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潮宏基:2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:25Q1营收净利增速亮眼,差异化品类驱动成长-20250507
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-07 08:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.518 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 10.48%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 194 million yuan, a decrease of 41.91% [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.252 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.36%, and a net profit of 189 million yuan, up 44.38% year-on-year [2]. - The company has shown resilience in profitability with a gross margin of 22.93% in Q1 2025, an increase of 0.99 percentage points from Q4 [2]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company's jewelry brand business revenue grew by 13.34% year-on-year, with operating profit increasing by 12.83% [3]. - Traditional gold products saw a revenue increase of 30.21% year-on-year, reaching 2.949 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 9.10% [3]. - The fashion jewelry segment reported a slight decline in revenue, down 0.63% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 28.76% [3]. Channel and Market Expansion - The franchise business generated 3.284 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 32.35%, with a gross margin of 17.25% [4]. - The company opened new stores in Kuala Lumpur and Bangkok, marking its entry into the Southeast Asian market [4]. - The self-operated channel revenue decreased by 7.4% year-on-year, totaling 3.017 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 31.57% [4]. Financial Forecast - The company is positioned as a mid-to-high-end fashion consumer goods multi-brand operator, with projected EPS of 0.55, 0.64, and 0.76 yuan per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]. - The expected PE ratios for the same years are 18, 15, and 13 times [5].
潮宏基(002345):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:25Q1营收净利增速亮眼,差异化品类驱动成长
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-07 06:18
[Table_Main] 公司研究|可选消费|耐用消费品与服装 证券研究报告 潮宏基(002345)公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 07 日 [Table_Title] 25Q1 营收净利增速亮眼,差异化品类驱动成长 ——潮宏基(002345)2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 [Table_Summary] 事件: 公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季度报告。 点评: 24 年女包业务计提商誉减值 1.8 亿元,25Q1 营收净利增速亮眼 2024 年公司实现营收 65.18 亿元,同比增长 10.48%,实现归属母公司净 利润 1.94 亿元,同比下降 41.91%。24 年公司对菲安妮有限公司计提商誉 减值 1.77 亿元。剔除商誉减值影响,24 年归母净利润 3.5 亿元,同比下降 5.11%。25Q1 公司实现收入 22.52 亿元,同比增长 25.36%,归母净利润 1.89亿元,同比增长44.38%,扣非归母净利润1.88亿元,同比增长46.17%。 盈利能力方面,25Q1 公司毛利率 22.93%,环比 Q4 提升 0.99pct,管理费 用率 1.30%,同比-0.5 ...
芒果超媒(300413):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:内容持续突破,投入加大致短期利润端小幅承压
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-06 11:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company has experienced a slight decline in revenue and profit due to increased investment in content and a contraction in traditional TV shopping [2]. - The internet video business, particularly the Mango TV membership segment, has shown significant growth, while advertising revenue remains under pressure [3]. - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in earnings per share (EPS) over the next few years, with projected EPS of 0.98, 1.15, and 1.27 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 14.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.364 billion yuan, down 61.63% year-on-year [6]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported an operating revenue of 2.9 billion yuan, a decline of 12.76% year-on-year, and a net profit of 379 million yuan, down 19.80% year-on-year [2]. - The membership revenue for Mango TV reached 5.148 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 19.3% year-on-year, with a membership base of 73.31 million [3]. - The advertising revenue for 2024 was 3.438 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.7% year-on-year, indicating a sluggish recovery in brand advertising [3]. Business Segment Performance - The internet video segment generated 10.179 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, down 4.10% year-on-year, while the new media interactive entertainment segment grew by 9.77% to 1.262 billion yuan [3]. - The content e-commerce segment reported a revenue of 2.6 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 7.87% year-on-year, but the small Mango e-commerce achieved a record GMV of 16.1 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of 125% over four years [3].
天融信(002212):2024年年度报告点评:提质增效成果显著,大力推进智算云业务
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-06 10:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Viewpoints - The company has focused on improving operational efficiency and restoring profitability, achieving a net profit of 83.01 million yuan in 2024, a significant turnaround from a loss of 371.40 million yuan in the previous year [2][4]. - The company has launched a series of AI-enabled products, including the Intelligent Computing Cloud platform, which enhances its service offerings in high-performance computing and security [2][4]. - Despite a decline in overall revenue, the company has seen improvements in gross margin and cost control, with total expenses decreasing by 10.73% year-on-year [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 2.82 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.73% year-on-year, while gross margin increased by 0.85 percentage points [2][3]. - The company forecasts revenue growth for the years 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 3.04 billion yuan, 3.26 billion yuan, and 3.47 billion yuan respectively [4][7]. - The net profit is expected to grow significantly, reaching 160.22 million yuan in 2025 and 303.40 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong recovery trajectory [4][7]. Industry Analysis - The government and public sector contributed 45.46% of the company's main business revenue, although this segment saw a year-on-year decline of 10.58% [3]. - The energy and healthcare sectors have shown rapid growth, with revenue increases of 22.86% and 17.90% respectively, indicating potential areas for future expansion [3].
莱斯信息:2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:积极布局低空经济,持续加大研发投入-20250506
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-06 06:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [5][7]. Core Insights - The company has shown resilience in its core aviation traffic management and urban traffic management businesses, with revenue from the aviation sector growing by 13.68% year-on-year and urban traffic management increasing by 33.47% [2]. - The company is actively investing in research and development, with R&D expenditures reaching 146 million yuan in 2024, a 13.21% increase from the previous year [3]. - The company is positioning itself as a leader in the low-altitude economy, launching a comprehensive solution centered around the "Tianmu" low-altitude flight service management platform and establishing a provincial-level low-altitude platform in Jiangsu [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 1.61 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.94% year-on-year, and a net profit of 129 million yuan, down 2.31% year-on-year [2]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant decline in revenue to 109 million yuan, a drop of 55.53% year-on-year, with a net loss of 15 million yuan [2]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.85 billion, 2.11 billion, and 2.38 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to reach 165 million, 208 million, and 252 million yuan [5][9].
铜金属行业研究报告:供给受限需求持续提升,或支撑铜价长期上行
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-06 06:01
铜金属行业研究报告 2025 年 05 月 06 日 [Table_Title] 供给受限需求持续提升,或支撑铜价长期上行 ——铜金属行业研究报告 [Table_Summary] 报告要点: [Table_Main] 行业研究|有色金属|铜 证券研究报告 铜应用领域广泛,近年已成为多国争夺的战略性矿产资源之一 铜具有优良的延展性、导热性、导电性和耐腐蚀能力,被广泛应用于 电气、机械制造、建筑工业、交通运输等领域,在金属材料的消费中 仅次于钢铁和铝。近年来,铜在战略性新兴产业有较广泛的应用,成 为欧美等国家高度关注和争夺的战略性矿产资源之一。中国作为全球 第四大铜生产国和最大的铜消费国,近年来国内产量增长有限,国内 铜产量远不能满足需求,对外依存度持续攀升并达到 80%以上,未来 也将是我国争夺的重要战略性矿产资源之一。 供给端:全球铜矿供应增长受限,我国主导全球铜冶炼产能 2014-2019 年,全球铜储量从约 7 亿吨增长至 8.7 亿吨,年均复合增 长率约 4.4%。2020-2024 年,受全球新增铜矿减少等原因,全球储量 增速明显放缓,且在 2024 年储量有所下降,仅为 98000 万吨,同比 下降 ...
莱斯信息(688631):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:积极布局低空经济,持续加大研发投入
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-06 05:17
[Table_Main] 公司研究|信息技术|软件与服务 证券研究报告 莱斯信息(688631)公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 06 日 [Table_Title] 积极布局低空经济,持续加大研发投入 ——莱斯信息(688631.SH)2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 [Table_Summary] 事件: 公司于 2025 年 4 月 25 日收盘后发布《2024 年年度报告》、《2025 年第一 季度报告》。 点评: 2024 年经营业绩基本持平,民航空管与城市交管业务持续成长 2024 年,公司实现营业收入 16.10 亿元,同比下降 3.94%;实现归母净利 润 1.29 亿元,同比下降 2.31%;实现扣非归母净利润 1.06 亿元,同比下降 1.29%。分行业来看,民航空中交通管理业务实现营收 6.26 亿元,同比增 长 13.68%;城市道路交通管理业务实现营收 6.71 亿元,同比增长 33.47%; 城市治理业务实现营收 2.69 亿元,同比下降 47.31%;企业级信息化及其 他业务实现营收 0.40 亿元,同比下降 63.06%。2025 年第一季度,公司实 现营业收入 ...
国元证券2025年5月金股组合及投资逻辑
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-05 14:11
[Table_Title] 金股报告 证券研究报告 2025 年 05 月 05 日 国元证券 2025 年 5 月金股组合及投资逻辑 ——2025 年第 5 期 报告要点: 国元月度金股(2025 年 5 月) | | 国元月度金股(2025 | 年 5 月) | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行 业 | 公司名称 | 股票代码 | | EPS | | 收盘价 | PE(TTM) | 推荐人 | | | | | 24A | 25E | 26E | | | | | 电新机械 | 东华测试 | 300354.SZ | 0.88 | 1.22 | 1.62 | 40.96 | 45.90 | 龚斯闻 | | 计算机 | 道通科技 | 688208.SH | 1.42 | 1.70 | 2.05 | 41.68 | 26.32 | 耿军军 | | 汽车 | 双环传动 | 002472.SZ | 1.22 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 33.70 | 26.48 | 刘乐 | | 医药生物 | 科兴制药 ...
通信行业周报:小米发布首个推理模型MiMo,Meta上修资本开支指引
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-05 08:23
[Table_Main] 行业研究|电信服务 证券研究报告 电信服务行业周报 2025 年 5 月 4 日 [Table_Summary] 报告要点: 市场整体行情及通信细分板块行情回顾 [Table_Invest]推荐|维持 [Table_Title] 小米发布首个推理模型 MiMo,Meta 上修资本开支 指引 ——通信行业周报 周行情:本周(2025.4.28-2025.5.2)上证综指回调 0.49%,深证成 指回调0.17%,创业板指上涨 0.04%。本周申万通信上涨0.59%。考 虑通信行业的高景气度延续,AI、5.5G 及卫星通信持续推动行业发 展,我们给予通信行业"推荐"评级。 细分行业:本周(2025.4.28-2025.5.2)通信板块三级子行业中,通 信应用增值服务上涨幅度最高,涨幅为 6.23%,其他通信设备回调幅 度最高,跌幅为 0.93%,本周各细分板块主要呈上涨趋势。 个股方面:本周(2025.4.28-2025.5.2)涨幅板块分析方面,博创科 技(26.63%)、平治信息(23.03%)、万隆光电(15.28%)涨幅 分列前三。 建议关注方向:算力产业链、卫星互联网 1) 算 ...
长盛轴承:2024年年度报告及2025年一季报点评:Q1稳健增长,关注机器人轴承及丝杠产品-20250503
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-05-03 08:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.137 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.89%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 229 million yuan, down 5.43% from the previous year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 282 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.18%, with a net profit of 53 million yuan, up 1.54% [1]. - The automotive sector's steady growth has positively impacted the company's main business, with domestic operations contributing to revenue growth [2]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 35.16%, with a net profit margin of 20.14%. In Q1 2025, these figures were 32.91% and 18.80%, respectively [3]. - The company maintained stable expense ratios in 2024, with sales, management, and financial expense ratios at 2.06%, 5.69%, and -0.92%, respectively [3]. - R&D expense ratio for 2024 was 4.38%, showing a slight decline of 0.11 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Market Opportunities - The self-lubricating bearing industry is expected to expand significantly, with potential applications in construction and robotics. The company is focusing on self-lubricating bearings and screw products for humanoid robots, which are already in small-scale production [4]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic self-lubricating bearing industry, with robust growth in automotive and engineering machinery sectors, and emerging opportunities in humanoid robotics [5]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.293 billion yuan, 1.487 billion yuan, and 1.733 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 266 million yuan, 311 million yuan, and 368 million yuan for the same years [5].