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长电科技:跟踪报告之五:运算及汽车电子构筑增长引擎-20250528
EBSCN· 2025-05-28 10:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is continuously optimizing its business structure by focusing on high-growth areas such as automotive electronics, high-performance computing, storage, and 5G communications, with revenue contributions from various segments projected for 2024: 44.8% from communication electronics, 24.1% from consumer electronics, 16.2% from computing electronics, 7.9% from automotive electronics, and 7.0% from industrial and medical electronics [1][2] - The computing electronics segment is identified as a significant growth driver, with a projected revenue increase of 38.1% year-on-year in 2024, supported by the acquisition of an 80% stake in Shengdi Semiconductor, enhancing market share in the storage and computing electronics sector [2] - The automotive electronics business is also expanding, with a revenue growth forecast of 20.5% year-on-year in 2024, significantly outpacing industry averages, and the company is advancing the construction of its automotive electronics packaging and testing production base in Shanghai, expected to commence operations in the second half of 2025 [2] - The company is diversifying into smart terminal RF, power, and energy sectors, developing advanced packaging technologies to support 5G, WiFi RF modules, and APU integration applications, while also advancing third-generation semiconductor power devices and modules [3] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 29.66 billion yuan in 2023 to 49.99 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.94% from 2024 to 2026 [4][9] - Net profit is expected to increase from 1.47 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.04 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery and growth trajectory [4][9] - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 downwards to 2.16 billion yuan and 2.50 billion yuan respectively, while introducing a new forecast for 2027 at 3.04 billion yuan [3]
长电科技(600584):跟踪报告之五:运算及汽车电子构筑增长引擎
EBSCN· 2025-05-28 09:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Viewpoints - The company is continuously optimizing its business structure by focusing on high-performance packaging technology and high-value applications, accelerating its strategic layout in automotive electronics, high-performance computing, storage, and 5G communication [1][2] - The revenue distribution for 2024 is projected as follows: Communication Electronics (44.8%), Consumer Electronics (24.1%), Computing Electronics (16.2%), Automotive Electronics (7.9%), and Industrial & Medical Electronics (7.0%), with all markets except industrial showing double-digit year-on-year growth [1] - The computing electronics segment is a significant growth driver, with a projected revenue increase of 38.1% year-on-year in 2024, supported by the acquisition of 80% of Shengdi Semiconductor, enhancing market share in the storage and computing electronics sector [2] - The automotive electronics sector is also expanding, with a revenue growth of 20.5% year-on-year in 2024, significantly above the industry average, and the company is progressing on a new production base in Shanghai expected to commence operations in the second half of 2025 [2] - The company is diversifying into smart terminal RF, power, and energy sectors, developing advanced packaging technologies to support 5G, WiFi RF modules, and AIGC computing energy solutions [3] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 29.66 billion in 2023 to 49.99 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.94% from 2024 to 2025 [4][9] - Net profit is expected to increase from 1.47 billion in 2023 to 3.04 billion in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 33.90% in 2025 [4][9] - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 downwards to 2.16 billion and 2.50 billion respectively, while introducing a new forecast for 2027 at 3.04 billion [3][4]
新一轮环保督察启动,友道化学爆炸,持续关注农药和颜料板块
EBSCN· 2025-05-28 04:55
2025 年 5 月 28 日 行业研究 新一轮环保督察启动,友道化学爆炸,持续关注农药和颜料板块 ——石化化工交运行业日报第 69 期(20250527) 要点 第三轮第四批中央生态环境保护督察全面启动。根据人民网新闻,5 月 26 日,根据《生态环境保护督察工作条例》,经党中央、国务院批准,第三轮 第四批中央生态环境保护督察全面启动。组建 8 个中央生态环境保护督察组 (以下简称督察组),分别对山西、内蒙古、山东、陕西、宁夏 5 省(区) 开展督察,统筹开展黄河流域督察和省域督察,同时对中国华能集团有限公 司、中国大唐集团有限公司、国家电力投资集团有限公司 3 家中央企业开展 督察,进驻时间约 1 个月。这是《生态环境保护督察工作条例》发布实施后 的第一批督察。此外,近年来宁夏等地已有多个项目因环保等因素关停。 农药行业产能格局持续优化,友道化学发生爆炸,氯虫苯甲酰胺供应受到影 响。农药方面,近年来我国扎实推进农药行业的减量增效,部分环保不达标 的中小企业陆续退出市场。当前农药原药价格已至底部,渠道库存拐点有望 到来,未来随着环保政策的逐渐趋严,农药行业产能格局将进一步优化。此 外,5 月 27 日 11 ...
新易盛:跟踪报告之四:优秀的产品和精细化管理能力,助力公司业绩持续高增-20250528
EBSCN· 2025-05-28 03:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company is benefiting from a significant increase in demand for AI cluster networking, with projected revenues of CNY 8.647 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 179.15%, and a net profit of CNY 2.838 billion, up 312.26% [1]. - The company has successfully launched industry-leading products, including the latest 800G/1.6T optical modules, and is enhancing its global presence through partnerships with major communication equipment manufacturers and internet companies [2]. - The company's profitability is improving due to refined management practices, achieving a gross margin of 44.72% in 2024 and a net margin of 32.82% [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue and net profit forecasts for the company have been significantly raised, with expected net profits of CNY 6.721 billion in 2025 and CNY 8.883 billion in 2026, reflecting growth rates of 136.84% and 32.17% respectively [4]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to reach CNY 9.48 in 2025 and CNY 12.53 in 2026, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing to 12X and 9X in the same years [5][12]. Profitability and Efficiency - The company has achieved a gross margin of 44.72% in 2024 and 48.66% in Q1 2025, indicating a continuous improvement in operational efficiency [3]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 45.63% in 2025, reflecting strong profitability and effective capital management [12]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is positioned as a leader in the high-end optical module market, with its advanced products expected to drive substantial revenue growth in the coming years [4]. - The ongoing development of high-speed optical modules is anticipated to contribute significantly to the company's performance, supported by its strategic partnerships and technological advancements [2][4].
石化化工交运行业日报第69期:新一轮环保督察启动,友道化学爆炸,持续关注农药和颜料板块-20250528
EBSCN· 2025-05-28 02:45
新一轮环保督察启动,友道化学爆炸,持续关注农药和颜料板块 ——石化化工交运行业日报第 69 期(20250527) 2025 年 5 月 28 日 行业研究 要点 第三轮第四批中央生态环境保护督察全面启动。根据人民网新闻,5 月 26 日,根据《生态环境保护督察工作条例》,经党中央、国务院批准,第三轮 第四批中央生态环境保护督察全面启动。组建 8 个中央生态环境保护督察组 (以下简称督察组),分别对山西、内蒙古、山东、陕西、宁夏 5 省(区) 开展督察,统筹开展黄河流域督察和省域督察,同时对中国华能集团有限公 司、中国大唐集团有限公司、国家电力投资集团有限公司 3 家中央企业开展 督察,进驻时间约 1 个月。这是《生态环境保护督察工作条例》发布实施后 的第一批督察。此外,近年来宁夏等地已有多个项目因环保等因素关停。 农药行业产能格局持续优化,友道化学发生爆炸,氯虫苯甲酰胺供应受到影 响。农药方面,近年来我国扎实推进农药行业的减量增效,部分环保不达标 的中小企业陆续退出市场。当前农药原药价格已至底部,渠道库存拐点有望 到来,未来随着环保政策的逐渐趋严,农药行业产能格局将进一步优化。此 外,5 月 27 日 11 ...
光大证券晨会速递-20250528
EBSCN· 2025-05-28 01:42
2025 年 5 月 28 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 重点交流 【房地产】地产持仓低配明显,持续关注优质标的——光大地产板块及重点公司跟踪 报告(增持) 展望 2025 年,部分高能级城市逐步实现"止跌回稳",地产行业基本面企稳,板块 关注度较低,持仓低配明显,优质标的迎来"阿尔法"机遇:1)供给侧出清龙头地 产凸显,推荐中国金茂、上海临港、华润置地、中国海外发展、招商蛇口、保利发展 等,建议关注新城控股。2)看好物业服务长期发展空间,推荐招商积余、华润万象 生活、万物云、保利物业、中海物业、绿城服务等。 总量研究 【宏观】中游制造业支撑利润增长——2025 年 4 月工业企业盈利数据点评 4 月工业企业利润延续向好,一是,利润率改善带动工业企业利润持续回升;二是, 结构上,中游制造业利润加快增长,而上游及下游制造业利润同比增速走低,与出口 需求回落有关;三是,私营企业利润明显改善、国有企业利润同比增速回落。展望来 看,我国出口韧性仍存,国内制造业转型升级加速,叠加"两新""两重"政策激发 内需潜力,有望推动工业企业效益持续向好。 贝壳是国内最大的房产交易及服务平台,有望受益于地产修复,其他三翼业务 ...
自有+授权打造中国领先的IP玩具公司——乐自天成(H02155.HK)招股说明书解读
EBSCN· 2025-05-28 00:15
自有+授权打造中国领先的IP玩具公司 ——乐自天成(H02155.HK)招股说明书解读 2025年5月27日 作者:姜浩 执业证书编号S0930522010001 梁丹辉 执业证书编号S0930524070007 证券研究报告 核心观点 乐自天成:国内领先的 玩具公司 公司秉持"IP中枢"战略,持续开发和推出多品类IP玩具,包括静态/可动玩偶、发条玩具、变形机甲、拼装玩 具、毛绒玩具及衍生周边等等。截至2024年底,公司旗下拥有超过100个自有及授权IP。公司覆盖IP孵化和开发、 产品设计及供应链和销售渠道各个环节,按2024年GMV计,公司在中国多品类IP玩具公司中排名第二。 中国IP玩具市场较为分散,具有较大潜力 灼识咨询数据显示,2024年中国IP玩具市场规模达到756亿元,2020-2024年CAGR为11.7%,预计将在2024- 2029年间以17.2%的复合增速增长。同时,2024年中国人均IP玩具支出仅为53.6元/年,远低于日本的244.7元/ 年与美国的387.0元/年,后续仍有较大提升空间。按2024年GMV计算,公司2024年总GMV为9.3亿元,在中国IP 玩具市场中,公司在本土IP ...
2025年4月工业企业盈利数据点评:中游制造业支撑利润增长
EBSCN· 2025-05-27 08:33
2025 年 5 月 27 日 总量研究 中游制造业支撑利润增长 ——2025 年 4 月工业企业盈利数据点评 作者 分析师:高瑞东 执业证书编号:S0930520120002 010-56513066 gaoruidong@ebscn.com 分析师:刘星辰 执业证书编号:S0930522030001 021-52523880 liuxc@ebscn.com 相关研报 工业企业盈利恢复向好——2025年3月工业 企业盈利数据点评(2025-04-27) 关注工业企业利润修复的持续性——2025 年 1-2 月工业企业盈利数据点评 (2025-03-27) 工业企业利润同比增速为何转正?——2024 年 12 月工业企业盈利数据点评 (2025-01-27) 工业企业盈利增速将继续改善——2024 年 11 月工业企业盈利数据点评(2024-12-27) 工业企业盈利或迎来曙光——2024 年 10 月 工业企业盈利数据点评(2024-11-27) 工业企业利润增速预计何时转正?——2024 年9月工业企业盈利数据点评(2024-10-27) 工业企业利润增速为何转负?——2024 年 8 月工业企业盈利数据 ...
贝壳-W:投资价值分析报告:从交易走向居住-20250527
EBSCN· 2025-05-27 05:45
——贝壳-W(2423.HK)投资价值分析报告 2025 年 5 月 26 日 公司研究 从交易走向居住 要点 贝壳是国内最大的房产交易及服务平台。贝壳前身是 2001 年成立的北京链家, 2008 年链家开始打造行业首个房源数据库"楼盘字典",2015 年起开启全国化 并购扩张,2018 年贝壳找房平台上线,发展成为全国最大的房产交易及服务平 台。2023 年贝壳发布以房产经纪和家装、惠居、贝好家为核心的"一体三翼" 战略,致力于从传统的房产交易服务平台转型为综合性的居住服务提供商。 房屋租赁与住宅开发:租赁以"省心租"为核心,"贝好家"探索 C2M 住宅开 发新模式。"省心租"摒弃"做二房东吃差价"的以租金差为主要盈利来源的商 业模式,以"微利可持续"为战略导向,通过提升出房效率,快速去化,缩短出 房的实际周期,挣"空置期"的钱。截至 24 年末"省心租"在管房源超 43 万 套,未来有望继续扩容。"贝好家"已在西安、北京、杭州等城市落地,25 年 重点在北京、上海、广州、成都等十余个城市开展业务。 盈利预测、估值与评级:贝壳是国内最大的房产交易及服务平台,有望受益于地 产修复,其他三翼业务渐成第二曲线。 ...
2025年ASCO大会召开在即,中国创新药企惊艳亮相——医药生物行业跨市场周报(20250525)
EBSCN· 2025-05-27 02:45
要点 行情回顾:上周,医药生物指数上涨 1.78%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.96pp,跑赢 创业板综指 2.83pp,在 31 个子行业中排名第 1,表现优异。港股恒生医疗健康 指数上周收涨 5.54%,跑赢恒生国企指数 4.18pp。 上市公司研发进度跟踪:上周,豪森药业的 HS-10510 片的 IND 申请新进承办。 上周,恒瑞医药的 HRS9531、百济神州的 catadegbrutinib 正在进行三期临床; 新华制药的 OAB-14 正在进行二期临床;基石药业的 CS2009正在进行一期临床。 2025 年 5 月 27 日 行业研究 2025 年 ASCO 大会召开在即,中国创新药企惊艳亮相 ——医药生物行业跨市场周报(20250525) 本周观点:2025 年 ASCO 大会召开在即,中国创新药企惊艳亮相。 当地时间 2025 年 5 月 30 日至 6 月 3 日,2025 年美国临床肿瘤学会(ASCO) 年会将在美国芝加哥举行。本届 ASCO 年会的主题为"知识付诸行动:共建美好 未来(Driving knowledge to action: Building a better fut ...