Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the steel industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The steel market is currently experiencing stable supply and demand, but with weak market demand as temperatures rise. Although social inventory has slightly decreased, steel mill inventory has increased, leading to an overall rise in total inventory levels [3][4]. - Steel prices are under pressure but have shown some signs of rebound due to raw material price increases and good sales of low-priced steel resources. The report suggests that steel prices may continue to operate weakly during the off-season but still have some support at low levels due to low inventory and stable raw material prices [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of June 27, 2025, the prices for five major steel products are as follows: rebar at 3,181 CNY/ton, wire rod at 3,514 CNY/ton, hot-rolled coil at 3,205 CNY/ton, cold-rolled coil at 3,607 CNY/ton, and medium plate at 3,371 CNY/ton, with weekly changes of -0.63%, -0.71%, -0.17%, -0.19%, and -0.78% respectively [2][15]. - The total production of the five major products reached 8.81 million tons, an increase of 124,800 tons week-on-week [2]. 2. Key Industry Data Tracking (a) Production Data - The average daily molten iron production from 247 steel enterprises is 2.42 million tons, with a high furnace capacity utilization rate of 90.83% [2][4]. (b) Consumption Volume of Five Major Products - The total consumption of the five major products is 8.80 million tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 43,300 tons [2]. (c) Inventory Situation - Total steel inventory is 13.40 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 11,400 tons. Social inventory decreased by 66,000 tons to 9.07 million tons, while steel mill inventory increased by 77,400 tons to 4.34 million tons [2][4]. (d) Profitability - The average cost of molten iron for 114 steel mills is 2,270 CNY/ton, a decrease of 23 CNY/ton week-on-week. The gross profit per ton for high furnace rebar is 145 CNY/ton, hot-rolled coil is 108 CNY/ton, and cold-rolled coil is -36 CNY/ton [2][4]. 3. Industry Policy - The report highlights ongoing government efforts to optimize industrial layout and promote the exit of inefficient production capacity while increasing high-end capacity supply [4][5].

证 券 研 究 报 告 通信行业周报（20250623-20250629） Marvell 投资者日指引积极，小米 AI 智能眼镜发 推荐（维持） 布，建议关注 AI 及端侧产业链进展 行业研究 通信 2025 年 06 月 29 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：欧子兴 邮箱：ouzixing@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080007 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 124 | 0.02 | | 总市值(亿元) | 48,433.38 | 4.82 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 21,923.73 | 2.78 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 12.9% | 3.1% | 34.1% | | 相对表现 | 10.8% | 4.6% | 20.6% | -11% 5% 20% 36% 24/06 24/09 24/11 25/01 25/04 25/06 2024-06-28~2025-06-27 通信 沪深300 相关研究报 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the low-altitude economy sector, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by over 5% in the next 3-6 months [50]. Core Insights - The China Electronics Technology Group Corporation (CETC) held a low-altitude economy development conference, launching three major product systems: "Tianxing," "Tianwei," and "Tiangong," indicating a structured approach to expanding in the low-altitude economy sector [6][9]. - The report highlights three key companies in the low-altitude economy: Lais Information, Guorui Technology, and Sichuan Electronic Technology, which are expected to benefit from CETC's initiatives [9][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The low-altitude economy sector includes 122 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 334.069 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 286.285 billion yuan [3]. - The absolute performance of the sector over the past 12 months is 12.2%, while the performance over the last month and six months is 0.6% and -2.5%, respectively [3]. Product Systems - **Tianxing Series**: Focuses on low-altitude support, providing management systems and equipment for high-density, high-frequency flights, achieving a flight punctuality rate of 99.89% [7]. - **Tianwei Series**: Concentrates on low-altitude safety, offering comprehensive safety solutions for urban and regional areas, already implemented in various cities [8]. - **Tiangong Series**: Targets low-altitude manufacturing, with a significant market share in the domestic flight training sector [9]. Company Insights - **Lais Information**: Recognized as a leader in low-altitude digitalization, leveraging its advantages in air traffic management to expand into low-altitude services [11]. - **Guorui Technology**: Positioned to benefit from military trade and low-altitude safety systems, with innovative products like the low-altitude intelligent perception system [14][16]. - **Sichuan Electronic Technology**: Aims to become a leader in low-altitude safety, developing systems for micro-meteorological monitoring and comprehensive safety solutions [19]. Market Performance - The Huachuang Transportation Low-altitude 60 Index increased by 6.3% in the past week and 7% year-to-date, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which declined by 0.3% [24][26]. - Notable stock performances include Guoxuan High-Tech (25%), New Morning Technology (16%), and Green Energy Wisdom Charge (14%) [27]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three major application scenarios for the low-altitude economy from 2025 to 2027: new consumption in cultural tourism, manned transportation, and specialized uses [35]. - Key sectors to watch include main manufacturers, supply chains, low-altitude new infrastructure, and operational applications [36].

证 券 研 究 报 告 政策计算机行业周报（20250623-20250627） 推荐（维持） 小米 YU7 首销爆单，产业加速迭代升级 行业研究 计算机 2025 年 06 月 29 日 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 8.2% | 4.0% | 51.4% | | 相对表现 | 6.1% | 5.5% | 37.8% | $$\frac{1}{4}\mathbb{E}\frac{1}{4}\left(\frac{1}{2}\mathbb{E}\frac{1}{4}\right)$$ 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 联系人：周志浩 邮箱：zhouzhihao1@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 338 | 0.04 | | 总市值(亿元) | 45,343.43 | 4.40 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 39,023.53 | 4.8 ...

Group 1: Macro Analysis - Understanding the relationship between stocks and bonds is crucial for macro asset allocation decisions[2] - Current liquidity improvement is primarily driven by the migration of household deposits, differing from the monetary easing seen in 2014-2015[5] - The scale of non-bank liquidity growth in the first five months of 2025 is approximately CNY 6.2 trillion, compared to CNY 1.6 trillion in the same period of 2015[5][20] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The prevailing logic is to "look at stocks to do bonds," indicating a stock-driven market where risk appetite influences bond trading[3][4] - In the current environment, if stocks rise, bond yields are likely to follow, while a decline in stocks may lead to bond price increases[3][4] - The current market is characterized by a "see-saw" effect between stocks and bonds, rather than a simultaneous bullish trend in both[3][4] Group 3: Special Considerations - Unique factors this round include the difficulty for household deposits to return to real estate, leading to a stronger migration towards non-bank institutions[3] - The "stabilize the stock market" policy from the top down limits the downward expression of risk appetite in the stock market[3] - The current liquidity situation is not a result of improved economic expectations, contrasting with past trends where deposit migration followed economic recovery[8][27]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the banking sector, indicating a positive outlook for long-term investment opportunities [4][8]. Core Insights - The banking sector has shown strong long-term performance, with returns exceeding those of the broader market indices over various holding periods. Historical returns since 2010, 2015, and 2020 for the banking index were 170%, 92.9%, and 39.6% respectively, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [3][4]. - The banking sector's return on equity (ROE) remains above 9%, supported by stable asset quality and a decline in credit costs, despite a narrowing net interest margin since 2020 [4][8]. - The sector's valuation is currently at a historically low level, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.85 and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.62, while the dividend yield stands at 5.21%, indicating attractive investment opportunities [25][24]. Monthly Performance Overview - In June 2025, the banking sector experienced a cumulative increase of 5.37%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 3.25 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 sectors [12][5]. - The trading volume for the banking sector surged by 74.8% in June, reaching 606.9 billion yuan, reflecting increased market confidence following regulatory reforms [24][29]. - Key performers in the banking sector included Zhejiang Commercial Bank (10.71%), Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (10.66%), and Pudong Development Bank (9.89%), driven by their low valuations and high dividend yields [17][16]. Market Environment - The interest rate environment remains low, with the 10-year government bond yield declining from 1.68% to 1.65% in June, contributing to a favorable backdrop for banking stocks [21][24]. - The report highlights a structural shift in credit demand, with direct financing increasing while traditional bank credit shows signs of decline, particularly in the residential loan segment [30][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a diversified investment strategy focusing on state-owned banks and stable joint-stock banks, emphasizing the importance of dividend strategies and asset quality [8][4]. - It recommends monitoring banks with high dividend yields and strong asset quality, such as China Merchants Bank, CITIC Bank, and regional banks with robust provisioning coverage [8][4].

Group 1 - The banking sector has shown strong performance due to continuous inflow of incremental funds, with the banking index rising by 41.2% since Q2 2023, significantly outperforming the overall market which only increased by 3.9% [13][9][11] - The "national team" liquidity support has been a key factor, with an estimated net inflow of 1,043.5 billion yuan into banking stocks from ETFs since 2024, representing 3.2% of the current free float market value of banks [13][9][11] - Long-term capital from insurance funds continues to flow into the banking sector, which is characterized by large market capitalization, stable earnings, and high dividend yields, making it attractive to investors [13][9][11] Group 2 - The financial industry's value added as a percentage of GDP has been steadily increasing, reaching 7.29% in Q1 2025 [11][29] - The net profit growth of banks has been more stable, with a year-on-year increase of 0.5% in 2024 compared to a decline of 14.5% for non-financial A-shares, and banks accounted for 40.6% of total A-share net profits [11][29] - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio of commercial banks reached a historical high of 11.0% in Q4 2024, indicating robust solvency [11][29] Group 3 - The banking sector's profitability remains resilient, with the net interest margin showing relative stability during the interest rate decline cycle, decreasing from 1.74% to 1.43% [11][30] - The dividend yield for banks remains high at 5.4% as of June 20, 2025, while other dividend-paying sectors have seen declines in their yields [11][30] - The overall credit cost for banks is expected to remain stable, with the net generation rate of non-performing loans anticipated to fluctuate at low levels [12][30] Group 4 - The outlook for banking operations indicates reduced pressure on core revenue growth, with credit costs expected to stabilize [12][30] - The banking sector's return on equity (ROE) is projected to remain above 9%, with a theoretical bottom line ROE of 8.5% [12][30] - The banking sector is expected to continue to outperform private enterprises as creditors in a low-price environment, benefiting from the relative strength of their balance sheets [10][29]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Recommended" rating to the company with a target price of 30 yuan, based on a projected market value of 310 billion yuan [2][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leader in the ready-to-drink (RTD) beverage sector and is accelerating its entry into the whiskey market, aiming to establish itself as a benchmark in the industry and create a second growth curve [5][12]. - The whiskey segment is identified as a potential growth area, with a market size estimated to exceed 150 billion yuan, given the current low penetration of whiskey in China's liquor consumption [5][8]. - The company has a strong production capacity and a commitment to consumer education, which are seen as key advantages in capturing market share in the whiskey category [5][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, founded in 1997, initially focused on flavor production and has since become a leader in the RTD market with a revenue share of approximately 90% from RTD beverages [12][13]. - It has strategically entered the whiskey market, launching brands "Lai Zhou" and "Bailide" in 2024, with plans for further expansion [12]. RTD Beverages - The RTD beverage market is characterized by a "pulse penetration" pattern, with significant growth potential despite current competitive pressures [25][33]. - The company holds a market share of about 72.5% in the RTD sector, benefiting from strong brand recognition and effective marketing strategies [39][41]. - The RTD segment is expected to stabilize and grow, supported by new product launches and improved marketing operations [5][6]. Whiskey Market - The whiskey market in China is currently underdeveloped, with only 0.5% of the liquor consumption, indicating substantial growth potential [5][8]. - The company has established a unique large-scale blending whiskey production capacity, with an annual output of 26,000 tons of grain whiskey, and a significant inventory of barrels [5][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of flavor innovation and consumer education in driving the growth of domestic whiskey brands [5][8]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3,048 million yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% expected through 2026 [6]. - Net profit forecasts for the company are 719 million yuan in 2024, increasing to 1,122 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [6][7].

证 券 研 究 报 告 保险行业周报（20250623-20250627） 风偏上行催化板块行情，看好负债端经营质 推荐（维持） 量改善趋势 本周行情复盘：保险指数上涨 3.89%，跑赢大盘 1.93pct。保险个股表现分化， 阳光+9.57%，太平+8.63%，友邦+5.53%，太保+4.47%，平安+4.06%，财险 +3.61%，新华+3.46%，人保+2.82%，国寿+2.39%。10年期国债收益率1.65%， 较上周末+1bp。 本周动态： （1）中证网：6月 24日，港交所披露易最新数据显示，蚂蚁集团当日减持约 3375.48万股众安保险股。此次减持后，蚂蚁集团对众安保险的持股数量占已 发行的有投票权股份百分比降至 7.63%。 （2）众安在线：增资约 39亿港元，配售价 18.25港元/股，配售股份相当于现 有已发行 H股的 15.14%。本次增资主要用于补充资金需求、支撑金融科技创 新投资以及一般企业用途。 （3）金融监管总局：2025 年 1-5 月原保费收入 3.06 万亿，其中财产险 6129 亿元，人身险 24473 亿元。 保险近期行情点评： 近期保险板块行情表现突出，我们认为主要催 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Report's Core View - In May, the year - on - year profit of industrial enterprises above designated size dropped to -9.1%, a significant decline from April. The year - on - year decline of PPI in May was 3.3%, and the drag on profits increased compared to April. After excluding price factors, the growth rate of single - month operating income declined marginally, indicating that the support from quantity factors also weakened in May. The resonance of internal and external demand fluctuations and the widening decline of PPI under the influence of tariffs led to a further decline in the profit growth rate in May [2][25]. - Looking ahead, the "rush - to - export" effect has weakened since June. The internal driving force of the economy in the second quarter shows obvious off - season characteristics, and the economy in the second half of the year faces high - base disturbances, so the necessity of domestic demand policy stimulus increases. The lower price base and the gradual expenditure of fiscal funds may help repair the price side of corporate profits. The importance of domestic demand stimulus becomes prominent as the export elasticity may weaken and the external tariff policy environment faces uncertainties in August [2][28]. - In the third quarter, the existing domestic demand policies such as consumption and investment may be further strengthened, and the quantity factors may improve marginally. At the same time, the PPI base will be lower in the second half of the year. Coupled with the stimulus of domestic demand and the formation of project expenditures and physical work volume by previous fiscal funds, the drag of prices on corporate profits is also expected to narrow [28]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Industry Perspective: Downstream Consumption Policy Support Catalyzes, while Upstream and Mid - stream Face Disturbances - **Upstream**: Mining industry profits are still under pressure, with most industries seeing an expansion of profit decline, but the energy supply industry continues to grow positively. For example, the profit decline of coal mining and washing, oil and gas extraction, and ferrous metal ore mining industries widened; the profit of non - ferrous metal ore mining industry increased, and the profit of the power, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry increased slightly [8][16]. - **Mid - stream**: Equipment manufacturing is better than material processing, and it continues to grow slightly. The pressure on the material processing industry persists, with the year - on - year decline expanding. The profit growth rate of mid - stream equipment manufacturing decreased, with the cumulative year - on - year growth rate at +0.1% [17]. - **Downstream**: There is a structural differentiation between essential and optional consumption, and the electronics equipment industry still performs strongly. The profit of essential consumption turned negative year - on - year, while the profit of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery and the beverage industry maintained growth. Most of the optional consumption industries had weak year - on - year profits, but the electronics equipment industry still performed well [18]. 3.2 Cost Side: Slight Increase in Expenses, Marginal Slight Improvement in Profit Margin - From January to May, the cost per 100 yuan of operating income of industrial enterprises above designated size was 85.61 yuan, an increase of 0.24 yuan year - on - year and 0.07 yuan compared to January - April. The expense per 100 yuan of operating income was 8.29 yuan, a decrease of 0.14 yuan year - on - year but an increase of 0.01 yuan compared to January - April, indicating a slowdown in the pace of cost reduction. The cumulative operating income profit margin from January to May was 4.97%, a decrease of 0.22 percentage points year - on - year but an increase of 0.10 percentage points compared to January - April. Although the profit efficiency is still a drag compared to the same period last year, it has improved marginally [1][20]. 3.3 Inventory: Actual Inventory May Increase Passively - As of the end of May, the finished - product inventory of industrial enterprises above designated size was 6.65 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year growth rate of 4.1%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points compared to the end of April, and the nominal inventory growth rate declined slightly. After considering price factors, the actual inventory growth rate after excluding PPI was 6.8%, an increase from 6.6% in April. Since the sales - to - production ratio slowed down in May, indicating weak actual demand recovery, the actual inventory may have increased passively. The turnover days of finished - product inventory from January to May were 20.8 days, an increase of 0.1 days year - on - year but a decrease of 0.2 days compared to January - April, indicating a slightly faster turnover rhythm. The average collection period of accounts receivable was 70.5 days, an increase of 3.7 days year - on - year but a decrease of 0.2 days compared to January - April, indicating that the policy of promoting the settlement of arrears has compressed the collection period [23].