【ESG 投资周报】本月新发绿色债券 24 只，流动性环比宽松 产业研究中心 资讯汇总 [table_Header]2026.02.02 摘要： | [Table_Authors] | | | --- | --- | | | 赵子健(分析师) | | | 021-38032292 | | | zhaozijian@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520060003 | | | 王佳(分析师) | | | 010-83939781 | | | wangjia7@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524010001 | | | 蔡晨(分析师) | | | 021-38031023 | | | caichen@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525080002 | [Table_Report] 往期回顾 【ESG 投资周报】本月新发绿色债券 80 只，银 行理财稳步发行 2026.01.26 【行业 ESG 周报】五部门印发指导意见支撑零碳 工厂建设，我国新型自然保护地体系初步建成 2026.01.26 【ESG 投资周报】本月新发 ESG基金 1 只，绿色 债券 ...

Market Overview - A-shares continued a slow bull market in January 2026, with 26 out of 31 industries showing positive growth[7] - The top-performing sectors included non-ferrous metals, media, oil and petrochemicals, construction materials, and basic chemicals[7] Investment Strategy - Fund allocation should maintain a balanced style while slightly favoring growth, particularly in technology and cyclical sectors[4] - Recommended funds include Southern Quality Selected, E Fund Environmental Protection Theme, and Guotai Consumer Preferred among others[4] Fund Performance - In January 2026, growth-style funds achieved an average return of 9.07%, outperforming value and balanced funds which returned 6.08% and 5.60% respectively[49] - TMT and midstream manufacturing sector funds led the performance, with average returns of 9.16% and 8.29%[50] New Fund Issuance - A total of 123 new funds were launched in January 2026, raising a total of 120.21 billion yuan, the highest for the same period in four years[56] - Equity funds accounted for 67.6% of the new issuance, reflecting strong investor interest in this category[59] Bond Market Insights - The bond market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, particularly in ultra-long bonds, which may lead to increased volatility[16] - Investors are advised to focus on medium to short-term bonds and avoid ultra-long maturities due to potential pricing pressures[18]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the technology sector, particularly in advanced semiconductor, artificial intelligence, and quantum technology, indicating a dynamic investment landscape Summary by Sections 1. Financing Overview - During the period from January 24 to January 30, 2026, a total of 115 financing events occurred in the technology sector globally, with 84 in China and 31 abroad. The leading sectors in domestic financing were advanced manufacturing (50 events), artificial intelligence (21 events), and enterprise services (4 events) [9] 2. IPO Updates - Several companies submitted IPO applications, including: - Hengyun Chang listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on January 28, 2026, focusing on semiconductor equipment core components [10] - Tuobida submitted an application to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, specializing in smart traffic solutions [14] - Jucheng Semiconductor also applied for a Hong Kong listing, focusing on high-performance non-volatile memory chips [16] - CoolCore Microelectronics and A-Tong Robot submitted applications for Hong Kong listings, focusing on AI solutions and robotics, respectively [19][21] 3. Market Performance Tracking - The overall market indices showed a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.44% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.62%. The semiconductor index fell by 0.93%, while the automotive electronics index saw a significant drop of 6.43% [24][28] 4. Advanced Semiconductor Developments - Cornell University proposed a non-invasive method for semiconductor supply chain integrity detection using out-of-band power side-channel measurements, which could enhance security against hardware threats [31] - The University of Tokyo revealed the spontaneous polarization properties of gold oxide nanosheets, which could be utilized in optoelectronic devices [35] - Arizona State University analyzed the electrical and structural responses of nine-atom-wide armchair graphene nanoribbon transistors to gamma radiation, providing insights for radiation-resistant designs [38] 5. Artificial Intelligence Innovations - Tsinghua University and ByteDance introduced a multimodal world model framework that enhances human-like reasoning through visual generation, demonstrating the potential of unified multimodal models [46] - The University of Oslo developed a robotic transesophageal echocardiography system that integrates deep learning for kinematic modeling, addressing clinical challenges [51] 6. Quantum Technology Advancements - The Chinese Academy of Sciences achieved a breakthrough with a 78-qubit processor that realizes long-lived preheated states, contributing to the field of quantum computing [6] - IBM's superconducting quantum computer validated the "Schrodinger's friend" paradox, marking a significant milestone in quantum research [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating a projected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [10]. Core Insights - AstraZeneca announced a plan to invest $15 billion in China during the visit of the UK Prime Minister, focusing on cell therapy and radiolabeled conjugates [2][5]. - This investment aims to enhance drug manufacturing and R&D capabilities, leveraging China's scientific strengths and advanced manufacturing [5]. - The investment will significantly boost AstraZeneca's capabilities in new treatment modalities, particularly in addressing cancer, blood diseases, and autoimmune disorders [5]. - The investment will cover the entire value chain from drug discovery to clinical development and manufacturing, with collaborations with leading biotech companies [5]. - AstraZeneca will establish global strategic R&D centers in Beijing and Shanghai, expand existing production bases, and increase its skilled workforce in China to over 20,000 [5]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - AstraZeneca's $15 billion investment will be allocated primarily to cell therapy and radiolabeled conjugates [5]. - The investment is expected to enhance AstraZeneca's R&D pipeline and manufacturing capabilities in China [5]. Strategic Collaborations - The investment will involve partnerships with leading biotech firms, aiming to bring Chinese innovations to the global market [5]. Workforce Expansion - AstraZeneca plans to expand its workforce in China to over 20,000 skilled employees as part of this investment [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the optical fiber industry, indicating a projected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [4][33]. Core Insights - The optical interconnection sector shows strong performance expectations, with a focus on the transition opportunities from CPO/OIO technology. The optical fiber industry is experiencing a clear price increase trend, driven by demand from telecom operators and pre-holiday inventory needs [2][9]. - LightCounting forecasts that CPO technology shipments will begin scaling from 800G and 1.6T ports between 2026 and 2027, primarily for large cloud service providers. By 2029, the penetration rates for 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T CPOs are expected to be 2.9%, 9.5%, and 50.6% respectively [8][9]. - Recent price increases in fiber optics are anticipated to continue due to heightened demand from telecom operators and upcoming procurement activities [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The optical interconnection sector is expected to maintain strong performance, with individual company differences but overall manageable conditions projected for 2026 [7]. - The appreciation of the RMB is impacting the optical interconnection sector, particularly for companies focused on overseas exports, with potential profit impacts estimated at under 5% for most, while some may see impacts nearing half of their profits [7]. Investment Highlights - The industry has seen an increase in holding ratios, with valuations at historically elevated levels, reflecting positive expectations driven by the AI industry chain [23]. - AI is driving network upgrades, with strong overseas demand benefiting domestic core enterprises amid a global infrastructure wave [24]. - A new generation of computing infrastructure is emerging in China, with a fully domestic supply chain entering a new cycle [25]. - New connectivity solutions are expected to emerge in 2026, presenting additional investment opportunities [26]. - AI-driven network upgrades are enhancing communication capacity demands, with rapid advancements in network innovation and technology applications [27]. Key Industry News - Corning has signed a long-term supply agreement worth $6 billion with Meta to support its data center expansion in the U.S. [10]. - NVIDIA has invested $2 billion in CoreWeave to enhance AI computing capabilities [12]. - Microsoft has launched its second-generation AI chip, Maia 200, aimed at optimizing AI inference costs [14][15]. - The personal AI assistant ClawdBot has gained significant traction globally, showcasing advanced capabilities [16][17]. - Microsoft and Meta reported substantial increases in capital expenditures, reflecting their commitment to infrastructure growth [18][19].

Group 1: Military Industry Research - The global military infrared market is expected to grow, with domestic equipment demand recovering, leading to continuous growth in orders and performance for the company [3][4] - The company has expanded its business to cover the entire manufacturing chain, achieving significant procurement agreements and becoming a major supplier for national defense projects [4] - The company is actively participating in global competition, with multiple large contracts signed in 2025, indicating its entry into the international high-end complete equipment system supplier market [4] Group 2: Photovoltaic Equipment Industry - SpaceX's application to deploy a million satellites is expected to create opportunities for photovoltaic applications in orbital data centers, benefiting related photovoltaic equipment manufacturers [6][7] - The demand for stable, low-cost photovoltaic and energy storage solutions is accelerating due to increased computational needs from data centers [7] - Companies like Maiwei and Jiejia are making significant advancements in photovoltaic technology, which may support applications in space [8] Group 3: Transportation Industry Research - The 2026 Spring Festival holiday extension is expected to boost travel demand, with a record high in passenger flow anticipated during the Spring Festival transportation period [9][10] - The total cross-regional passenger flow during the 2026 Spring Festival is projected to reach 9.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.3% [10] - The railway and civil aviation sectors are expected to see significant increases in passenger numbers, with airlines anticipating a 5.3% growth in passenger transport volume [10][11] Group 4: General Market Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the military industry, with long-term growth driven by national defense modernization efforts [24] - The logistics and transportation sectors are showing signs of recovery, particularly in cross-border trade, which is expected to improve profitability for companies involved [29][30]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the optical fiber industry, indicating a projected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [4][33]. Core Insights - The optical interconnection sector shows strong performance expectations, with a focus on the transition opportunities from CPO/OIO technology. The optical fiber industry is experiencing a clear price increase trend, driven by demand from telecom operators and pre-holiday inventory needs [2][9]. - LightCounting forecasts that CPO technology shipments will begin scaling from 800G and 1.6T ports between 2026 and 2027, primarily for large cloud service providers. By 2029, the penetration rates for 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T CPOs are expected to be 2.9%, 9.5%, and 50.6% respectively [8][9]. - Recent price increases in fiber optics are anticipated to continue due to heightened demand from telecom operators and upcoming procurement activities [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The optical interconnection sector is expected to maintain strong performance, with individual company variations but overall manageable conditions anticipated for 2026 [7]. - The appreciation of the RMB is impacting the optical interconnection sector, particularly for companies focused on overseas exports, with potential profit impacts estimated at under 5% for most, while some may see significant effects [7]. Investment Highlights - The industry has seen an increase in holding ratios, with valuations at historically high levels, reflecting positive expectations driven by the AI industry chain [23]. - AI is driving network upgrades, with strong overseas demand benefiting domestic core enterprises amid a global infrastructure wave [24]. - A new cycle of domestic AI infrastructure is emerging, with significant opportunities for leading companies in various segments [25]. - New connectivity solutions are expected to emerge in 2026, presenting additional investment opportunities [26]. - The demand for communication capabilities is increasing due to AI model training and applications, leading to rapid advancements in network innovation and technology applications [27]. Key Industry News - Corning has signed a long-term supply agreement worth $6 billion with Meta to support its data center expansion, highlighting the trend of strengthening domestic manufacturing and supply chains [10][11]. - NVIDIA has invested $2 billion in CoreWeave to enhance AI computing capabilities, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure development [12][13]. - Microsoft has launched its second-generation AI chip, Maia 200, aimed at optimizing AI inference costs and reducing reliance on NVIDIA [14][15]. - The personal AI assistant ClawdBot has gained significant traction, showcasing advancements in AI capabilities and user interaction [16][17]. - Microsoft and Meta reported substantial increases in capital expenditures, reflecting their commitment to expanding computing infrastructure [18][19].

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The Federal Reserve's recent policy statement reflects a slightly hawkish stance, leading to adjustments in asset prices, with the dollar index rising and U.S. stocks declining[6] - Kevin Warsh's nomination as the next Fed Chair has caused significant market reactions, with expectations of a more independent Fed and a potential shift in monetary policy direction[7] - The manufacturing PMI for January 2026 is reported at 49.3%, indicating a decline of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity[17] Group 2: Market Performance - Global asset prices showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.38% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.34%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44%[8] - Commodity prices experienced divergence, with IPE Brent crude oil futures rising by 6.65% and COMEX copper increasing by 0.51%, while London gold prices decreased by 2.03%[8] - The market anticipates two rate cuts in 2026, with the Federal Funds futures market reflecting limited expectations for aggressive rate reductions following Warsh's nomination[7] Group 3: Sector Analysis - The new economic landscape shows a significant shift towards emerging technologies, with sectors like AI and electric vehicles driving growth, while traditional industries lag behind[28] - The financial sector is expected to benefit from increased asset management demand, with insurance and securities firms poised for growth in a low-interest-rate environment[30] - The construction and real estate sectors are experiencing marginal improvements, but overall demand remains weak, necessitating further policy support[19]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 71.40 CNY [5][11][15]. Core Insights - The company has a strong foothold in the defense technology industry, focusing on basic components and electronic functional materials, which are widely used in key national projects and civilian applications. The steady growth of the defense budget and demand from various downstream sectors support the company's resilience and growth potential [2][11][23]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 9.41 billion CNY, 11.14 billion CNY, and 11.78 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.70 CNY, 2.01 CNY, and 2.13 CNY [11][15]. - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of high-reliability electronic components, benefiting from a comprehensive product portfolio and strong system-level support capabilities [11][23]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 7,789 million CNY in 2023, with a decrease to 5,219 million CNY in 2024, followed by a gradual increase to 7,051 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.0% from 2025 to 2027 [4][17]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decline to 970 million CNY in 2024, before recovering to 1,178 million CNY by 2027 [4][17]. - The company’s net asset return rate is expected to stabilize around 6.7% from 2026 onwards [4]. Business Overview - The company specializes in new electronic components, which accounted for nearly 100% of its revenue in 2024, highlighting its market dominance in this sector [35]. - The company’s product offerings include resistors, capacitors, integrated circuits, and electronic functional materials, which are essential for both military and civilian applications [23][31]. - The company is actively investing in R&D to enhance its product capabilities and maintain its competitive edge in high-reliability electronic components [11][33]. Industry Outlook - The electronic components industry is expected to continue expanding, driven by increasing demand across various sectors, including consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and industrial automation [39][43]. - The global electronic components market is projected to grow from 448.4 billion USD in 2026 to 870.93 billion USD by 2035, with a CAGR of 7.2% [43]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from structural growth opportunities in the electronic components sector, particularly in the context of rising defense budgets and advancements in technology [11][39].

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 [Table_Industry] 核电设备 FIA 发布 "欧洲聚变能源：行动倡议"， 四川"聚变产投" 正式运营 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 ——可控核聚变行业周报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 黄龙(分析师) | 021-38031028 | huanglong@gtht.com | S0880525070027 | 本报告导读： 上周（2026/1/26-2026/1/30）可控核聚变领域动态：FIA 发布 "欧洲聚变能源：行动 倡议"，俄罗斯成功测试创纪录高温超导电缆；四川天府新区"聚变产投"正式运营， 今创集团联手核聚变专家布局聚变领域； 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 核电设备《韩国扩大聚变研发预算，General Fusion 拟借壳上市》2026.01.25 核电设 ...