Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the food and beverage industry [1]. Core Insights - The food and beverage industry is experiencing a demand bottoming out, with opportunities for differentiation in sub-segments [1]. - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the dairy sector, driven by policy support and supply-side adjustments [33][34]. - The overall industry is facing challenges such as weak demand and increased competition, but cost advantages are improving profitability for leading companies [39][52]. Summary by Sections 1. Dairy Products - The dairy sector is expected to see an upward cycle as impairment pressures are released, with upstream clearing expected to continue [33]. - In 2024 and Q1 2025, the dairy industry faced significant supply-demand imbalances, with fresh milk prices dropping to levels not seen since 2010 [11][16]. - Major dairy companies like Yili and Mengniu are showing signs of revenue improvement in Q1 2025, benefiting from cost reductions and inventory management [20][28]. 2. Condiments - The condiment sector is characterized by strong resilience among leading companies, with significant cost advantages boosting profitability [39]. - In 2024 and Q1 2025, the condiment industry faced weak demand, but leading companies like Haitian and Zhongju have shown revenue improvements due to internal adjustments [39][52]. - The report suggests focusing on companies that have successfully implemented channel reforms and cost management strategies [49][52]. 3. Soft Drinks - The soft drink sector is experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth, with significant differentiation among companies [39]. - The report notes that leading brands like Dongpeng are capitalizing on cost reductions and scale effects to improve profitability [20][39]. - The overall market is expected to see a gradual recovery, with attention on long-term growth potential in specific segments [39]. 4. Health Products - The health product sector is undergoing a transformation driven by new consumer trends, with online brands gaining traction [39]. - Companies like H&H Holdings and Xianle Health are expected to benefit from market recovery and new retail contributions [39]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying high-quality companies with new consumer genes for investment opportunities [39]. 5. Hong Kong Restaurant Sector - The restaurant sector in Hong Kong is anticipated to recover as consumption stimulus policies take effect [39]. - Companies like Haidilao are focusing on supply chain and cost management to enhance performance [39]. - The report suggests monitoring companies that are expanding their store networks and improving operational efficiency [39].

证券研究报告 通用自动化2024年报&2025年一季报总结 通用设备需求筑底静待复苏，挖掘机器人&FA自动化等α机会 首席证券分析师：周尔双 执业证书编号：S0600515110002 zhouersh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师：钱尧天 执业证书编号：S0600524120015 qianyt@dwzq.com.cn 2025 年 5 月 7 日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1 核心要点 ◆工业自动化：2025Q1需求/业绩有所改善，推荐业绩拐点已至的工业FA板块。 我们选取10家工业自动化标的，包括【埃斯顿】【汇川技术】（东吴电新组覆盖）【埃夫特】【新时达】【拓斯达】【机器人】【怡合达】【绿 的谐波】【国茂股份】【中大力德】进行分析。2024年合计实现营收592.48亿元，同比+6%，中位数收入同比增速分别为-3%/-10%。 2024年工业自 动化行业合计归母净利润为34.18亿元，同比-40%，中位数归母净利润同比增速分别为-33%和-26% 。整体来看，工业自动化行业利润增速正逐步下 滑，一方面受收入端增速放缓影响，另一方面价格竞争情况仍未有明显改善。重点推荐工业自动化细分板块：工业F ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [8]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading crankshaft manufacturer, with new growth avenues opened through its ventures into the new energy and robotics sectors [8]. - The demand for crankshafts is expected to rise due to the increasing popularity of hybrid vehicles, which still require crankshafts despite the rise of pure electric vehicles [8]. - The company has made significant investments in new energy gear technology and robotics, which are anticipated to contribute to future revenue growth [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Founded in 1995, the company has established itself as a leader in crankshaft manufacturing, with a product range that includes clutches, precision forgings, gears, and bolts [8][13]. - The company has entered the new energy sector with electric drive gears and is developing robotic reducer products, indicating a strategic shift towards diversification [8][13]. 2. Crankshaft Business Growth - The company has shifted its focus from commercial vehicles to passenger vehicles, capturing significant market share with clients like BYD and Li Auto [8][13]. - The crankshaft production line is expected to reach a capacity of 1 million hybrid crankshafts by May 2025, enhancing the company's performance in this segment [8][13]. 3. New Energy Gear Expansion - The company has invested 408 million yuan in developing new energy electric drive precision gear business, with production expected to start in July 2024 [8][13]. - The company has secured multiple projects with major clients such as BYD and Geely, indicating strong demand for its new energy gear products [8][13]. 4. Robotics Sector Entry - The company has entered the robotics market by acquiring a 35% stake in Changban Robot Technology, leveraging its existing client base and technical expertise [8][13]. - The synergy between its traditional automotive components and new robotics products is expected to provide a competitive advantage [8][13]. 5. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 24.34 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 3.01 billion yuan, reflecting significant growth potential [8][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.47 yuan in 2025 to 0.71 yuan by 2027, indicating a positive outlook for investors [8][13].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [8]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in crankshafts, with new growth avenues opened up by its ventures into the new energy and robotics sectors. The anticipated revenue growth is driven by the increasing demand for hybrid vehicles and the development of precision gears for electric drive systems [8][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview and Growth Potential - The company has been a leader in crankshaft manufacturing for 30 years and is expanding into new energy and robotics, with significant milestones achieved in recent years [8][13]. - The company has established a strong foothold in the hybrid vehicle market, with a projected 40% penetration rate for hybrid models in the new energy vehicle segment by 2024 [8][13]. 2. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 24.34 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 3.01 billion yuan, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [8][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.47 yuan in 2025 to 0.71 yuan by 2027, indicating a robust financial outlook [8][13]. 3. Crankshaft Business Dynamics - The crankshaft business is expected to benefit from the rising demand for hybrid vehicles, with the company capturing over 50% of the crankshaft supply for BYD's hybrid models in 2024 [8][13]. - The company is set to launch a new production line capable of producing 1 million hybrid crankshafts by May 2025, further solidifying its market position [8][13]. 4. New Energy Gear Expansion - The company has invested 408 million yuan to develop precision gears for electric drive systems, with production expected to commence in July 2024 [8][13]. - The anticipated production capacity for these gears is 600,000 sets, which is expected to significantly contribute to revenue starting in 2025 [8][13]. 5. Robotics Sector Entry - The company has entered the robotics sector by acquiring a 35% stake in a robotics technology firm, aiming to leverage synergies with its existing automotive client base [8][13]. - The development of planetary gear reducers for robotics is underway, with initial prototypes successfully tested [8][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the non-bank financial industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the next six months [1]. Core Insights - In April 2025, the average daily trading volume of funds increased by 9 billion CNY compared to March, reaching 262.6 billion CNY, which is a 115.4% year-on-year increase and a 3.6% month-on-month increase [19]. - The net inflow of stock ETFs in April 2025 was 197.6 billion CNY, with the total existing scale reaching 2,341.6 billion CNY [13]. - The overall ETF market size in April 2025 was 4,056.5 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 63.5% and a month-on-month increase of 6.8% [47]. Summary by Sections 1. Fund Market Review - In April 2025, the overall yield of funds slightly decreased, with the net value of fund indices showing increased volatility [10]. - The bond fund index saw a slight increase, while all types of funds outperformed stock index funds [10]. 2. Fund Market Trading Conditions - The average daily turnover rate of funds in April 2025 was 10.7%, up 4.8 percentage points year-on-year and 3.0 percentage points month-on-month [20]. - The average daily trading volume of ETFs was 257.2 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 109.6% [19]. 3. Fund Market Scale - In April 2025, the issuance of new public funds significantly decreased, with a total of 58.1 billion shares issued, down 38.7% month-on-month and 54.1% year-on-year [25]. - The total public fund holdings as of April 2025 were 31.91 trillion CNY, a decrease of 1.99% month-on-month but an increase of 10.08% year-on-year [28]. 4. Private Fund Market - As of March 2025, the number of existing private funds was 142,278, with a total scale of 20 trillion CNY, reflecting a slight month-on-month increase of 0.20% [62]. - The number of newly registered private funds in March 2025 was 1,423, a significant increase of 67.02% month-on-month [60].

光伏主链盈利承压、减值改善，辅材业绩承压持续分化 --新能源行业24年及25Q1报告总结 ◆ 24年光伏板块收入同减21%，归母净利润同减118%；25Q1收入同减17%，归母净利润同减155%。光伏板块 2024年收入10143亿元，同比减少21%，归母净利润-208亿元，同比下降118%。24Q4光伏板块收入2552亿 元，同减22%，环增1%，归母净利润-252亿元，同减1046%，环减8091%。25Q1光伏板块收入1952亿元， 同减17%，环减24%，归母净利润-35亿元，同减155%，环增86%。 ◆ 25Q1主链减值减少环比改善，辅材业绩持续承压。25Q1归母净利润环比增速看：EPC(476%)>设备(284%)> 胶膜(278%)>支架(132%)>石英坩埚(117%)>其他辅材(96%)>玻璃(93%)>金刚线(88%)>电池(85%)>银浆 (66%)>硅片(58%)>组件(54%)>硅料(34%)>逆变器(8%)；归母净利同比增速看，逆变器(74%)>硅片(11%)> 支架(-18%)>EPC(-20%)>设备(-32%)>胶膜(-37%)>银浆(-38%)>石英坩埚(-73%)>玻璃 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the education and training industry, highlighting potential opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - The education and training industry is positioned as a long-term growth track, with a significant imbalance between supply and demand, creating investment opportunities [8][12]. - The industry is characterized by a trillion-yuan demand under a hundred-billion-yuan market, indicating substantial growth potential [39]. - The report emphasizes the role of AI in transforming the education sector, enhancing efficiency and quality while potentially increasing market concentration [8][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Reflection - The education and training sector is experiencing a recovery phase post "double reduction" and pandemic impacts, with a favorable policy environment fostering growth [8][12]. - Demand for education and training is rigid and increasing, particularly in high school training due to rising college entrance exam registrations [8][12]. Policy Trends - The policy direction is becoming more moderate, providing a conducive environment for growth in the education sector [14][15]. - Key policies indicate a shift towards supporting and regulating private education development, with a focus on optimizing the basic education ecosystem [14][15]. Lessons from Japan and South Korea - Historical experiences from Japan and South Korea illustrate that the education and training sector can be a long-term growth area, with increasing participation rates and spending on education [20][27]. - South Korea's experience shows a recovery in participation rates and spending on education, indicating a potential trajectory for China's education sector [26][32]. Market Size and Demand - The education and training market is estimated to be around 398.5 billion yuan for K12 education, with significant room for growth in participation rates [50][51]. - The report highlights that the average spending on education per student is increasing, with a clear upward trend in pricing for tutoring services [54]. Key Players - The report identifies key companies to watch, including Xueda Education, New Oriental, and TAL Education, which are adapting to the changing landscape by diversifying their service offerings [6][58]. - These companies are shifting focus from K9 academic training to non-academic and vocational education, reflecting a broader industry transformation [58].

证券研究报告·金融工程·金工定期报告 金工定期报告 20250507 2025-04-03 TPS 与 SPS 选股因子绩效月报 20250430 2025 年 05 月 07 日 证券分析师 高子剑 执业证书：S0600518010001 021-60199793 gaozj@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 凌志杰 执业证书：S0600525040007 lingzhj@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《成交价改进换手率因子》 2022-08-16 《 TPS 与 SPS 选股因子绩效月报 20250331》 东吴证券研究所 1 / 9 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ TPS 因子多空对冲绩效（全市场）： 2006 年 1 月至 2025 年 4 月，TPS 因子在全体 A 股中，10 分组多空对冲的年化收益率为 39.50%，年化波 动为 15.79%，信息比率为 2.50，月度胜率为 77.39%，月度最大回撤为 18.19%。 ◼ SPS 因子多空对冲绩效（全市场）： 2006 年 1 月至 2025 年 4 月，SPS 因子在全体 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends investment in leading domestic brands: Chuanfeng Power, Longxin General, and Qianjiang Motorcycle [3]. Core Insights - The growth of the motorcycle market is driven by exports and large-displacement motorcycles, with domestic sales of fuel motorcycles expected to decline while large-displacement models see significant growth [2][19]. - The domestic motorcycle market has transitioned from a tool to a consumer product, with large-displacement motorcycles gaining popularity due to rising outdoor sports demand and motorcycle culture [2][41]. - The overseas motorcycle market presents substantial growth opportunities for Chinese brands, with a projected market size of 932 billion yuan by 2024 [2][85]. Summary by Sections Overall Review - The motorcycle industry in China has experienced three phases: popularization, decline, and differentiated growth, with the current phase characterized by structural growth driven by exports and large-displacement motorcycles [13][15]. Domestic Sales - Domestic motorcycle sales are projected to decline from 19 million units in 2023 to 5.44 million units for fuel motorcycles by 2024, while large-displacement motorcycle sales are expected to grow from 110,000 to 400,000 units from 2019 to 2024, with a CAGR of 28.8% [2][19][29]. Exports - The export of motorcycles is expected to reach 11.02 million units by 2024, accounting for 67% of total sales, with a significant increase in large-displacement motorcycle exports from 65,000 to 360,000 units during the same period [22][29]. Key Players - Chuanfeng Power, Longxin General, and Qianjiang Motorcycle are leading the large-displacement market, with Chuanfeng's sales growing from 45,000 to 308,000 units from 2019 to 2024, achieving a CAGR of 47.1% [3][75].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric equipment industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The human-shaped robot sector is experiencing significant domestic and international resonance, indicating a strong growth potential. The valuation of leading lithium battery storage companies is currently low, presenting a potential investment opportunity [1][4] - The report highlights a robust demand for energy storage solutions, particularly in emerging markets, and anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20-40% for global energy storage installations from 2025 to 2028 [4][5] Industry Trends - The electric equipment sector has shown varied performance, with specific segments like nuclear power and electric vehicles experiencing growth, while others like wind and photovoltaic sectors have faced declines [4] - The report notes significant developments in the human-shaped robot market, including strategic partnerships and product deliveries, which are expected to drive growth in this sector [4] - The electric vehicle market is witnessing a surge in sales, with major manufacturers reporting substantial year-on-year increases in production and sales figures [4] Company Performance - Notable companies such as Ningde Times, BYD, and Sunshine Power are highlighted for their strong market positions and growth potential, with specific revenue and profit forecasts provided for 2024 and 2025 [6][8] - The report emphasizes the financial performance of various companies, indicating a mix of growth and challenges, with some companies like Longi Green Energy facing significant declines in revenue and profit [4][6] Investment Strategy - The report recommends a focus on key sectors such as robotics, energy storage, and electric vehicles, identifying specific companies that are expected to benefit from market trends and technological advancements [6][10] - It suggests that the human-shaped robot market is at a pivotal point, akin to the early stages of the electric vehicle market, with substantial long-term growth potential [10]