Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the throughput of crude oil and dry bulk cargo is under pressure, while container throughput is experiencing significant growth [2][8] - From January to October 2025, the total import and export value reached 37.31 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, with exports growing by 6.2% [17] - Coastal major ports achieved a cargo throughput of 96.44 billion tons, up 3.5% year-on-year, with foreign trade cargo throughput at 41.91 billion tons, increasing by 3.6% [3][34] Summary by Sections 1. Overview: National Import and Export Total and Cargo Throughput - The total import and export value from January to October 2025 was 37.31 trillion yuan, with imports at 15.19 trillion yuan (flat year-on-year) and exports at 22.11 trillion yuan (up 6.2%) [17] - Coastal major ports' cargo throughput reached 96.44 billion tons, a 3.5% increase year-on-year, while foreign trade cargo throughput was 41.91 billion tons, up 3.6% [3][34] 2. Container: Container Shipping Rates and Throughput - As of November 28, 2025, the China Container Freight Index (CCFI) was at 1121.8 points, down 23.58% year-on-year, while the Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) was at 1403.13 points, down 35.04% year-on-year [4][37] - From January to October 2025, container throughput at coastal major ports reached 25.908 million TEUs, a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [4][43] 3. Liquid Bulk: Oil Shipping Rates and Crude Oil Throughput - The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) was at 1452 points on November 28, 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 62.78% [5][45] - Crude oil imports from January to October 2025 totaled 471 million tons, a 3.1% increase year-on-year, while the throughput at major crude oil receiving ports was 329 million tons, down 3.25% year-on-year [6][53] 4. Dry Bulk: Bulk Shipping Rates and Iron Ore, Coal Throughput - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was at 2560 points on November 28, 2025, up 89.07% year-on-year [7][55] - From January to October 2025, iron ore throughput at major ports reached 1.164 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.45%, while coal throughput was 571 million tons, down 0.28% year-on-year [61][70] 5. Key Port Listed Companies Monthly Throughput - In October 2025, major port companies reported various throughput figures, with Shanghai Port Group achieving a cargo throughput of 0.49 billion tons and container throughput of 453.5 million TEUs [73]

Overview - In 2025, the A-share market is experiencing steady net inflows, with the annual net inflow accounting for 3.9% of the free float market value as of November 28, 2025 [10][11] - The inflow speed has slowed down since Q4 2025, primarily due to a significant decrease in active equity fund shares and a slowdown in new account openings and financing balances [15][22] Annual Analysis - The annual net inflow of funds is supported by stable resident fund inflows, with changes in inflow channels compared to historical bull markets, including ETFs, private equity, and "fixed income+" products [11][12] - The insurance capital's entry into the market has accelerated compared to 2024, contributing to the overall stability of the funding environment [11][12] Monthly Analysis - In October 2025, the financing balance increased by 904.48 billion yuan, but decreased by 123.24 billion yuan from November 1 to November 28 [28] - The total financing balance as of November 28, 2025, increased by 6023.54 billion yuan compared to the end of the previous year, reaching a historical high [28] Fund Flows - The share of active equity public funds decreased by 1973.67 billion shares in October 2025, while ETFs maintained net inflows of 491.02 billion yuan [21][28] - The private equity fund management scale increased to 70076.16 billion yuan in October 2025, reflecting a strong inflow [21] Insurance Capital - As of Q3 2025, the insurance company's investment balance reached 37.46 trillion yuan, with an estimated net inflow of 1066.0 billion yuan compared to Q2 2025 [21] - The annual net inflow of insurance capital is projected to be 5907.03 billion yuan compared to Q4 2024 [21] Equity Financing - The equity financing scale in October 2025 was 609.44 billion yuan, an increase from 436.85 billion yuan in September [21][28] - The total equity financing scale from January 1 to November 28, 2025, reached 5120.30 billion yuan, surpassing the total for the previous year [21][28] Company Actions - The total amount of company buybacks in October 2025 was 900.68 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous month [21] - The total dividend amount for listed companies reached 1141.53 billion yuan in October 2025, with a cumulative total of 19652.25 billion yuan from January 1 to November 28, 2025 [21]

Group 1: AI Computing Power - The global infrastructure wave is driving significant growth in AI computing power, with major cloud service providers (CSPs) expected to increase capital expenditures (CapEx) to over $600 billion in 2026, representing a 40% year-on-year increase [5][24][25] - NVIDIA anticipates that the total shipment of Blackwell and Rubin GPUs will reach 20 million units by the end of 2026, generating approximately $500 billion in sales [31][33] - The demand for AI servers is expected to maintain high growth, with shipments projected to rise from 1.6 million units in 2024 to 2.4 million units in 2026 [25][28] Group 2: AI Storage - The storage industry is entering a "super cycle" due to a rebound in demand driven by AI applications, with DRAM and NAND Flash prices expected to rise significantly [52][64] - Major storage manufacturers have successfully reversed the supply-demand imbalance through strict production control, leading to a clear upward trend in prices for both DRAM and NAND Flash [52][64] - The demand for high-capacity SSDs is rapidly increasing, particularly in AI training, which is accelerating the replacement of traditional HDDs with QLC SSDs [7][52] Group 3: End-Side AI - AI is reshaping the hardware landscape for smart terminals, with AI smartphone penetration expected to rise from approximately 18% in 2024 to 45% in 2026 [7][19] - The success of AI glasses, such as Ray-Ban Meta, indicates a growing market for AI-integrated wearable technology, with significant sales growth anticipated in 2026 [7][20] - The development of humanoid robots is gaining momentum, with traditional consumer electronics manufacturers entering the robotics supply chain, driven by advancements in AI models [7][21] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies in the AI computing power sector include Industrial Fulian, Huadian Technology, and Shenghong Technology for overseas chains, and Cambrian, Chipone, and SMIC for domestic chains [7][8] - In the AI storage sector, companies like Demingli, Jiangbolong, and Baiwei Storage are highlighted, along with niche players such as Zhaoyi Innovation and Beijing Junzheng [7][8] - For end-side AI, recommended companies include Rockchip, Lexin Technology, and Lens Technology, focusing on SoC and consumer electronics [7][8]

公司研究 证券研究报告 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 索菲亚(002572) 投资评级 上次评级 [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮箱：jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 盈峰溢价收购股权，产业整合加速 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 12 月 1 日 相关研究 [Table_OtherReport] 索菲亚：坚持多品牌发展，发力整装探索 存量市场 索菲亚：巩固大家居龙头优势，发力整装 渠道 索菲亚：业绩符合预期，25 年改善可期 资料来源： Table_Rwind eport ，信达证券研发中心预测 Closing] ; 股价为 2025 年 11 月 28 日收盘价 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B座 邮编：100031 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_S 事件：公 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - Short-term focus on influenza-driven opportunities, while long-term strategies should emphasize innovation and internationalization [2][3]. - The report highlights a significant increase in influenza activity in both southern and northern provinces, suggesting a potential boost in demand for related medical products [10][11]. - The report anticipates substantial savings for the U.S. healthcare system due to upcoming price reductions on key medications, which could impact market dynamics [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector's weekly return was 2.67%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.03%, ranking 17th among 31 primary sub-industry indices [9]. - The chemical pharmaceuticals sub-sector had the highest weekly return of 4.19%, while traditional Chinese medicine ranked sixth with a return of 1.29% [9][25]. Market Trends - The report notes that the influenza activity is rising, with the southern provinces reporting an ILI% of 7.8% and northern provinces at 8.6%, both higher than previous years [10][11]. - Recommendations include focusing on influenza vaccines, antiviral medications, respiratory diagnostics, and drug retail channels in the short term [11]. Investment Opportunities - Short-term investment suggestions include: - Influenza vaccines: Companies like Hualan Vaccine and Jindike [11]. - Antiviral medications: Companies such as Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical and Jichuan Pharmaceutical [11]. - Respiratory diagnostics: Companies like Innotec and Wanfu Biology [11]. - Retail drug channels: Companies such as Yifeng Pharmacy and Dazhonglin [11]. - Long-term investment suggestions focus on: - High-end medical devices: Companies like Mindray Medical and United Imaging [11]. - CXO and upstream life sciences: Companies such as WuXi AppTec and Tigermed [12]. - Innovative drugs: Companies like Innovent Biologics and Hengrui Medicine [12]. Valuation Metrics - The current PE (TTM) for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry is 29.42, which is below the historical average of 30.90 [15][18]. - The industry is currently experiencing a premium of 124% compared to the CSI 300 index [18]. Recent Developments - The report outlines recent policy changes aimed at enhancing the pharmaceutical and medical device sectors, including measures from Shanghai and Beijing to promote high-quality development [45]. - Notable industry news includes advancements in cartilage repair technologies and the launch of innovative cardiac ablation systems [46].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the upward synchronization of performance cycles and technology cycles in the computer industry, driven by AI empowerment and structural improvements in fundamentals [1][2][3] - The computer sector is characterized as a "bull market leader," with a significant resonance between fundamentals and liquidity, reflecting strong market recognition of revenue expansion potential [3][20] - The report forecasts substantial growth in various AI applications, including AI Coding, AI in office software, AI in finance, network security, intelligent driving, and industrial software, indicating a broad market opportunity [3][11][12][13][14][16][17] Group 1: AI Applications - AI Coding is projected to reshape software development paradigms, with a global market value expected to grow from $6.7 billion in 2024 to $25.7 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.2% [3][11][12] - The Chinese AI code generation market is anticipated to expand from 6.5 billion RMB in 2023 to 33 billion RMB by 2028, with a CAGR of 38.4% [3][12] - AI in office software is expected to reach a market size of 30.86 billion RMB in 2024, growing to 191.14 billion RMB by 2028, with a CAGR of 57.75% [3][12] - The network security market is projected to grow to $1.6 billion by 2028, with a CAGR exceeding 230%, driven by the integration of AI technologies [3][14] - Intelligent driving technologies are evolving towards L3 commercial applications, with significant growth in high-speed NOA penetration from 8.7% to 35.7% between 2023 and 2025 [3][16] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in AI Coding, such as Zhuoyi Information, and those in AI office software like Kingsoft Office and Foxit Software [3][11][12] - In the AI finance sector, companies like Tonghuashun and Jiufang Zhitu are highlighted for their innovative applications [3][13] - For network security, firms such as Deepin and Anheng Information are recommended due to their advancements in AI-driven security solutions [3][14] - In the intelligent driving space, companies like Desay SV and Zhongke Chuangda are noted for their leadership in high-performance driving solutions [3][16] - Industrial software firms like Zhongkong Technology and Rongzhi Rixin are recognized for their contributions to AI-driven industrial transformations [3][17]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The electronic sub-industry has significantly recovered, with the Shenwan Electronics secondary index showing year-to-date changes of: Semiconductors (+39.75%), Other Electronics II (+43.95%), Components (+89.82%), Optical Electronics (+5.55%), Consumer Electronics (+42.54%), and Electronic Chemicals II (+38.20%) [2][9] - North American key stocks mostly rose, with notable increases for companies like Micron Technology (+180.99%) and Intel (+102.29%) year-to-date [10] - Google's TPU v7 demonstrates cost advantages over GPU-based systems, challenging the GPU-dominated computing market. The total cost of ownership (TCO) for TPU is approximately 30%-40% lower than NVIDIA's GB200 system [2][24] - The demand for AI infrastructure is growing significantly, with NVIDIA reporting that cloud GPUs are sold out, indicating a supply-demand imbalance. TrendForce predicts over 20% year-on-year growth in global AI server shipments by 2026 [2][3] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shenwan Electronics secondary index has shown substantial recovery, with weekly changes for various segments: Semiconductors (+5.72%), Other Electronics II (+7.59%), Components (+8.10%), Optical Electronics (+5.23%), Consumer Electronics (+6.08%), and Electronic Chemicals II (+3.93%) [9] - Key North American stocks have shown positive performance, with significant increases for companies like Tesla (+9.99%) and Qualcomm (+2.93%) [10] Technology Competition - Google's TPU v7 has emerged as a strong competitor in the computing market, leveraging superior system-level engineering to achieve higher model performance utilization rates compared to NVIDIA GPUs [2][24] - The competition between GPU and TPU is seen as a redistribution of market share in a growing market, with both technologies expected to experience rapid growth [2] Investment Opportunities - Recommended companies to watch include: For overseas AI - Industrial Fulian, Huadian Co., Pengding Holdings, Shenghong Technology, and Shengyi Technology; For domestic AI - Cambricon, Chipone, Haiguang Information, SMIC, and Shenzhen South Circuit [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that international oil prices experienced fluctuations due to geopolitical factors, particularly the ongoing situation in Ukraine. As of November 28, 2025, Brent and WTI oil prices were reported at $62.38 and $58.55 per barrel, respectively [2][9] - The report indicates an increase in U.S. crude oil and refined product inventories, which negatively impacted the market. However, a reduction in the number of active oil rigs in the U.S. and skepticism regarding the peace negotiations in Ukraine contributed to price volatility [2][9] - The report notes that the oil and petrochemical sector underperformed compared to the broader market, with a decline of 0.73% in the sector as of November 28, 2025 [10] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - As of November 28, 2025, Brent crude futures settled at $62.38 per barrel, down $0.18 (-0.29%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures increased by $0.49 (+0.84%) to $58.55 per barrel [24] - The report also mentions the Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude fell by $0.84 (-1.56%) to $53.16 per barrel [24] Offshore Drilling Services - The number of global offshore self-elevating drilling platforms was reported at 366, with a net increase of 1 platform. The floating drilling platform count rose to 129, with an increase of 2 platforms [27] U.S. Crude Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.814 million barrels per day, a decrease of 20,000 barrels from the previous week. The number of active drilling rigs fell to 407, down by 12 rigs [38] U.S. Crude Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing averaged 16.443 million barrels per day, an increase of 211,000 barrels from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 92.30%, up 2.3 percentage points [45] U.S. Crude Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories reached 838 million barrels, an increase of 3.272 million barrels (+0.39%) from the previous week. Strategic reserves were at 411 million barrels, up 498,000 barrels (+0.12%) [54] Refined Oil Products - In the North American market, average prices for diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel were reported at $99.57, $79.04, and $89.17 per barrel, respectively, with corresponding price differentials to crude oil [77]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector assets [3][11] - The supply side remains tight, with a decrease in coal production over the past four months, providing a solid support for coal prices [3][11] - Demand is gradually increasing, particularly in power generation, which is expected to drive down inventory levels in the downstream market [3][11] - The coal sector is characterized by high profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE) of 10-15%, and dividend yields exceeding 5%, indicating strong asset attributes [3][11] - The coal sector is currently undervalued, with expectations for overall valuation improvement [3][11] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of November 29, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 818 RMB/ton, down 9 RMB/ton week-on-week [2][30] - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port is 1710 RMB/ton, down 80 RMB/ton week-on-week [2][32] - International thermal coal prices have shown slight increases, with Newcastle coal at 87.5 USD/ton, up 0.5 USD/ton week-on-week [2][30] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 91.3%, down 0.2 percentage points week-on-week [3][47] - The daily coal consumption in inland provinces has increased by 3,000 tons/day (+0.85%) while coastal provinces have seen a slight decrease [3][48] - The overall supply remains tight, with expectations for coal prices to trend upward due to the supply-demand dynamics [3][11] Inventory Situation - Coal inventory in inland provinces has increased by 557,000 tons week-on-week, while coastal provinces have seen an increase of 1,160,000 tons [3][48] - The available days of coal supply in inland provinces have decreased slightly, indicating a tightening supply situation [3][48] Company Focus - Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, which are noted for their stable operations and strong performance [12] - Companies with higher elasticity such as Yancoal Australia and Gansu Energy Chemical are also highlighted for potential investment [12]

国开行发行 90 亿元绿色金融债券，欧盟将发布《工业脱碳加速器法案》立法 提案 [Table_Industry] ESG 周报 [Table_R 2025 年 1eportDate] 1 月 30 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 | [Table_StockAndRank] ESG | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | —— | | 上次评级 | —— | 郭雪 环保公用联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525030002 邮 箱：guoxue @cindasc.com 吴柏莹 环保行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100001 邮 箱：wuboying@cindasc.com 本期内容提要: [Table_S [Table_Summary 热点聚焦 ummary]：] 国内：国开行发行 90 亿元绿色金融债券，重点支持基础设施绿色升级。国 家开发银行日前在上海清算所成功发行 90 亿元 3 年期绿色金融债券，发行 利率为 1.52%，认购倍数 2.46 倍。截至 11 月 28 日，国开行已累计发行绿 色金融债券 2295 亿元。本次发行严格 ...