Core Insights - Nio Inc. plans to enter the Armenian market through a dealer agreement, marking a shift from its traditional distributor model [1][2] - The new approach allows Nio to establish a presence in Armenia with a lower commitment and operational flexibility [3] Company Strategy - Nio has signed a dealer agreement with Armenia's N-Motors, which will independently manage sales and service operations for Nio and Onvo models [1] - This strategy contrasts with Nio's previous reliance on single distributors in various markets, which typically involved long-term brand authorizations [2] Market Performance - Nio has established distributor agreements in several countries, including Azerbaijan, Greece, and Portugal, indicating a broader international strategy [3] - NIO stock has increased by over 19% in the past year, reflecting positive investor sentiment [3] - As of recent trading, NIO shares were down 0.60% at $7.41, approaching a 52-week high of $8.02, and remaining 19.5% above its 50-day moving average [4]

Core Insights - The leadership changes in the autonomous driving divisions of Xiaopeng Motors and NIO indicate a competitive evolution in the smart driving landscape, with both companies adjusting their strategies to enhance their technological capabilities [2][19]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - Xiaopeng Motors announced that Li Liyun, the former head of the autonomous driving center, will be replaced by Liu Xianming, who previously led the world foundation model team [1][2]. - Liu Xianming, who joined Xiaopeng Motors over a year ago, has a background in machine learning and computer vision, having worked at Facebook and Cruise [6][8]. - NIO's autonomous driving team also experienced significant personnel changes, with multiple key executives leaving, including the head of the world model and the product lead for autonomous driving [2][19]. Group 2: Strategic Focus - Liu Xianming's promotion reflects Xiaopeng's commitment to advancing its world foundation model, which is crucial for achieving higher levels of autonomous driving capabilities [13][14]. - The world model developed by Liu's team has a parameter scale of 72 billion, significantly larger than current mainstream VLA models, and is designed to enhance the vehicle's understanding of complex environments [14][16]. - The shift in leadership at both companies suggests a strategic pivot towards different technological approaches, with Xiaopeng focusing on the world model and NIO restructuring to improve its AI integration and delivery efficiency [17][19]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The autonomous driving sector is witnessing a bifurcation in technological approaches, primarily between VLA (Vision-Language-Action) and world model architectures, with different companies aligning with one of these strategies [17][18]. - The recent changes in leadership and organizational structure across various companies indicate a new phase of competition in the smart driving field, as firms seek to establish their technological dominance [20].

Group 1 - The sales completion rates of various new energy vehicle manufacturers in the first three quarters of 2025 show significant disparities, indicating differing levels of success among companies [1][3] - Xiaopeng Motors leads with a completion rate of 89.5%, achieving cumulative sales of 313,000 units, exceeding its annual target of 350,000 units due to its strategic focus on product differentiation and advancements in smart driving [1][3] - Leap Motor follows with a completion rate of 79.1%, having sold 396,000 units, and is expected to meet its annual target of 500,000 units [1][3] Group 2 - Xiaomi ranks third with a completion rate of 71.4% and cumulative sales exceeding 250,000 units, but faces challenges in production capacity and supply chain management [3] - NIO's completion rate is only 45.7%, with cumulative sales falling short of expectations, despite the positive market response to its new models [3][5] - Other brands like Li Auto and Zeekr also show low completion rates, indicating challenges such as long product iteration cycles and heightened market competition [3][5] Group 3 - BYD has sold over 3.26 million units in the first nine months of 2025, achieving a completion rate of approximately 70.87%, and is expected to see further sales growth in the fourth quarter [5][7] - The upcoming peak sales period in the fourth quarter is critical for companies to meet their annual targets, with established players like BYD and Geely likely to exert pressure on new entrants [5][7] - The focus of competition is shifting from sales volume to comprehensive capabilities, technological strength, and global positioning, emphasizing the need for long-term strategies over short-term gains [9]

Macro Overview - The report indicates a cautious optimism regarding China's holiday economy, with moderate growth in consumption during the National Day holiday. Key trends include strong performance in green, smart, and experiential consumption [2][4] - Despite recent relaxations in real estate policies in first-tier cities, the real estate market remains weak, with a significant year-on-year decline in new and second-hand housing sales [3][6] - The report anticipates that core CPI and PPI growth will rebound, alleviating deflationary pressures, with liquidity conditions expected to remain loose for at least the next two quarters [2][7][8] Internet Sector - The online travel agency (OTA) sector shows resilience, with keywords "quality" and "long-distance travel" indicating strong demand. Long-distance travel bookings on Ctrip increased by 3 percentage points year-on-year [28][30] - During the holiday, Alibaba's Fliggy reported a 14.6% year-on-year increase in average transaction value, while Tongcheng Travel noted nearly 100% growth in outbound group travel bookings [28][31] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Ctrip (TCOM US) and Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) based on these positive trends [28] Consumer Discretionary - The report expresses a cautious outlook for retail sales growth during the 2025 National Day holiday, attributing potential risks to high base effects from 2024, lack of government subsidies, and ongoing macroeconomic pressures [32][35] - The report highlights a preference for consumer downgrade themes and high-dividend stocks, with concerns over profit margin pressures due to increased competition and discounting [32][35] Automotive Sector - The report notes a significant divergence in sales during the National Day holiday, with new energy vehicles (NEVs) outperforming traditional fuel vehicles. The introduction of popular NEV models is expected to drive order growth [6][32] - The forecast for national passenger vehicle retail and wholesale sales in 2025 has been slightly raised, reflecting better-than-expected sales in Q3 and potential pre-purchase demand for NEVs [6][32] Real Estate Sector - The report indicates that the effectiveness of real estate policies is diminishing, with a notable decline in sales volume for new and second-hand homes during the holiday period [3][6] - The report anticipates that further easing measures may be necessary to stimulate housing demand, as sales data remains weak despite policy support [3][6] Selected Stocks - The report identifies several preferred stocks, including Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US), Guoquan (2517 HK), Green Tea Group (6831 HK), Jiumaojiu (9922 HK), Li Ning (2331 HK), Bosideng (3998 HK), and JS Global Life (1691 HK) [33][41]

Core Insights - NIO released its "2025 National Day User Charging Report," highlighting significant growth in its charging and battery swap services during the holiday period [1] Group 1: Charging and Battery Swap Services - NIO's 8,280 charging and battery swap stations provided over 1.92 million services during the National Day holiday [1] - The 3,520 battery swap stations delivered a record 1.098 million swap services, marking a historical high [1] - The highest single-day service volume at battery swap stations exceeded 145,000, setting a new daily record [1] - The average daily service volume at battery swap stations reached 137,000, a 37% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The 4,760 charging stations provided 827,000 services, with over 85% of orders coming from users of other electric vehicle brands [1] Group 2: User Driving Data - During the holiday, NIO users collectively drove over 490 million kilometers [1] - 511 users drove more than 5,000 kilometers, while over 74,000 users drove more than 500 kilometers in a single day [1] - More than 207,000 users completed their journeys solely using battery swap services [1] - One user traveled the longest distance, starting from Xuancheng, Anhui, and crossing six provinces to reach Lhasa, Tibet, covering a total distance of 4,000 kilometers [1]

Industry Information - National Grid will explore issuing highway charging coupons during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays to guide users to avoid long-duration trickle charging [9] - CATL plans to build 100 chocolate battery swap stations in Hainan over the next three years, significantly enhancing the coverage of battery swap networks across the island [10] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will further deepen cooperation in the automotive industry, supporting collaboration in capital, technology, management, and talent [10] - The electric vehicle and battery industry has become a new hotspot for cooperation between China and Nordic countries, with trade between China and the five Nordic countries reaching $53.17 billion in 2024, an increase of 8.5% [11] - The World New Energy Vehicle Development Organization has been established to promote the green and intelligent transformation of the automotive industry [12] - China's fuel cell vehicle demonstration scale has exceeded 20,000 units, with 200 hydrogen stations built, marking the initial commercialization of fuel cell vehicles [13] - During the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays in 2025, the charging volume for new energy vehicles reached a historical high, with a 51.33% year-on-year increase in charging volume on highways [20] Policy Information - Shenzhen is soliciting opinions on a work plan to promote stable growth in the new energy vehicle industry by 2025 [23] - Chengdu has issued implementation measures for central energy-saving and emission reduction subsidy funds for charging infrastructure [27] - Hebei's Cangzhou has released a three-year action plan for public charging infrastructure construction [30] - Gansu's Lanzhou has published a plan for the construction of new energy vehicle charging infrastructure from 2023 to 2025 [31] - Hangzhou has announced the suspension of the automobile replacement subsidy policy starting from October 9, 2025 [33] - Shanxi has suspended the automobile replacement and electric bicycle trade-in subsidies starting from October 9, 2025 [35] - Hainan has also suspended the automobile replacement subsidy policy starting from October 6, 2025 [37] Company Information - NIO has achieved battery swap coverage in over 1,200 districts and counties across multiple provinces [39] - Xiaomi's charging map now covers over 1.5 million charging piles, including 120,000 supercharging piles [39] - Seres has completed the payment for the acquisition of a 10% stake in Shenzhen Yiwang Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. from Huawei, totaling 11.5 billion yuan [40] - Xiaomi has opened 32 new stores in September, bringing the total to 402 stores across 119 cities [40] - Seres' stock price has surged over 8%, reaching a market capitalization of 280 billion yuan, driven by strong sales of its models [40] - Beijing Hyundai has named its first pure electric platform SUV "EO Yiou" [40] - XPeng Motors has signed strategic cooperation agreements with leading dealers in Morocco and Tunisia, expanding its presence in Africa [40] - Li Auto has launched a "safety net" plan for users affected by the upcoming changes in the new energy vehicle purchase tax policy [40] - Great Wall Motors plans to unveil its first supercar by the end of 2026 [40]

Group 1 - Xiaopeng Motors announced the replacement of Li Liyun as head of the Autonomous Driving Center, with Liu Xianming taking over the position, while Li remains employed [1] - Liu Xianming has a strong background in machine learning and computer vision, having previously worked at Facebook and Cruise, and will lead the team to accelerate the application of the physical world base model in AI automotive [1] - NIO is also restructuring its autonomous driving department, with several key personnel leaving, including the head of the AI platform and the world model leader [2][3] Group 2 - NIO's restructuring aims to enhance the absorption of general AI technologies and improve the delivery of intelligent driving experiences through a new organizational model [2] - The new structure at NIO will facilitate the development and delivery of the World Model 2.0 version, which is expected to be launched across multiple platforms by early next year [2] - Li Auto has also restructured its autonomous driving department into 11 sub-departments to achieve faster and higher-quality technological breakthroughs [3] Group 3 - The integration of large models into the automotive industry is reshaping industry rules, with Xiaopeng Motors emphasizing the need for talent skilled in AI tools [4] - The rapid evolution of technology routes in intelligent driving necessitates flexible organizational structures that can adapt to new research and development rhythms [5] - The adjustments made by these companies are directly related to their strategic shifts in autonomous driving technology, with Li Auto focusing on the VLA model as its next-generation solution [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the automotive and automotive parts industry [5]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, Tesla's global deliveries exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 7.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.4%, reaching 497,000 units. The Model 3 and Model Y standard versions were launched in North America with reduced starting prices [1]. - Xpeng's sales surpassed 40,000 units in September, marking a year-on-year increase of 94.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.3% [1]. - NIO's deliveries also showed growth, with a year-on-year increase of 64.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.0%, totaling 34,749 units in September [1]. Summary by Sections Tesla and New Forces Sales Tracking - Tesla's global delivery volume reached 497,000 units in Q3 2025, with Model 3 and Y sales contributing significantly [1]. - Xpeng delivered 41,581 units in September, while NIO and Li Auto reported deliveries of 34,749 and 33,951 units, respectively [1]. Order Trends and Delivery Cycles - Tesla's delivery cycles for the domestic Model 3 and Model Y have been extended, indicating high demand as the peak season approaches [2]. - New energy vehicle manufacturers like Li Auto and NIO are also experiencing changes in delivery cycles, with some models seeing extended wait times [2]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies such as NIO, Xpeng, SAIC Motor, and Geely Automobile, as well as parts suppliers like Fuyao Glass and Top Group [3]. - It highlights the potential in the robotics and intelligent driving themes, suggesting a focus on companies involved in these sectors [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation Table - The earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies are provided, with NIO, Xpeng, and SAIC Motor all receiving a "Buy" rating based on their projected performance [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Technology Index and the Hang Seng Index experienced significant declines, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market [1] Company Performance - SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation) saw a drop of over 5.5% [1] - NIO and Xpeng Motors both fell nearly 5% [1] - Baidu Group and Hua Hong Semiconductor declined by more than 3% [1] - Xiaomi Group and Bilibili experienced a decrease of over 2% [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology Index fell over 2% in early trading on October 10, indicating a negative market sentiment towards technology stocks [1] - The Hang Seng Index also experienced a decline of more than 1%, reflecting broader market weakness [1] - Notable declines were observed in several companies, with SMIC down over 5.5%, NIO and Xpeng both dropping nearly 5%, and Baidu and Hua Hong Semiconductor falling over 3% [1]