Core Insights - Xiaomi International has entered a strategic partnership with AliExpress, a cross-border e-commerce platform under Alibaba, to join the "Super Brand Going Abroad Plan" [1] - The collaboration will focus on localized user operations and brand building in key overseas markets, particularly in mobile phones and televisions [1] - Xiaomi's growth has been significant under this plan, with AliExpress becoming a primary platform for Xiaomi's international expansion [1] Group 1 - The partnership is seen as a crucial step for AliExpress in competing for top brands in the overseas market [1] - Xiaomi's senior vice president highlighted that the company will continue to increase investments in AliExpress, aiming for sustained growth by 2026 [1] - Xiaomi's recent achievements on AliExpress include the POCO F8 series generating $2 million in sales during the 2025 Black Friday event, making it the top new product on the platform [1] Group 2 - Over the past year, AliExpress has focused on brand expansion, becoming a primary platform for many well-known brands [2] - During the 2025 overseas Double 11 and Black Friday events, over 300 brands achieved daily sales on AliExpress that were more than double those on Amazon, with the number of million-dollar brands increasing by 80% year-on-year [2] - The partnership between Xiaomi and AliExpress represents a shift in the competitive landscape of international markets, moving from a "selling model" to a "deep cultivation model" where platforms and brands collaborate to build ecosystems [2]

Core Insights - Alibaba's Gaode has officially entered the world model technology space and plans to launch a new product application based on this model [1] - The model has achieved top scores in multiple metrics on the WorldScore benchmark, which is the first open-source evaluation for multi-modal world generation models [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Gaode has established an embodied business unit and is actively recruiting for various positions, including product experts and algorithm engineers [2] - The new department is exploring the development of product forms such as robots and robotic dogs [2] Group 2: Strategic Alignment - Gaode's shift towards spatial intelligence aligns with Alibaba Group's strategic direction towards "physical AI," emphasizing the transformative potential of generative AI in the physical world [3] - Alibaba's CEO has highlighted that the greatest value of generative AI lies in its ability to change the physical world, suggesting that all movable objects could become intelligent robots in the future [3] - Gaode's world model capabilities are expected to integrate deeply with other Alibaba units, such as Quark's terminal perception and DingTalk's collaborative scheduling, to serve a broader range of physical intelligent scenarios [3]

Core Insights - The article presents the 17th edition of the AI Product Rankings, focusing on the current state of AI applications as of December 2025, analyzing them through the lenses of scale, growth, and structure [9]. Global Rankings - ChatGPT remains the dominant AI application globally with 884.96 million MAU, showing a month-over-month growth of 14.1% [11][48]. - The top five AI applications in the global rankings also include four Chinese products: Doubao, Quark, Baidu Wangpan, and DeepSeek, with Doubao having 163.16 million MAU [12][48]. - Despite the high number of Chinese applications, ChatGPT's MAU is approximately five times that of Doubao, indicating a lack of a comparable "super entry" in the Chinese market [13][14]. Domestic Rankings - In the domestic market, the top five applications are Doubao (163.16 million MAU), Quark (147.84 million MAU), Baidu Wangpan (142.06 million MAU), DeepSeek (131.48 million MAU), and Tencent Yuanbao (84.38 million MAU) [15][36]. - The commonality among these top applications is their origin from major tech companies, highlighting the importance of established platforms in capturing high-frequency usage scenarios [16][17]. Growth Rankings - The most notable growth in global MAU was seen in xMate, which increased by 44 times, followed by Music AI with a 16-fold increase [18][19]. - In the domestic market, DeepSeek achieved a remarkable 89.53% growth in MAU, indicating its strong structural significance [23]. International Expansion - ByteDance's Doubao AI assistant, now rebranded as Dola, reached 53.63 million MAU with a growth of 4.72% [25][39]. - Many products in the international market focus on specific use cases, achieving significant breakthroughs in areas like video generation and efficiency tools [25][26]. User Behavior Insights - Two critical questions determine the sustainability of AI products: whether users are experimenting or forming habits, and whether growth is driven by marketing or the product itself [28]. - Products that consistently appear in both new user download rankings and MAU growth rankings are likely to have found product-market fit (PMF) [28]. Subscription Revenue Rankings - The subscription revenue rankings indicate that ChatGPT leads with an annualized revenue of $198.48 million, followed by Grok and Claude with $4.71 million and $2.98 million respectively [46][47].

Core Insights - SGA's Global Growth Strategy experienced a portfolio return of -2.3% (Gross) and -2.5% (Net) in Q3, underperforming against the MSCI ACWI's 7.6% and MSCI ACWI Growth's 9.0% returns, primarily due to a lack of alignment with current market trends favoring AI [1] - The investment objective of SGA is to focus on high-quality growth businesses that are expected to achieve consistent mid-teens earnings growth, along with stable revenue and cash flow [1] Company Highlights - Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) was highlighted as a key stock in SGA's Q3 2025 investor letter, with a one-month return of -1.51% and a significant 82.11% increase in value over the past 52 weeks [2] - As of January 2, 2026, Alibaba's stock closed at $155.74 per share, with a market capitalization of $371.601 billion [2] - SGA initiated a position in Alibaba during the quarter, noting the company's organizational transformation that has enhanced its pricing power, growth visibility, and management execution [3] - Alibaba's mission aligns with China's national agenda to pursue AI leadership and transition to a consumption-driven economy, indicating its strategic importance in the current market landscape [3]

鞭牛士 文章的开始我们先来思考一个问题，要成为一个盈利的跨境商家，需要满足什么条件？ 在过去很长一段时间里，这个问题的答案是一长串令人望而生畏的清单：你需要精通外语；你需要懂得复杂的物流；你还需要一支庞大的运营团队，来应 对不同国家、不同电商平台繁琐的规则和素材制作。 除此之外，你还需要具备极强的前瞻性，在夏天就要预判大洋彼岸半年后的冬天会流行什么颜色的羽绒服。 这些技术或者人力门槛，在内贸与外贸之间筑起了一道"叹息之墙"。数据显示，中国内贸电商卖家数量超过一千万，而真正活跃的跨境商家仅有一百多 万，两者相差十倍。 然而，阿里1688近日发布的AI智能体遨虾（海外名AlphaShop），似乎正在试图推倒这堵墙。 官方宣称该智能体能够做到用户只需发起对话，或上传产品图片、输入商品链接，即可一键启动从市场调研到工厂对接的全流程。 除下单和付款需用户确认外，其余环节均可由AI自动完成。 带着"遨虾究竟是营销噱头还是真生产力"以及"如何跨越复杂的跨境链路"等好奇，我们与1688遨虾相关产品负责人进行了交流。 遨虾来消除不确定性 跨境生意最难的是什么？是"时空错位"带来的极高不确定性。 在国内做电商，抖音上哪个款式火了 ...

Group 1 - Since late November, the Hong Kong stock market has weakened due to a slowdown in southbound capital inflows as the year-end approaches, leading to a decline in market risk appetite [3][14] - The three main concerns affecting the market include foreign capital reducing positions before the Christmas holiday, hedge funds shorting due to uncertainties, and worries about new regulations on mainland public funds potentially increasing selling pressure on Hong Kong stocks [3][14] Group 2 - With the new year, a new round of upward momentum in the Hong Kong stock market is expected, driven by seasonal inflows from insurance funds and the long-term allocation logic from the switch to IFRS9 accounting standards for non-listed insurance companies [5][31] - The market sentiment has dropped to a low point, significantly improving the risk-reward ratio, with signs of short covering in major tech stocks [6][18] - The proportion of short positions in leading internet stocks has shown signs of decline, indicating a potential rebound in stock prices as they reach attractive valuation levels [6][19] Group 3 - The expectation of RMB appreciation is expected to enhance the attractiveness of RMB assets, driving foreign capital inflows into Hong Kong stocks [7][42] - Historical data shows that during previous RMB appreciation cycles, the Hong Kong stock market has consistently performed well, particularly in the information technology sector [7][43] - The RMB is projected to appreciate against the USD, potentially returning to the "6" range, which could further incentivize foreign investment in Chinese equities [7][47] Group 4 - Investment recommendations suggest a bullish stance on Hong Kong stocks, particularly led by the Hang Seng Technology Index, with expectations of continued market growth driven by earnings and liquidity [52] - Key investment opportunities include leading internet companies in the AI sector, which are expected to benefit from both domestic and foreign capital inflows [53][54] - High dividend assets are highlighted as strategic investments in a low-interest-rate environment, with a current dividend yield of 6.70% for the Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index [58][60] - New consumption trends are emerging, focusing on traditional service consumption transformation, Z-generation spending habits, and high-end consumption recovery [61][64]

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba is launching an AI-powered feature through Amap to help restaurants showcase their interiors, aiming to compete with Meituan in the food delivery and local services market [1][3]. Group 1: New AI Feature - The new service will allow restaurants to create 3D views of their premises by uploading existing photos or short videos, reducing the time and cost of producing promotional visuals [2]. - The system is based on Alibaba's visual "Wan" model, and initial access may be provided to a limited number of businesses at no cost [2]. Group 2: Market Competition - Alibaba is looking to increase its market share in meal delivery and has been using incentives and subsidies to support consumer services amid competition with Meituan and JD.com [3]. - The competitive pressure has affected profit margins and attracted regulatory scrutiny [3]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - In July 2025, China's State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) held discussions with major online food delivery platforms, including Alibaba's Ele.me, to address price competition in the sector [4]. - The regulator emphasized the need for more rational competition among these companies [4]. Group 4: Strategic Alignment - The Amap project aligns with CEO Eddie Wu's goal of integrating AI across Alibaba's operations, similar to initiatives by other tech giants like Google and Tencent [5].

IT之家 1 月 5 日消息，今天早间，据彭博社报道，阿里 巴巴集团正在上线一项面向餐饮商家的 AI 服务，帮助 餐厅以更直观的方式呈现店内环境。此举被视为阿里在 中国餐饮和本地生活赛道中，与美团展开竞争的一项新 举措。 据知情人士透露，高德地图即将支持餐厅通过上传照片 或视频，自动生成 3D 店内展示内容，降低商家在宣传 和营销方面的成本。这项技术基于通义万相视觉模型， 计划初期向部分商家免费开放。 据知情人士透露，高德地图即将支持餐厅通过上传照片或视频，自动生成 3D 店内展示内容，降低商家 在宣传和营销方面的成本。这项技术基于通义万相视觉模型，计划初期向部分商家免费开放。 报道提到，高德地图的这一动作，体现了阿里巴巴试图切入美团长期占据主导地位的领域。美团目前在 外卖、用户评价和餐厅预订等本地服务市场保持领先，阿里则希望依托 AI 能力及更充裕的资金资源， 在外卖等曾经失利的业务上逐步收复阵地。 IT之家从报道中获悉，2025 年，阿里承诺向核心线上业务投入数百亿元人民币的补贴和激励，与美团 及京东展开正面竞争。报道认为，高德地图 AI 餐厅服务的推出，与阿里巴巴首席执行官吴泳铭推动 AI 全面融入业务 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that AI computing power remains a key investment theme in 2026, driven by strong growth in infrastructure and technology advancements, particularly in GPU, liquid cooling, optical modules, and PCB sectors [2][5][44]. AI Computing Power - The AI computing power index has seen a significant increase of 46.67% since 2025, outperforming other AI-related indices [3]. - The article identifies that the excess returns in AI computing power stem from its certainty and continuous outperformance, supported by capital investments from major tech companies and policy-driven domestic GPU replacements [4][5]. Market Growth Projections - The article outlines the market size and compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for various AI computing segments from 2024 to 2029, highlighting that the Chinese intelligent computing GPU market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 56.47% [6][7]. - Liquid cooling technology is projected to see a penetration rate increase from 14% in 2024 to 31% in 2026, indicating a strong growth trajectory [19]. Investment Opportunities - The article suggests that liquid cooling is one of the highest growth segments in AI computing, transitioning from an optional to a necessary technology due to the limitations of traditional air cooling [18]. - Companies involved in liquid cooling that secure contracts with major clients like Google and NVIDIA are expected to see valuation increases [20][24]. GPU Market Dynamics - NVIDIA continues to dominate the GPU market, but domestic manufacturers are rising due to policies favoring local replacements [8][10]. - The profitability of domestic GPU companies like Cambricon is anticipated to improve significantly, with projected net profits of 48.72 billion and 79.91 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively [12]. Optical Modules and PCB - The optical module sector has experienced substantial growth, with companies like NewEase and Zhongji Xuchuang seeing stock price increases of 450% and 422% since 2025 [27]. - The article notes that the PCB market is also expected to grow significantly, with AI-related PCBs projected to have a CAGR of 20.6% from 2024 to 2029 [34]. Investment Ranking - The article ranks various AI segments based on investment certainty: liquid cooling is rated highest, followed by optical chips, GPUs, PCBs, and optical modules, while AI applications and end products are considered less certain [42][43]. Macro Environment - The anticipated loosening of macroeconomic conditions, including potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is expected to enhance liquidity in the market, benefiting high-growth sectors like AI computing power [44].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Alibaba is "Buy" [5] Core Insights - Alibaba's cloud business is expected to see a significant improvement in profitability as it scales, with a long-term certainty of margin enhancement [2][39] - The company is currently in a high capital expenditure phase, with Q3 2025 capital expenditures reaching 31.428 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 85.12% [2][32] - Despite two consecutive quarters of declining free cash flow, Alibaba maintains a strong cash position with 292.3 billion RMB in net cash and liquid investments [2][34] Summary by Relevant Sections Cloud Business and AI Development - Alibaba's cloud business, while currently lagging behind competitors like AWS and Microsoft in EBITA margin, has the potential for significant margin improvement as it grows [2][37] - The launch of the "Qianwen" AI application has seen rapid user growth, with over 30 million monthly active users within 23 days of its public testing [15][16] - The integration of AI capabilities into Alibaba's ecosystem is expected to enhance user experience and operational efficiency across various platforms [21][23] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for FY2026-2028 are estimated at 1,068.23 billion, 1,177.88 billion, and 1,298.12 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.2%, 10.3%, and 10.2% respectively [3][40] - Adjusted net profit for the same period is forecasted to be 119.85 billion, 160.11 billion, and 213.63 billion RMB, with growth rates of -24.1%, 33.6%, and 33.4% [3][40] - The target price is set at HKD 189.09 per share, based on a 12x PE ratio for FY2027 adjusted net profit and a 7x PS ratio for FY2027 cloud revenue [3][40] Capital Expenditure and Cash Flow - The company is committed to high capital expenditures to ensure competitive supply, with plans to invest 380 billion RMB in cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years [32] - The recent decline in free cash flow, reported at -21.84 billion RMB for Q3 2025, has raised market concerns, but the company’s cash reserves provide a buffer for new business investments [34][34] Competitive Landscape - The competition in the AI and cloud sectors is intensifying, with Alibaba's Qianwen positioned as a strong contender against other AI applications like Doubao [16][18] - The strategic integration of AI into Alibaba's e-commerce and travel services is expected to redefine user interactions and operational efficiencies [21][26]