Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading integrated oilfield service provider in China, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement while deepening transformation [1][4]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, benefiting from the "Belt and Road" initiative, with significant growth in overseas revenue and new contracts [2][4]. - The company aims to enhance production efficiency by optimizing human resources and asset management, leading to a significant reduction in workforce and an increase in revenue per employee [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates across five major business segments: geophysical services, drilling engineering, logging, downhole special operations, and engineering construction, covering the entire oil and gas industry chain from exploration to abandonment [1][17]. - It has established a strong international presence, executing projects in over 30 countries and becoming a key contractor for national oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Ecuador [1][27]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 37.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%, and a net profit of 492 million yuan, up 9.0% [32]. - The company forecasts net profits of 909 million, 1.099 billion, and 1.315 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.05, 0.06, and 0.07 yuan per share [4][5]. Operational Efficiency - The company plans to reduce various institutions by 271 and teams by 124 in 2024, saving operational costs of 150 million yuan [3]. - The workforce has decreased from 81,340 in 2016 to 60,162 in 2024, a reduction of 26%, while revenue per employee has increased by 155% [3]. Market Expansion - The company has seen a 4% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue to 9.28 billion yuan and a 72% increase in new contracts to 19.62 billion yuan [2]. - Major breakthroughs in key markets such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Ecuador have been achieved, with significant contracts signed [29]. Research and Development - The company is committed to increasing R&D investment, maintaining a research intensity of 2.5%-3% in 2024, and aims to enhance technological innovation and core competencies [3][38]. - The company has received multiple awards for its technological advancements and has a robust patent portfolio [38][42].

- **Quantitative Timing Model: Volume Timing Signal** - **Model Name**: Volume Timing Signal - **Construction Idea**: The model uses volume indicators to assess market sentiment and provide timing signals for broad-based indices[23] - **Construction Process**: The model evaluates the trading volume of major indices (e.g., Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, etc.) and assigns a cautious view when volume contracts significantly[23][24] - **Evaluation**: The model provides a cautious perspective on market timing, especially during periods of volume contraction[23] - **Quantitative Sentiment Indicator: HS300 Upward Stock Count Ratio** - **Indicator Name**: HS300 Upward Stock Count Ratio - **Construction Idea**: The indicator measures the proportion of stocks within the CSI 300 index that have positive returns over a given period to gauge market sentiment[24] - **Construction Process**: - Formula: $ HS300\ Upward\ Stock\ Count\ Ratio = \frac{\text{Number of CSI 300 stocks with positive returns over N days}}{\text{Total number of CSI 300 stocks}} $ - The indicator is smoothed using two different window periods (N1=50, N2=35) to capture short-term and long-term trends[24][28] - **Evaluation**: The indicator effectively captures upward opportunities but struggles to predict downward risks. It is prone to missing gains during sustained market exuberance[25] - **Quantitative Sentiment Indicator: Moving Average Sentiment Indicator** - **Indicator Name**: Moving Average Sentiment Indicator - **Construction Idea**: The indicator uses an eight-moving-average system to assess the sentiment and trend of the CSI 300 index[31] - **Construction Process**: - Calculate the eight moving averages (parameters: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233) for the CSI 300 index closing price[31] - Assign values based on the number of moving averages above or below the current price: - If the current price exceeds five moving averages, signal a bullish sentiment[32] - Smooth the sentiment indicator using two moving average windows (N1>N2) to generate buy/sell signals[31][32] - **Evaluation**: The indicator provides clear sentiment signals and aligns well with CSI 300 index trends[34] - **Market Alpha Environment Indicator: Cross-Sectional Volatility** - **Indicator Name**: Cross-Sectional Volatility - **Construction Idea**: Measures the dispersion of returns among index constituents to evaluate the alpha generation environment[36] - **Construction Process**: - Calculate the standard deviation of returns for index constituents (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) over different time periods (quarterly, semi-annual, annual)[38] - Compare the volatility levels to historical percentiles to assess the alpha environment[38] - **Evaluation**: The indicator shows improved short-term alpha opportunities for CSI 300 and CSI 500, while CSI 1000 remains average[36] - **Market Alpha Environment Indicator: Time-Series Volatility** - **Indicator Name**: Time-Series Volatility - **Construction Idea**: Measures the volatility of index constituent returns over time to assess alpha generation potential[38] - **Construction Process**: - Calculate the weighted time-series volatility for index constituents (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) over different time periods (quarterly, semi-annual, annual)[41] - Compare the volatility levels to historical percentiles to evaluate the alpha environment[41] - **Evaluation**: CSI 500 shows favorable alpha conditions, while CSI 300 and CSI 1000 remain average or below average[38] Backtesting Results for Models and Indicators - **Volume Timing Signal**: - Signal: Cautious for all major indices (Shanghai Composite, CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, etc.)[24] - **HS300 Upward Stock Count Ratio**: - Recent Value: Approximately 60%[25] - **Moving Average Sentiment Indicator**: - Current Sentiment: CSI 300 index is in a bullish sentiment zone[34] - **Cross-Sectional Volatility**: - CSI 300: Quarterly average volatility = 2.04%, percentile = 73.50% - CSI 500: Quarterly average volatility = 2.19%, percentile = 67.46% - CSI 1000: Quarterly average volatility = 2.40%, percentile = 66.14%[38] - **Time-Series Volatility**: - CSI 300: Quarterly average volatility = 0.63%, percentile = 61.70% - CSI 500: Quarterly average volatility = 0.45%, percentile = 74.60% - CSI 1000: Quarterly average volatility = 0.24%, percentile = 59.76%[41]

2025 年 9 月 28 日 行业研究 《石化化工行业稳增长工作方案》出台，高端化转型、产业升级有望加速 ——石油化工行业周报第 422 期（20250922—20250928） 要点 《石化化工行业稳增长工作方案》发布，统筹推进科技创新和转型升级。工 信部等七部门印发《石化化工行业稳增长工作方案》（以下简称《方案》）。 当前石化化工行业面临基础有机原料市场竞争加剧、高端精细化学品供给不 足、国内需求增速放缓、外部不确定性增加等问题，《方案》旨在统筹推进稳 增长和促转型，坚持培育行业增长新动能和更新旧动能相结合、供给质量提升 与内外需求拓展相结合、市场主导与政府引导相结合，着力实现石化化工行业 质的有效提升和量的合理增长，夯实行业高质量发展基础。在具体措施方面， 《方案》强调：（1）强化产业科技创新，提升有效供给能力；（2）扩大有 效投资，促进转型升级；（3）拓展市场需求，激发市场潜能；（4）壮大发 展载体，培育高质量增长引擎；（5）深化开放合作，提高国际化发展水平。 支持企业增强高端化供给，新材料转型有望深化。在产业转型方面，《方案》 指出聚焦集成电路、新能源、医疗装备、等重点产业链需求，支持电子化学品、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns [6]. Core Insights - The company has signed contracts for two major projects in the Middle East, with a total contract value of approximately 217 billion RMB, representing 25% of the company's revenue for 2024 [2][3]. - The funding from a planned A-share issuance of 16.75 billion shares, amounting to 5.913 billion RMB, will support these projects, enhancing the company's capabilities in international markets and contributing to high-quality development [3]. - The company has shown a 9.86% year-on-year increase in new overseas contracts, which accounted for 31.58% of total new contracts signed in the first half of 2025 [4]. Summary by Sections Project Contracts - The company has secured contracts for the UAE LNG pipeline project worth 5.13 billion USD (approximately 36.88 billion RMB) and the Iraq seawater pipeline project valued at 25.24 billion USD (approximately 180.32 billion RMB) [1][2]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 738 million RMB, 825 million RMB, and 929 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.13, 0.15, and 0.17 RMB per share [4][10]. Market Position - The company ranks 36th in the ENR International Contractors 250 list and 6th among the top ten global oil and gas engineering companies, reflecting its strong international brand influence [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, specifically an "Accumulate" rating [5]. Core Views - The strategic restructuring of the controlling shareholder is expected to achieve deep synergy within the industrial chain, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing homogeneous competition [2][3]. - The merger between China Pingmei Shenma Group and Henan Energy Group is a significant move, as both are major players in the energy sector with substantial assets and resources [2]. - The company is positioned to benefit from preferential policies in tax and capacity allocation due to its status as a key enterprise in Henan Province [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The controlling shareholder, China Pingmei Shenma Group, is formed from two Fortune 500 companies with an asset scale exceeding 280 billion yuan, ranking 168th in the 2024 China Enterprise 500 list [2]. - Henan Energy Group, a major provincial enterprise, has coal reserves of 28.4 billion tons and a chemical product capacity of nearly 10 million tons [2]. Strategic Implications - The restructuring is expected to create a seamless "coal-coke-chemical-new energy" industrial chain, allowing the company to access high-quality coal and coke resources, thereby reducing costs and promoting high-end, green development [3]. - The company is likely to receive regional policy benefits that will support its growth trajectory [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 45 million yuan, 89 million yuan, and 132 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.04, 0.09, and 0.13 yuan [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 12.92 billion yuan in 2023 to 19.68 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.6% [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio forecast of 248 for 2025, decreasing to 85 by 2027, indicating an improving valuation outlook as earnings grow [4][12]. - The company is identified as a leader in the nylon chemical industry, with ongoing capacity expansion and a focus on high-value downstream sectors [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, specifically an "Accumulate" rating [5]. Core Views - The strategic restructuring of the controlling shareholder is expected to achieve deep synergy within the industrial chain, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing homogeneous competition [2][3]. - The merger between China Pingmei Shenma Group and Henan Energy Group is a significant move, as both are major players in the energy sector with substantial assets and resources [2]. - The company is positioned to benefit from preferential policies in tax and capacity allocation, which may promote its development [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The controlling shareholder, China Pingmei Shenma Group, is formed from two Fortune 500 companies with an asset scale exceeding 280 billion yuan, ranking 168th in the 2024 China Enterprise 500 list [2]. - Henan Energy Group, a key provincial enterprise, has coal reserves of 28.4 billion tons and a chemical product capacity of nearly 10 million tons [2]. Strategic Restructuring - The restructuring aims to integrate the "coal-coke-chemical-new energy" industrial chain, which could lead to cost reductions and a shift towards high-end, green development in the company's nylon chemical industry [3]. - The merger is seen as a key initiative for the provincial government's state-owned enterprise reform [2]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to have net profits of 45 million yuan, 89 million yuan, and 132 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.04 yuan, 0.09 yuan, and 0.13 yuan [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 12.92 billion yuan in 2023 to 19.68 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.6% [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio forecast of 248 for 2025, decreasing to 85 by 2027, indicating an improving valuation outlook as earnings grow [4][12]. - The company is identified as a leader in the domestic nylon chemical industry, with ongoing capacity expansion and a focus on high-value downstream sectors [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the semiconductor materials sector [6] Core Viewpoints - Terminal demand is expanding, with the global semiconductor industry continuing to improve. In the first half of 2025, demand from AI computing, data centers, and intelligent driving is expected to drive growth, following a recovery in 2024. The industry chain remains robust [1] - Global semiconductor sales are projected to reach approximately $405 billion in the first seven months of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.4%. The Chinese market is expected to grow to about $113.5 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 11.1% [1] - The semiconductor materials market is set to grow significantly, with a forecasted global market size of $70 billion in 2025, reflecting a 6% year-on-year increase. The Chinese market for key materials is expected to reach approximately 174.08 billion yuan, growing by 21.1% [2][4] Summary by Sections Semiconductor Industry Overview - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $700.9 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11.2%. The Asia-Pacific region is expected to account for about $370.6 billion, growing by 9.8% [1] - By 2026, the global semiconductor market is anticipated to further increase to $760.7 billion, with an 8.5% year-on-year growth [1] Capacity Expansion and Material Demand - The expansion of wafer production capacity is accelerating, particularly in advanced processes. By 2028, global monthly capacity for 12-inch wafers is expected to reach 11.1 million pieces, with a CAGR of approximately 7% from 2024 to 2028 [2] - The demand for semiconductor materials is expected to rise significantly, driven by increased wafer production capacity [2] Domestic Technological Advancements - Significant progress has been made in domestic semiconductor equipment, with Shanghai Microelectronics showcasing EUV lithography machine parameters, marking a breakthrough in high-end lithography technology [3] Market Growth in Specific Segments - The market for photolithography resists, wet electronic chemicals, and electronic specialty gases is steadily growing. The demand for wet electronic chemicals is projected to reach 4.685 million tons in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.9% [4] - The global market for electronic specialty gases is expected to reach $6.4 billion in 2025, growing by 6.7% year-on-year, while the Chinese market is projected to reach 27.9 billion yuan, with a growth of 6.3% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in core material sectors such as photolithography resists, wet electronic chemicals, and electronic specialty gases, which possess technological advantages and customer validation [5]

2025 年 9 月 27 日 总量研究 二级市场价格小幅下跌，能源类 REITs 表现相对较优 从底层资产类型来看，本周仅能源类 REITs 有所上涨。本周回报率排名前三的底 层资产类型分别为能源类、生态环保类和仓储物流类。 从单只 REIT 层面来看，本周公募 REITs 涨跌互现，有 10 只 REITs 上涨，有 1 只与上周持平，有 63 只 REITs 下跌。涨跌幅方面，涨幅排名前三的分别是博时 津开产园 REIT、中信建投国家电投新能源 REIT 和中金联东科创 REIT。 成交规模及换手率：本周公募 REITs 成交规模为 18.6 亿元，新型基础设施类 REITs 区间日均换手率领先其他。截至本周，已上市的 74 只 REITs 周内总成交 额为 18.6 亿元，周内区间日均换手率均值为 0.45%。 从单只 REIT 层面来看，本周单只 REIT 成交规模和换手率方面表现延续分化。 成交量方面，周内成交量前三的是南方润泽科技数据中心 REIT/国金中国铁建 REIT/中金厦门安居 REIT；成交额方面，周内成交额前三的是国金中国铁建 REIT/ 南方润泽科技数据中心 REIT/中金安徽交控 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - From September 22 to September 26, 2025, the issuance volume of credit bonds increased month - on - month, and the overall credit spreads of various industries rose [1] - The total trading volume of credit bonds increased month - on - month, with commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes ranking among the top three in trading volume [4] Summary by Directory 1. Primary Market 1.1 Issuance Statistics - 501 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 584.503 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 0.79% [1][11] - Industrial bonds: 200 were issued, with an issuance scale of 264.684 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 30.71%, accounting for 45.28% of the total issuance scale of credit bonds this week [1][11] - Urban investment bonds: 253 were issued, with an issuance scale of 159.939 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 13.21%, accounting for 27.36% of the total issuance scale of credit bonds this week [1][11] - Financial bonds: 48 were issued, with an issuance scale of 159.880 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 32.29%, accounting for 27.35% of the total issuance scale of credit bonds this week [1][11] - The average issuance term of credit bonds was 2.71 years, with industrial bonds at 2.22 years, urban investment bonds at 3.31 years, and financial bonds at 1.88 years [1][14] - The average issuance coupon rate of credit bonds was 2.33%, with industrial bonds at 2.19%, urban investment bonds at 2.53%, and financial bonds at 1.91% [2][19] 1.2 Cancellation of Issuance Statistics - 13 credit bonds cancelled their issuance this week [22] 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Credit Spread Tracking - The overall industry credit spreads rose this week. Among Shenwan primary industries, the largest increase in AAA - rated industry credit spreads was in machinery and equipment (9BP), and the largest decrease was in media (3.1BP); the largest increase in AA + - rated industry credit spreads was in steel (44.2BP), and the largest decrease was in chemicals (1BP); the largest increase in AA - rated industry credit spreads was in electronics (7.9BP), and the largest decrease was in machinery and equipment (3.2BP) [3][24] - The credit spreads of coal and steel both increased. The credit spreads of AAA - and AA + - rated coal increased by 6.2BP and 6.3BP respectively; the credit spreads of AAA - and AA + - rated steel increased by 4.9BP and 44.2BP respectively [24] - The credit spreads of urban investment and non - urban investment at all levels increased. The credit spreads of three - level urban investment bonds increased by 7.2BP, 6.7BP, and 7.5BP respectively; the credit spreads of three - level non - urban investment bonds increased by 6.4BP, 6.1BP, and 5.9BP respectively [24] - The credit spreads of state - owned enterprises and private enterprises both increased. The credit spreads of three - level central state - owned enterprises increased by 5.6BP, 4.4BP, and 7.1BP respectively; the credit spreads of three - level local state - owned enterprises increased by 6BP, 6.1BP, and 6.5BP respectively; the credit spreads of three - level private enterprises increased by 5.3BP, 5.7BP, and 3.8BP respectively [26] - The credit spreads of regional urban investment bonds showed mixed trends. The regions with the highest AAA - rated credit spreads were Shaanxi, Liaoning, and Jilin; the regions with the highest AA + - rated credit spreads were Qinghai, Shaanxi, and Gansu; the regions with the highest AA - rated credit spreads were Shaanxi, Yunnan, and Sichuan. In terms of month - on - month changes, the largest increase in AAA - rated credit spreads was in Jilin (15.6BP); the largest increase in AA + - rated credit spreads was in Hebei (10.2BP), and the largest decrease was in Ningxia (2.6BP); the largest increase in AA - rated credit spreads was in Sichuan (11.8BP), and the largest decrease was in Shaanxi (0.1BP) [27] 2.2 Trading Volume Statistics - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1.617515 trillion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 10.61%. The top three in trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes. Specifically, the trading volume of commercial bank bonds was 487.807 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 1.68%, accounting for 30.16% of the total trading volume of credit bonds this week; the trading volume of corporate bonds was 496.120 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 14.83%, accounting for 30.67% of the total trading volume of credit bonds this week; the trading volume of medium - term notes was 32.3965 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 4.08%, accounting for 20.03% of the total trading volume of credit bonds this week [4][28] 2.3 This Week's Actively Traded Bonds - The top 20 urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds in terms of trading volume this week are provided for investors' reference [30]

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery this week, influenced by increased risk appetite and positive market sentiment, with the STAR 50 index rising by 6.5% and the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.2% [1][9][10] - The overall valuation of the Wind All A index is currently at a historically moderate to high level since 2010 [1][9][10] - Market style has shifted towards growth, with large-cap growth stocks increasing by 2.5% while small-cap value stocks decreased by 0.8% [1][12][19] Group 2 - Recent policy developments include the maintenance of the LPR rates at 3.0% for one year and 3.5% for five years, with no new special treatment sought by China in WTO negotiations [2][17][18] - The steel industry has received a growth stabilization plan from five departments, aiming for an average annual growth of around 4% from 2025 to 2026 [2][21] - Major tech events include the 2025 Yunqi Conference where Alibaba Cloud showcased innovations, and Huawei's launch of new electric vehicle models, indicating ongoing advancements in the TMT sector [2][21][22] Group 3 - The report suggests that the current market fluctuations align with historical patterns, with potential adjustments expected to narrow the market's upward movement to 6%-7% [3][23] - The logic supporting the current bull market remains intact, with expectations for continued stability in the economic fundamentals and a favorable environment for TMT sectors [3][24][33] - The TMT sector is anticipated to be a key focus for mid-term investments, driven by liquidity and recent positive developments in the industry [3][37][45]