证 券 研 究 报 告 自媒体热度持续上升，散户资金净流入小幅增加 ——投资者温度计第25期 2025年5月19日 证券分析师：姚佩 执业编号：S0360522120004 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 联系人：朱冬墨 邮箱：zhudongmo@hcyjs.com 本报告由华创证券有限责任公司编制 核心结论 证 券 研 究 报 告 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）1210 号 2 • 上周市场整体上行，受5/12中美关税谈判"超预期"落地，自媒体热度持续上升。 • 公募抱团趋势增强，风格偏向价值，行业偏向消费、周期；24/9/18至今公募重仓股四成领涨，行业集中于电子、 汽车、医药等。 • 最近一周以小单衡量的沪深两市A股散户资金净流入821.9亿元，较前值增加203.9亿元，处过去五年36.0%分 位，净流入规模小幅增加；融资资金净流入24.1亿元，较上周减少143.4亿元。 1.1、自媒体：热度持续上升 证 券 研 究 报 告 • 上周市场整体上行， 受5/12中美关税谈 判"超预期"落地， 自媒体热度持续上升。 从趋势上来看，快手、 抖音热度保持前列， 微博、百度 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 电动车行业周报（20250512-20250516） 国轩科技发布六大新品，冠鸿智能创新干法电极设 推荐（维持） 备技术 国轩科技发布六大新品，冠鸿智能创新干法电极设备技术。国轩科技在 2025 年 5 月 17 日发布六大新品。分别为为 G 垣准固态电池、启晨二代电芯、G 行超级重卡 标准箱、乾元智储 20MWh 储能电池系统、Axtrem 数智化解决方案、金石全固态电 池。在第十七届深圳国际电池技术交流会上，冠鸿智能的干法电极设备同时支持三 元锂、碳酸铁锂、钠电及硫化物/聚合物固态电解质膜制备，一机打通多技术路线。 在性能上，该设备的纤维化丝径小于 50nm(达行业顶尖水平)；极片压实密度大于 3.5g/cm，首效大于 91%；膜厚 15-150μm 自由调控，强度 1-4N/ ㎡ 媲美湿法工艺。 本周行情回顾：本周电新板块上涨 1.43%，全行业排名 8 名，跑赢沪深 300 指数。 根据中信行业指数，本周电力设备及新能源板块上涨 1.43%，在全行业 30 个行业 板块中排名第 8 位；同期沪深 300 指数上涨 1.12%，电新板块跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.32pcts。 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 发射计算机行业重大事项点评 事项： 太空计算星座全球首发，我国开启天算时代 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 2025 年 5 月 14 日，长征二号丁运载火箭成功将太空计算卫星星座首批一轨 12 颗卫星送入预定轨道，发射任务取得圆满成功。 评论： 重点公司盈利预测及估值情况 | 公司 | 市值 | | EPS | PE | | PS | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （亿元） | 2024A | 2025E | 2024A | 2025E | 2024A | 2025E | | 软通动力 | 553.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 306.9 | 140.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | | 光迅科技 | 346.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 52.4 | 32.1 | 4.2 | 3.1 | | 中国卫星 | 312.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1117.9 | 591.3 | 6.1 | 5.6 | | 中 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 牧高笛（603908）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 经营短期承压，25Q1 代工业务回暖 目标价：27.1 元 事项： 公司公布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 年，公司实现营收/归母净利润/扣 非归母净利润 13.0/0.8/0.6 亿元，同比-10.4%/-21.6%/-42.7%。25Q1，公司实现 营收/归母净利润/扣非归母净利润 3.3/0.3/0.3 亿元，同比-6.1%/-2.7%/-14.4%。 分红方面，公司拟 10 股派发现金股利 6.5 元（含税），对应分红率 72%。 评论： 风险提示：市场竞争加剧，原材料波动风险；人民币汇率波动风险等。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 1,304 | 1,344 | 1,449 | 1,604 | | 同比增速(%) | -10.4% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | | 归母净利润 ...

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 金域医学（603882）2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 短期业绩承压，运营效率持续提升 目标价：41 元 事项： 公司发布 24 年报及 25 年一季报，24 年，公司实现营收 71.90 亿元（-15.81%）， 归母净利润-3.81 亿元（23 年同期为 6.43 亿元），扣非归母净利润-2.38 亿元（23 年同期为 3.65 亿元）。25Q1，公司实现营收 14.67 亿元（-20.35%），归母净利 润-0.28 亿元（24 年同期为-0.19 亿元），扣非归母净利润-0.39 亿元（24 年同期 为-0.29 亿元）。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 7,190 | 7,211 | 7,891 | 8,719 | | 同比增速(%) | -15.8% | 0.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | | 归母净利润 ...

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 旗滨集团（601636）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 光伏玻璃业务快速发展，一季度盈利改善 目标价：6.1 元 事项： 2024 年公司实现总营业收入 156.49 亿元，同比减少 0.21%，归母净利润 3.83 亿元，同比减少 78.15%。2025 年一季度公司实现总营业收入 34.84 亿元，同 比减少 9.68%，归母净利润 4.70 亿元，同比增长 6.38%。 评论： 证券分析师：单戈 邮箱：shange@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522110001 证券分析师：许常捷 邮箱：xuchangjie@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525030002 公司基本数据 | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 15,649 | 16,562 | 17,913 | 19,784 | | 同比增速(%) | -0.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | | 归母净利润(百万) | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% in the next six months [2][8][18]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a bottoming out of its performance, with its cloud computing business deepening penetration. In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 520 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -64 million yuan, with losses widening. However, in the first quarter of 2025, revenue increased by 49.69% year-on-year to 87 million yuan, and net losses narrowed to -16 million yuan, a reduction of 24.07% year-on-year [2][4][8]. Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Financials**: Total revenue was 520 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -4.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -64 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -499.7%. The earnings per share (EPS) was -0.57 yuan [4][5]. - **2025 Projections**: Expected total revenue is 564 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.4%. The net profit is projected to be -48 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.4%. The EPS is expected to be -0.42 yuan [4][5]. - **2026 and 2027 Projections**: Revenue is expected to grow to 623 million yuan and 702 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 10.6% and 12.7%. Net profits are projected to narrow to -36 million yuan and -29 million yuan, with growth rates of 23.9% and 20.8% [4][5]. Business Development Summary - The company is focusing on cloud computing, with its cloud business generating approximately 415 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 79.74% of its main revenue. This segment is seen as the core growth engine, with ongoing development in container cloud and edge cloud technologies [8]. - The company is also accelerating the deployment of its intelligent computing platform, BingoAIInfra, which enhances overall computing efficiency and is expected to drive growth in AI and intelligent computing businesses [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [18]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a bottoming out of its performance, with its cloud computing business deepening its penetration into the market. In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 520 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -64 million yuan, with losses widening. However, in the first quarter of 2025, revenue increased by 49.69% year-on-year to 87 million yuan, and the net loss narrowed to -16 million yuan, a reduction of 24.07% year-on-year [2][8]. - The cloud computing business has become the core growth engine, contributing approximately 415 million yuan in revenue in 2024, accounting for 79.74% of the main revenue. The company is focusing on the integration of "industry + cloud" and expanding its presence in key sectors such as government, public security, military, finance, and rail transit [8]. - The company is accelerating the deployment of its intelligent computing platform, which is expected to drive new growth in its AI business. The launch of the BingoAIInfra platform enhances the efficiency of computing resource allocation, aligning with the rapid demand for intelligent computing in downstream industries [8]. Financial Summary - In 2024, total revenue is projected to be 520 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -4.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be -64 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -499.7%. For 2025, the revenue is estimated to increase to 564 million yuan, with a growth rate of 8.4%, and the net profit is projected to narrow to -48 million yuan, reflecting a 25.4% year-on-year improvement [4][9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -0.57 yuan in 2024 to -0.42 yuan in 2025, indicating a gradual recovery in profitability [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, with a target price of 6.1 yuan [2][8]. Core Views - The company's photovoltaic glass business is rapidly developing, leading to improved profitability in the first quarter of 2025. Despite a decrease in total revenue and net profit in 2024, the first quarter of 2025 shows a year-on-year increase in net profit [2][8]. - The report highlights the dual main businesses of float glass and photovoltaic glass, indicating that the new glass business has the potential to replicate the advantages of the float glass business, suggesting long-term growth prospects [8][9]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 15,649 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.21% year-on-year, with a net profit of 383 million yuan, down 78.15% year-on-year. In the first quarter of 2025, total revenue was 3,484 million yuan, a decrease of 9.68% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 6.38% to 470 million yuan [2][4]. - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a gradual recovery in revenue and profit, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.36, 0.43, and 0.51 yuan respectively, and corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15x, 12x, and 11x [4][9]. - The photovoltaic glass segment is projected to generate revenue of 57.53 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 68.64%, despite a decline in gross margin due to rising costs [8][9]. Market Position and Financial Ratios - The company has a total market capitalization of 14.464 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 59% [5][9]. - The report notes a significant drop in the market price of float glass, which has decreased by 31% year-on-year, impacting the overall profitability of the company [8][9]. - The company’s financial health is indicated by a projected increase in cash flow and a reduction in financial expenses in the first quarter of 2025, with cash and cash equivalents rising to 4.111 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.82% [8][9].

证 券 研 究 报 告 行业研究 电力设备及新能源 2025 年 05 月 19 日 人形机器人行业周报（20250512-20250518） 华为优必选全面合作落地，人形机器人首登 推荐（维持） 科技节"科学红毯" 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：苏千叶 邮箱：suqianye@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523050001 证券分析师：黄麟 邮箱：huanglin1@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522080001 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 8.3% | -6.1% | 6.9% | | 相对表现 | 5.2% | -4.1% | 0.1% | -17% -4% 9% 22% 24/05 24/07 24/10 24/12 25/03 25/05 2024-05-20~2025-05-16 电力设备及新能源 沪深300 相关研究报告 《光伏行业周报（20250512-20250518）：4 月印度 光伏装机同比高增，光伏玻璃价格有所松动》 2025-05-18 《输变电设备行业跟踪报告： ...