Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Views - The rare earth sector is experiencing price increases driven by overseas catalysts, with neodymium oxide rising 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, and terbium oxide increasing 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] - Molybdenum prices are fluctuating at high levels due to increased steel demand, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton [5][24] - Tungsten prices are at new highs due to supply contraction expectations, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton [5][29] - Tin prices are under pressure with SHFE tin down 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, influenced by raw material shortages from Myanmar [5][37] - Antimony prices are adjusting downwards, with antimony ingot prices falling 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton due to reduced smelting output [5][48] - The controllable nuclear fusion materials sector is in a high-growth phase, with significant opportunities for upstream materials [6] Summary by Category Rare Earths - Recent price increases: neodymium oxide up 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, terbium oxide up 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate price increased 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton, while molybdenum iron (Mo60) rose 3.49% to 252,000 CNY/ton [5][24] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate price increased 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate rose 4.35% to 264,000 CNY/ton [5][29] Tin - SHFE tin price decreased 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, and LME tin fell 1.82% to 33,160 USD/ton [5][37] Antimony - Antimony ingot price decreased 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate price fell 1.49% to 16,500 CNY/ton [5][48] Nuclear Fusion Materials - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating commercialization, with significant benefits expected for upstream materials [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the trend of decreasing shareholder accounts among several companies, indicating a concentration of shares and potential investment opportunities in those stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Account Trends - A total of 94 companies reported their latest shareholder account numbers as of July 20, with 16 companies experiencing a continuous decline for more than three periods, and one company, Guoyuan Securities, seeing a decrease for 12 consecutive periods, with a cumulative decline of 7.13% [1]. - Zhongyuan Media has also seen a significant decline, with its shareholder accounts dropping for 9 consecutive periods, resulting in a cumulative decline of 29.57% [1]. - Other companies with notable declines in shareholder accounts include Jiemai Technology, Xiyu Co., and Shuangxiang Co. [1]. Group 2: Market Performance - Among the companies with decreasing shareholder accounts, 14 have seen their stock prices rise, while only 2 have experienced declines, with Xiyu Co., Haixia Co., and Jiangsu Shentong showing high cumulative gains of 25.89%, 22.93%, and 16.93%, respectively [2]. - 12 of these companies outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with excess returns of 19.55%, 16.98%, and 11.76% for Xiyu Co., Haixia Co., and Jiangsu Shentong, respectively [2]. Group 3: Institutional Interest - In the past month, 5 companies with decreasing shareholder accounts have been subject to institutional research, with Jiangsu Shentong and Haixia Co. being the most frequently researched, each receiving 3 inquiries [2]. - The number of institutions involved in research is highest for Jiangsu Shentong (23 institutions), followed by Haixia Co. (8 institutions) and AVIC High-Tech (4 institutions) [2]. Group 4: Performance Forecasts - One company has released its half-year performance report, with Guoyuan Securities showing a net profit increase of 40.44% [3]. - Seven companies have issued performance forecasts, with five expecting profit increases and one predicting a profit [3]. - Hai De Control is projected to have the highest median net profit increase of 251.80%, with an expected net profit of 12.50 million [3].

Group 1 - The small metal sector has shown significant activity, with a collective increase of over 3% in stock prices, particularly for companies like Dongfang Zirconium and Haotong Technology, which saw gains exceeding 5% [1] - Supply constraints are evident due to domestic export quota management for antimony, bismuth, germanium, and tungsten, alongside transportation disruptions in Myanmar, leading to a global supply gap exceeding 30% [1] - Demand for small metals is rising, driven by applications in new energy vehicles, energy storage, military high-temperature alloys, and semiconductor packaging materials, with a notable increase in consumption of cobalt and nickel sulfate [1] Group 2 - Small metals have been classified as "strategic resources" by authorities, with export controls on gallium and germanium in 2024 and additional controls on tungsten, bismuth, and antimony in 2025, leading to increased scarcity premiums [1] - Leading companies are expected to report substantial profit growth, with Northern Rare Earth projected to see a more than 18-fold increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of 2025 [1] - Securities firms express optimism, highlighting that the relaxation of export controls could lead to a convergence of domestic and international prices, benefiting the sector through both valuation and profit increases [2][3] Group 3 - Dongfang Zirconium specializes in the research, production, and sales of zirconium series products, including zirconium silicate and zirconium oxide [2] - Haotong Technology focuses on precious metal recovery and related products, with key offerings including platinum, palladium, and rhodium [2] - Shenghe Resources produces rare earth concentrates and various rare earth products, contributing to the small metal supply chain [3] Group 4 - Guiyan Platinum's product range includes various precious metal compounds such as platinum, palladium, and rhodium [3] - Xianglu Tungsten's main products consist of tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, and tungsten carbide [3] - Tin Industry Co. engages in the exploration, mining, and processing of tin, zinc, copper, and indium, offering a wide array of products [3] Group 5 - Dongfang Tantalum is involved in the research, production, and sales of rare metals like tantalum and niobium [4] - Baotai Co. is recognized as China's largest specialized producer of titanium-based rare metal materials, holding over 40% market share [4]

Group 1 - The A-share small metal sector is experiencing a volatile rise, with Dongfang Zirconium hitting the daily limit and closing at a maximum increase [1] - Other companies such as Zhongmin Resources, Haotong Technology, Xiyu Co., Yongshan Lithium, Guiyan Platinum, and Western Materials are also seeing gains [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [2][14]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.2-11.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.52% to 40.03%. The net profit for Q2 2025 is expected to be between 5.21-6.21 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.41% to 24.45% and a year-on-year growth of 9.92% to 31.01% [4][5]. - The growth in performance is primarily driven by the increase in market prices for tin, copper, and zinc, alongside effective cost reduction measures and production optimization [4][5]. - The company plans to produce 90,000 tons of tin, 125,000 tons of copper, and 131,600 tons of zinc in 2025, with Q1 production figures showing 24,200 tons of tin, 24,400 tons of copper, and 33,300 tons of zinc [5]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to generate revenues of 48.36 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15.21%. The projected revenues for 2026 and 2027 are 51.90 billion yuan and 54.68 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 7.32% and 5.36% [6][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 23.09 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 59.86%. The expected net profits for 2026 and 2027 are 25.50 billion yuan and 27.38 billion yuan, with growth rates of 10.45% and 7.36% [6][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.40 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.55 yuan in 2026 and 1.66 yuan in 2027 [6][10]. Market Conditions - The report notes that while there may be short-term supply disruptions, the long-term price trend for tin is expected to rise due to ongoing demand from the semiconductor industry, which is projected to grow at around 11% globally [6][10]. - The company has announced a share buyback plan to protect shareholder interests, indicating confidence in future growth [5].

Investment Rating - The report rates the tin industry as "Overweight" [4]. Core Viewpoints - The central thesis of the report suggests that the price of tin is expected to rise, driven by tightening supply and improving demand conditions, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence and consumer electronics recovery [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Tin: A Competitive Advantage for China, Price Center Likely to Rise - Tin has a low abundance in the earth's crust, with significant resource advantages in China [7]. - Price analysis indicates that supply constraints and macroeconomic factors are expected to boost tin prices [18][34]. 2. Continuous Supply Disruptions, Incremental Growth May Fall Short of Expectations - Supply disruptions are ongoing, particularly in Myanmar, where production recovery is slow [46]. - The report anticipates that global tin production in 2025 will be around 300,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 2% [2]. 3. Demand Growth Driven by AI Trends - The demand for tin solder is expected to increase significantly due to the high growth in artificial intelligence applications and the recovery of consumer electronics [3][31]. - The report forecasts a global refined tin supply gap of 8,300 tons in 2025, highlighting a pronounced supply-demand imbalance [2]. 4. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Tin Industry Co., Ltd., and Xingye Silver Tin, which are positioned well due to their resource advantages and global strategies [2][3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that with the decline in global tin ore grades and limited supply increments, coupled with rising costs, the tin price is expected to increase due to tight supply and high demand driven by AI development and a recovery in consumer electronics [1][2] - The report recommends specific stocks: Xiyes Co., Ltd. (000960.SZ), Xingye Silver Tin (000426.SZ), and mentions related stocks such as Huaxi Nonferrous (600301.SH) [1] Group 2 - Supply disturbances are ongoing, with limited incremental production from mines; the complete cost of tin mining is projected to rise from approximately $25,581 per ton in 2022 to $33,800 per ton by 2027 [2] - The global tin production is expected to reach 300,000 tons in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2% [2] Group 3 - The downstream industry is experiencing high demand, particularly in soldering materials, which account for about 56% of tin consumption; the stabilization of the semiconductor cycle is expected to drive rapid demand for solder [3] - A projected supply gap of 8,300 tons in global refined tin by 2025 highlights the supply-demand imbalance [3] Group 4 - The global monetary environment is becoming more accommodative, with expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could positively impact asset prices and upstream raw material prices [4] - The inflation rate in the U.S. is gradually approaching the target of 2%, indicating a shift in market expectations for demand [4]

北京德恒（昆明）律师事务所 关于云南锡业股份有限公司 "24 锡 KY01""24 锡 KY02"2025 年 第一次债券持有人会议的 法律意见 北京市西城区金融街 19 号富凯大厦 B 座 12 层 电话:010-52682888 传真:010-52682999 邮编:100033 关于云南锡业股份有限公司 北京德恒（昆明）律师事务 所 "24 锡 KY01""24 锡 KY02"2025 年 次债券持有人会议的法律意见 第一 目 录 关于云南锡业股份有限公司 北京德恒（昆明）律师事务所 "24 锡 KY01""24 锡 KY02"2025 年 第一次债券持有人会议的法律意见 北京德恒（昆明）律师事务所 关于云南锡业股份有限公司 "24 锡 KY01""24 锡 KY02"2025 年 第一次债券持有人会议的 法律意见 德恒 21F20230125-4 号 致：云南锡业股份有限公司 受云南锡业股份有限公司（以下简称"锡业股份"或"公司"）委托，北 京德恒（昆明）律师事务所（以下简称"本所"）指派律师见证锡业股份" 24 锡 KY 01"、" 24 锡 KY 02"（以下合称"本次债券"）2025 年第一次债 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yunnan Tin Company Limited held its first bondholders meeting for the 2024 public offering of technology innovation perpetual corporate bonds, where a resolution was passed regarding the company's debt obligations and guarantees [1][4]. Group 1: Bond Issuance and Meeting Details - The company issued the 2024 technology innovation perpetual corporate bonds on April 26, 2024, with a face interest rate of 3.5% and the option to defer interest payments [1]. - The bondholders meeting was convened by CITIC Securities from July 8 to July 14, 2025, using a simplified procedure [2][6]. - The voting period for bondholders to express objections was from July 8 to July 14, 2025, with a deadline of 17:00 on July 14 [3]. Group 2: Meeting Outcomes - The resolution regarding "not requiring the company to repay debts early or provide additional guarantees" was approved with 86.5% in favor, 0% against, and 13.5% abstaining [4]. - The meeting was deemed valid and the voting process was confirmed to comply with relevant laws and regulations by Beijing Deheng (Kunming) Law Firm [4]. Group 3: Additional Information - The meeting was conducted online and did not include network voting [6]. - No other significant matters were reported in the announcement [5].

北京德恒（昆明）律师事务所 关于云南锡业股份有限公司 "24 锡 KY01""24 锡 KY02"2025 年 第一次债券持有人会议的 法律意见 北京市西城区金融街 19 号富凯大厦 B 座 12 层 电话:010-52682888 传真:010-52682999 邮编:100033 北京德恒（昆明）律师事务所 "24 锡 KY01" "24 锡 KY02" 2025 年 第一次债券持有人会议的法律意见 目 录 | 正 文 | | --- | | 一、本次会议的召集、召开程序 …………………… | | 二、本次会议出席会议人员的资格 | | 三、本次会议的表决程序及表决结果 . | | 四、结论意见 . | l 关于云南锡业股份有限公司 北京德恒（昆明）律师事务所 "24 锡 KY01""24 锡 KY02"2025 年 第一次债券持有人会议的法律意见 北京德恒（昆明）律师事务所 关于云南锡业股份有限公司 "24 锡 KY01""24 锡 KY02"2025 年 第一次债券持有人会议的 法律意见 德恒 21F20230125-4 号 致：云南锡业股份有限公司 受云南锡业股份有限公司（以下简称"锡业股份"或"公 ...