Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industrial gas industry [1]. Core Insights - The industrial gas prices are experiencing low fluctuations for liquid oxygen and nitrogen, while liquid argon prices continue to rise significantly year-on-year. Rare gases are also showing low fluctuations [2][4]. - Key events include Hangyang winning a bid for a large 4.5K low-temperature system, marking its entry into the superconducting field, and Guanggang Gas changing its fundraising project to focus on the Wuhan semiconductor and Huaxing Optoelectronics T8 projects [2][4]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - Liquid oxygen average price: 328 RMB/ton, down 2.4% month-on-month, flat year-on-year - Liquid nitrogen average price: 357 RMB/ton, down 1.7% month-on-month, up 1% year-on-year - Liquid argon average price: 1029 RMB/ton, down 6.79% month-on-month, up 139% year-on-year - Rare gases prices show the following trends: - High-purity helium (cylinder): 590.46 RMB/cylinder, down 2.58% month-on-month, down 10.39% year-on-year - Xenon: 20500 RMB/cubic meter, flat month-on-month, down 29.31% year-on-year - Krypton: 190 RMB/cubic meter, flat month-on-month, down 39.68% year-on-year - Neon: 110 RMB/cubic meter, flat month-on-month, down 12% year-on-year [4][6]. Production Capacity - The average operating load rate for China's industrial gas sector is 66.73%, down 1.88 percentage points month-on-month [4][8]. Key Company Forecasts - Hangyang Co. (002430.SZ): - Closing price: 30.27 RMB - EPS forecast for 2024A: 0.94 RMB, 2025E: 1.07 RMB, 2026E: 1.22 RMB, 2027E: 1.38 RMB - PE ratio forecast for 2024A: 32.29, 2025E: 28.32, 2026E: 24.86, 2027E: 21.86 - Shaanxi Guo (601369.SH): - Closing price: 10.73 RMB - EPS forecast for 2024A: 0.60 RMB, 2025E: 0.67 RMB, 2026E: 0.73 RMB, 2027E: 0.78 RMB - PE ratio forecast for 2024A: 17.78, 2025E: 16.01, 2026E: 14.70, 2027E: 13.76 [5].

产业观察 [table_Header]2026.02.08 可扩展量子网络关键突破：中科大实现长寿命远程 离子纠缠存储 产业研究中心 摘要：NextX 系列：颠覆性技术周刊 第 5 期（2025.01.31-2026.02.06） [Table_Summary] 上周科技产业融资概况： 1）大族数控在中国香港主板挂牌上市 2）绿联科技向港交所递交招股书，拟在中国香港主板上市 上周科技产业二级市场表现跟踪： 1）涨跌幅：a）大盘指数：上周大盘指数总体下跌，上证指数全周下跌 1.27%，报 4066 点；深证成指全周下跌 2.11%，报 13907 点；创业板指 下跌 3.28%，报 3236 点。b）科技子行业：上周半导体指数/汽车电子指 数/人工智能指数/元宇宙指数周跌幅为 7.67%/0.82%/7.28%/5.68%，较万 得全 A 指数-6.17/+0.67/-5.78/-4.19 pct。 2）换手率：上周半导体指数、人工智能指数换手率较高。 3）估值：a）PE 估值：上周半导体、汽车电子、人工智能、元宇宙指数 PE 估值环比下跌；b）PB 估值：上周汽车电子指数 PB 估值环比上涨，半导 体、人工智 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Insights - The company is expected to implement a product focus and stable pricing strategy in 2025, leading to improved gross margins in the first three quarters. The main brand shows strong resilience, while the sub-brand Aikeman is experiencing breakthroughs, indicating a positive outlook for multi-brand growth to restore the company's growth momentum [2][11] - The forecast for EPS has been raised for 2025-2027 to 1.23 (+0.13), 1.56 (+0.08), and 1.90 (+0.18) yuan, respectively. A target PE of 38x for 2026 has been set, resulting in an updated target price of 59.28 yuan [11] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 5,522 million yuan in 2023, increasing to 5,736 million yuan in 2024, but decreasing to 5,479 million yuan in 2025, before rising to 6,059 million yuan in 2026 and 6,663 million yuan in 2027 [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline from 757 million yuan in 2023 to 503 million yuan in 2024, with a slight recovery to 520 million yuan in 2025, and further increases to 663 million yuan in 2026 and 806 million yuan in 2027 [4] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 improved to 74.33%, a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points [11] Market Performance - The company's stock price has ranged between 39.34 and 50.85 yuan over the past 52 weeks, with a total market capitalization of 20,138 million yuan [6] - The stock has shown an absolute increase of 17% over the past month, 13% over the past three months, and 18% over the past year [10] Brand Performance - The main brand, Winona, has streamlined its product series and focused on core products, achieving a ranking of 9th in the Tmall beauty industry during the Double Eleven shopping festival, maintaining its position in the top 10 for nine consecutive years [11] - The sub-brand Aikeman has seen significant growth, ranking 2nd in the Tmall beauty new brand transaction list during Double Eleven 2025, with key products achieving sales of over 100,000 units [11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the transportation industry [4]. Core Insights - The aviation sector is experiencing a strong demand during the Spring Festival travel season, with an upward trend in ticket prices expected to continue. The report suggests a long-term investment strategy based on a "super cycle" logic [3][4]. - In the oil shipping sector, freight rates remain high, with expectations for tanker profits to increase significantly year-on-year in Q1 2026, indicating a potential "super bull market" [3][4]. - The express delivery industry is anticipated to see a recovery in profitability, driven by a reduction in competitive pressure and a gradual increase in price levels [4]. Summary by Sections Aviation - The Spring Festival travel season officially began on February 2, 2026, with a year-on-year increase in passenger flow of 2% as of February 6, 2026. Air travel saw a 6% increase, while rail travel decreased by 1% [4][10]. - The report highlights that the aviation market's load factor and ticket prices are both showing positive year-on-year growth. The limited increase in train and bus services is expected to benefit airline revenue management [4]. - The report anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability during the Spring Festival season, with Q1 2026 expected to show industry-wide profitability due to favorable ticket price trends and a decrease in oil prices [4]. Oil Shipping - The report notes that geopolitical tensions have kept shipping rates elevated, with tanker utilization rates remaining high since August 2025 due to increased oil production and stricter sanctions on Russian oil [4]. - The average freight rate for VLCCs (Very Large Crude Carriers) on the Middle East to China route has maintained above $120,000 per day [20]. - The report emphasizes that the oil shipping sector is not merely a short-term play on geopolitical events but has a long-term bullish outlook due to ongoing global oil production increases and the aging of tanker fleets [4]. Express Delivery - The report indicates that the express delivery sector is expected to see a recovery in profitability, with a year-on-year growth in parcel volume of 13.6% for 2025, although December's growth slowed to 2% due to high operational costs and a warm winter [4]. - The report highlights a narrowing decline in industry pricing, with December's average revenue per parcel decreasing by only 2% year-on-year, suggesting a potential easing of competitive pressures [4]. - The report recommends focusing on leading express companies that are optimizing their business structures and building differentiated competitive advantages, such as SF Express and ZTO Express [4].

Macro Research - The recent significant drop in gold prices is primarily due to previous irrational surges, high leverage, and crowded trading conditions, which does not alter the long-term bullish trend for gold. Mid to long-term investment opportunities in gold should still be considered [2][3] Social Services Industry Research - The optimization of vacation systems, improvement in cultural tourism supply, and acceleration of local asset securitization are expected to create investment opportunities in the scenic area sector. Three main lines for investment are suggested: focus on transportation improvements, resource integration expectations, and new project launches [3][4] Cosmetics Industry Research - The cosmetics market is expected to continue steady growth in 2026, driven by product innovation and the rise of domestic brands. It is recommended to selectively invest in high-growth companies and those with recovery potential due to product and channel changes. Specific companies to consider include 若羽臣, 倍加洁, 毛戈平, 林清轩, and 上美股份 for strong fundamentals, and 贝泰妮, 珀莱雅, and others for recovery potential [6][7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [2]. Core Views - Demand is expected to gradually bottom out, and supply-side adjustments are beginning to show, indicating a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals. If supply policies are implemented, the contraction in supply may accelerate, leading to a quicker industry upturn [4]. - The report highlights that approximately 60% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, but market-driven supply adjustments are starting to occur, suggesting a gradual recovery in the steel sector [5]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - Last week, the apparent consumption of five major steel products was 7.607 million tons, a decrease of 5.12% week-on-week but an increase of 32.12% year-on-year. Rebar consumption was 1.476 million tons, down 16.3% week-on-week, but up 143.03% year-on-year [16]. - The total steel inventory reached 13.3775 million tons, an increase of 4.63% week-on-week, maintaining a low level [5]. - The average gross profit for rebar was 159.5 CNY/ton, down 37.4 CNY/ton from the previous week, while hot-rolled coil profit was 19.5 CNY/ton, down 27.4 CNY/ton [5][33]. Raw Materials - Iron ore spot prices decreased, with the price for PB powder (61.5% iron content) at 766 CNY/ton, down 26 CNY/ton week-on-week. The main iron ore futures price fell by 31 CNY/ton to 760.5 CNY/ton, a decline of 3.92% [42]. - Iron ore port inventory rose to 171.41 million tons, an increase of 0.7% week-on-week, with the average available days of imported iron ore for domestic steel companies increasing to 31 days, up 14.81% [45][48]. Production and Capacity Utilization - The operating rate of blast furnaces among 247 steel mills increased to 79.53%, up 0.53 percentage points week-on-week, while the capacity utilization rate was 85.69%, up 0.22 percentage points [24]. - The total steel production last week was 8.199 million tons, a decrease of 3.27 million tons week-on-week [31]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Shougang, as well as low-cost and flexible steel companies like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [5].

精密嵌塑翘楚，战略拓展新兴行业 兴瑞科技(002937) 本报告导读： 公司作为国内领先的精密制造企业，依托头部优质客户与全球化布局深化汽车电子 业务，同时公司积极拓展新兴业务，成长空间广阔，首次覆盖，给予"增持"评级。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 2,006 | 1,902 | 1,626 | 1,980 | 2,482 | | (+/-)% | 13.5% | -5.2% | -14.5% | 21.7% | 25.3% | | 净利润(归母) | 267 | 229 | 143 | 204 | 282 | | (+/-)% | 22.0% | -14.4% | -37.4% | 42.8% | 37.9% | | 每股净收益(元) | 0.90 | 0.77 | 0.48 | 0.69 | 0.95 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 17.4% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% ...

高温合金龙头，军民共振驱动长期成长 钢研高纳(300034) 钢研高纳首次覆盖报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 宋博(分析师) | 010-83939829 | songbo3@gtht.com | S0880522120007 | | 杨天昊(分析师) | 010-83939791 | yangtianhao@gtht.com | S0880523080010 | 本报告导读： 公司是国内高温合金领域龙头，实控人为国务院国资委，核心产品覆盖航空航天等 多领域，受益于航空航天领域需求高景气与技术自主可控，业绩有望稳健增长。 投资要点： | | | 金属，采矿，制品 [Table_Industry] /原材料 | [Table_Invest] | 首次覆盖 | | --- | --- | | 评级 | 增持 | | 目标价格(元): | 28.05 | | [当前价格： Table_CurPrice] (元) | 20.61 | [Table_Market] 交易数据 | 52 周内股价区间(元) | 14 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industrial gas industry [1] Core Insights - The industrial gas prices are experiencing low fluctuations for liquid oxygen and nitrogen, while liquid argon prices continue to rise significantly year-on-year. Rare gas prices are also fluctuating at low levels. Notable events include Hangyang winning a bid for a large 4.5K low-temperature system, marking its entry into the superconducting field, and Guanggang Gas changing its fundraising project to focus on the Wuhan semiconductor and Huaxing Optoelectronics T8 projects [2][3] Summary by Sections Price Trends - Liquid oxygen average price: 328 RMB/ton, down 2.4% month-on-month, unchanged year-on-year - Liquid nitrogen average price: 357 RMB/ton, down 1.7% month-on-month, up 1% year-on-year - Liquid argon average price: 1029 RMB/ton, down 6.79% month-on-month, up 139% year-on-year - Rare gases average prices show the following trends: - High-purity helium (cylinder): 590.46 RMB/cylinder, down 2.58% month-on-month, down 10.39% year-on-year - Xenon: 20500 RMB/cubic meter, unchanged month-on-month, down 29.31% year-on-year - Krypton: 190 RMB/cubic meter, unchanged month-on-month, down 39.68% year-on-year - Neon: 110 RMB/cubic meter, unchanged month-on-month, down 12% year-on-year [4][5][6] Production Capacity - The average operating load rate for China's industrial gas sector is 66.73%, down 1.88 percentage points month-on-month [8] Key Events - Hangyang Group has successfully bid for a large 4.5K low-temperature system project, marking its entry into the superconducting equipment sector. Guanggang Gas has announced changes to its fundraising projects, redirecting funds to the Wuhan semiconductor project and Huaxing Optoelectronics T8 project [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Uber Technologies (UBER) [6][11]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing robust growth with simultaneous improvements in profitability, driven by a membership system that enhances user stickiness and cross-business collaboration [3][11]. - The autonomous driving strategy is progressing, contributing to the formation of a platform-based network [3][11]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY2024 to FY2028 are as follows: $43,978 million (2024), $52,017 million (2025), $60,835 million (2026E), $69,498 million (2027E), and $78,148 million (2028E), with growth rates of 18.1% in 2024, 18.9% in 2025, and decreasing thereafter [5][12]. - Operating profit is expected to rise significantly, reaching $2,799 million in 2024 and $12,278 million by 2028, reflecting a growth of 152.2% in 2024 and 22.7% in 2028 [5][12]. - GAAP net profit is projected to be $9,845 million in 2024, with a slight decline to $6,848 million in 2026E, before recovering to $10,598 million in 2028 [5][12]. - Adjusted EBITDA is forecasted to grow from $6,484 million in 2024 to $15,630 million in 2028 [5][12]. User Engagement and Business Segmentation - In Q4, Uber's total gross bookings reached $54.143 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22%, with revenue of $14.366 billion, up 20% [11]. - Monthly active users (MAPCs) reached 202 million, growing 18% year-on-year, indicating a strong increase in user engagement [11]. - The ride-hailing and food delivery segments reported gross bookings of $27.442 billion and $25.431 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 20% and 26% [11]. Membership and Cross-Business Synergy - The Uber One membership program has surpassed 46 million members, a growth of approximately 55%, contributing to higher order frequency and cross-business usage [11]. - Over 40% of users are now utilizing multiple products, showcasing the increasing penetration of the platform across different services [11]. Autonomous Driving Strategy - The company is advancing its hybrid network model, combining human drivers with autonomous vehicles, which is expected to enhance vehicle utilization and address demand fluctuations [11]. - Collaborations with various technology and vehicle partners are accelerating the development of an autonomous ride-hailing platform, which is anticipated to be a significant growth driver for the ride-hailing business in the future [11].