Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the cosmetics and medical beauty industry, highlighting strong performance in the sector [2]. Core Insights - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector outperformed the market, with the Shenwan Beauty Care Index rising by 3.7% from November 7 to November 14, 2025, surpassing the market average [3][4]. - The Double 11 shopping festival saw significant sales for domestic brands, with Proya leading sales on Tmall for three consecutive years, indicating a sustained rise of domestic brands [9][30]. - Proya has re-entered the men's skincare market, launching a new product line aimed at addressing various skincare needs, which is seen as a strategic move to enhance revenue and compete with international brands [30]. - Marubi Biotech announced plans for an H-share listing in Hong Kong to strengthen its capital base and international strategy, following similar moves by other domestic beauty brands [31]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The Shenwan Beauty Care Index increased by 3.7%, with the cosmetics index up by 2.5% and personal care index up by 3.7%, indicating strong sector performance [3][4]. - The Double 11 sales event resulted in high single-digit growth in online GMV for beauty products, second only to home appliances and clothing [9]. Key Company Developments - Proya's Q3 2025 revenue reached 7.098 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.89%, with a net profit of 1.026 billion yuan, reflecting a stable performance despite a slight decline in Q3 [10][11]. - Marubi Biotech's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 2.45 billion yuan, a 25.51% increase year-on-year, indicating strong growth potential [31]. Market Trends - The cosmetics retail sector saw a 9.6% year-on-year growth in October 2025, driven by the Double 11 shopping festival, which boosted consumer demand [25][27]. - Domestic brands are gaining market share, with Proya and other local brands performing well against international competitors [34]. E-commerce Insights - Data from October 2025 shows that Proya achieved a GMV of 21.5 billion yuan across Tmall and Douyin, despite a 9% decline year-on-year, indicating resilience in a competitive market [24]. - The report highlights the importance of e-commerce channels for domestic brands, which are leveraging their advantages in pricing and local market insights to capture market share [34].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6]. Core Views - The company plans to issue up to 800 million shares to return to A-share market, which is expected to enhance long-term value [6]. - The issuance is anticipated to have limited dilution on profits, as the company’s operational business is steadily growing, and financial costs are being optimized [6]. - The company has turned positive in free cash flow since 2024, with expectations for continued improvement [6]. - The dividend policy remains stable, with a proposed mid-term dividend of 0.15 HKD per share for 2025, reflecting a dividend payout ratio of 42% [6]. - The A-share issuance is expected to optimize the company's capital structure and improve its valuation in the long term [6]. - The report forecasts net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders for 2025-2027 at 3.589 billion, 3.810 billion, and 4.055 billion HKD, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 8, 8, and 7 [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 32,090 million, 30,258 million, 29,976 million, 30,938 million, and 31,954 million HKD, with a decline in growth rates from -14.02% in 2023 to 3.28% in 2027 [3][7]. - Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is projected to decrease from 4,429 million HKD in 2023 to 3,377 million HKD in 2024, before recovering to 4,055 million HKD by 2027 [3][7]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to gradually improve from 9.20% in 2023 to 7.35% in 2027 [3][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the textile and apparel industry, particularly highlighting investment opportunities in the outdoor sports sector and the wool price increase cycle [3][12][14]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 4.4% from November 10 to November 14, 2025, surpassing the SW All A index by 4.9 percentage points [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the stabilization and increase in Australian wool prices, suggesting that the current price increase cycle may have significant investment potential, comparable to peaks seen in 2011 and 2018 [9][41]. - The opening of the 15th National Games has boosted interest in outdoor sports, creating investment opportunities in this segment, particularly for brands like Sanfu Outdoor, which saw a 26% increase in stock price [12][14]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The textile and apparel sector showed strong performance, with the SW textile and apparel index increasing by 4.4%, while the SW apparel and home textiles index rose by 4.0%, and the SW textile manufacturing index increased by 6.2% [3][4]. Recent Industry Data - Retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles reached 1,205.3 billion yuan from January to October, marking a 3.5% year-on-year growth [3][29]. - In October, textile and apparel exports amounted to $22.26 billion, down 12.6% year-on-year, with specific declines in textile yarns and fabrics by 9.0% and clothing by 16.0% [3][34]. Wool Price Insights - As of November 13, the Australian wool price index was reported at 951 cents per kilogram, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27.5% and a month-on-month increase of 1.9% [9][41]. Apparel Sector Highlights - The report highlights the potential for growth in the outdoor sports segment due to the National Games and the upcoming Winter Olympics, suggesting a focus on brands like Bosideng and opportunities in the women's apparel sector [12][14]. - The report also notes that the fourth quarter remains a critical period for the apparel sector, with Bosideng being a key recommendation due to favorable seasonal conditions [14]. Company Performance Review - The report reviews the performance of Yuanyuan Group, noting a revenue of $6.02 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, with a focus on the recovery of the sports manufacturing chain and an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [15][16].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the public - offering REITs market expanded in quality under normal - state issuance. With the dual - wheel drive of "first - offering + expansion - offering", the total market capitalization exceeded 220 billion yuan, and the market ecosystem became more mature. In 2026, it is expected to issue 20 - 30 projects, and the differentiation among projects will intensify [3][11]. - Expansion - offering is an inevitable path for the development of China's public - offering REITs market. In 2025, the expansion - offering channel reopened, and in 2026, with policy implementation and process optimization, it may become another main line in the market [3]. - The secondary market of REITs in 2025 showed a "rising first and then falling" trend. To improve liquidity, policy support is expected, such as including REITs in the Shanghai - Hong Kong and Shenzhen - Hong Kong Stock Connect, launching REITs - ETF and index fund products, and guiding long - term funds like annuities and pensions to enter the market [3]. - The fundamentals of different asset types of REITs have shown different trends. Investors should select Alpha assets to make investment decisions [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1.审度首发新常态，洞见估值新平衡 - **2025 First - offering Situation** - From January to October 2025, 19 REITs started the recruitment process, with an average of 2 per month, slower than in Q4 2024. The total first - offering scale was 38.7 billion yuan, about 40% less than in 2024. Two new IDC - REITs were added, enriching the asset types [3][11]. - The net - underwriting and online subscription yields of REITs were calculated. The net - underwriting yield was significantly higher than the online yield. The net - underwriting yield of 10 - 200 million yuan of funds was the highest, reaching 3.50% [13][15]. - The strategic placement of REITs in 2025 had a 100% winning rate and an average floating profit of 35%. The number of strategic investment institutions increased to 275, a 6% increase from 2024 [3]. - The number of new - offering products increased to nearly a thousand, and the winning rate dropped below 1%. In October, due to limited initial listing gains and overlapping fundraising periods, the enthusiasm for new - offering decreased, and the winning rate rebounded [20][22]. - In terms of institutional participation, 270 institutions participated in the net - underwriting inquiry, a 69% increase from 2024. Among them, the number of securities firms, insurance funds, private funds, and public funds increased significantly. Insurance funds led in terms of the proposed subscription amount, followed by securities firms [28]. - The strategic placement became more difficult for institutions to obtain. The number of strategic placement institutions per REIT reached a new high, indicating increased scarcity [34]. - **Valuation and Pricing** - From January to October 2025, the first - day and first - four - day closing cumulative increases of REITs reached new highs. However, since September and October, as the first - offering valuation increased, the initial listing gains narrowed, and the net - underwriting quotation became more cautious [39]. - From January to September 2025, the first - offering valuation had an average discount of 25%. Since October, the discount rate has significantly narrowed to less than 10%, and even less than 5% for some projects [40]. - **2026 First - offering Expectations** - Policy support is expected to expand the market and increase the number of asset types. The approval efficiency will be improved, and the average time from acceptance to registration will be shortened to 100 days [45][57]. - The expected number of first - offerings in 2026 is 20 - 30, with a relatively small average fundraising scale. The differentiation among projects will intensify, and the initial listing gains are expected to narrow to 5% - 10% [64][71]. - Under the neutral scenario, the net - underwriting and online new - offering yields of 10 - million - 100 - million - yuan funds are expected to be 3.21% and 0.61% respectively [75]. 3.2.扩募潮起谋新篇，资产混装开新局 - **Importance of Expansion - offering** - Due to high - dividend requirements and leverage limitations, expansion - offering is an important way for the external expansion of public - offering REITs. It can optimize the asset portfolio and improve the anti - risk ability [81]. - **Policy Changes** - In September 2025, the 782nd document shortened the expansion - offering threshold from 12 months to 6 months and supported cross - industry asset mixing, which is expected to shorten the expansion - offering cycle and enrich the asset types [86]. - **2025 Expansion - offering Situation** - After the first four REITs' expansion - offerings in 2023, the expansion - offering channel reopened in 2025. By October, 2 REITs' expansion - offering shares were listed, 3 were in the process, and 3 were under review. The issuance methods were diversified, including private placement and rights offering [90]. - The returns of investors participating in the expansion - offering mainly come from the market discount at the time of issuance and the increase in the dividend rate. The initial batch of expansion - offering projects had losses in the bidding and strategic placement, but 2 projects still had floating profits by the end of October [93][94]. - **Potential Expansion - offering Projects** - Many original equity holders of listed REITs hold potential expansion - offering assets. There are currently 5 expansion - offering projects in progress, and the AVIC Jingneng Photovoltaic REIT is the first project with mixed - asset expansion (photovoltaic + hydropower) [100][101]. - **Case Studies of Expansion - offering Projects** - The Beijing Affordable Housing REIT's expansion - offering assets are slightly inferior in quality to the first - offering assets, but the overall dividend rate is expected to increase [109]. - The AVIC Jingneng Photovoltaic REIT's expansion - offering of "photovoltaic + hydropower" is expected to significantly increase the net profit, EBITDA, and distributable amount in 2026, and the cash distribution rate will also increase [117]. - The Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT plans to expand by purchasing the Suzhou Kunshan Mixc project. After the expansion, the 2026 combined predicted dividend rate is expected to increase by 0.23 pct [119]. 3.3.长钱定盘亦凝滞，活水破局方致远 - **2025 Market Review** - In 2025, the REITs market showed a "rising first and then falling" trend. The first half was supported by the low - interest rate environment, while the second half was affected by factors such as stock market diversion, rising interest rates, unlocking pressure, and weakening fundamentals. In Q4, some defensive assets' performance was excellent, and some configuration funds began to enter the market [122][124]. - **Investor Structure** - As of the first half of 2025, securities firms and insurance companies dominated the REITs market. Their "heavy - configuration, light - trading" strategy restricted the secondary - market liquidity. Different types of institutions had different configuration preferences [128]. - **Measures to Improve Liquidity** - Including REITs in the Shanghai - Hong Kong and Shenzhen - Hong Kong Stock Connect, launching REITs - ETF and index fund products, and guiding long - term funds like annuities and pensions to enter the market are expected to improve the market liquidity [131]. 3.4.基本面殊途已现，精选Alpha定乾坤 - **Affordable Housing REITs** - In the past five quarters, the affordable housing REITs showed a pattern of "stable quantity and differentiated price". In 2026, the rental market will be affected by factors such as supply and tenant preferences in different regions. Rents in first - tier cities are expected to decline slightly, while those in core second - tier cities may stabilize or rise slightly [137]. - **Consumption REITs** - In 2025, the consumption REITs' operation was stable. The rental rate and collection rate remained high, and the rental efficiency fluctuated seasonally. With the adjustment of the supply - demand relationship and the release of new consumption demands, the asset managers of REITs adjusted the tenant mix. The increase in CPI in October is expected to support the valuation of consumption REITs [140].

Group 1 - The education industry is expected to see a turnaround as the fundamentals reach a bottom and policies advance, particularly in higher education [3][7][9] - The demand for vocational training among young people is surging, leading to an upturn in the vocational education sector [3][86] - The tutoring industry is characterized by strong brand growth and franchise operations, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][85] Group 2 - The education index has underperformed compared to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, with a year-to-date absolute return of 11.4% and an excess return of -17.5% [6] - The private higher vocational education sector has shown strength, with a cumulative return of 52.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 24% [6] - The report highlights specific companies such as Yuhua Education, Zhongjiao Holdings, and New Higher Education as key players to watch [8][84] Group 3 - The policy of profit-oriented classification management is gradually being reinitiated, which is expected to stabilize the investment returns for private higher education institutions [9][13] - The quality of education in private institutions has significantly improved over the past five years, with key metrics such as student-to-teacher ratios and per-student funding meeting standards [77][75] - The anticipated recovery in profitability for private higher education companies is linked to the completion of quality assessments and the potential for expansion following the issuance of profit-oriented licenses [71][74] Group 4 - The vocational education market is experiencing a boom due to the increasing number of graduates and those who do not pass entrance exams entering the labor market [88] - The number of high school graduates is on the rise, while the labor force from junior high school graduates is shrinking, indicating a shift in educational demand [89]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry [3] Core Views - Global oil inventories are expected to continue increasing until 2026, with the EIA forecasting a supply surplus of 1.84 million barrels per day for this year [5][11] - The EIA has raised its price forecasts for crude oil and natural gas for 2025 and 2026, expecting an average crude oil price of $69 per barrel in 2025 and $55 per barrel in 2026 [6][8] - Demand growth for global oil is projected at 790,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 770,000 barrels per day in 2026, with significant contributions from the US, China, and Nigeria [8][45] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Analysis - The EIA and IEA have both adjusted their global oil supply forecasts upwards by 100,000 to 150,000 barrels per day due to OPEC's announced production increases [10][11] - The EIA expects global oil production to rise by 2.81 million barrels per day in 2025 and 1.39 million barrels per day in 2026 [10][11] - The IEA anticipates a demand increase of 310,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 250,000 barrels per day in 2026, with a total average supply reaching 108.7 million barrels per day [46][47] Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil futures closed at $64.39 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.19%, while WTI futures rose to $60.09 per barrel, up 0.57% [20] - The number of active oil rigs in the US increased to 549, with a slight week-on-week rise [35] Refining Sector - The report indicates an improvement in refining profitability due to rising product price spreads, despite current levels being relatively low [5][13] - The Singapore refining margin increased to $24.26 per barrel, while the US gasoline-WTI spread decreased to $20.84 per barrel [5] Polyester Sector - The profitability of PTA and polyester filament yarn has improved, with PTA prices rising to 4,585.4 CNY per ton [5][13] - The report suggests a recovery in the polyester sector, with expectations for improved profitability as supply and demand dynamics shift [13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the polyester sector such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as top refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec [5][13] - It also highlights the resilience of oil companies like PetroChina and CNOOC in the face of potential price declines, recommending those with high dividend yields [13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is to actively participate in the new stock issuance [31] Core Viewpoints - The company is a long-term player in the cold chain equipment sector, specializing in intelligent control and monitoring products, with a strong market position both domestically and globally [5][6] - The company has shown steady revenue and profit growth, with a projected revenue of 499.8 million yuan and a net profit of 58.91 million yuan for 2024, reflecting a CAGR of +12.18% and +9.94% respectively over the past three years [7] - The company is expanding its overseas business, with the proportion of overseas revenue increasing from 48.27% in 2023 to an expected 57.14% in the first half of 2025 [7] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 1996, focuses on cold chain equipment, including intelligent controllers and monitoring devices for pharmaceuticals and food [5] - It is recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and has participated in the formulation of 38 industry standards [5][6] 2. Issuance Plan - The new stock issuance will adopt a direct pricing method with an issue price of 12.1 yuan per share, raising approximately 175 million yuan [15][18] - The initial issuance scale is 14.46 million shares, accounting for 25% of the total shares post-issuance, with a low circulation ratio of 22.5% [15][17] 3. Industry Situation - The global cold chain temperature and humidity control market is projected to grow from 556 million USD in 2023 to 836 million USD by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.01% [20] - The cold chain monitoring market is expected to grow from 5.96 billion USD in 2023 to 12.59 billion USD by 2030, with a CAGR of 11.28% [20] 4. Competitive Advantages - The company has strong R&D capabilities, with over 205 patents and a dedicated team focused on innovation [23][24] - It has a diverse product portfolio tailored to various applications in the cold chain industry, enhancing its market competitiveness [23][24] 5. Comparable Companies - The company has a lower market capitalization of 700 million yuan compared to its peers, with a PE ratio of 11.59, significantly lower than the median of 48.64 for comparable companies [32]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Neutral" to China Uranium Industry, with an AHP score of 2.12, placing it in the 28.7% percentile of the non-innovative system AHP model [10][11]. Core Insights - China Uranium Industry is a core enterprise in domestic natural uranium mining, with ongoing overseas capacity expansion. The company has exclusive uranium mining and refining qualifications and has been actively expanding its global footprint, particularly in Namibia and Central Asia [4][12]. - The company is leveraging green technologies to enhance its main business through comprehensive utilization of radioactive co-associated mineral resources, which aligns with the dual carbon policy and the growing demand for upstream raw materials [17][18]. - Global uranium resources are scarce and have high barriers to entry, with China's nuclear power penetration still relatively low, indicating significant growth potential in the nuclear energy sector [21][22]. - The company benefits from long-term supply agreements with its largest customer, China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC), and is positioned to gain from rising uranium prices due to increasing demand for nuclear energy [23][24]. Summary by Sections AHP Score and Expected Allocation Ratio - The AHP score for China Uranium Industry is 2.12, with expected allocation ratios for offline investors being 0.0307% for Class A and 0.0266% for Class B under a neutral scenario [10][11]. Fundamental Highlights and Features - China Uranium Industry is the core enterprise for natural uranium mining in China, with a focus on expanding overseas production capacity. The company has significant mining rights and has been a major supplier of natural uranium globally [12][14]. - The company has initiated projects for the comprehensive utilization of radioactive co-associated mineral resources, achieving significant recovery of strategic metals [17][18]. Comparable Company Financial Metrics - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a CAGR of 28.07% from 2022 to 2024, and a net profit CAGR of 4.57% during the same period. The revenue for 2025 is projected to be between 195.00 billion to 200.00 billion yuan [23][24]. Fundraising Projects and Development Vision - The company plans to raise approximately 4.11 billion yuan through the issuance of new shares, which will be allocated to various uranium production projects and comprehensive utilization projects [37][38].

2025 年 11 月 16 日 北证开市四周年，市值近万亿流动 性改善显著 ——北交所策略周报（20251110-20251116） 本周策略观点： 本周市场行情： 北交所新股： 新三板动态： ⚫ 本周新挂牌 11 家，摘牌 6 家，周新增计划融资 0.96 亿元，完成融资 0.67 亿元。 风险提示： ⚫ 个股业绩季度波动过大风险，宏观经济下行的风险。 相关研究 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 王雨晴 A0230522010003 wangyq@swsresearch.com 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 汪秉涵 A0230525090003 wangbh@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 联系人 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 新 三 板 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes that the global competition has intensified, and A-shares should embrace a competitive mindset, reflecting the reality of pricing competition [2][4] - The migration of Chinese residents' asset allocation towards equities is still in its early stages, which could drive a bull market, with the macroeconomic framework indicating that the accumulation of A-share profitability is undergoing a qualitative change [3][5] - The report outlines a "two-phase bull market" theory, with "Bull Market 1.0" expected to peak in spring 2026, followed by a potential "Bull Market 2.0" in the second half of 2026 [6][10] Group 2 - The report predicts that 2026 will see a significant rebound in profitability, with the first double-digit growth in net profit for A-shares in five years, forecasting a 7% growth in 2025 and 14% in 2026 [13] - The transition from "Bull Market 1.0" to "Bull Market 2.0" will likely favor high-dividend defensive stocks, while the latter phase will be characterized by cyclical stocks leading the market [10][13] - Three structural clues for 2026 include recovery trades in basic chemicals and industrial metals, opportunities in the AI industry chain, and the enhancement of manufacturing influence [14]