Core Viewpoint - The pet economy has emerged as a resilient sector within the consumer market, attracting significant attention from public funds and investment institutions, indicating its long-term value despite economic fluctuations [1][4]. Group 1: Fund Holdings and Market Trends - As of June 2023, public funds have increased their holdings in leading pet economy stocks, with the proportion of holdings in Guibao Pet reaching 18.25%, and Zhongchong shares rising from 8.06% at the end of last year to 15.74% [1]. - The pet economy index has seen a growth of over 44% this year, with individual stocks like Zhejiang Zhengte increasing by over 90%, and others such as Source Fly Pet and Zhongchong shares rising over 60% [4][5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Guibao Pet, Zhongchong shares, and Lusi shares reported revenue growths of 32.72%, 24.32%, and 11.32% respectively, with net profits for Guibao Pet and Zhongchong shares increasing by 22.55% and 42.56% [5][6]. - The overall performance of the pet economy is attributed to a recovery in industry performance, with several listed companies seeking to capitalize on this emerging market [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The pet industry consists of various segments, including pet food, medical care, and supplies, but lacks a representative and stable index, making it challenging to track through ETFs [7]. - Active funds focusing on the pet economy, such as Zheshang Big Data Smart Selection Consumption and Fuguo Core Assets, have shown strong performance, with Fuguo Industry Driven A achieving a return of over 40% in the past year [8][9]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The Chinese pet food market is transitioning from rapid growth to high-quality development, emphasizing the importance of brand competition, channel transformation, and consumer upgrades [9]. - Companies are encouraged to adapt to changing consumer demands, strengthen supply chains, and develop comprehensive channel ecosystems to gain a competitive edge in the pet economy [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for Hai Da Group and "Buy-B" for Sheng Nong Development, with several other companies rated as "Increase-A" or "Increase-B" [3][4][5]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector has shown a market performance with the CSI 300 index increasing by 2.71% and the agricultural sector rising by 2.02% during the week of August 25 to August 31 [2][20]. - The report highlights a recovery cycle in the feed industry and marginal improvements in livestock farming, suggesting potential growth opportunities [4][5]. - The report indicates that the current market sentiment may be overly pessimistic regarding the impact of rising pig production capacity on profitability, while it overlooks the positive effects of declining raw material costs and potential macro demand recovery in 2025 [5][6]. Summary by Sections Swine Farming - As of August 29, the average prices for external three yuan pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan were 13.25, 14.84, and 13.73 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week change of -2.21%, -3.57%, and 0.00% respectively [3][28]. - The average pork price was 19.94 yuan/kg, down 0.80% from the previous week, while the average wholesale price for piglets remained stable at 26.00 yuan/kg [3][28]. - The self-breeding profit was 32.24 yuan/head, while the profit from purchasing piglets was -148.41 yuan/head [3][28]. Poultry Farming - As of August 29, the weekly price for white feather broilers was 7.33 yuan/kg, remaining unchanged from the previous week, while the price for broiler chicks increased by 0.84% to 3.61 yuan/chick [3][43]. - The profit from broiler farming was reported at 1.37 yuan/chick, and the egg price was 7.24 yuan/kg, down 0.82% [3][43]. Feed Processing - In July 2025, the total industrial feed production in China was 28.31 million tons, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.3% and a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [50]. - The report notes a significant decline in the factory prices of feed products, with the proportion of corn in compound feed at 33.1% and soybean meal at 14.1% [50]. Aquaculture - As of August 29, the prices for sea cucumbers, shrimp, and bass were stable at 90.00 yuan/kg, 320.00 yuan/kg, and 50.00 yuan/kg respectively [57]. - For freshwater products, the price of grass carp was 16.73 yuan/kg, up 0.54%, while the prices for crucian carp and carp showed slight fluctuations [57]. Crop and Grain Processing - As of August 29, the spot price for soybeans was 4005.79 yuan/ton, with corn and wheat prices at 2364.71 yuan/ton and 2428.89 yuan/ton respectively, showing slight declines [65]. - The report indicates that the prices for various mushroom products remained stable during the same period [65].

Core Insights - The pet food companies listed on A-shares, including Guobao Pet (301498.SZ), Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891.SZ), and Lusi Co., Ltd. (832419.BJ), all based in Shandong, reported revenue growth in their 2025 interim reports [1][2][3] - The total number of pet dogs and cats in China is projected to exceed 120 million by 2024, contributing to a pet consumption market size of 300.2 billion yuan, a 7.5% increase from 2023 [1] Guobao Pet - Guobao Pet leads in revenue and net profit among the listed companies, with a revenue of 3.221 billion yuan and a net profit of 378 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 32.72% and 22.55% respectively [1][2] - The company's proprietary brand products generated 3.544 billion yuan in revenue, a 29.14% increase, accounting for 67.59% of total revenue [2][3] - The main product categories include staple food, which saw a revenue increase of 57.09% to 1.883 billion yuan, and snacks, which grew by 8.34% to 1.294 billion yuan [3] Zhongchong Co., Ltd. - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. reported a net profit increase of over 40% in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 2.432 billion yuan [1][4] - The company’s pet snacks business generated 1.529 billion yuan, accounting for 62.89% of total revenue, while staple food revenue was 783 million yuan, showing an 85.79% year-on-year growth [4] - The overseas business segment achieved 1.575 billion yuan in revenue, representing 64.75% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 17.61% [4][5] Lusi Co., Ltd. - Lusi Co., Ltd. reported total revenue of 391 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a significant portion coming from meat products, which generated 220 million yuan [1][6] - The company’s export revenue accounted for 63.92% of total revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.25% [6] - Lusi has launched a new brand "Miaoguan" aimed at high cost-performance products, while continuing to innovate under its existing brand to enhance product value [6]

Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a slight decline of 0.09% on September 2, with LuDe Environment leading the drop. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3858.13, down 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12553.84, down 2.14% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The feed sector's individual stock performance showed mixed results, with LuSi Co., Ltd. closing at 20.70, up 1.02%, and HaiDa Group at 61.27, up 0.82% [1]. - The overall trading volume in the feed sector was notable, with stocks like DaBeiNong and TangRenShen showing significant trading activity, with volumes of 102.10 thousand and 31.88 thousand respectively [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 204 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 174 million yuan [2]. - The capital flow data indicates that speculative funds had a net inflow of 29.51 million yuan, suggesting a mixed sentiment among different types of investors [2].

Core Viewpoint - The "Pet Economy Index" has reached a historical high, with a year-to-date increase of over 44%, indicating strong performance in the pet industry, supported by solid fundamentals and increased institutional investment [2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The "Pet Economy Index" has seen a significant rise, with individual stocks like Zhejiang Zhengte increasing by over 90%, and others such as Yuanfei Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Shitou Co. rising over 60% [4]. - Key companies in the pet food sector, such as Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Lusi Co., reported strong revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with revenues of 3.221 billion, 2.432 billion, and 391 million respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 32.72%, 24.32%, and 11.32% [4]. Group 2: Institutional Investment - As of the end of June, public funds held 18.25% of Guibao Pet, making it a top holding for several funds, while Zhongchong Co.'s public fund ownership increased from 8.06% at the end of last year to 15.74% [5]. - Yuanfei Pet's public fund ownership surged from 1.69% to 15.27% within the same period, indicating growing institutional interest [5]. Group 3: Industry Growth Potential - The domestic pet market is recognized for its growth potential, characterized by low industry concentration and a fragmented market structure, with leading brands increasing their market share [6]. - The pet economy is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.3% from 2015 to 2024, significantly outpacing GDP growth [9]. Group 4: Focus Areas - The pet food and pet medical sectors are identified as the two core pillars of the pet economy, with the pet food market expected to reach 158.51 billion by 2024, accounting for 52.8% of the overall pet economy [9]. - The pet medical market is projected to reach 84.06 billion, representing 28% of the pet economy, with a CAGR of 16.39% from 2018 to 2024 [9][10].

Core Insights - The "Pet Economy Index" reached a historical high on September 1, with a year-to-date increase of over 44%, indicating strong performance among popular sectors [1][3] - Several companies, including Jinhe Biological, Delisi, and Yongli Co., are actively seeking to enter the pet economy sector, which is viewed as a high-potential market [1][5] Market Performance - The "Pet Economy Index" has shown significant growth, with stocks like Zhejiang Zhengte rising over 90%, and others like Yuanfei Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Shitou Co. increasing by over 60% [3] - Financial reports from pet food companies indicate solid fundamentals, with revenues for Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Lusi Co. reaching 3.221 billion, 2.432 billion, and 391 million respectively, showing year-on-year growth rates of 32.72%, 24.32%, and 11.32% [3] Fund Holdings - As of the end of June, public funds held 18.25% of Guibao Pet, making it a top holding for several funds, while Zhongchong Co.'s public fund ownership increased from 8.06% to 15.74% [4] - Yuanfei Pet's public fund ownership surged from 1.69% to 15.27% during the same period, indicating growing interest from institutional investors [4] Industry Trends - The domestic pet market is characterized by growth potential and low industry concentration, with leading brands increasing their market share [6] - Companies are focusing on product innovation and quality supply chains to meet the evolving demands of pet owners [6] Company Initiatives - Jinhe Biological announced the establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary for pet technology, launching an intelligent pet care app that utilizes a multimodal emotional analysis model [7] - Delisi has entered into strategic partnerships for product development and market expansion in the pet food sector [7] - Yongli Co. is actively developing smart pet appliances, while Hasi Lian has expanded its business scope to include pet food sales [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Viewpoints - The swine industry is experiencing high-quality development with significant policy transformations aimed at protecting farmers' rights and stimulating enterprise innovation. Future growth stocks will likely focus on technological content and innovative models that balance farmer interests [4][12] - The overall profitability of listed pig companies has significantly increased due to a stable pig price year-on-year and a substantial decrease in costs. Although pig prices may face pressure in the second half of the year, the trend of improving efficiency suggests that profitability will remain strong [4][12] - The poultry sector is facing a persistent contradiction of "high capacity, weak consumption," leading to losses that force breeding farms to reduce capacity. Integrated enterprises and contract farming are expected to gain market share [5][13] - The feed sector is recommended to focus on Hai Da Group, which is expected to see growth due to improved management and increased capacity utilization [6][14] - The pet industry is witnessing a concentration of market share among leading brands, with potential growth opportunities for mid-tier brands. The impact of tariffs on exports is expected to diminish over time [7][16] - The agricultural sector is closely monitoring the effects of US-China trade negotiations, with expectations of tightening soybean supply and potential price increases for soybean meal [8][17] Summary by Sections 1. Swine - Latest pig price is 13.70 CNY/kg (down 0.01 CNY/kg month-on-month), with an average slaughter weight of 127.83 kg (down 0.15 kg month-on-month) and a price of 445 CNY for 15 kg piglets (down 18 CNY month-on-month). Short-term price declines may be due to policy-driven weight reductions [3][12] - The industry is undergoing profound policy transformations, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and stimulating innovation. Companies with cost advantages and strong connections with farmers are expected to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [4][12][13] 2. Poultry - As of September 1, the price of chicken seedlings in Yantai is 3.45 CNY/piece (down 5.5% month-on-month) and the price of broiler chickens is 3.55 CNY/kg (down 1.39% month-on-month) [5][13] - The white feather chicken industry is facing ongoing challenges of high capacity and weak consumption, leading to a reduction in breeding capacity among chicken farms [5][13] 3. Feed - The feed sector is recommended to focus on Hai Da Group, which is expected to benefit from industry recovery and improved management effects [6][14] 4. Pets - The pet industry is characterized by a stable four-brand dominance, with increasing concentration expected. The impact of tariffs on exports is anticipated to lessen, and leading companies are expected to maintain high growth rates [7][16] 5. Agricultural Products - The agricultural sector is closely watching the impact of US-China trade negotiations, with expectations of tightening soybean supply and potential price increases for soybean meal [8][17] 6. Market and Price Situation - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 4497, up 2.71% from the previous week, while the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index closed at 3001, up 2.02% [18][21]

Core Insights - The pet industry is witnessing a clear capital landscape as the mid-year financial reporting season concludes, characterized by leading companies maintaining their positions, accelerated expansion in niche markets, and deepening global layouts [1] - Most companies have achieved varying degrees of revenue growth, while a few face performance pressures due to single business models, reflecting rapid domestic market expansion, the rise of private brands, and product structure optimization [1] Revenue Growth - Yuanfei Pet leads with a 45.52% year-on-year revenue growth, totaling 791 million yuan, driven by a 64.63% increase in pet snacks and a 55.39% rise in pet food [2] - Guobao Pet reported a total revenue of 3.22 billion yuan, up 32.72%, with a net profit of 378 million yuan, a 22.55% increase, primarily from domestic private brand contributions [2] - Zhongchong Co. achieved a revenue of 2.432 billion yuan, a 24.32% increase, with a net profit of 203 million yuan, reflecting strong cost control [2] - Tianjin Langnuo's revenue reached 138 million yuan, up 21.16%, with cat food sales driving growth [3] - Jianhe Group's pet nutrition and care products generated 1.08 billion yuan, an 8.6% increase, with high-end supplements growing by 14.3% [3] - Peti Co. is one of the few companies experiencing revenue decline, with a total revenue of 727 million yuan, down 13.94% [3] Strategic Investments - Companies are increasingly investing in global capacity layout, supply chain extension, private brand development, and digital transformation, which are expected to provide long-term competitive advantages [4] - Zhongchong Co. has established a factory in Mexico, becoming the first Chinese pet food company to do so, aiming to create a responsive global supply chain [4] - Yiyi Co. has also made progress in overseas capacity layout with a factory in Cambodia, producing nearly 300 million pet pads annually [4] - Ruipuhua is focusing on building a supply chain network with 13 regional companies covering 13,000 clients, including 8,400 pet hospitals and 3,500 pet stores [5] Brand Development - The establishment of factories is accelerating the development of private brands, with companies like Yuanfei Pet and Jianhe Group increasing investments in brand building to enhance product value and consumer loyalty [6] - Yuanfei Pet is expanding its domestic market presence through its own brands and distribution of international brands, creating a comprehensive product matrix [5][6] Market Outlook - The pet industry is optimistic about the second half of the year, with companies planning to focus on product innovation, market expansion, and supply chain optimization [7] - Ruipuhua plans to launch new products such as cat interferon and probiotics, while Haizheng Dongbao will expand into innovative and non-pharmaceutical areas [7] - Companies like Yuanfei Pet and Zhongchong Co. are aiming to balance domestic and international market structures through strategic expansions [7][8]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in the pig farming industry, with a focus on the potential for value reassessment of pig farming companies [2][5] - The agricultural sector has shown a mixed performance recently, with the overall index up by 2.02% week-on-week, while the pig farming segment has seen a notable increase of 4.39% [11][12] Livestock Farming Data Tracking - Pig prices have slightly declined this week due to sufficient supply and market sentiment being buoyed by government stockpiling efforts [7][16] - The number of breeding sows has shown a slight decrease, with July figures indicating a 0.02% month-on-month decline [20][22] - The average price for market pigs as of August 28 is 13.70 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.51% [30][36] - Profitability in pig farming remains positive for self-bred pigs, with a profit of 32.24 CNY per head, while purchased piglets show a loss of 148.41 CNY per head [38][41] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The price of white feathered chickens remains stable, with an average price of 7.33 CNY/kg as of August 29 [39][42] - The ongoing avian influenza outbreaks in Europe and the U.S. create uncertainty in the supply of breeding chickens, which may benefit the white feathered chicken industry [39][40] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, driven by the recovery in livestock numbers and the introduction of new products [47] - Significant growth in the issuance of veterinary vaccine approvals has been noted, particularly for African swine fever vaccines, which may enhance market interest [47][51] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have decreased slightly, with wheat at 2429 CNY/ton, soybean meal at 3071 CNY/ton, and corn at 2365 CNY/ton as of August 29 [52][53] - The USDA's August report indicates a decrease in global corn stocks for the 2025/26 season compared to the previous year, while soybean stocks are also projected to decline [54][56] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports have seen a decline, with July figures showing a 3.0% year-on-year decrease, amounting to 930 million CNY [58][60] - Domestic sales in the pet food market continue to grow, with notable increases in sales for brands like Guai Bao and Pei Di [60][61] - The recent Asia Pet Expo showcased over 2600 exhibitors and more than 20000 brands, indicating a robust growth in the pet industry [61][62]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector's profit growth in H1 2025 is driven by the recovery of the breeding chain, with a revenue of 569.91 billion yuan, up 9.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of 25.79 billion yuan, up 193.46% year-on-year [12][19] - The pig price is expected to rise in H2 2025, supported by both fundamental and policy factors, improving the investment logic for pig farming [21] - The pet food sector continues to thrive, with domestic brands gaining market share due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers [22] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The recovery of the breeding chain has driven significant profit growth in the agricultural sector for H1 2025, with a notable increase in net profit and revenue [12][19] - The average price of pigs in H1 2025 was 14.81 yuan/kg, down 4.00% year-on-year, but profitability improved due to lower breeding costs and increased output from leading companies [12][19] Weekly Viewpoint - The investment logic for pig farming is improving, with expected price increases in H2 2025 due to supply and demand dynamics [21] - The feed sector benefits from strong domestic and overseas demand, with recommendations for companies like Haida Group and New Hope [21] - The pet food market is projected to grow significantly, with domestic brands strengthening their position [22] Market Performance (8.25-8.29) - The agricultural index outperformed the market by 1.18 percentage points, with a 2.02% increase in the agricultural index compared to a 0.84% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [24][27] - Leading stocks included Aonong Biological (+22.67%), Yuanfei Pet (+15.71%), and Xiaoming Co. (+10.86%) [24][29] Price Tracking (8.25-8.29) - The average price of pigs was 13.66 yuan/kg, with a slight decrease from the previous week, while the average price of beef increased to 65.05 yuan/kg [31][39] - The price of corn futures rose by 1.39% to 2187.00 yuan/ton, while soybean meal futures fell by 2.04% to 2496.00 yuan/ton [46] Key News (8.25-8.29) - The Ministry of Agriculture held a meeting to promote strict variety management, emphasizing the importance of new varieties and resource management [30] - The total output of aquatic products from January to July 2025 increased by 4.37% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in the aquaculture sector [30] Subsector Financial Data - In H1 2025, the breeding, feed, poultry, and animal health sectors saw significant year-on-year profit growth, with breeding profits increasing by 668.38% [20][19] - The pet food sector also experienced a profit increase of 17.92% year-on-year, reflecting strong market demand [20][19]