Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental sector [2] Core Viewpoints - The green methanol industry is expected to experience significant growth opportunities driven by both policy and market factors, particularly in the context of global decarbonization efforts [3][17][26] - The report highlights that the global methanol production capacity is projected to reach 200 million tons per year by 2028, with green methanol potentially accounting for 10% of this capacity [17][21] - The report emphasizes the advantages of green methanol as a marine fuel alternative, including low emissions of sulfur and nitrogen oxides, ease of storage and transportation, and low environmental hazards [26][30] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of October 10, the environmental sector index rose by 1.49%, outperforming the broader market, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.37% to 3897.03 [3][10] - The water treatment sector increased by 1.19%, while the waste incineration sector saw a rise of 4.47% [11][10] Industry Dynamics - The report notes that the steel, cement, and aluminum industries have been included in the national carbon emissions trading market management, with a draft proposal for quota allocation being publicly solicited [32][33] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment is revising national ecological standards for the protection of drinking water sources [33] Special Topic: Green Methanol Development Opportunities - The EU's carbon intensity regulation, effective January 1, 2025, imposes fines for exceeding emission limits, aiming for an 80% reduction in greenhouse gas intensity by 2050 compared to 2020 levels [24][26] - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) is set to implement a net-zero emissions framework by 2025, which will impose penalties for exceeding carbon intensity standards [23][26] - The report outlines three main production routes for green methanol: biomass-to-methanol, biomass gasification, and electrolysis-based methanol production, with the latter expected to become the mainstream method as technology advances [21][22] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "14th Five-Year Plan" will continue to emphasize environmental quality and industrial green development, maintaining high demand for energy conservation and resource recycling [47] - Key recommended companies include: Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, with additional attention to Wangneng Environment, Junxin Co., and others [47][48]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of Q3 performance, indicating a potential valuation shift in the new consumption sector [2] - The report highlights various sectors including paper manufacturing, exports, new tobacco, smart glasses, home furnishings, gold and jewelry, two-wheelers, pets, cross-border e-commerce, IP retail, and maternal and child products, each with specific insights and recommendations [2][3][4][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Paper Manufacturing - Overseas pulp mills continue to suspend operations, maintaining strong pulp prices. The report suggests monitoring companies like Sun Paper, Xianhe Co., and Nine Dragons Paper for potential recovery in cultural paper prices [2][3] Exports - The report notes renewed tariff disputes and emphasizes the importance of export leaders with sufficient overseas capacity. Companies like Craft Home and Yongyi Holdings are highlighted for their global layout [2][3] New Tobacco - HILO's entry into the European market is noted, with expectations for significant growth in Italy. The report suggests monitoring companies like Smoore International and China Tobacco Hong Kong [2][3] Smart Glasses - Meta's new product is experiencing high demand, indicating a potential breakthrough for the smart glasses industry. Companies like KANAT and Mingyue Optical are recommended for investment [2][3] Home Furnishings - The report indicates a weakening market in October, with expectations for further deterioration in the housing market. Companies like Gujia and Midea are suggested for their stable cash flow [2][3] Gold and Jewelry - The report notes strong sales during the National Day holiday, with brands like Chow Tai Fook expected to raise prices. Companies like Lao Pu Gold and Chow Sang Sang are highlighted for their growth potential [2][3] Two-Wheelers - Taotao Industry is projected to see significant profit growth, driven by electric low-speed vehicles. Companies like Yadea and Aima Technology are recommended for their market share potential [2][3] Pets - The report highlights strong sales performance during the National Day holiday, with brands like Desire and Frigat showing significant growth. Companies like Petty and Zhongchong are suggested for their competitive advantages [2][3] Cross-Border E-commerce - The report discusses the Amazon fall promotion and the increasing dominance of top sellers. Companies like Anker Innovations and Jihong Holdings are recommended for their global strategies [2][3] IP Retail - MINISO's new store format and Pop Mart's successful Halloween blind box sales are noted as trends in the retail sector. Both companies are suggested for their innovative approaches [2][3] Maternal and Child Products - The report emphasizes the deepening channel transformation in the maternal and child industry, with companies like Kidswant and Aiyingshi leading the way [2][3]

云南增量机制电价结果可观，8 月我国天然气表观消费量同比增长 1.8% 【】【】[Table_Industry] 公用事业—电力天然气周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 12 日 15666646523.tcy 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 公用事业 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com [Table_Author] 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 化工行业： 唐婵玉 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500525050001 邮 箱：tangchanyu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 云南增量机制电价结果可观，8 月我国天然气表观 消费量同比增长 1.8% 202 ...

请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 主动权益维持高仓位， ETF 加仓周期制造与 TMT —— 量化市场追踪周报（2025W40&41） 量化市场追踪周报(2025W40&41)：主动权益维持 高仓位，ETF 加仓周期制造与 TMT 证券研究报告 金工研究 金工点评报告 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 吴彦锦 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523090002 联系电话：+86 18616819227 邮 箱：wuyanjin@cindasc.com 周君睿 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523110005 联系电话：+86 19821223545 邮 箱：zhoujunrui@cindasc.com 2025 年 10 月 12 日 主动权益基金整体仓位仍维持在 90%以上的高位区间，近期变动幅度不 大。截至 2025/10/10，主动权益型基金的平均仓位约为 90.39%。其中，普 ...

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 绿源集团控股(2451.HK) 投资评级 上次评级 [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮 箱： jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 公司立足技术研发布局 E-Bike 市场，前景广阔。我们认为高端电助力自行 车对追求日常便利与健康价值的城市消费者的吸引力有望持续提升，公司已 推出 LYVA 品牌进行布局，并在杭州西湖开设售价自营门店。此次公司推出 高端新品 G02-Sport 碳纤维智能电助力公路车首发价 15999 元起，看点包 括 8 毫秒智能变速、TFT 智能仪表、3 类 8 大传感器、轻量化碳纤维、4 种 助力模式，公司深度参与核心部件研发，彰显深厚技术底蕴。 电动两轮车主业稳健成长，三大核心技术支撑产品力优势。根据公司 2025 年中报，25H1 公司电动自行车/电动踏板车/电池/电动两轮车部件分别实现 营收 19.97/3.54/5.97/1.07 亿元，分别同比+29.2%/+2.6%/+16.5% ...

中小盘贴水扩大，沪深 300 尾部风险升温 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 10 月 11 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_FirstAuthor] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 证券研究报告 金工研究 [T金工ableReportType] 点评报告 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 崔诗笛 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号：S1500523080001 联系电话：+86 18516560686 邮 箱：cuishidi@cindasc.com 孙石 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号：S1500523080010 联系电话：+86 18817366228 邮 箱：sunshi@cindasc.com ◼ 中小盘基差 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the tourism industry [2] Core Insights - During the 2025 National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, domestic tourism saw an increase in volume but a decrease in prices, with 888 million domestic trips taken, a 1.6% increase year-on-year, and a recovery to 99.4% of the 2019 level [3][7] - Domestic tourism revenue reached 809 billion yuan, averaging 101.1 billion yuan per day, marking a 1.0% increase year-on-year and a recovery to 109.0% of the 2019 level [3][7] - Per capita consumption was 911 yuan, with a daily average of 114 yuan, reflecting a 13.0% decline year-on-year, but recovering to 95.9% of the 2019 level [3][7] - Compared to the 2025 May Day and Spring Festival holidays, the growth rate of domestic tourism during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival slowed down, and per capita consumption growth turned negative [3][7] Summary by Sections Domestic Tourism - The 2025 National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday saw 888 million domestic trips, with a daily average of 111 million, a 1.6% increase from the previous year [7] - Domestic tourism revenue was 809 billion yuan, with a daily average of 101.1 billion yuan, a 1.0% increase year-on-year [7] - Per capita consumption decreased by 13.0% year-on-year to 911 yuan [7] Scenic Spots - Daily visitor growth at scenic spots ranged from single to double digits, with Emei Mountain and Phoenix Ancient City showing notable increases of 19.7% and 18.8% respectively [18][20] Outbound Tourism - Outbound tourism growth outpaced domestic tourism, with 16.34 million people entering or leaving the country during the holiday, a 11.5% year-on-year increase [22] Performing Arts - Cultural and artistic service sales increased by 18.6% during the holiday, with significant growth in performance services [28] Consumer Spending - Consumer spending showed low single-digit growth, with service consumption outperforming goods consumption, as retail and catering sales increased by 2.7% year-on-year [30]

证券研究报告 宏观研究 [Table_ReportType] 专题报告 [Table_A 解运亮 uthor 宏观首席 ] 分析师 执业编号：S1500521040002 联系电话：010-83326858 邮 箱：xieyunliang@cindasc.com 麦麟玥 宏观分析师 执业编号：S1500524070002 邮 箱：mailinyue@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127 号金隅 大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] PPI 转正的重要抓手 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 10 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com1 [➢Table_Summary] 2000 年以来，我国四轮 PPI 转正周期均由能直接重塑供需关系的核心因 素驱动。第一轮集中在 2001-2002 年，我国加入 WTO 后市场准入持续扩 大，出口快速增长带动工业 PPI 回暖；第二轮则出现在 2008-2009 年， "四万亿"投资计划及时对冲 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Taotao Automotive is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall sentiment appears positive based on the performance forecasts and growth potential outlined in the report. Core Insights - Taotao Automotive is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 580-620 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 92.5%-105.7% [1] - The company's growth is primarily driven by electric low-speed vehicles, particularly electric golf carts, with anticipated sales growth in North America [2] - The company has successfully established production capabilities in Vietnam and is expanding its brand presence in the U.S. market with the launch of a new brand, TEKO [2] - A strategic partnership with Yushu Technology aims to explore new opportunities in the robotics sector [3] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a significant increase in net profit, with estimates of 820 million yuan, 1.12 billion yuan, and 1.43 billion yuan respectively [3] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2.14 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.31 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.6% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 280 million yuan in 2023 to 1.43 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 27.5% [4] - The gross margin is forecasted to stabilize around 37.7%-38.0% over the next five years [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 2.57 yuan in 2023 to 13.13 yuan in 2027 [4] Operational Developments - The company has achieved stable production and quality control capabilities at its Vietnam factory, which is expected to meet U.S. market demand fully by October 2025 [2] - The introduction of the TEKO brand has led to partnerships with over 50 high-end dealers and strategic cooperation with the top electric golf cart dealer in the U.S., covering key markets across 15 states [2] - The collaboration with Yushu Technology focuses on leveraging advanced robotics technology for market expansion and product development in North America [3]

[Table_A 李一爽 uthor 固定收益 ] 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500520050002 联系电话：+8618817583889 邮 箱：liyishuang@cindasc.com [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 10 月 10 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com1 310 月债市：枕戈待旦 证券研究报告 债券研究 10 月债市：枕戈待旦 [T专题able_ReportType] 报告 日常工具的操作规模，但市场难以实时获取相关信息。在此背景下，资金 面的现实对于判断央行态度更加重要。因此，从 9 月实际的资金价格来看， 央行在既有框架内维持相对宽松的态度并未在 9 月改变。 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com3 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 10 日 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金 隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 ➢ 10 月资金面的外生扰动主要来自税期和政策工具的大量 ...