Group 1: Semiconductor Industry Research Methodology - The semiconductor industry is characterized by strong cyclical properties, with significant price fluctuations influenced by inventory levels, utilization rates, and expansion rhythms [5][19]. - The industry is driven by the "Moore's Law," which promotes technological and product iterations, alongside a trend of localization versus global division of labor [5][19]. - The growth of the semiconductor industry is intertwined with two cycles: the technology innovation cycle and the supply-demand cycle [15]. Group 2: Identifying High-Growth Trend Stocks - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) serves as a theoretical foundation for asset pricing, focusing on company profitability and macroeconomic conditions [22]. - Relative valuation is essential in practice, relying on comparisons across international, industry, and company levels, with key metrics including capital expenditure, revenue, and profit [23]. - High-growth stocks are primarily driven by earnings per share (EPS) growth, which is critical for identifying potential investment opportunities [24]. Group 3: Specific Company Insights - Northern Huachuang is highlighted for its high technical barriers and clear competitive landscape, making it a leading player in the semiconductor sector [33]. - Luxshare Precision has demonstrated high performance in fulfilling product lines, significantly benefiting from major clients like Apple [42]. - Zhaoxin Microelectronics has seen substantial stock price increases due to its core RF module manufacturing capabilities, driven by the transition from 4G to 5G [45].

Group 1 - The core view of the report indicates that the steel industry is expected to face challenges in demand due to a decline in real estate and construction activities, with a projected decrease in crude steel demand from 101,530 million tons in 2023 to 98,649 million tons in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.10% [44][61][71] - The report highlights that the real estate sector's steel demand is projected to drop significantly from 30,747 million tons in 2023 to 10,061 million tons in 2026, marking a substantial decrease of 67.32% [44][61][71] - Infrastructure demand is expected to remain stable, with a slight increase from 15,327 million tons in 2025 to 15,634 million tons in 2026, indicating a growth of 2.00% [44][61][71] Group 2 - The report outlines that the machinery sector's steel demand is projected to grow from 14,524 million tons in 2025 to 14,959 million tons in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 3.00% [44][61][71] - The automotive sector is expected to see an increase in steel demand from 6,911 million tons in 2025 to 7,256 million tons in 2026, which represents a growth of 5.00% [44][61][71] - The energy sector's steel demand is projected to remain stable, with a slight decrease from 4,123 million tons in 2025 to 4,082 million tons in 2026, indicating a decline of 1.00% [44][61][71] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies in stimulating demand, particularly in the real estate sector, where favorable policies are expected to boost demand expectations [12] - The report notes that the steel industry is undergoing a transformation with a focus on energy efficiency and emissions reduction, as indicated by the government's plans to enhance energy efficiency standards and reduce crude steel production [59] - The report suggests that the overall steel market will experience a shift towards more sustainable practices, which may impact production levels and demand dynamics in the coming years [59]

- The report focuses on the performance of various Smart beta portfolios, specifically the Value 50, Value Balanced 50, Growth 50, Growth Balanced 50, Small Cap 50, and Small Cap Balanced 50 portfolios[4][6] - The Value Balanced 50 portfolio outperformed last week with a weekly return of 2.28%, generating an excess return of 2.13% relative to the China Securities Value Index[1][4] - The Growth Balanced 50 portfolio achieved a weekly return of 1.52% last week, with an annual return of 31.07% year-to-date[4][6] - The Small Cap 50 portfolio had a negative weekly return of -0.21% last week, but it has an impressive annual return of 45.27% year-to-date[4][6] - The Small Cap Balanced 50 portfolio also had a negative weekly return of -0.50% last week, with an annual return of 41.50% year-to-date[4][6] - The report includes detailed performance metrics such as absolute returns, excess returns, and maximum relative drawdowns for each portfolio[7] - The Value 50 portfolio had a weekly return of 0.55% and an annual return of 16.22% year-to-date[4][7] - The Growth 50 portfolio had a weekly return of 0.08% and an annual return of 26.74% year-to-date[4][7] - The report provides visual representations of the weekly, monthly, and year-to-date performance of each portfolio[8][17][24]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - In October 2025, the restart of unprofitable new shares issuance led to an increase in the monthly fundraising amount, and the new shares on the first - day of listing had no break - even, with an average increase of 219%. The new share subscription income remained high, and the "entry" strategy was the optimal one [2]. - The performance of new shares in different sectors and industries varies. The first - day performance of unprofitable new shares on the Science and Technology Innovation Board was excellent, and the choice of restricted - sale plans for unprofitable new shares had a significant impact on income enhancement [11][17]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Issuance and Listing Rhythm - In October 2025, there were 9 new listings on the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges, with a total initial public offering (IPO) fundraising of 1.2869 billion yuan. From January to October 2025, there were 87 new listings, and the total fundraising was 9.0172 billion yuan, a 9% increase in the number of new listings and a 71% increase in fundraising compared to the same period in 2024 [2][8]. - The 3 unprofitable new shares listed in October 2025 had a relatively large fundraising volume, driving the monthly fundraising amount to increase year - on - year and month - on - month [2][8]. 2. First - day Gain Performance - In October 2025, the 6 new shares listed in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets were all issued offline. The new shares on the first - day of listing had no break - even, with an average increase of 219%, the same as in September. The average first - day increase of the first 3 unprofitable new shares on the Science and Technology Innovation Board with agreed restricted sales was 158% [2][11]. - Among the new shares on the Main Board in October, Daosheng Tianhe had a first - day increase of 351%, Chaoying Electronics had a first - day increase of 339%, and Marco Polo had a first - day increase of 148% [11]. 3. New Share Subscription Income Calculation - In October 2025, with the support of unprofitable new share income, the monthly new share subscription income remained high. Without considering unprofitable new shares, the new share subscription income of Class A/B accounts in October was 287,700/277,200 yuan respectively. Conservatively, if all 3 unprofitable new shares selected Plan A3, the total monthly full - subscription income of Class A/B was 623,400/608,800 yuan; optimistically, if all 3 unprofitable new shares selected Plan A1, the total monthly full - subscription income of Class A/B was 3,971,500/608,800 yuan [2][17]. 4. New Share Subscription Strategy at the Current Stage - The "entry" strategy is still the optimal one. It is recommended to actively participate in low - price, small - floating - stock new shares with expected first - day gains and large - market - value new shares with a large offline allocation volume. Among the registered but unlisted enterprises, companies such as Moore Threads are worth paying attention to [2][20]. - The performance of new shares in different sectors is affected by various factors. The Main Board new shares have had good performance and high first - day gains since 2023; the Science and Technology Innovation Board new shares are affected by market heat and policy support; the ChiNext Board is recommended to participate in low - price, small - market - value new shares [20].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights the strategic importance of green development in China's modernization efforts, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive green transformation in economic and social development [5][8] - The introduction of the first specialized policy document on green trade by the Ministry of Commerce aims to address weaknesses in China's green trade development and promote low-carbon capabilities among enterprises [10][11] - The report outlines China's commitment to climate governance, showcasing significant progress in areas such as carbon market development and regulatory frameworks [12][15] Policy Trends - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China released guidelines for the 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing green transformation and ecological security [5][6] - The Ministry of Commerce issued implementation opinions to expand green trade, focusing on enhancing the green capabilities of foreign trade enterprises and optimizing the international environment for green trade [10][11] Industry Trends - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment published the 2025 Annual Report on China's Climate Change Policies and Actions, detailing the country's efforts in climate governance and its commitment to achieving carbon neutrality by 2035 [12][15] - Shanghai introduced guidelines for the construction of age-friendly shopping malls, addressing the needs of the elderly population in urban settings [17][20] - The 2025 World Animal Welfare and Sustainable Food Conference was held in Beijing, promoting sustainable agricultural practices and animal welfare standards [21][26] International Events - The 20th International Environmental Expo was held in Hong Kong, showcasing innovative environmental technologies and sustainable development solutions [27][28] - Officials from the US and Qatar warned that the EU's new climate law could threaten energy security and investment environments in Europe [29][30] Corporate Developments - Ping An Insurance achieved the highest MSCI ESG rating of AAA, maintaining its position as a leader in the Asia-Pacific region for four consecutive years [31][32] - The company has integrated sustainable development into its core strategy, focusing on green finance and responsible investment practices [33][34]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - All the companies mentioned in the report for valuation have a "Buy" rating, including papermaking companies such as Sun Paper, Nine Dragons Paper, and metal packaging companies like OriGene Technologies [65][68] 2. Core Views of the Report - Listed companies are actively deploying overseas production capacity, with established production in regions like Vietnam to cover US orders. Overseas production has advantages in tariff rates, raw materials, labor, and local industrial preferential policies [2] - The supply - side of the papermaking and metal packaging industries is expected to improve. Prices and profitability are at low levels, and anti - involution is becoming a consensus among large manufacturers. Price synergy is expected to improve, and the prices of the entire papermaking industry chain are expected to rise, increasing the profits of leading companies. The two - piece cans in the metal packaging industry are expected to adjust prices at the end of the year, with significant profit elasticity [2] 3. Summary by Related Content Overseas Production Capacity Deployment - **Tariff Advantage**: Southeast Asian exports to the US have a significant tariff advantage compared to Chinese exports. For example, furniture products under the 301 clause show this difference [31] - **Raw Material Advantage**: Some overseas regions have abundant raw material reserves, which is beneficial for enterprises to purchase locally and reduce costs. Southeast Asia has good resource endowments suitable for traditional manufacturing industries [34] - **Labor Cost Advantage**: The labor cost in Vietnam is lower than that in China. The total employer cost in Vietnam is about 352,350 RMB, while in China it is about 385,120 RMB [39] - **Policy Advantage**: Southeast Asian countries have formulated different preferential policies for different industries through taxation, land, and subsidies [41] Papermaking Industry - **Industry Chain**: The papermaking industry chain includes upstream raw materials (such as waste paper, wood pulp), mid - stream paper manufacturing, and downstream applications (such as packaging, printing) [47] - **Price and Profit**: In 2025, the prices of some paper products have changed. Boxboard paper and corrugated paper have increased in price, and the profitability of paper enterprises has first declined and then increased. Cultural paper prices are expected to stabilize and rise, and white cardboard price increase letters are waiting to be implemented [58][62] - **Company Analysis** - **Sun Paper**: In the short term, it is expected that the prices of broad - leaf pulp and cultural paper will increase in November, and the profit will be increased by more than 100 million after the commissioning of projects in the fourth quarter. In the long term, the company's competitive advantage is expected to expand [63] - **Nine Dragons Paper**: In FY25, the sales volume increased by 9.6% year - on - year. In the short term, the profit is expected to be repaired, and in the long term, the cost advantage is expected to be further expanded [63] Metal Packaging Industry - **Company Analysis - OriGene Technologies**: Domestically, the sales volume of two - piece cans in Q3 increased, and the overseas business slightly increased revenue and profit after the merger in September. In the short term, the two - piece cans are expected to adjust prices at the end of the year, and in the long term, the growth space is broad [66] - **Industry Trend**: The anti - involution initiative in the metal packaging industry is expected to improve price synergy, and the profit elasticity of two - piece can enterprises is large [67] Other Industries - **Pan - entertainment Industry**: From 2019 - 2024, the market size of China's pan - entertainment products and pan - entertainment toys has grown at a certain rate, and is expected to continue to grow from 2024 - 2029 [5][8] - **AR Industry**: Some AR companies have different financing stages, valuations, and market performances. For example, Rokid has a high valuation and good performance in the US and Japanese markets [17] - **New Tobacco Industry**: The harm - reduction of new tobacco is better than traditional tobacco. The new product Glo Hilo of Smoore International is expected to reshape the global HNB competition pattern [21][28]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment rating for the AI industry, particularly highlighting the growth potential of DeepSeek AI and its competitive positioning against international models [10][25]. Core Insights - DeepSeek AI has achieved a daily active user count of 15 million within just 18 days of launch, significantly outperforming ChatGPT by 13 times. By May 2025, global web traffic reached 432 million, ranking just behind ChatGPT, New Bing, and Gemini [10]. - The DeepSeek R1-0528 model shows strong performance in various benchmark tests, closely matching top international models like OpenAI-o3 and Gemini-2.5-Pro-0506 [10]. - The average token usage for the Doubao model exceeded 16.4 trillion tokens per day by May 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 137 times [10][14]. Summary by Sections Section 1: DeepSeek AI - DeepSeek AI is positioned as a cost-effective and efficient solution in the Chinese AI market, addressing gaps in the domestic AI industry chain [25]. - The rapid growth in user engagement and token consumption indicates a strong market acceptance and potential for further expansion [10][14]. Section 2: AI Tokens - The report highlights a significant increase in token usage across major players, with Doubao reaching 16.4 trillion tokens per day, Microsoft Cloud at 1 trillion tokens in Q1 2025, and Google at 4.8 trillion tokens monthly by April 2025 [14][10]. - The overall global token consumption is experiencing exponential growth, reflecting the increasing demand for AI applications [14]. Section 3: Capital Expenditure (CapEx) - The projected CapEx for AI in 2026 is estimated at 476.25 billion USD, with a growth rate of 131% from the previous year. Major companies like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon are expected to lead in AI CapEx investments [18]. - Domestic AI CapEx is also on the rise, with significant contributions from companies like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent, indicating a robust investment landscape in the AI sector [58][64]. Section 4: AI Chip Demand - The report forecasts that by 2026, the shipment of AI computing chips will approach 20 million units, driven by increasing demand for advanced AI capabilities [19]. - The domestic AI chip market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of approximately 687.84 billion USD by 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [64].

Group 1: Acquisition Overview - Shenzhen state-owned company Shahe Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 70% of Shenzhen Jinghua Display Electronics Co., Ltd. for cash, marking a significant step in its business transformation from real estate to technology[6] - This acquisition is the first demonstration case under Shenzhen's three-year action plan for mergers and acquisitions[6] - Shahe Co. reported a revenue of approximately CNY 20.86 million for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 93.58%[6] Group 2: Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Shahe Co. was approximately -CNY 32.22 million, a year-on-year decrease of 168.73%[6] - Jinghua Electronics, established in 1987, had its IPO application accepted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in June 2023, but it was terminated in March 2024[6] Group 3: Related Transactions - Victory Co., Ltd. plans to issue shares and pay cash to acquire gas-related assets controlled by its major shareholder, including 100% of Zhongyou Gas (Zhuhai Hengqin) Co., Ltd. and 51% of Nantong Zhongyou Gas Co., Ltd.[6] - The acquisition involves gas assets across four regions, which will help Victory Co. to revitalize and integrate related assets within its group[6]

Group 1: Electronic Components - The report highlights that DeepSeek will accelerate the penetration of domestic AI applications and boost the demand for domestic computing power [2][25]. - Investment recommendations include companies such as Cambrian-U, Haiguang Information, SMIC, Zhaoyi Innovation, and Shengke Communication-U, with related companies like Chipone [2][25]. - The AI narrative is evolving rapidly, with token usage increasing exponentially, indicating a strong growth trajectory for the sector [23]. Group 2: Overseas Technology - The semiconductor industry is experiencing accelerated upgrades driven by AI and data center construction, with a forecasted 5.4% growth in global silicon wafer shipments in 2025, reaching 128.24 billion square inches [3]. - The demand for AI is a major driver for this growth, particularly in data centers and edge computing, which will benefit silicon wafer manufacturers and equipment suppliers [3]. - The report notes that the current supply of silicon wafers is recovering from a downturn, and if AI demand materializes as expected, capacity utilization for related manufacturers will continue to rise [3]. Group 3: China National Airlines - The company demonstrated strong profitability in Q3 2025, achieving a net profit of 3.7 billion yuan despite a 11% year-on-year decline, showcasing resilience and potential for growth [7][8]. - The company plans to raise 20 billion yuan through a private placement to optimize its capital structure and reduce leverage, which is expected to enhance financial stability [9][10]. - The airline's network and customer quality are among the best in the industry, and the ongoing optimization is likely to drive an increase in profitability [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 17.60 CNY [6]. Core Views - The report indicates that coal production and sales have declined in Q3, but there is potential for growth and elasticity in the future. The company has turned profitable from its investment in the Tongxin coal mine, and the most challenging period for the industry has passed. The group asset injection contributes to growth, and the dividend payout ratio has increased for three consecutive years [2][12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 15,342 million CNY, decreasing by 4.6% from the previous year. For 2024, revenue is expected to be 15,033 million CNY, a further decline of 2.0%. By 2025, revenue is estimated to drop significantly to 12,294 million CNY, a decrease of 18.2% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 3,301 million CNY in 2023, down 8.3% year-on-year, and is expected to decline to 2,808 million CNY in 2024, a drop of 14.9%. By 2025, net profit is projected to fall to 1,835 million CNY, a decrease of 34.7% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.97 CNY in 2023, decreasing to 1.68 CNY in 2024, and further down to 1.10 CNY in 2025 [4]. Production and Sales Analysis - In the first three quarters of 2025, coal production reached 26.19 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.52%, while sales were 20.86 million tons, a decrease of 5.50% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, coal production was 8.97 million tons, up 1.12% year-on-year, but down 4.17% quarter-on-quarter. Sales in Q3 were 7.56 million tons, down 0.74% year-on-year and down 5.87% quarter-on-quarter [12]. - The average revenue per ton of coal in Q3 2025 was 425 CNY, a decrease of 67 CNY year-on-year, but an increase of 6 CNY quarter-on-quarter. The report notes that the increase in revenue per ton was lower than the market coal price due to promotional discounts to meet long-term contract obligations [12]. Investment and Growth Prospects - The company has seen a turnaround in investment income from its 32% stake in the Tongxin coal mine, reporting an investment income of 45 million CNY in Q3 2025, recovering from a loss of 48 million CNY in Q2 [12]. - The report highlights that the company is in the process of acquiring assets from the Jineng Holding Group, which includes exploration rights with a resource volume of 1.844 billion tons and an estimated recoverable reserve of 1 billion tons [12]. - The dividend payout ratio is expected to increase to 45% in 2024, marking three consecutive years of growth, supported by sufficient cash reserves of 13.9 billion CNY as of Q3 2025 [12].