[Table_MainInfo] 基金研究 证券研究报告 基金季报 2025 年 4 月 2 日 [Table_Title] 相关研究 [Table_ReportInfo] 《海通证券：基金公司权益及固定收益类 资 产 业 绩 排 行 榜 （ 2025.04.02 ）》 2025.04.02 《 海通证券 - 基 金 系 列 评 级 一 览 （2025.01.27）》2025.01.27 《海通证券-2024 年四季度基金份额点 评》2025.01.24 2025 年 1 季度基金公司业绩点评 [Table_Summary] 投资要点： 分析师:魏玮 Tel:(021)23185677 Email:ww14694@haitong.com 证书:S0850524070003 首席分析师 [Table_AuthorInfo] :倪韵婷 Tel:(021)23185605 Email:niyt@haitong.com 证书:S0850511010017 联系人:刘雨婷 Tel:(021)23185707 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 [Table_AuthorInfo] Email:lyt16228@ha ...

[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/信息服务/软件 证券研究报告 佳讯飞鸿（300213）公司研究报告 2025 年 04 月 02 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 首次 覆盖 股票数据 | 0[4Table_StockInfo 月 01 日收盘价（元）] | 8.66 | | --- | --- | | 52 周股价波动（元） | 5.13-11.24 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万股） | 594/551 | | 总市值/流通市值（百万元） | 5142/4773 | | 市场表现 | | [Table_QuoteInfo] -26.65% -11.65% 3.35% 18.35% 33.35% 48.35% 2024/4 2024/7 2024/10 2025/1 佳讯飞鸿 海通综指 | 沪深 300 对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对涨幅（%） | -5.4 | 13.7 | 7.3 | | 相对涨幅（%） | -5.3 | 11.9 | 9.7 | | 资料来源：海通证券研究所 | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, indicating an expectation of relative performance exceeding the market benchmark by over 10% within six months following the report's release [12]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in digital technology for real estate, focusing on AI and SaaS to unlock new growth opportunities [12]. - The report highlights a significant narrowing of net losses due to effective cost reduction measures, with a projected revenue decline of 12.5% in 2024, but a substantial reduction in adjusted net loss by 74.1% [8][12]. - The transition in the real estate industry from "incremental development" to a dual model of "incremental development + stock operation & management" is noted, impacting digital demand [8][12]. Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 1,657 million RMB - 2024: 1,435 million RMB (down 9.6% YoY) - 2025E: 1,365 million RMB (down 12.5% YoY) - 2026E: 1,392 million RMB (up 2.0% YoY) - 2027E: 1,472 million RMB (up 5.7% YoY) [7][11]. - Net profit forecasts indicate a significant recovery, with expected figures of: - 2024: -190 million RMB - 2025E: -146 million RMB - 2026E: -73 million RMB - 2027E: 36 million RMB [7][11]. - The overall gross margin is projected to improve from 76.85% in 2024 to 79.17% in 2027, driven by an increase in SaaS revenue share [11][12]. Business Segmentation - The company's SaaS revenue is expected to decline slightly in 2024 but is projected to grow in subsequent years, with a forecast of 12.93 million RMB by 2027 [11]. - The ERP business is anticipated to continue its strategic contraction, with revenue growth rates of -15% in 2025, -8% in 2026, and -5% in 2027 [11]. - The report emphasizes the integration of AI into real estate marketing, with the launch of specialized AI products and a significant increase in client engagement [8][12]. Market Performance - The company's stock price is currently at 3.00 RMB, with a market capitalization of 5,832 million RMB [3]. - The report notes a 52-week price range of 1.57 to 4.65 RMB, indicating volatility in the stock's performance [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The report emphasizes the company's strong growth potential driven by the high-endization of heavy trucks and effective loss reduction in light trucks [6][8] - The company is expected to maintain long-term growth momentum due to favorable policies and market conditions [6] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company reported a revenue of 95.06 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.8% [6] - The net profit for 2024 is projected at 5.86 billion yuan, up 18.4% year-on-year [6] - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 15.6%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from the previous year [6] - The company anticipates revenues of 109.31 billion yuan, 125.12 billion yuan, and 136.98 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][9] - The projected net profits for the same years are 6.78 billion yuan, 8.38 billion yuan, and 9.95 billion yuan respectively [6][9] Segment Performance - Heavy truck sales are expected to grow, with the company forecasting sales of 243,000 units in 2024, a 7% increase year-on-year [6] - The light truck segment is projected to generate revenue of 9.84 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant reduction in operating losses [6][7] - The financial services segment is expected to contribute 1.35 billion yuan in revenue for 2024 [7] Valuation - The report suggests a reasonable valuation range for the company of 26.42 to 31.70 HKD based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 10-12 times for 2025 [6][8] - The company is considered a leader in the industry with strong certainty in its growth trajectory [6] Key Financial Ratios - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 14.4% for 2024, with a gradual increase in subsequent years [6][9] - The gross margin for heavy trucks is expected to improve to 17.2% by 2027 [7]

[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/信息服务 证券研究报告 东方通（300379）公司研究报告 2025 年 04 月 02 日 | 04[Table_StockInfo 月 01 日收盘价（元）] | 15.40 | | --- | --- | | 52 周股价波动（元） | 7.26-23.98 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万股） | 558/527 | | 总市值/流通市值（百万元） | 8592/8110 | | 市场表现 | | [Table_QuoteInfo] -36.18% -11.18% 13.82% 38.82% 63.82% 2024/4 2024/7 2024/10 2025/1 东方通 海通综指 | 沪深 300 对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对涨幅（%） | -5.9 | 8.8 | 2.1 | | 相对涨幅（%） | -5.8 | 7.0 | 3.3 | | 资料来源：海通证券研究所 | | | | [Table_AuthorInfo] | 分析师:杨林 | | --- | | Tel:(021)23 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth with a significant reduction in net losses, driven by strong performance in its core business and the introduction of new product lines [7][8] - The establishment of Paradigm Group marks a strategic shift towards a dual business model focusing on both B2B and B2C markets, with the consumer electronics segment anticipated to become a key growth driver [7][8] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue is projected to grow from 42.04 billion in 2023 to 66.01 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25% [7] - The net profit is expected to turn positive by 2025, with a forecasted net profit of 0.49 billion, following a significant reduction in losses from 9.09 billion in 2023 to 0.27 billion in 2024 [7] - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 44% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 47% by 2027 [7] Business Segments and Growth Drivers - The AI platform business, particularly the "Xianzhi AI Platform," has shown exceptional growth, with revenues increasing by 46.7% in 2024 [7] - The company is focusing on expanding its customer base and enhancing service depth, with benchmark users averaging revenue close to 19.1 million [7] - The consumer electronics segment, Phancy, aims to provide AI-integrated hardware and software solutions, leveraging the company's proprietary AI capabilities [7][8] Strategic Initiatives - The company is heavily investing in R&D, with expenses reaching 2.17 billion in 2024, representing 41.2% of revenue [7] - The launch of the ModelHubAIoT solution is expected to facilitate the deployment of AI models on edge devices, addressing privacy and real-time needs [8] - Collaboration with major partners like Huawei to develop integrated AI solutions is anticipated to enhance product offerings and market reach [8] Valuation and Price Target - The company is valued at a price-to-sales ratio of 5-6 times for 2025, with a target price range of 71.66 to 85.99 HKD [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The report highlights that domestic capital expenditure is increasing while overseas business is growing rapidly. The company expects revenue growth of 5.5% in 2024, with a projected revenue of 10.322 billion RMB [6][7] - The overseas business has shown significant growth, with a revenue increase of 618.2% year-on-year, reaching approximately 1.729 billion USD [6] - The company is expanding its data center capacity, with a commitment usage rate of 91.9% and an expected increase in operational capacity in the coming years [6][7] Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 9.957 billion RMB (2023), 10.322 billion RMB (2024), 11.440 billion RMB (2025), 12.927 billion RMB (2026), and 14.866 billion RMB (2027), with year-on-year growth rates of 6.8%, 3.7%, 10.8%, 13.0%, and 15.0% respectively [5][10] - The net profit forecast shows a loss of 4.344 billion RMB in 2023, followed by a profit of 3.371 billion RMB in 2024, and losses in subsequent years, with projections of -825 million RMB (2025), -728 million RMB (2026), and -462 million RMB (2027) [5][10] - The adjusted EBITDA for 2024 is expected to be 48.76 billion RMB, with a margin of 47.2% [6] Business Performance - The company’s domestic business is accelerating, with a projected revenue of 10.322 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a 3.67% increase [10] - The overseas business is expected to contribute significantly to future revenues, with a projected EBITDA of 11.40 billion RMB in 2025 [7][8] - The company plans to increase capital expenditure to approximately 4.3 billion RMB in 2025, up from 3 billion RMB in 2024 [6][7] Valuation - The overall valuation for the company is estimated between 467.51 billion RMB and 590.19 billion RMB, with a reasonable stock price range of 32.98 to 41.63 HKD [8] - The report uses a forward dynamic EV/EBITDA multiple of 14-16 times for the company and 20-21 times for its overseas business [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][5][6] Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the domestic dairy farming industry, benefiting from a cyclical recovery in the market [4][6] - The company has a strong market position with a significant increase in market share from 19% to approximately 26% from 2019 to 2024 [6] - The company is expected to see a rebound in raw milk prices due to a reduction in supply and an increase in demand driven by government policies [6][9] - The company has a diversified product matrix, including organic and specialty milk products, which contribute to higher profit margins compared to regular milk [6][9] Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 18,694 million CNY - 2024: 20,096 million CNY - 2025: 21,766 million CNY - 2026: 23,712 million CNY - 2027: 25,879 million CNY - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected to be 3.6% in 2023, 7.5% in 2024, 8.3% in 2025, 8.9% in 2026, and 9.1% in 2027 [5][6] - Net profit is expected to turn positive by 2025, with projections of 679 million CNY in 2025, 1,748 million CNY in 2026, and 2,945 million CNY in 2027 [5][6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 23.9% in 2023 to 33.92% by 2027 [5][6] Industry Analysis - The domestic raw milk supply is characterized by a significant reduction in dairy cattle numbers, with a projected decline of 4.5% in Holstein cattle by 2024 [6][9] - The competitive landscape of the dairy industry is fragmented, with the top five companies holding a market share of approximately 19% [6][9] - The company benefits from a stable demand from its major shareholder, Yili Group, which accounts for about 95% of its raw milk revenue [6][9] Valuation Metrics - The company is expected to trade at a P/E ratio of 16-20 times by 2025, with a target price range of 3.00 to 3.75 HKD per share [6][9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of relative performance exceeding the market benchmark by over 10% within six months following the report's release [5][19]. Core Insights - The company, Zhixing Technology, is a leading provider of autonomous driving solutions in China, leveraging advanced systems in software, hardware, and AI algorithms to deliver innovative products [6][7]. - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its autonomous driving business, with a significant increase in new orders and deliveries, reflecting a growing consumer acceptance of autonomous vehicles [6][8]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on AI-driven autonomous driving and its potential to create a closed-loop system that integrates AI development with hardware sales [7][9]. Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue projections for Zhixing Technology are as follows: 2023: 1,216 million CNY, 2024: 1,248 million CNY, 2025E: 2,071 million CNY, 2026E: 3,220 million CNY, and 2027E: 4,182 million CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of -8%, 3%, 66%, 56%, and 30% respectively [6][12]. - The net profit forecast indicates losses in the initial years, with estimates of -195 million CNY in 2023, -288 million CNY in 2024, and a return to profitability with 23 million CNY in 2026 and 164 million CNY in 2027 [6][12]. - The report anticipates a significant increase in the gross margin from 7.28% in 2024 to 21.55% in 2027, driven by economies of scale as revenue grows [12][14]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Zhixing Technology has established a strong market presence with over 227,000 autonomous driving solutions delivered in 2024, marking a 75% increase from the previous year [6][8]. - The company has secured contracts with major OEMs, including Geely, Polestar, and Chery, enhancing its market credibility and expanding its operational footprint [6][8]. - The report emphasizes the company's technological edge, particularly in deploying advanced algorithms on low-power chips, positioning it as a pioneer in the industry [6][8]. Valuation and Investment Recommendation - The report employs a price-to-sales (P/S) valuation method, suggesting a valuation range of 18.60 to 24.18 HKD for 2025, based on a P/S ratio of 2.0 to 2.6 [6][12]. - The recommendation to "Outperform" is based on the anticipated growth trajectory of the autonomous driving market and the company's strategic initiatives to enhance its product offerings and market share [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance that exceeds the benchmark index by more than 10% over the next six months [10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.081 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 8.8% year-on-year, while the adjusted net profit increased by 61.1% to 170 million yuan. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 560 million yuan, down 10.6% [5][10]. - The company has introduced several AI recruitment applications, which have significantly improved user engagement and operational efficiency. The average monthly active users grew by 5.6% year-on-year, with a total registered user base of 106 million, reflecting an 11.1% increase [6][8]. - The company has initiated a special dividend plan, proposing a special dividend of 0.42 HKD per share, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders [5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an adjusted operating profit of 229 million yuan, marking a 64.9% increase. The fourth quarter's adjusted operating profit was 50 million yuan, compared to 26 million yuan in the same quarter of the previous year [5][8]. - The company’s total liabilities stood at 786 million yuan, with cash and cash equivalents amounting to 1.211 billion yuan, indicating a strong liquidity position [10]. - The forecast for 2025-2027 suggests a gradual recovery in revenue, with expected revenues of 1.988 billion yuan in 2025 and 2.040 billion yuan in 2027, alongside a projected adjusted net profit of 230 million yuan in 2025 [9][10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has successfully expanded its multi-hunting RCN platform, which has seen a growing demand for job positions, particularly in sectors like internet, energy, and manufacturing. By the end of 2024, 91% of the network had participated in collaborative delivery [7][8]. - The introduction of the AI interview system, Doris, has shown a consistent alignment with professional interviewers' judgments, maintaining a 95% accuracy rate, which enhances the recruitment process across various demographics [6][8].