungsten companies [1] - The CSI Nonferrous Metals Industry Index tracks 50 prominent securities in the nonferrous metals sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this industry on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Nonferrous Metals Industry Index account for 51.65% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and China Molybdenum [2]

大华继显发表研究报告指，洛阳钼业2025年初步业绩符合预期，主要受铜产量超越指引所带动，管理层 更指引2026年铜产量将进一步按年增长2.6%至10.7%。该行指，刚果的钴出口配额反映全球供应结构性 收紧，并已推动价格显著反应，对洛阳钼业等大型生产商有利。此外，公司透过发行12亿美元零息可换 股债券增强了资金灵活性，且摊薄风险有限；维持"买入"评级，将目标价由20.3港元上调至24港元。 ...

Group 1: Key Insights on Precious Metals - The upward momentum for precious metals, particularly gold, is strong, with London gold prices reaching $4,611.05 per ounce, an increase of $117.20 per ounce from the previous week, reflecting a rise of 2.59% [2] - The market is closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, with a 95% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut anticipated in January [2][3] Group 2: Key Insights on Copper and Aluminum - Copper prices are experiencing high-level consolidation, with LME copper closing at $12,925 per ton, down $65 per ton, a decrease of 0.50% [4] - Domestic copper inventory is reported at 213,515 tons, showing an increase of 4,600 tons from January 9, while SHFE inventory also reflects a similar trend [4] - Aluminum prices are at 24,000 yuan per ton, down 60 yuan, with LME aluminum inventory at 488,000 tons, a decrease of 9,825 tons [6] Group 3: Key Insights on Tin and Antimony - Domestic refined tin prices are at 41,4640 yuan per ton, up 639.40 yuan per ton, indicating a positive trend [8] - Antimony prices have rebounded, with domestic antimony ingot prices increasing by 0.2 million yuan per ton from January 9 [10] Group 4: Investment Ratings and Recommendations - The copper industry maintains a "recommended" investment rating due to ongoing tightness in copper supply [13] - The aluminum industry also holds a "recommended" investment rating, supported by rigid supply dynamics [14] - The tin industry is rated "recommended" as supply constraints are expected to support tin prices [14] - The antimony industry is rated "recommended" following a rebound in prices after a six-month decline [14] Group 5: Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the gold sector include Zhongjin Gold (600489), Shandong Gold (600547), and China National Gold (600916) [15] - In the copper sector, recommended stocks include Zijin Mining (601899) and Western Mining (601168) [15] - For aluminum, recommended stocks are Shenhuo Co. (000933) and Yunnan Aluminum (000807) [15] - In the tin sector, recommended stocks include Tin Industry Co. (000960) and Hunan Gold (002155) [15]

Precious Metals Industry - Central banks worldwide are increasing their gold reserves to diversify risk, with China's central bank having increased its gold holdings for 14 consecutive months [1] - The global monetary easing expectations are rising, leading to a weaker dollar, which enhances the attractiveness of precious and non-ferrous metals priced in dollars [1] - The market for precious metals is expected to experience a broad rally starting in early 2026, characterized by a resonance between financial and industrial attributes [1] - Key players in the precious metals sector include Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, and Guoyuan Platinum, all of which are focusing on optimizing production and expanding operations [3] Non-Ferrous Metals Industry - The demand for non-ferrous metals such as silver, copper, and aluminum is growing due to the rigid requirements from emerging industries like photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and AI servers [1] - The market dynamics for non-ferrous metals are changing, driven by both traditional infrastructure demand and new energy sectors [1] - Major companies in the non-ferrous metals sector include Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, Huayou Cobalt, and Tin Industry Co., which are involved in mining, refining, and processing of various metals [4]

Core Insights - The "original brand" is a competitive industry in Henan, with mining, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and building materials evolving to achieve high-end industrial development and green practices [2] Group 1: Industry Developments - The industry is witnessing a transformation where traditional resources are creatively converted, enhancing the resilience of the industrial chain [2] - The shift from traditional industries to high-end manufacturing and energy transition is exemplified by companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, which has become a key resource provider globally [2] Group 2: Company Highlights - Yuelian Group's products include aluminum materials for beverage cans, battery foils, and high-performance automotive sheets, with a global market share of 10% in beverage can body materials and leading domestic market position in aluminum alloy strips [3] - Luoyang Molybdenum has surpassed Glencore to become the world's largest cobalt producer in 2023 and is expected to rank among the top ten copper producers in 2024 [3] - Zhongyuan Dahua has successfully completed pilot testing of China's first thousand-ton biomass ethylene glycol facility, producing 99.9% pure polyester-grade ethylene glycol, with technology at an international leading level [3]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. plans to issue $1.2 billion of zero-coupon convertible bonds due in 2027, backed by its indirect subsidiary CMOC Capital Limited, to enhance its capital structure and support overseas resource projects [1][16]. Group 1: Transaction Overview - The company intends to issue $1.2 billion in convertible bonds, with a conversion price of HKD 28.03 per share, representing a premium of approximately 28.70% over the last closing price of HKD 21.78 on January 19, 2026 [2][12]. - If fully converted at the initial conversion price, the bonds will convert into approximately 333,739,565 H-shares, accounting for about 8.48% of the existing H-shares and 1.56% of the total issued shares [2][12]. Group 2: Use of Proceeds - The net proceeds from the bond issuance, estimated at approximately $1,187.5 million, will be used to support the expansion, optimization, and ongoing capital expenditures of the company's overseas resource projects, as well as to enhance working capital flexibility [15][16]. Group 3: Benefits of Issuing Bonds - The board believes that issuing the bonds provides an opportunity to diversify the shareholder base, improve liquidity, reduce financing costs, and raise additional working capital, which will promote the overall development and expansion of the company [16]. Group 4: Regulatory and Approval Process - The company will apply for the listing of the bonds on the Vienna Stock Exchange and for the conversion shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with no further shareholder approval required for the bond issuance and share allocation [3][16]. - The issuance is subject to several conditions, including satisfactory due diligence and compliance with regulatory requirements, including filings with the China Securities Regulatory Commission [8][9]. Group 5: Company Background - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is a leading producer in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, primarily engaged in the mining and processing of base and rare metals, with operations across Asia, Africa, South America, and Europe [20]. - The company ranks 138th in the 2025 Fortune China 500 and 630th in the 2025 Forbes Global 2000 [20].

Core Viewpoint - Several listed companies in the non-ferrous metals industry have released optimistic performance forecasts for 2025, driven by product price increases and production growth, reflecting a positive outlook for the sector [1][2][4]. Group 1: Company Performance Forecasts - Zijin Mining Group expects a net profit of 51 billion to 52 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, supported by increased production and sales prices of gold, copper, and silver [1]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining anticipates a net profit of 3 billion to 3.2 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 70% to 81%, with gold production expected to be approximately 14.4 tons and sales prices rising by about 49% [2]. - Northern Rare Earth forecasts a net profit of 2.176 billion to 2.356 billion yuan for 2025, a significant increase of 116.67% to 134.60%, driven by new technologies and products [2]. - Jinchuan Magnetics expects a net profit of 660 million to 760 million yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 127% to 161%, attributed to record high product sales in various applications [2]. - Xianglu Tungsten Industry predicts a net profit of 125 million to 180 million yuan for 2025, marking a turnaround from losses, supported by rising tungsten prices and increased sales orders [3]. - Huayou Cobalt anticipates a net profit of 5.85 billion to 6.45 billion yuan for 2025, a growth of 40.80% to 55.24%, benefiting from improved production and cost management [3]. - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit of 20 billion to 20.8 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth of 47.80% to 53.71%, driven by increased production and effective cost control [4]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The positive performance forecasts are attributed to multiple factors, including government policy support, improved supply-demand dynamics, and strategic upgrades by companies [4]. - Emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles, power batteries, energy storage, and artificial intelligence are expected to drive sustained demand for non-ferrous metals, particularly lithium, nickel, rare earths, and tungsten [4].

1月20日上榜港股通成交活跃榜个股中，洛阳钼业为近一个月首次上榜。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 洛阳钼业为近一个月首次上榜，当日港股通成交额为5.27亿港元，成交净卖出0.98亿港元，该股当日收 盘下跌1.01%。（数据宝） 1月20日港股通成交活跃股榜单 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，1月20日港股通（包括沪市港股通及深市港股通）成交活跃股合计成交 318.29亿港元，占当日港股通成交金额的32.72%，净买入金额8.08亿港元。 上榜的成交活跃股中，腾讯控股成交额为63.88亿港元，成交金额居首；其次是阿里巴巴-W、小米集团- W，成交金额分别为48.94亿港元、46.53亿港元。 以上榜次数统计，1月20日上榜个股中，近一个月上榜次数最多的是阿里巴巴-W、腾讯控股等，近一个 月均上榜18次，最受港股通资金关注。 | 证券 | 证券简称 | 成交金额（亿 | 净买入金额（亿 | 近一个月上榜 | 最新收盘价 | 日涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | | 港元） | 港元） | 次数 | （港元） | （%） | | 00700 | 腾 ...

洛阳钼业1月20日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量49.00万股，成交金额1130.43万元，大宗交易成交 价为23.07元。该笔交易的买方营业部为中信证券股份有限公司总部(非营业场所)，卖方营业部为广发证 券股份有限公司广州环市东路证券营业部。 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生17笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为4.01亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，洛阳钼业今日收盘价为23.07元，下跌1.03%，日换手率为1.78%，成交额为 71.00亿元，全天主力资金净流出5.71亿元，近5日该股累计上涨1.18%，近5日资金合计净流出14.56亿 元。 | 成交量 （万 | 成交金额 | 成交价 | 相对当日收盘 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （万元） | 格 | 折溢价（%） | | | | 股） | | （元） | | | | | 49.00 | 1130.43 | 23.07 | 0.00 | 中信证券股份有限公司 | 广发证券股份有限公司广州 | | | | | | 总部(非营业场所) | 环市东路证券营业部 | 两融 ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold industry is experiencing significant growth due to rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Companies in this sector are leveraging their resource advantages and operational efficiencies to capitalize on these market conditions. Company Summaries - **Sichuan Gold (001337)**: Located in Sichuan, the company benefits from high-quality gold resources and low-cost mining advantages. It is expected to gain from rising gold prices and regional resource integration policies, enhancing its growth potential [1]. - **Zhaojin Gold (000506)**: A well-established player in the gold industry, Zhaojin has a comprehensive supply chain and strong technical capabilities. The company is positioned to benefit from increased gold demand due to geopolitical tensions and has a robust hedging strategy to stabilize profits [2]. - **Shandong Gold International (000975)**: This company operates globally, focusing on low-cost mining resources. It is expected to thrive amid geopolitical conflicts, leveraging its operational experience and resource management to respond to international gold price fluctuations [3]. - **Xiaocheng Technology (300139)**: Focused on intelligent mining solutions and African resource development, the company is set to benefit from both rising gold prices and increased demand for mining technology services [4]. - **China National Gold (600489)**: As a leading state-owned enterprise, it has the largest gold reserves in China. The company is expected to play a crucial role in stabilizing domestic gold supply and prices amid rising global demand [5]. - **Western Gold (601069)**: Based in Xinjiang, the company benefits from high-quality resources and regional policies supporting resource integration. It is positioned as a key player in ensuring domestic gold supply [6][7]. - **Chifeng Gold (600988)**: A rapidly expanding company that has increased its resource reserves through acquisitions. It is expected to enhance profit margins through optimized mining processes amid rising gold prices [8]. - **Hengbang Shares (002237)**: A leading gold smelting company, it benefits from its ability to process complex ores and is positioned to gain from rising gold prices and increased demand for silver recovery [9]. - **Shandong Gold (600547)**: The absolute leader in the gold industry, it has the largest resource reserves and production capacity. The company is expected to stabilize market expectations and supply amid rising gold prices [10]. - **Hunan Silver (002716)**: A core player in the silver industry, it benefits from rising silver prices and increased demand from the photovoltaic industry, enhancing its profit margins [11]. - **Zijin Mining (601899)**: A major player in the non-ferrous metals sector, it has a global footprint in gold mining and is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions [12]. - **Yintai Gold (000975)**: This company has a strong resource base and low-cost mining operations, positioning it well to benefit from rising gold prices and increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [13]. - **Shengda Resources (000603)**: A leading silver company, it is expected to benefit from rising silver prices and increased demand from the photovoltaic industry, while also expanding into gold resource development [14]. - **Yuguang Gold Lead (600531)**: A leader in lead and zinc smelting, it has strong silver recovery capabilities and is expected to benefit from rising silver prices amid increased industrial demand [15]. - **Hunan Gold (002155)**: A significant gold producer, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and regional resource development policies, enhancing its growth potential [16]. - **Zhongrun Resources (000506)**: Focused on overseas gold projects, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions, leveraging its operational experience [17]. - **Yuancheng Gold (600766)**: This company is focused on gold exploration and development, benefiting from rising gold prices and regional resource integration [18]. - **Xingye Mining (000426)**: A multi-metal mining company, it is expected to benefit from rising silver prices and increased demand for silver in the photovoltaic industry [19]. - **Jin Gui Silver Industry (002716)**: A leading silver smelting company, it is expected to benefit from rising silver prices and increased demand from the photovoltaic industry [20]. - **Western Mining (601168)**: A core player in the non-ferrous metals sector, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and increased demand for new energy metals [21]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)**: A global mining giant, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions, leveraging its diverse resource portfolio [22]. - **Guizhou Platinum Industry (600459)**: A leader in precious metals, it is expected to benefit from rising demand for platinum and palladium amid global energy transitions [23]. - **Nanmin Group (001360)**: A mining equipment leader, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and increased demand for mining equipment amid a booming gold market [24]. - **Xingye Silver Tin (000426)**: This company is expanding its global gold asset portfolio and is expected to benefit from rising silver prices and increased demand for gold [25].