Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company [3][5]. Core Insights - The company has a strong R&D capability and a solid long-term operational experience, particularly with its evergreen IPs "Zhengtu" and "Qiuqiu" [3][31]. - The new product "Supernatural Action Group" has quickly gained popularity, showcasing significant long-term operational potential [3][38]. - Revenue is expected to grow significantly, with projections of CNY 53.7 billion, CNY 92.2 billion, and CNY 110.9 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 83.9%, 71.6%, and 20.3% [3][48]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, founded in 2004 by Shi Yuzhu, has a strong R&D background and has transitioned from a focus on traditional gaming to mobile and international markets [8][14]. - The company has launched several successful games, including "Zhengtu" and "Qiuqiu," which have established a loyal user base [31][34]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of CNY 33.7 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 51.8% [24]. - The gross margin remains high, around 90%, with sales expenses peaking during new product launches [21][28]. Product Development - The "Zhengtu" series has been a long-standing IP, continuously expanding its user base through various platforms [31][32]. - The new game "Supernatural Action Group" has been well-received, leveraging unique gameplay mechanics and strong social features to attract users [38][39]. Market Position - The company holds a market share of approximately 1.5% in the Chinese gaming industry, ranking 29th among mobile game publishers globally [14][18]. - The gaming market in China is projected to reach CNY 3507.9 billion in 2025, with a growth rate of 7.7% [14]. Future Projections - Net profit is expected to reach CNY 24.1 billion, CNY 45.3 billion, and CNY 51.0 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of CNY 1.62, CNY 3.05, and CNY 3.43 [3][48]. - The company anticipates maintaining a high gross margin and improving operational efficiency through AI integration in game development [45][49].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the week of January 19 - 23, the stock market had large - scale net outflows of funds from important index ETFs, but the main indices were still oscillating strongly. The bond market was affected by regulatory news and the central bank's actions, with the 10 - year Treasury bond rate falling. The convertible bond market generally rose, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index up 2.92% [1][7][8]. - In the context of strong equity market sentiment and tight supply - demand of convertible bonds, the convertible bond market continued to rise last week, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index hitting a new high in nearly 10 years. It is recommended to avoid the risks of individual bonds with high redemption pressure and limited upward driving force of the underlying stocks [2][17]. - Looking forward, although the valuation vulnerability of the convertible bond market has further increased, the upward trend of the equity market is clear, providing support for convertible bond valuation. In the coming week, it is advisable to focus on sectors with high performance certainty and low - valuation leading stocks in under - performing industries [3][18]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Focus (January 19 - 23) - **Stock Market**: There were large - scale net outflows of funds from important index ETFs, but the main indices were oscillating strongly with daily trading volume above 2.5 trillion yuan. The "15th Five - Year Plan" for power grid investment boosted the power grid equipment sector, and precious metals rose significantly due to global geopolitical situations. Different sectors showed fragmented performance on different days, and most Shenwan primary industries rose, with building materials, petroleum and petrochemicals, etc. leading the gains, while banks, communication, etc. lagging behind [1][7][8]. - **Bond Market**: The economic data announced last week was in line with expectations. The mid - week capital situation was tight but improved after the central bank's intervention. News of regulatory intention to cool the equity market was favorable for the bond market sentiment. The 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.8298% on Friday, down 1.26bp from the previous week [1][7][8]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Most convertible bond individual securities rose. The CSI Convertible Bond Index was up 2.92% for the week, the median price was up 3.01%, and the arithmetic average parity was up 3.66%. The overall conversion premium rate decreased by 0.96% compared with the previous week. The textile and clothing, steel, and petroleum and petrochemical sectors in the convertible bond market led the gains, while social services, media, etc. lagged behind. In terms of individual bonds, Jiamei, Fuxin, etc. had the top gains, while Dongshi, Yinbang, etc. had the top losses. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 4395.97 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 879.19 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week [1][8][12]. 3.2 Views and Strategies (January 26 - 30) - **Risk Avoidance**: Strengthen the expected management of individual bond redemptions. Due to the "unexpected redemptions" of some targets at the beginning of the week, the valuation of high - parity convertible bonds was compressed. It is recommended to avoid the risks of individual bonds with high redemption pressure and limited upward driving force of the underlying stocks by considering factors such as remaining term and short - term stock price demands [2][17]. - **Investment Suggestions**: Although the valuation vulnerability of the convertible bond market has increased, the upward trend of the equity market provides support for convertible bond valuation. In the week of January 26 - 30, it is advisable to focus on sectors with high performance certainty such as semiconductor equipment and materials, chemical industry, lithium battery, CXO, etc., and low - valuation leading stocks in under - performing industries for absolute return funds [3][18]. 3.3 Valuation Overview - As of January 23, the average conversion premium rates of equity - biased convertible bonds in different price ranges were at high percentile values since 2010 and 2021. The average YTM of debt - biased convertible bonds with a parity below 70 yuan was - 5.66%, at the 0%/1% percentile since 2010 and 2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds and the difference between the implied volatility and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks were also at high percentile values [19]. 3.4 Primary Market Tracking - **Last Week (January 19 - 23)**: Aiwei and Longjian convertible bonds announced their issuance, and no convertible bonds were listed. Aiwei Convertible Bond has a scale of 19.01 billion yuan, and Longjian Convertible Bond has a scale of 10 billion yuan [26][27]. - **Next Week (January 26 - 30)**: No convertible bonds are announced for issuance, and Lianrui Convertible Bond will be listed, with a scale of 6.95 billion yuan [28][29]. - **Overall Situation**: As of January 23, there were 97 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 1522.3 billion yuan, including 8 that have been approved for registration, with a total scale of 61.6 billion yuan [30].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The report regularly tracks the latest private exchangeable bond (private EB) projects available from public channels, providing basic element tracking of private exchangeable bond projects. It emphasizes that the private issuance terms and processes may change, and the final prospectus should be referred to. For the issuance progress, inquiries should be made with the relevant lead underwriters [1]. 3. Summary by Related Content New Project Information This Week - Huabang Life - Health Co., Ltd.'s 2026 private placement of science - and - technology innovation exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors has received feedback from the exchange. The proposed issuance scale is 1 billion yuan, the underlying stock is Kaisheng New Materials (301069.SZ), the lead underwriters are Huatai United and Southwest Securities, and the exchange update date is January 23, 2026 [1]. - Shenzhen Huaqiang Group Co., Ltd.'s 2026 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors has been accepted by the exchange. The proposed issuance scale is 2.4 billion yuan, the underlying stock is Shenzhen Huaqiang (000062.SZ), the lead underwriter is Jinyuan United Securities, and the exchange update date is January 22, 2026 [1]. Table of Private EB Weekly Tracking (2026 - 1 - 23) - Multiple private exchangeable bond projects are listed, including those of Shanxi Transportation Development and Investment Group Co., Ltd., Fuda Holdings Group Co., Ltd., etc. The statuses of these projects include "Passed", "Feedback Received", and "Accepted", with different issuance scales, underlying stocks, lead underwriters, and update dates [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the lithium battery industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a price increase in lithium salts, with carbonate lithium prices reaching 171,000 yuan per ton, up by 31,000 yuan compared to two weeks ago [2] - Major companies in the lithium battery sector are recommended for investment, including CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others, due to favorable demand and low valuations [2] - Solid-state battery technology is advancing, with various companies announcing projects and collaborations to enhance production capabilities and applications [4][10] Industry Dynamics - Lithium battery prices are on the rise, with significant increases in the prices of ternary cathodes and lithium iron phosphate cathodes, while other components remain stable [2] - The domestic sales of new energy vehicles reached 1,649.1 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28% [4] - In Europe, new energy vehicle sales in December 2025 reached 324,000 units, a 39% increase year-on-year [4] Company Developments - CATL has launched a sodium battery solution for light commercial vehicles, capable of operating in extreme temperatures [10] - Yiwei Lithium Energy has begun supplying battery products for commercial aerospace applications, indicating a diversification into high-reliability sectors [13] - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between Enli Power and Enjie, focusing on solid-state battery materials [10] Market Trends - The lithium battery sector saw a 4.4% decline in stock prices over the past two weeks, while battery chemical and specialized equipment sectors experienced increases of 4.1% and 8.3%, respectively [8] - The market is witnessing significant fluctuations in stock prices among key players, with notable increases for companies like Hunan Youneng and Purtai [8] Material Prices - The price of lithium carbonate has increased by 22.1% in the last two weeks, reflecting a broader trend of rising raw material costs in the lithium battery supply chain [16] - The price of lithium iron phosphate has also seen a significant increase of 15.5% recently, indicating strong demand for this material [16]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - In the fourth quarter of 2025, the performance of short - term pure bond funds recovered in the volatile market, and the scale increased against the trend. The average net value growth rate of short - term pure bonds in the fourth quarter was 0.48%, and the growth rate recovered compared with the previous quarter [1][22]. - The bond assets of short - term pure bond funds accounted for the highest proportion, but the proportion decreased slightly compared with the previous quarter. The proportion of interest - rate bonds, financial bonds, and policy - based financial bonds in bond assets increased [2][27]. - The fund with the highest return rate was fully allocated to policy - based financial bonds, adopted a defensive strategy, reduced leverage, and maintained a low duration, achieving a net value return of 1.06% in the fourth quarter [2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 2025 Fourth - Quarter Basic Situation of Short - Term Pure Bond Funds 1. Number of Bond Funds - As of the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, there were 368 short - term pure bond funds issued, accounting for 2.70% of the entire fund market. The issuance in the fourth quarter decreased compared with the same period last year [1][9]. 2. Bond Fund Scale - As of the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, 342 short - term pure bond funds disclosed their quarterly reports. The total assets and net assets were 10,821 billion yuan and 9,668 billion yuan respectively, increasing by 915 billion yuan and 767 billion yuan compared with the previous quarter. The average total assets and net assets were 32 billion yuan and 28 billion yuan respectively, rising by 2 billion yuan compared with the previous quarter [10]. 3. Leverage Ratio - At the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, the average leverage ratio of short - term pure bond funds was 1.12 under the overall method, slightly increasing by 0.01 compared with the previous quarter. Under the average method, it was basically the same as the previous quarter [16]. 4. Net Value Growth Rate - In the fourth quarter of 2025, the single - quarter average net value growth rate of short - term pure bonds was 0.48%, and the growth rate recovered compared with the previous quarter. Among the 342 funds that disclosed performance, 308 had a positive net value growth rate, accounting for 90.1% [22]. 2025 Fourth - Quarter Asset Allocation of Short - Term Pure Bond Funds 1. Large - Category Asset Allocation - As of the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, bond assets accounted for 95.6% of the total assets, with a 0.1% decrease compared with the previous quarter. The proportion of repurchase assets was 2.6%, basically unchanged from the previous quarter. Bank deposits and other assets accounted for 1.3% and 0.5% respectively, with a 0.1% increase and no change respectively compared with the previous quarter [27]. 2. Bond Type Allocation - As of the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, the main bond types held by short - term pure bond funds were interest - rate bonds, financial bonds (excluding policy - based financial bonds), and corporate - issued bonds, accounting for 16.8%, 18.4%, and 61.2% of the total bond assets respectively. Compared with the end of the previous quarter, the proportions of interest - rate bonds, financial bonds, and policy - based financial bonds increased [30]. Analysis of High - Performing Funds in the Fourth Quarter of 2025 - Fund A, which had the highest net value return in the fourth quarter, adopted a low - duration and low - leverage strategy. It reduced the portfolio leverage from about 120% in the third quarter to 104% in the fourth quarter and maintained the duration at about 1.4 years. It was fully allocated to policy - based financial bonds, participated in the band trading of mid - term interest - rate bonds, and achieved a net value growth rate of 1.06% in the fourth quarter [40][45].

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月25日 天然橡胶专题二 优于大市 （1）一年维度来看，Q1 全球主要产区陆续将进入停割期，而春节后是国内 轮胎关键开工季，因此短期节奏预计由工化属性主导，价格受宏观因素影响 大，核心关注春节后的下游开工表现和石化链景气催化。 （2）长期维度来看，天然橡胶价格每轮周期 20 年左右，主要受胶树 10 年 龄左右进入旺产期决定。从具体走势来看，天然橡胶是强顺周期品种，产能 限制作为慢变量更多决定中枢和牛市持续时间，而行情的爆发力需要与大时 代背景下的宏观叙事结合，大周期往往发生于全球或主要经济体的景气上行 阶段。当前全球供应受前期缩种和当下树龄老化影响，天花板已经开始显现， 天然橡胶价格自 2023 年 5 月新开割季以来已经基本确认长期拐点，同时下 游正处 AI 技术革命爆发前夕，新周期蓄势待发。 石化链涨价带动，产能瓶颈明确，2026 年价格预计易涨难跌 天然橡胶：兼具农工化三重属性，短期节奏预计由工化属性主导。天然橡胶 产量长期调节滞后，短期易受天气扰动，下游消费七成来自轮胎，景气和汽 车工业高度绑定。另外合成橡胶部分替代天然橡胶，石化链景气也会影响天 然橡胶估值。综合来看 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the lithium battery industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The lithium salt prices have risen, with lithium carbonate priced at 171,000 yuan/ton, an increase of 31,000 yuan/ton compared to two weeks ago [2] - The report highlights the acceleration of solid-state battery industrialization, with various companies announcing significant projects and collaborations [4] - Demand for lithium batteries is expected to remain strong, with several leading companies identified as potential investment opportunities [2] Industry Dynamics - Lithium salt prices have increased, with the current price of lithium carbonate at 171,000 yuan/ton, up 31,000 yuan/ton from two weeks ago [2] - The prices of ternary cathodes and lithium iron phosphate cathodes have also risen, while the prices of anodes, separators, and electrolytes remain stable [2] - The report notes that the price of square ternary power cells has increased by 0.057 yuan/Wh compared to two weeks ago [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery industry with low valuations amid strong demand, including CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others [2] - It also highlights companies leading in the low-altitude economy and robotics sectors, as well as those involved in solid-state and sodium battery materials [2] Solid-State Battery Developments - The solid-state battery industry is advancing, with several companies announcing new projects and collaborations [4] - CATL has released a sodium battery solution for light commercial vehicles, capable of operating at -30°C [4] - Various companies are entering partnerships to enhance solid-state battery technology and production capabilities [10] Market Performance - The lithium battery sector has seen a decline of 4.4% in the past two weeks, while the battery chemicals sector increased by 4.1% [8] - Key individual stocks have shown varied performance, with CATL down 1.5% and Hunan Youneng up 11.2% [8] New Energy Vehicle Data - In December 2025, domestic new energy vehicle sales reached 1.71 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7% [4] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the domestic market reached 52.3%, up 6.5 percentage points year-on-year [4] Charging Infrastructure - As of December 2025, the total number of public charging piles in China reached 4.717 million, with a total power of approximately 17,967 MW [24] - The utilization rate of public charging piles was approximately 6.96%, showing a slight decrease year-on-year [24]

Group 1: Market Impact - The 40-year Japanese government bond yield surpassed 4% on January 20, marking a historical high, with a single-day increase exceeding 25 basis points[1] - Japan's fiscal policy changes, including a supplementary budget expected to increase annual deficits by approximately 5 trillion yen, have raised concerns about sovereign credit risk[13] - The rise in Japanese bond yields has led to a significant capital repatriation effect, decreasing the attractiveness of U.S. Treasuries for Japanese investors[14] Group 2: Asset Performance - From January 17 to January 24, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.63%, the Hang Seng index decreased by 0.36%, and the S&P 500 also dropped by 0.36%[15] - The U.S. dollar index declined by 1.88%, while the offshore yuan appreciated by 0.27% during the same period[15] - Gold prices increased by 7.27%, and silver prices rose by 9.04%, indicating a shift towards precious metals amidst market volatility[15] Group 3: Inventory and Positioning - The latest oil inventory stood at 44,684 million tons, an increase of 44,935 million tons from the previous week[26] - The latest week saw a decrease in long positions in the U.S. dollar by 1,926 contracts, while short positions increased by 762 contracts[31] - The gold ETF size rose to 34.93 million ounces, up by 30,000 ounces from the previous week[31]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月24日 杭州银行（600926.SH）2025 年业绩快报点评 优于大市 高成长延续，资产质量优质 净利润实现延续两位数高增。公司披露 2025 年业绩快报，2025 年全年实现 营收 387.99 亿元，同比增长 1.1%，较前三季度增速小幅回落 0.3 个百分点。 实现归母净利润 190.30 亿元，同比增长 12.1%，较前三季度增速回落 2.5 个 百分点。 净利息收入增速亮眼，其他非息收入下降拖累营收。2025 年净利息收入同比 增长 12.8%，较前三季度增速提升 2.9 个百分点，表现亮眼，一是公司规模 维持高增，二是净息差企稳。全年非息收入同比下降 19.5%，较前三季度降 幅扩大了 5.5 个百分点，主要受其他非息收入同比大幅下降拖累。其中，手 续费及佣金净收入同比增长 13.1%，较前三季度增速提升了 0.5 个百分点； 其他非息收入同比下降 31%，较前三季度降幅扩大了 6 个百分点。我们判断 主要是今年债市波动较大导致交易账户公允价值出现明显亏损，另外，公司 在净利息收入实现较好增长下兑付存量债券收益的动力下降，因此在 2024 年高基数下出现大幅下降 ...

Market Performance - The S&P 500 decreased by 0.4% this week, while the Nasdaq fell by 0.1%[1] - Small-cap value (Russell 2000 Value) outperformed with a gain of 0.2%, compared to large-cap value (Russell 1000 Value) which declined by 0.2%[1] - The energy sector saw a notable increase of 3.1%, while the banking sector experienced a decline of 2.8%[1] Fund Flows - Estimated fund flow for S&P 500 constituents was +$5.6 billion this week, up from -$1.7 billion last week[2] - Key sectors with inflows included automotive and auto parts (+$9.2 million) and semiconductor products (+$9.2 million)[2] - Significant outflows were observed in the financial sector, particularly in diversified financials (-$13.6 million) and capital goods (-$7.4 million)[2] Earnings Forecast - The forward 12-month EPS expectation for S&P 500 constituents increased by 0.2% this week, slightly down from 0.3% last week[3] - Notable upward revisions were seen in real estate (+2.0%) and semiconductor products (+0.7%), while the energy sector was revised down by 2.0%[3] - Risks include uncertainties in economic fundamentals, international political situations, U.S. fiscal policies, and Federal Reserve monetary policies[3]