Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6] Core Views - The company has been continuously promoting liability-side business and value transformation, significantly improving product structure and channel value rates. Recent easing of real estate risks is favorable for further valuation enhancement [2][15] - The company is expected to maintain its earnings forecast for 2025 to 2027, with projected EPS of 7.72, 8.57, and 9.26 CNY per share. The current stock price corresponds to P/EV ratios of 0.77, 0.69, and 0.63x for the same period [2][15] - The company is anticipated to have a clear valuation recovery space, with an expected annual growth rate of approximately 11% for EV over the next three years, leading to a reasonable P/EV valuation range of 1.02 to 1.13 [2][15] Summary by Sections Business Transformation - The company is shifting from a scale-oriented approach to a value-oriented upgrade, reducing the proportion of low-value short-term savings products and focusing on long-term protection and savings products. The integration of "insurance + services" enhances customer stickiness and policy premium capabilities [3][15] - As of mid-2025, the company has served over 13 million customers in health management, with home care services covering 85 cities and nearly 210,000 customers qualifying for home care services [3][15] Product and Channel Performance - The company has seen a 39.8% year-on-year increase in new business value in its life and health insurance sectors, reaching 22.335 billion CNY, leading the industry [3][15] - The agent channel has improved significantly, with new business value growth of 17.0% and per capita new business value growth of 21.6% as of mid-2025 [9][15] - The company is diversifying its channels, with the bancassurance channel showing a remarkable growth rate of 168.6% in new business value, ranking among the top in the industry [9][15] Real Estate Policy Impact - Recent relaxation of real estate policies is seen as a key factor in alleviating valuation constraints for insurance stocks. The exit of the "three red lines" policy and ongoing debt restructuring in the real estate sector are expected to improve market expectations for asset quality related to insurance capital [14][15] Financial Projections - The company’s financial forecasts indicate a net profit of 160.784 million CNY for 2025, with a projected growth in EPS to 7.72 CNY [20][15] - Key financial metrics show an expected P/EV of 0.77 for 2025, with a gradual increase in net profit and business value over the next few years [20][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][20]. Core Insights - The company is expected to have a capital expenditure of approximately RMB 8.44 billion by 2026, focusing on equipment investment, technology upgrades, R&D, and base construction, indicating a positive development trajectory [2][18]. - The company is a domestic leader in the oil service industry, with an optimized business structure and an expected gradual increase in gross profit margin. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are RMB 4.098 billion, RMB 4.274 billion, and RMB 4.560 billion, respectively, with earnings per share of RMB 0.86, RMB 0.90, and RMB 0.96 [3][20]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company has made significant progress since the "14th Five-Year Plan" and is well-positioned for future growth [2]. Market Conditions - The Brent crude oil price is expected to fluctuate between USD 55-65 per barrel by 2026, influenced by geopolitical tensions and the high costs of new wells in the U.S. shale oil sector [3][8]. - The marine oil and gas sector is identified as a key area for development, with capital expenditures expected to remain high [9][17]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates a drilling ship utilization rate exceeding 90% and an overall equipment utilization rate reaching historical highs by 2025. Key operational metrics are expected to continue improving in 2026 [19][20]. - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 2%, 12%, and 12%, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 4%, 31%, and 4% [24].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 755 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 42%. Revenue is projected to reach 20.03 billion yuan, up 48% year-on-year [2] - The company maintains a leading position in lithium cobalt oxide, with sales expected to reach 65,300 tons in 2025, a 41% increase year-on-year, and a market share of 51%, up 7 percentage points [3] - The company is accelerating the industrialization of solid-state battery materials and new structural materials, with significant investments planned for high-performance battery materials and hydrogen energy materials [4] Financial Projections - The company is projected to have revenues of 20.03 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 755 million yuan, and an EPS of 1.50 yuan [5][6] - The expected EBIT margin for 2025 is 5.4%, with a net asset return (ROE) of 7.8% [6] - The company’s dynamic PE ratio is forecasted to be 60.8 for 2025, decreasing to 37.8 by 2027 [5][6]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月29日 厦钨新能（688778.SH） 优于大市 业绩快速增长，固态电池材料布局持续推进 公司 2025 年预计实现归母净利润 7.55 亿元，同比+42%。公司 2025 年预计 实现营收 200.34 亿元，同比+48%；实现归母净利润 7.55 亿元，同比+42%； 实现扣非归母净利润 7.05 亿元，同比+58%。公司 2025Q4 预计实现营收 69.75 亿元、环比+26%，实现归母净利润 2.03 亿元、环比-17%，实现扣非归母净 利润 1.99 亿元、环比-7%。公司公告 2025 年计提存货跌价损失 1.17 亿元， 其中 Q4 计提 1.19 亿元；计提信用减值损失 0.88 亿元，其中 Q4 计提 0.39 亿元。 公司钴酸锂全球领先地位稳固，盈利能力稳中向好。2025 年公司紧抓国家换 机补贴政策机遇，并顺应 3C 消费设备 AI 化带来的电池电量升级趋势，钴酸 锂销量及份额快速提升。公司 2025 年钴酸锂销量 6.53 万吨，同比+41%；其 中 Q4 销量约为 1.84 万吨，环比+2%，Q4 单吨净利估计超 1 万元、环比稳中 向好。根据鑫椤 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the sports brand industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The industry is experiencing a bifurcation, necessitating innovation to break through. The outdoor sports market continues to grow, but there is a contrasting price trend between apparel and footwear. Apparel shows a clear trend of "volume and price rising," driven by high-priced brands, while footwear has seen "volume increase and price decrease" [5][3] - The overall market growth is slowing down in Q4, with apparel showing volume and price increases, while footwear prices are under pressure. The outdoor category has achieved a 13.5% increase in sales, while sports shoes have seen a decline in growth [5][4] - International brands like Nike are facing significant adjustment pains, with a 15.5% year-on-year decline in sales. Adidas, on the other hand, has seen growth in basketball and casual shoes despite an overall decline in sales [5][4] - Domestic brands are under pressure from price competition, but the professional product market is performing well. Brands like Li Ning and Anta are experiencing mixed results, with some product lines performing better than others [5][4] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The sports apparel market is showing a stable penetration rate, with a slight increase in average prices and a decrease in sales volume. The outdoor apparel category has achieved a double-digit growth in sales [5][60] 2. International Brands - Nike's sales have dropped significantly, with a 15.5% year-on-year decline, while Adidas has seen a slight decrease in sales but growth in specific categories like basketball shoes [5][4] 3. Domestic Brands - Domestic brands are facing price competition, with some brands like Li Ning and Anta experiencing mixed results. The professional product lines are performing well, but overall sales are under pressure [5][4] 4. Key Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Li Ning: Outperform the Market, with an EPS forecast of 1.17 RMB for 2024A [7] - Anta Sports: Outperform the Market, with an EPS forecast of 5.58 RMB for 2024A [7] - Xtep International: Outperform the Market, with an EPS forecast of 0.44 RMB for 2024A [7] - 361 Degrees: Outperform the Market, with an EPS forecast of 0.56 RMB for 2024A [7] 5. Key Takeaways - The industry shows favorable growth potential, with brand premium and product price competition occurring simultaneously. The overall market is expected to maintain good growth, but brands that can lead new market demands are likely to show significant growth and profitability [5][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][20]. Core Insights - The company is expected to have a capital expenditure of approximately RMB 8.44 billion by 2026, focusing on equipment investment, technology upgrades, R&D, and base construction, indicating a positive development trajectory [2][18]. - The Brent crude oil price is projected to fluctuate between USD 55-65 per barrel by 2026, influenced by geopolitical tensions and the high costs of new shale oil wells in the U.S. [3][8]. - The company is increasing its investment in equipment construction and technology R&D, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [3][19]. - As a leading player in the oil service industry, the company is optimizing its business structure, with an anticipated gradual increase in gross profit margins and net profits projected at RMB 40.98 billion, RMB 42.74 billion, and RMB 45.6 billion for 2025-2027 [3][20]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has made significant progress since the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a comprehensive development outlook [2]. Market Conditions - The international oil price is expected to rise slightly due to geopolitical factors, with the U.S. shale oil production facing high operational costs [3][8]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of RMB 40.98 billion, RMB 42.74 billion, and RMB 45.6 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with earnings per share projected at RMB 0.86, RMB 0.90, and RMB 0.96 [3][20]. Investment Strategy - The company is committed to enhancing its operational efficiency through lean cost management and continuous investment in technology, which is expected to yield positive results in the coming years [18][19].

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月29日 策略专题研究 哪些领域"反内卷"更值得期待？——2026 年牛市展望系列 3 核心结论：①本次反内卷较 16 年供改背景更复杂，需求端内弱外强，供给 端受制造实力与地方非经济决策驱动。②26 年反内卷仍是经济工作重点，参 考 25 年及 16 年行情经验，反内卷行情或仍有可观上行空间。③政策干预角 度看，关注企业配合度高、地方、落地动力强的行业（如钢铁、油服工程、 水泥等）。④从行业自身周期看，关注供需两旺的景气行业（贵金属、化学 原料等），以及供需格局优化领域（养殖业、能源金属等）。 本轮反内卷背景更复杂，行情节奏相对波折。相较于供改，本轮反内卷再供 需背景上更复杂：需求端看，不同于供给侧结构性改革时期，棚改货币化等 强政策刺激快速拉动总需求，本次内需不足的特征更为突出，但外需支撑或 相对有韧性；供给端看，本次供给扩张与我国制造业实力提升有关，地方政 府"非经济"决策进一步加剧产能过剩。在此背景下，从行业结构看，本轮 呈"涉及面广、新兴行业多、民营企业多"的特点。对应行情节奏看，反内 卷行情相对波折，25 年以来"反内卷"行情呈现"预期发酵-分化降温-二次 升温-震 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月29日 哪些领域"反内卷"更值得期待？——2026 年牛市展望系列 3 策略专题研究 证券分析师：吴信坤 021-61761046 wuxinkun@guosen.com.cn S0980525120001 核心结论：①本次反内卷较 16 年供改背景更复杂，需求端内弱外强，供给 端受制造实力与地方非经济决策驱动。②26 年反内卷仍是经济工作重点，参 考 25 年及 16 年行情经验，反内卷行情或仍有可观上行空间。③政策干预角 度看，关注企业配合度高、地方、落地动力强的行业（如钢铁、油服工程、 水泥等）。④从行业自身周期看，关注供需两旺的景气行业（贵金属、化学 原料等），以及供需格局优化领域（养殖业、能源金属等）。 本轮反内卷背景更复杂，行情节奏相对波折。相较于供改，本轮反内卷再供 需背景上更复杂：需求端看，不同于供给侧结构性改革时期，棚改货币化等 强政策刺激快速拉动总需求，本次内需不足的特征更为突出，但外需支撑或 相对有韧性；供给端看，本次供给扩张与我国制造业实力提升有关，地方政 府"非经济"决策进一步加剧产能过剩。在此背景下，从行业结构看，本轮 呈"涉及面广、新兴行业多、民 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [5][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in commercial aerospace, humanoid robots, and AI infrastructure, with a focus on the potential for cost reductions and market growth in these sectors [2][3][4]. - SpaceX aims to achieve full reusability of its Starship rockets this year, which could reduce the cost of space access by 99%, bringing it down to below $100 per pound [2][18]. - Tesla plans to launch its humanoid robot, Optimus, to the public by the end of 2027, with expectations for enhanced capabilities in performing complex tasks and household chores [3][18]. - The report emphasizes the long-term investment opportunities in commercial aerospace, humanoid robots, and AI infrastructure, suggesting a focus on key players in these sectors [2][3][4]. Summary by Sections Commercial Aerospace - The report expresses optimism about the commercial aerospace sector, particularly due to breakthroughs in rocket transportation technology that could lead to a surge in demand for launches and payloads [2]. - Key players in the SpaceX supply chain and domestic commercial rocket companies like Landspace and CASIC are highlighted for their potential growth [2]. Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector is expected to see significant demand growth as Tesla's Optimus robot is set to be released, with capabilities to perform complex industrial tasks by the end of 2026 [3]. - The report suggests focusing on core suppliers and companies with strong market positions within the Tesla supply chain [3][9]. AI Infrastructure - The report maintains a positive outlook on AI infrastructure, particularly in gas turbine and liquid cooling sectors, emphasizing the importance of energy supply for AI data centers [4]. - Key components in the gas turbine supply chain and liquid cooling systems are identified as critical areas for investment [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by more than 10% [5][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in commercial aerospace, humanoid robots, and AI infrastructure, with a focus on the potential for cost reductions and market growth in these sectors [2][3][4]. - SpaceX aims to achieve full reusability of its Starship rockets this year, which could reduce the cost of space access by 99%, dropping to below $100 per pound [2][18]. - Tesla plans to launch its humanoid robot, Optimus, to the public by the end of 2027, with expectations for enhanced capabilities in industrial tasks and household chores [3][18]. Summary by Sections Commercial Aerospace - The report emphasizes the long-term investment opportunities in commercial aerospace, particularly in the rocket segment, with a focus on SpaceX and leading domestic companies like Blue Arrow Aerospace and CASIC [2]. - Key areas of interest include critical structural components and new applications of 3D printing, with specific companies highlighted such as Huashu High-Tech and Jiangshun Technology [2]. Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector is viewed positively, with expectations for significant demand growth as capabilities improve. Companies in the supply chain, particularly those with strong positions, are recommended for investment [3][9]. - Specific companies to watch include Hengli Hydraulic and Weichuan Technology, focusing on core suppliers and components like joints and sensors [3][9]. AI Infrastructure - The report expresses optimism for AI infrastructure, particularly in gas turbines and liquid cooling systems, identifying key players in the energy supply chain [4]. - Companies such as Yingliu Technology and Hanjong Precision are noted for their roles in the gas turbine sector, while others like Ice Wheel Environment are highlighted for their contributions to liquid cooling [4][9].