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新兴铸管(000778):季度业绩环比改善,关注基建需求潜力
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:10
季度业绩环比改善,关注基建需求潜力 事件:公司发布 2025 年一季度报告。公司一季度实现营业收入 83.75 亿 元,同比下降 8.21%;归属于母公司所有者的净利润 1.37 亿元,同比下 降 19.84%;基本每股收益 0.0345 元,同比减少 19.39%。 季度业绩环比改善,一季度毛利率逐步修复。公司 2025Q1 实现归母净利 1.37 亿元,同比下降 19.84%,环比增长 143.36%;2025Q1 钢价走弱, 行业钢企盈利比例位于 50%左右,公司归母净利同比仍下滑,但环比显著 改善,2025Q1 公司铸管产品在铸管公开市场的招标占比持续提升。公司 2024Q2-2025Q1 逐季销售毛利率分别为 6.84%、4.81%、4.84%、7.61%, 逐季销售净利率分别为 2.52%、0.36%、-4.98%、1.83%,受益于行业供 给端调控预期升温,叠加基建投资及消费驱动的需求改善趋势,后续行业 及公司盈利有望逐步好转。 产能挖潜空间大,加快布局海外产能及储能电池领域。2025 年公司金属 制品产量目标为 992 万吨,同比增加 22.6%,产能挖潜空间较大。2023 年新兴铸管股份有限 ...
常宝股份(002478):一季度业绩回落,特材项目有序推进
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company experienced a decline in Q1 2025 performance, with revenue of 1.211 billion yuan, down 7.07% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 111 million yuan, down 33.0% year-on-year [1] - The company is advancing its special materials projects, with a production capacity of 1 million tons of specialized pipes, and is seeing improvements in market share and brand competitiveness in various segments [2] - The demand in downstream markets is expected to expand, particularly in the oil and gas sector, with significant investments projected in thermal power construction [2] Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are 6.22 billion yuan, 6.648 billion yuan, and 6.970 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 713 million yuan, 795 million yuan, and 845 million yuan [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.79 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.0 [4] - The company’s net profit margin is projected to improve, supported by the ongoing production of special materials [3][4]
华利集团(300979):新工厂爬坡影响Q1盈利表现,Q2有望环比改善
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:08
华利集团(300979.SZ) 证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 29 年 月 日 新客户订单量 2025Q1 同比显著增长,我们估计老客户订单稳健为主。1)过去公司与 Nike、 Deckers、VF、Puma、On 等核心品牌保持深度合作,2024 年前五大客户销售占比分别为 33%/21%/13%/6%/6%。2)展望 2025 年,考虑客户业务及公司订单合作进度,我们判断 Nike、VF 等客户订单整体以平稳为主,2025 年 On、New Balance、Reebok、Adidas 订单增 速强劲。其中公司新合作客户 Adidas 于 2024 年 9 月开始量产出货、我们判断 2025 合作订 单预计快速放量。综合来看,我们估计新客户订单快速增长有望带动公司 2025 年收入同比 增长 15%+。 未来产能预计加速扩张,增强国际化产能布局。1)2024 年公司总产能/总产量分别 2.29/2.21 亿双,产能利用率 97%。我们判断目前公司产能利用率基本仍处于饱和状态。2)新工厂投 产、次新工厂爬坡推进顺利,短期影响毛利率表现,中长期有望带动规模扩张及业绩释放。 ...
聚光科技(300203):科学仪器国产替代龙头,业绩大幅提升
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:08
聚光科技(300203.SZ) 科学仪器国产替代龙头,业绩大幅提升 战略调整卓有成效,公司 24 年业绩大幅提升。公司 2024 实现营收 36.1 亿元(yoy+13.6%),归母净利润 2.1 亿元(yoy+164.1%)。公司业绩大 幅提升主因业务结构、产品结构优化以及合同质量提升,调整、收缩部分 业务布局以及提高人均效率,加强费用优化。2025Q1 公司实现营收 5.5 亿元,同比+1.4%;归母净利润-0.2 亿元(yoy+18.8%),亏损有所收窄。 证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 04 29 年 月 日 公司盈利能力大幅提高,经营性现金流改善明显。公司 2024 实现毛利率 44.4 %,同比+3.2pct,分业务看,仪器、相关软件及耗材毛利率 48.5%, 同比+2.8pct;运营服务、检测服务及咨询服务毛利率 38.0%,同比 +6.7pct;环境治理装备及工程毛利率 27.3%,同比+4.5pct。2025Q1 公 司毛利率 43.5%,同比-4.0pct。公司 2024 年销售费用率 16.7%(yoy- 4.4pct),管理费用率 8.6%((yoy ...
李宁(02331):2025Q1流水稳健增长,渠道库存健康
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Ning [5][3] Core Views - Li Ning's adult revenue showed steady growth in Q1 2025, with e-commerce performance being particularly strong, while overall performance met expectations [1] - The company is focusing on optimizing its children's clothing product structure and enhancing brand promotion, which is expected to drive steady growth in the children's clothing segment [2] - The company is managing inventory effectively, with an estimated inventory-to-sales ratio of around 5, indicating a healthy and controllable level [2] - For 2025, the company expects revenue to remain flat year-on-year, while net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to decline by 17.5% [2] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 24.86 billion, 26.66 billion, and 28.81 billion respectively, with a PE ratio of 15 times for 2025 [3] - Financial indicators for 2025 include: - Revenue: 28,919 million - Net profit: 2,486 million, a decline of 17.5% year-on-year - EPS: 0.96 - ROE: 9.1% [4][11] - The company’s revenue growth rates are projected at 0.8% for 2025, 6.5% for 2026, and 5.9% for 2027 [4][11]
瑞丰银行(601528):息差降幅明显收窄,拨备进一步夯实
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:04
25Q1 不良率(0.97%)、关注率(1.54%)分别较上年末持平、提升 9bps, 拨备覆盖率、拨贷比分别为 326.08%、3.17%,分别较上年末提升 5.2pc、 提升 7bps。25Q1 信用成本为 1.26%,同比提升 3bps。 证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 29 年 月 日 瑞丰银行(601528.SH) 息差降幅明显收窄,拨备进一步夯实 事件:瑞丰银行披露 2025 年一季报,2025 年一季度实现营收 11.1 亿元, 同比增长 5.12%,归母净利润 4.2 亿元,同比增长 6.69%。2025Q1 末不 良率、拨备覆盖率分别为 0.97%、326.08%,较上年末分别持平、提升 5.2pc。 1、业绩表现:息差降幅同比收窄 25Q1 年营业收入、归母净利润增速分别为 5.12%、6.69%,分别较 24A 下降 10.2pc、下降 4.6pc,其中息差同比降幅收窄、业务成本节约等对业 绩形成正向贡献,具体来看: 1)利息净收入:同比增长 2.68%,较 24A 增速提升 4.3pc,25Q1 净息差 为 1.46%,较 24A 下降 4bps( ...
伟星股份(002003):2025Q1业绩表现优异,聚焦公司长期价值
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company demonstrated excellent performance in Q1 2025, with revenue growth of 22.3% to 980 million yuan and net profit growth of 28.8% to 100 million yuan [1] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit growth of 8.5% in 2025, with projected revenue growth of 7.7% to 5 billion yuan [3] - The company is focusing on enhancing its product quality and diversity, particularly in the apparel accessory segment, which is anticipated to expand significantly in the medium to long term [2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to 38.8%, while the management expense ratio decreased by 1.6 percentage points to 11.4% [1] - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to be 5,033 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.7% [5] - The expected net profit for 2025 is 760 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 8.5% [5] Business Expansion - The company’s zipper business showed strong sales performance, with revenue growth of 16% in 2024, while other apparel accessory businesses grew by 42% [2] - The successful operation of the Vietnam factory is expected to enhance the company's brand influence overseas and facilitate the expansion into European and Japanese markets [2] Competitive Advantage - The company is recognized for its superior smart manufacturing capabilities and commitment to customer service, which are expected to support its market share growth in the medium to long term [3] - The company is actively exploring opportunities to adapt its production capacity based on customer needs, particularly in response to tariff challenges [3]
德昌股份(605555):收入保持良好增长趋势,发布定增强化海外产能建设
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.0% to 80 million yuan [1] - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity, with plans to raise up to 1.524 billion yuan through a private placement to enhance its competitive strength [2] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 15.8%, down by 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 8.1%, down by 2.2 percentage points [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 5.039 billion yuan, 6.169 billion yuan, and 7.422 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.0%, 22.4%, and 20.3% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 472 million yuan in 2025, 588 million yuan in 2026, and 721 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 15.0%, 24.5%, and 22.7% respectively [4] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 1.27 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.94 yuan by 2027 [4]
海信家电:收入业绩增长稳健,净利率稳步提升-20250429
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:10
证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 28 年 月 日 海信家电(000921.SZ) 收入业绩增长稳健,净利率稳步提升 事件:公司发布 2025 年一季报。2025Q1 实现营业收入 248.38 亿 元,同比增长 5.76%;实现归母净利润 11.27 亿元,同比增长 14.89%。 净利率稳步提升。毛利率:2025Q1 公司毛利率同比-0.22pct 至 21.41% 。费率端: 2025Q1 销 售 / 管 理 / 研 发 / 财 务 费 率 为 9.55%/2.39%/3.32%/0.02% , 同 比 变 动 -0.45pct/- 0.25pct/+0.02pct/+0.33pct。财务费用变动主要系汇兑损益波动所 致。净利率:公司 2025Q1 净利率同比+0.03pct 至 6.58%。 销售商品收到的现金稳步增长。2025Q1 公司经营性现金流净额 0.65 亿元,同比-58.3%。其中销售商品收到的现金为 193.06 亿元, 同比+10.81%。 一季度空调行业产销稳步增长,出口表现优于内销。据奥维云网数 据,2025 年一季度空调生产 5597.2 万台 ...
苏试试验:25Q1业绩同比小幅下降,期待公司后续拐点往上-20250429
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:10
公司发布 2025 年一季报,业绩同比小幅下降。公司 2025 年一季度实现 营业收入 4.29 亿元,同比下降 2.96%;实现归母净利润 0.41 亿元,同比 下降 2.99%;实现扣非归母净利润 0.40 亿元,同比下降 1.43%。受制于 下游客户资本开支需求减弱、下游产业链终端市场的竞争加剧,公司业绩 短期承压,但我们认为公司已渡过低谷期,看好未来公司需求恢复。 证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 28 年 月 日 苏试试验(300416.SZ) 25Q1 业绩同比小幅下降,期待公司后续拐点往上 公司费率整体较为稳定,高研发投入为后续公司增长蓄力。公司 2025 年 一季度期间费用率 31.41%,同比上行 0.28pct;其中,销售费用率为 8.48%,同比增长 0.37pct;管理费用率为 12.46%,同比下降 0.71pct; 财务费用率为 1.57%,同比下降 0.36pct;研发费用率为 8.89%,同比增 长 0.96pct,公司期间费用率稳健。公司 2025 年一季度毛利率为 40.44%, 同比下降 2.03pct,我们认为,公司在市场竞争加剧的背 ...