Group 1: Military Industry Research - The global military infrared market is expected to grow, with domestic equipment demand recovering, leading to continuous growth in orders and performance for the company [3][4] - The company has expanded its business to cover the entire manufacturing chain, achieving significant procurement agreements and becoming a major supplier for national defense projects [4] - The company is actively participating in global competition, with multiple large contracts signed in 2025, indicating its entry into the international high-end complete equipment system supplier market [4] Group 2: Photovoltaic Equipment Industry - SpaceX's application to deploy a million satellites is expected to create opportunities for photovoltaic applications in orbital data centers, benefiting related photovoltaic equipment manufacturers [6][7] - The demand for stable, low-cost photovoltaic and energy storage solutions is accelerating due to increased computational needs from data centers [7] - Companies like Maiwei and Jiejia are making significant advancements in photovoltaic technology, which may support applications in space [8] Group 3: Transportation Industry Research - The 2026 Spring Festival holiday extension is expected to boost travel demand, with a record high in passenger flow anticipated during the Spring Festival transportation period [9][10] - The total cross-regional passenger flow during the 2026 Spring Festival is projected to reach 9.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.3% [10] - The railway and civil aviation sectors are expected to see significant increases in passenger numbers, with airlines anticipating a 5.3% growth in passenger transport volume [10][11] Group 4: General Market Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the military industry, with long-term growth driven by national defense modernization efforts [24] - The logistics and transportation sectors are showing signs of recovery, particularly in cross-border trade, which is expected to improve profitability for companies involved [29][30]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the optical fiber industry, indicating a projected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [4][33]. Core Insights - The optical interconnection sector shows strong performance expectations, with a focus on the transition opportunities from CPO/OIO technology. The optical fiber industry is experiencing a clear price increase trend, driven by demand from telecom operators and pre-holiday inventory needs [2][9]. - LightCounting forecasts that CPO technology shipments will begin scaling from 800G and 1.6T ports between 2026 and 2027, primarily for large cloud service providers. By 2029, the penetration rates for 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T CPOs are expected to be 2.9%, 9.5%, and 50.6% respectively [8][9]. - Recent price increases in fiber optics are anticipated to continue due to heightened demand from telecom operators and upcoming procurement activities [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The optical interconnection sector is expected to maintain strong performance, with individual company variations but overall manageable conditions anticipated for 2026 [7]. - The appreciation of the RMB is impacting the optical interconnection sector, particularly for companies focused on overseas exports, with potential profit impacts estimated at under 5% for most, while some may see significant effects [7]. Investment Highlights - The industry has seen an increase in holding ratios, with valuations at historically high levels, reflecting positive expectations driven by the AI industry chain [23]. - AI is driving network upgrades, with strong overseas demand benefiting domestic core enterprises amid a global infrastructure wave [24]. - A new cycle of domestic AI infrastructure is emerging, with significant opportunities for leading companies in various segments [25]. - New connectivity solutions are expected to emerge in 2026, presenting additional investment opportunities [26]. - The demand for communication capabilities is increasing due to AI model training and applications, leading to rapid advancements in network innovation and technology applications [27]. Key Industry News - Corning has signed a long-term supply agreement worth $6 billion with Meta to support its data center expansion, highlighting the trend of strengthening domestic manufacturing and supply chains [10][11]. - NVIDIA has invested $2 billion in CoreWeave to enhance AI computing capabilities, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure development [12][13]. - Microsoft has launched its second-generation AI chip, Maia 200, aimed at optimizing AI inference costs and reducing reliance on NVIDIA [14][15]. - The personal AI assistant ClawdBot has gained significant traction, showcasing advancements in AI capabilities and user interaction [16][17]. - Microsoft and Meta reported substantial increases in capital expenditures, reflecting their commitment to expanding computing infrastructure [18][19].

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The Federal Reserve's recent policy statement reflects a slightly hawkish stance, leading to adjustments in asset prices, with the dollar index rising and U.S. stocks declining[6] - Kevin Warsh's nomination as the next Fed Chair has caused significant market reactions, with expectations of a more independent Fed and a potential shift in monetary policy direction[7] - The manufacturing PMI for January 2026 is reported at 49.3%, indicating a decline of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity[17] Group 2: Market Performance - Global asset prices showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.38% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.34%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44%[8] - Commodity prices experienced divergence, with IPE Brent crude oil futures rising by 6.65% and COMEX copper increasing by 0.51%, while London gold prices decreased by 2.03%[8] - The market anticipates two rate cuts in 2026, with the Federal Funds futures market reflecting limited expectations for aggressive rate reductions following Warsh's nomination[7] Group 3: Sector Analysis - The new economic landscape shows a significant shift towards emerging technologies, with sectors like AI and electric vehicles driving growth, while traditional industries lag behind[28] - The financial sector is expected to benefit from increased asset management demand, with insurance and securities firms poised for growth in a low-interest-rate environment[30] - The construction and real estate sectors are experiencing marginal improvements, but overall demand remains weak, necessitating further policy support[19]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 71.40 CNY [5][11][15]. Core Insights - The company has a strong foothold in the defense technology industry, focusing on basic components and electronic functional materials, which are widely used in key national projects and civilian applications. The steady growth of the defense budget and demand from various downstream sectors support the company's resilience and growth potential [2][11][23]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 9.41 billion CNY, 11.14 billion CNY, and 11.78 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.70 CNY, 2.01 CNY, and 2.13 CNY [11][15]. - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of high-reliability electronic components, benefiting from a comprehensive product portfolio and strong system-level support capabilities [11][23]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 7,789 million CNY in 2023, with a decrease to 5,219 million CNY in 2024, followed by a gradual increase to 7,051 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.0% from 2025 to 2027 [4][17]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decline to 970 million CNY in 2024, before recovering to 1,178 million CNY by 2027 [4][17]. - The company’s net asset return rate is expected to stabilize around 6.7% from 2026 onwards [4]. Business Overview - The company specializes in new electronic components, which accounted for nearly 100% of its revenue in 2024, highlighting its market dominance in this sector [35]. - The company’s product offerings include resistors, capacitors, integrated circuits, and electronic functional materials, which are essential for both military and civilian applications [23][31]. - The company is actively investing in R&D to enhance its product capabilities and maintain its competitive edge in high-reliability electronic components [11][33]. Industry Outlook - The electronic components industry is expected to continue expanding, driven by increasing demand across various sectors, including consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and industrial automation [39][43]. - The global electronic components market is projected to grow from 448.4 billion USD in 2026 to 870.93 billion USD by 2035, with a CAGR of 7.2% [43]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from structural growth opportunities in the electronic components sector, particularly in the context of rising defense budgets and advancements in technology [11][39].

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 [Table_Industry] 核电设备 FIA 发布 "欧洲聚变能源：行动倡议"， 四川"聚变产投" 正式运营 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 ——可控核聚变行业周报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 黄龙(分析师) | 021-38031028 | huanglong@gtht.com | S0880525070027 | 本报告导读： 上周（2026/1/26-2026/1/30）可控核聚变领域动态：FIA 发布 "欧洲聚变能源：行动 倡议"，俄罗斯成功测试创纪录高温超导电缆；四川天府新区"聚变产投"正式运营， 今创集团联手核聚变专家布局聚变领域； 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 核电设备《韩国扩大聚变研发预算，General Fusion 拟借壳上市》2026.01.25 核电设 ...

产业观察 [table_Header]2026.02.02 国内首个商业航天共性试验平台正在建设 ——商业航天跟踪 30 期 摘要：商业航天周报（2026.1.26-2026.1.30） | 产业研究中心 | | --- | | [Table_Authors] | | | --- | --- | | | 周天乐(分析师) | | | 0755-23976003 | | | zhoutianle@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520010003 | | | 徐淋(分析师) | | | 021-38677826 | | | xulin4@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880523090005 | | | 肖洁(分析师) | | | 021-38674660 | | | xiaojie3@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880513080002 | [Table_Report] 往期回顾 | 1. 火箭卫星发射动态 3 | | | --- | --- | | 2. 产业发展动态 | 3 | | 2.1. 国内首个商业航天共性试验平台正在建设 3 | | | 2.2. 2 ...

产业观察 [table_Header]2026.02.02 【新材料产业周报】独山子石化 2025 年共生产 POE 产品 近 6 万吨，因势新材等多家新材料公司完成融资 产业研究中心 摘要： [Table_Summary] 产业发展动态：（以下均来源于化工新材料公众号） 独山子石化 2025 年共生产 POE 产品近 6 万吨。2026 年 1 月 25 日，据中 国石油报消息，中国石油旗下独山子石化公司国产 POE（聚烯烃弹性体） 适应性改造项目取得重大进展，2025 年共生产 POE 产品近 6 万吨。这标 志着国内首创 POE 气相聚合工艺实现工业化量产与规模化供应，有效缓 解我国光伏、新能源汽车等战略性新兴产业对进口产品的依赖。独山子石 化公司采用自主开发的气相法工艺，填补了国内相关领域的技术空白。经 检测，其主力牌号 UL0588 的核心指标——透光率达到国际先进水平，质 量稳定性位居国产 POE 前列。由该产品制成的光伏胶膜，展现出更优的 耐候性、更强的水汽阻隔性和更长的寿命。 河北东丽新材料千吨级聚酰亚胺核心单体产能再进阶。石家庄市行政审批 局正式发布拟批准公示，河北东丽新材料有限公司年产 5 ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.02 中蒙业务拐点至，业绩改善初显现 [Table_Industry] 物流仓储 ——2026 年物流仓储行业周报 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 虞楠(分析师) | 021-23219382 | yunan@gtht.com | S0880525040110 | | 岳鑫(分析师) | 0755-23976758 | yuexin@gtht.com | S0880514030006 | 本报告导读： 中蒙业务拐点已至，甘其毛都口岸通车数稳步回升、短盘运费企稳上行、蒙古主焦 煤价格持续回暖，共同推动公司业绩进入修复通道。 | | | 投资要点： 风险提示。需求下滑、政策变化、地缘政治风险、汇率波动等。 行 业 周 报 证 券 研 究 报 告 [Table_Report] 相关报告 物流仓储《快递件量增速趋缓，反内卷助盈利修 复》2026.01.02 物流仓储《快递单价降幅收窄，反内卷持续扩 散》2025.10.2 ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.02 中蒙业务拐点至，业绩改善初显现 [Table_Industry] 物流仓储 ——2026 年物流仓储行业周报 | | | [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 虞楠(分析师) | 021-23219382 | yunan@gtht.com | S0880525040110 | | 岳鑫(分析师) | 0755-23976758 | yuexin@gtht.com | S0880514030006 | 本报告导读： 中蒙业务拐点已至，甘其毛都口岸通车数稳步回升、短盘运费企稳上行、蒙古主焦 煤价格持续回暖，共同推动公司业绩进入修复通道。 投资要点： 风险提示。需求下滑、政策变化、地缘政治风险、汇率波动等。 行 业 周 报 票 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 [Table_Report] 相关报告 物流仓储《快递件量增速趋缓，反内卷助盈利修 复》2026.01.02 物流仓储《快递单价降幅收窄，反内卷持续扩 散》202 ...

Market Performance - The new stock index and the near-term new stock index fell by 4.51% and 4.61% respectively in the fifth week of January, leading the market decline[7] - Approximately 90% of constituent stocks in the new stock index experienced a decline, with the stock "Bibeite" dropping over 20%[7] Trading Activity - The trading activity in the new stock sector continued to decline, with a predicted decrease in the scale of unlocks in the first week of February[16] - The net active selling in the new stock sector reached 6.366 billion yuan, an increase of 2.690 billion yuan from the previous week[21] New Stock Performance - Two new stocks listed in the market with an average first-day increase of over 200%, specifically 276.44% for Hengyun Chang and 139.59% for Zhenshi Co.[36] - The two new stocks contributed to A/B class investors' single account returns of 419,300 yuan and 404,400 yuan, corresponding to a yield increase of 0.71‰ and 0.70‰ for a 500 million yuan scale account[1] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the new stock index increased by 0.95 to 78.21, while the near-term new stock index saw a significant rise of 24.94 to 183.43[13] - The price-to-book (PB) ratio for the new stock index was recorded at 5.47, corresponding to a historical percentile of 91.3%[15] Risk Factors - There is a risk of reduced winning rates in new stock subscriptions and compliance risks due to internal system imperfections in offline investor participation[41]