Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal mining industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The current phase is viewed as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a focus on the recovery of coal market conditions and value reassessment [3][5]. - Supply constraints are expected to re-emerge, with domestic coal production potentially declining due to regulatory checks and safety inspections [5][13]. - Demand for coal is projected to see slight growth in 2026, driven by a 5% economic growth rate and increased coal consumption in non-electric sectors [5][13]. - Short-term coal prices are expected to stabilize and potentially rise due to seasonal demand increases and inventory reductions at coastal ports [5][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Coal Prices - As of January 10, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 696 CNY/ton, up 17 CNY/ton week-on-week [4][32]. - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port remains stable at 1650 CNY/ton [34]. - International thermal coal prices show slight increases, with Newcastle coal at 71.8 USD/ton, up 0.3 USD/ton week-on-week [4][32]. 2. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The capacity utilization rate for thermal coal mines is reported at 90.3%, an increase of 8.2 percentage points week-on-week [5][13]. - Demand from coastal provinces has increased, with daily consumption rising by 29.9 thousand tons (+15.11%) [5][13]. - Chemical coal consumption has also increased, with a weekly rise of 8.36 thousand tons (+1.13%) [5][13]. 3. Market Outlook - The report emphasizes the importance of coal supply as a stabilizing factor in the market, with expected regulatory constraints leading to a tighter supply environment [5][13]. - The anticipated recovery in coal prices and the potential for value reassessment in the sector are highlighted as key investment themes [5][13]. - The report suggests that the coal sector remains an attractive investment opportunity, particularly for high-quality coal companies with strong cash flows and dividend yields [5][15].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is accelerating, and the demand for AI infrastructure remains strong, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [11][12] - The performance of excavators and other construction machinery is showing a significant recovery, with notable increases in both domestic and export sales [13][73] Company Summaries 1) Rilian Technology - Rilian Technology is a leading domestic supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, establishing significant technological barriers in core components, AI software, and detection equipment. In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue grew by 44.01% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 18.83%. The slower profit growth compared to revenue is attributed to costs related to new production bases and employee stock incentives. The company is expected to convert orders into revenue effectively, leading to profit elasticity release as cost impacts diminish [3][14]. 2) Konstar - Konstar focuses on the research and sales of digital testing instruments. Despite facing performance pressure from tariffs, the company saw a positive turning point in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 148 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.24%, and net profit attributable to shareholders growing by 30.66%. The company demonstrates strong operational resilience in international markets under tariff pressures, and its domestic business is performing well, with growth potential in MEMS sensors [4][15]. 3) Xinxin Co., Ltd. - Xinxin Co., Ltd. specializes in hard alloys and tools, reporting a revenue growth of 38.02% and a net profit increase of 75.40% in Q3 2025. The company is experiencing accelerated growth in both revenue and profit, driven by effective cost management amid rising raw material prices [5][16]. Industry Trends - The demand for AI-related infrastructure continues to thrive, with significant investments in AI technologies and related supply chains expected to benefit from this trend [12]. - The construction machinery sector is witnessing a comprehensive recovery, with excavator sales reaching 23,095 units in December 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, and loader sales growing by 30.00% [13][73].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The release of the Nvidia Rubin platform marks a new era in AI computing power, with a complete transformation of global computing facilities towards the "AI factory" paradigm [3][39] - The Rubin platform features six new chips designed for AI supercomputers, significantly enhancing inference performance and reducing training costs [3][7] - The introduction of open-source models expands Nvidia's ecosystem, covering various fields including biomedical AI, physical AI, and autonomous driving [3][29] Summary by Sections Chip Performance - The Rubin GPU introduces a Transformer engine, achieving inference performance of 50 PFLOPS, which is five times that of the Blackwell GPU, while training performance reaches 35 PFLOPS, 3.5 times that of Blackwell [3][13] - The Vera CPU is designed for data movement and intelligent processing, featuring 88 custom Nvidia cores and a system memory of 1.5 TB, which is three times that of the Grace CPU [3][12] Storage Solutions - The Rubin platform addresses KV Cache issues with a new inference context memory storage platform, significantly enhancing memory performance and efficiency [3][18] - Each Rubin GPU can be equipped with up to 288 GB of HBM4, with total memory bandwidth increased to 22 TB/s, 2.8 times that of Blackwell [3][14] PCB and Rack Innovations - The transition to a cableless interconnect architecture in the Rubin NVL72 PCB significantly reduces assembly time by 18 times and lowers operational costs [3][22] - The system's collaborative design enhances efficiency, allowing for a reduction in the number of GPUs needed for training large models by 75% compared to the previous generation [3][25] Open Source Models - The expansion of Nvidia's open-source model ecosystem includes updates across six major areas, with a focus on the Nemotron series for various applications [3][32] - The Nemotron series includes models for inference, retrieval-augmented generation, safety, and speech processing [3][32] Physical AI Developments - The Cosmos model is designed for understanding and generating physical world videos, while Alpamayo serves as an open-source toolchain for autonomous driving, introducing reasoning capabilities [3][33][34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the oil processing industry [1]. Core Insights - The international oil prices experienced a rebound due to geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Venezuela and Iran, with Brent and WTI prices reaching $63.34 and $59.12 per barrel, respectively, as of January 11, 2026 [2][9]. - The report highlights a significant increase in U.S. crude oil imports, which rose by 27.98% to 6.339 million barrels per day, while exports increased by 23.92% to 4.263 million barrels per day, resulting in a net import increase of 37.21% [47]. - The oil and petrochemical sector showed a mixed performance, with the sector rising by 0.29% while the broader market (CSI 300) increased by 2.79% [10]. Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - As of January 9, 2026, Brent crude futures settled at $63.34 per barrel, up $2.59 (+4.26%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures rose to $59.12 per barrel, an increase of $1.80 (+3.14%) [26]. Offshore Drilling Services - The number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs remained stable at 376, and floating drilling rigs also held steady at 129 as of January 5, 2026 [32]. Crude Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.811 million barrels per day, a decrease of 16,000 barrels from the previous week, with active drilling rigs down to 409 [42]. Crude Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing increased to 16.909 million barrels per day, with a refinery utilization rate of 94.70%, unchanged from the previous week [50]. Crude Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories decreased by 3.587 million barrels (-0.43%) to 833 million barrels as of January 2, 2026, with commercial inventories down by 3.832 million barrels (-0.91%) [62]. Refined Oil Products - As of January 9, 2026, U.S. average prices for diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel were $88.99, $72.69, and $78.96 per barrel, respectively, with varying price changes compared to the previous week [85].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The electronic sub-industry has seen significant growth, with the Shenwan Electronics Secondary Index showing year-to-date changes of: Semiconductors (+10.61%), Other Electronics II (+8.07%), Components (+1.98%), Optical Electronics (+6.68%), Consumer Electronics (+3.36%), and Electronic Chemicals II (+15.95%) [3][10] - Notable stock performance in North America includes: Apple (-4.30%), Tesla (+1.58%), Broadcom (-0.76%), Qualcomm (+2.77%), TSMC (+1.26%), Micron Technology (+9.41%), Intel (+15.67%), and Nvidia (-2.11%) [3][13] - Nvidia officially launched the Rubin platform at CES 2026, featuring new AI hardware and software products aimed at reducing inference costs through a collaborative design of six new chips [3][26] - Hon Hai Precision Industry (Foxconn) reported record monthly and quarterly revenues, with December revenue reaching 862.9 billion TWD, a year-on-year increase of 31.77%, and Q4 revenue of 2.6 trillion TWD, up 22.07% year-on-year [3][4] Summary by Sections Electronic Industry Performance - The electronic sub-industry has experienced a substantial increase, with specific segments like semiconductors and electronic chemicals leading the growth [3][10] - The performance of key North American stocks has varied, with some companies like Intel and Micron showing strong gains while others like Apple and Nvidia faced declines [3][13] Nvidia's Rubin Platform - The Rubin platform was introduced to enhance AI capabilities, focusing on inference models and applications in autonomous driving and robotics [3][26] Hon Hai's Financial Performance - Hon Hai's revenue growth is attributed to strong demand for AI servers, with expectations of continued growth despite entering a traditional off-season [3][4] Investment Opportunities - Suggested companies to watch include: Industrial Fulian, Huadian Technology, and others in the AI sector, as well as storage and SoC companies [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes more on environmental quality and industrial green low-carbon development [3] - The solar thermal power generation sector is expected to enter a phase of scale development, with a target of reaching a total installed capacity of approximately 15 million kilowatts by 2030, aiming for cost parity with coal power [19][28] - The report indicates that the cost of solar thermal power generation has significantly decreased, with the unit construction cost dropping from approximately 300,000 yuan per kilowatt ten years ago to around 150,000 yuan, and the cost per kilowatt-hour now at about 0.6 yuan [23][28] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of January 9, the environmental sector rose by 3.9%, outperforming the broader market, which increased by 3.8% [11] - The water management sector increased by 2.07%, while the waste management sector saw an 8.18% rise [14] Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the "Solid Waste Comprehensive Management Action Plan," which aims for significant improvements in solid waste management by 2030, including a target of 4.5 billion tons of annual comprehensive utilization of major solid waste [29] - The report also mentions the joint issuance of a notice by nine departments promoting green consumption during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, encouraging the procurement of energy-saving and environmentally friendly products [30] Special Topic: Solar Thermal Power Generation - The report details the solar thermal power generation technology, which includes tower, trough, and Fresnel types, and emphasizes its dual function as a peak-shaving power source and long-term energy storage [19][23] - The report outlines the policy developments supporting solar thermal power, including the establishment of a pricing mechanism to promote its economic viability [27][28] - The report notes that leading companies in the sector, such as Xizi Clean Energy, are well-positioned to benefit from the expansion of solar thermal power generation [28]

Investment Rating - The steel industry is rated as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The steel sector has shown a weekly increase of 3.35%, outperforming the broader market, with specific segments like special steel and iron ore also experiencing gains [10] - Supply conditions indicate a high furnace capacity utilization rate of 86.0% for sample steel companies, with a weekly increase of 0.78 percentage points [22] - Demand has seen a decline, with a weekly drop of 44.20 thousand tons in the consumption of five major steel products [32] - Social inventory of five major steel products increased by 14.39 thousand tons week-on-week, indicating a growing stockpile [40] - The average profit for rebar steel has risen to 63 CNY per ton, reflecting a significant increase of 31.25% week-on-week [54] - The report anticipates a stable demand for steel supported by government policies aimed at economic growth, particularly in real estate and infrastructure [3] Supply Summary - As of January 9, the average daily pig iron output was 2.295 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 2.07 thousand tons [22] - The capacity utilization rate for electric furnaces is at 56.9%, up by 1.76 percentage points week-on-week [22] - The total production of five major steel products reached 7.138 million tons, marking a week-on-week increase of 0.85% [22] Demand Summary - The consumption of five major steel products was recorded at 7.968 million tons, down 5.26% week-on-week [32] - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 95 thousand tons, reflecting a decrease of 2.47% week-on-week [32] Inventory Summary - Social inventory of five major steel products stood at 8.652 million tons, with a year-on-year increase of 10.75% [40] - Factory inventory for the same products was 3.888 million tons, also showing a year-on-year increase of 10.71% [40] Price & Profit Summary - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel is 3,452.2 CNY per ton, with a week-on-week increase of 13.30 CNY [46] - The comprehensive index for special steel is 6,585.2 CNY per ton, with a week-on-week increase of 11.93 CNY [46] - The average profit margin for 247 steel companies is 37.66%, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points week-on-week [54] Raw Material Summary - The spot price index for Australian iron ore at Rizhao Port is 823 CNY per ton, up by 12.0 CNY week-on-week [71] - The price for primary metallurgical coke remains stable at 1,715 CNY per ton [71] - The average profit for independent coking enterprises is -45 CNY per ton, down by 31.0% week-on-week [71] Company Valuation Summary - Key companies such as Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and CITIC Special Steel are highlighted for their growth potential and competitive advantages [72]

Group 1 - The macroeconomic environment is improving, with December 2025 PMI and inflation data showing a seasonal rebound, indicating better demand and supply conditions [9][12][24] - Various commodity prices have shown signs of recovery from their lows since mid-December 2025, with non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and black raw materials leading the recovery [9][12] - The micro-funding environment remains ample, with institutional funds providing incremental support, and trading funds expected to gradually recover, enhancing market liquidity [12][24] Group 2 - The thematic market is very active, with potential for further index uplift if the themes can expand into relatively low sectors [16][24] - Future thematic allocations should focus on sectors with price increase expectations supported by performance, such as non-ferrous metals, power battery supply chains, and chemicals [17][24] - Other areas of interest include themes that may see policy or unexpected technological breakthroughs, such as AI applications and tourism consumption [17][24] Group 3 - The report suggests that the current market conditions may favor a bullish sentiment, with the potential for a spring market rebound if the thematic trends continue to spread [8][16] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of various sectors and themes, particularly those that are expected to benefit from policy support and technological advancements [17][24] - The report emphasizes the need for caution regarding potential volatility in the short term, especially in high-demand technology themes like commercial aerospace and satellite internet [17][24]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the oil refining industry Core Insights - The downstream demand for polyester filament is weak, leading to increased inventory levels and a heightened sentiment for clearing stock and receivables as the Chinese New Year approaches [2] - The price spread for domestic key refining projects is 2502.21 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.76 CNY/ton (+0.03%) week-on-week, while the price spread for foreign key refining projects is 1152.16 CNY/ton, showing a decrease of 67.70 CNY/ton (-5.55%) [3] - Brent crude oil's average price for the week ending January 9, 2026, is 61.61 USD/barrel, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.27% [2] Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The international oil price has fluctuated due to geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning Venezuela and Iran, with Brent and WTI prices rising by 2.59 USD and 1.80 USD per barrel respectively from January 2 to January 9, 2026 [13] - Domestic refined oil prices have slightly decreased, with diesel, gasoline, and aviation kerosene averaging 6405.29 CNY/ton, 7551.57 CNY/ton, and 5258.57 CNY/ton respectively [13] Chemical Sector - Chemical product prices are experiencing fluctuations, with polyethylene prices showing stability while polypropylene prices are under pressure due to increased maintenance of production facilities [2] - The price of EVA has increased slightly, with a current average of 9600.00 CNY/ton, while the price of pure benzene remains stable at 5300.00 CNY/ton [49] Polyester & Nylon Sector - The polyester and nylon industry chain prices are stable, with PTA prices slightly decreasing and the demand for polyester filament continuing to decline [2] - The sentiment for clearing stock is growing stronger as textile market orders are limited, leading to increased inventory levels [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that in 2025, over 11.5 million vehicles will be replaced under the vehicle trade-in program, leading to a total retail of 23.744 million passenger cars, with approximately 54% being new energy vehicles [20][3] - The report indicates a projected growth in the automotive market, with a U-shaped sales trend expected for passenger vehicles in 2026, maintaining overall sales levels similar to 2025 [20] - Key companies to watch include BYD, Geely, Great Wall Motors, and others in the passenger vehicle sector, as well as major players in commercial vehicles and auto parts [3][20] Industry Performance - The A-share automotive sector underperformed the market, with a weekly increase of 2.53% compared to the 2.79% rise in the CSI 300 index, ranking 24th among A-share industries [3][9] - The report notes that the passenger vehicle segment saw a 3.8% year-on-year increase in retail sales, while new energy vehicles experienced a 17.6% growth [20] Key Industry News - The Ministry of Commerce announced that the vehicle trade-in program will exceed 11.5 million vehicles in 2025, contributing to over 1.6 trillion yuan in new car sales [20] - Geely received the largest L3 autonomous driving test license in China, covering an area of 9,224 square kilometers [20] - Baidu's autonomous driving platform, "萝卜快跑," obtained the first full unmanned testing license in Dubai, paving the way for commercial operations [20] Upstream Data Tracking - The report includes tracking of key material prices such as steel, aluminum, and lithium carbonate, which are crucial for automotive manufacturing [23][24]