中国银河证券|CGS Hilling 关注电源+供配电系统新趋势 "AIDC"系列报告 分析师:黄林 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 行业深度报告 · 电力设备与新能源行业 关注电源+供配电系统新趋势 AIDC 系列报告 核心观点 电新行业 维持评级 推荐 分析师 黄林 ☎: 010-8092-7627 网: huanglin_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130524070004 2025-2-28 电力设备及新能源指数 资料来源:Wind,中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 1. 【银河电新】Deepseek 冲击波:电新全面智能 时代开启 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明。 2 2025 年 3 月 1 日 AI 尽头是算力,算力尽头是电力,DeepSeek 长期增加算力需求。随着 ● AI 快速发展,大模型、深度学习、自然语言处理等其他复杂的 AI 任务,都需 要大量的计算资源。算力高度依赖于电力供应。DeepSeek 模型通过使用 PTX 编程语言,以及工程能力上的创新,从 ...

行业周报 · 电力设备与新能源行业 光伏大会在京召开,行业有望走向复苏 核心观点 | | | 推荐 维持 分析师 段尚昌 2、【银河电新】行业周报_2025 年国家电网投资将 首次超 6500 亿元_250119 ☎：010-8092-7653 网: huanglin_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130524090003 黄林 ☎: 010-8092-7627 团：duanshangchang_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130524070004 2025-2-28 相对沪深 300 表现图 资料来源：iFind，中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 1、【银河电新】行业周报_《新型储能制造业高质量 发展行动方案》发布_250223 【银河电新】行业周报_新能源全电量入市、上网电 价全面市场化_250209 3、【银河电新】行业周报_2024 年中国新增并网风 电装机约 88GW_250112 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 2025年3月3日 行情回顾: 2025年 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Midea Group [1] Core Views - Midea Group is transitioning from a leading home appliance manufacturer to a global leader in HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) [3][7] - The company has been actively expanding its global presence through strategic acquisitions, including the recent purchase of Arbonia's climate division for €760 million (approximately ¥5.88 billion) [3][5] - Midea's HVAC business is expected to benefit from market opportunities in Europe, particularly with the shift from gas boilers to heat pumps [6][7] - The company is also focusing on enhancing its brand value and profitability in the Chinese market while facing competition from brands like Xiaomi and Aux [8] Company Overview - Midea Group's future prospects lie in the global home appliance, HVAC, and industrial technology sectors, with a history of small-scale acquisitions to fill global business gaps [5] - The formation of a new alliance, MBT Climate, with Arbonia and Clivet aims to provide comprehensive and efficient product solutions in Europe [5][6] - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its commercial HVAC business, particularly in precision central air conditioning for data centers [6] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, Midea Group reported revenue of ¥318.97 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, and a net profit of ¥31.70 billion, up 14.4% [9] - The company has shown strong profitability, with a net profit margin of 9.94% for the first three quarters, improving from the previous year [16] - Midea's revenue growth is supported by domestic consumption stimulus policies, particularly in the home appliance sector [24] Market Trends - The domestic home appliance market is benefiting from the "old-for-new" subsidy policy, with a projected retail sales growth of 12.3% in 2024 [24] - Midea's air conditioning sales are expected to continue growing, with domestic sales reaching 10.415 million units in 2024, a 4.57% increase year-on-year [31] - The central air conditioning market is facing challenges domestically but is seeing strong export growth, with a 39.8% increase in exports in 2024 [41] Future Projections - The report forecasts Midea Group's net profit to reach ¥38.65 billion in 2024, with an EPS of ¥5.05, and further growth expected in subsequent years [80]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on the company with a "Buy" rating [5]. Core Views - The company has a comprehensive layout in the optical communication industry chain, with a strong vertical integration capability, which is expected to enhance its market share [9][51]. - The demand for optical modules is anticipated to surge due to advancements in AI algorithms, particularly with the introduction of DeepSeek, which is expected to drive a 56.5% year-on-year increase in high-speed shipments by 2025 [34][39]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the rapid growth in domestic computing infrastructure, with significant investments from major cloud service providers [49][51]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A: 60.61 billion CNY, 2024E: 75.88 billion CNY, 2025E: 104.10 billion CNY, and 2026E: 135.18 billion CNY, with growth rates of -12.31%, 25.20%, 37.19%, and 29.86% respectively [2]. - Net profit forecasts are: 2023A: 6.19 billion CNY, 2024E: 7.23 billion CNY, 2025E: 11.61 billion CNY, and 2026E: 15.02 billion CNY, with growth rates of 1.80%, 16.74%, 60.53%, and 29.42% respectively [2]. - The diluted EPS is projected to be 0.78 CNY in 2023, increasing to 1.89 CNY by 2026, with corresponding PE ratios decreasing from 74.70 to 30.80 [2]. Company Overview - The company has over 40 years of experience in the optical communication field and has established a vertically integrated platform covering optical chips, devices, and modules [9][51]. - It ranks fifth globally in the optical module industry as of 2023, with a market share of 5.8% [15]. - The company has a strong R&D team and advanced technology platforms, enabling rapid market response and innovation [54]. Market Dynamics - The optical module market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing demand for high-speed data transmission in AI applications [39][46]. - The domestic optical module market is projected to reach approximately 6.5 billion USD by 2029, with a market share of 20-25% globally [52][51]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing shift towards higher-speed optical modules, particularly in the context of AI and cloud computing [51][54].

银行同业存单额度提升,金融加力支持民企融资 - 银行业周报 (2025.02.24-2025.03.02) 2025年3月2日 核心观点 银行业 | | | 分析师 张一纬 ☎：010-8092-7617 z:zhangyiwei_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130519010001 行业周报 银行板块表现优于市场:本周沪深 300 指数下跌 2.22%,银行板块下跌 ● 0.36%。国有行、股份行、城商行、农商行分别-1.27%、+0.50%、-0.67%、 -1.52%。个股方面,中信银行（+4.23%）、齐鲁银行（+2.73%）、招商银行 (+1.57%）、上海银行(+0.75%）、兴业银行（+0.39%）涨幅居前。截至 2 月 28 日，银行板块 PB 为 0.65 倍，股息率为 6.53%。 银行 2025 年同业存单备案额度整体显著提升,关注存款增长压力:截至 ● 2025 年 2 月 28 日，共有 264 家商业银行发布了 2025 年同业存单发行计划; 六家国有大行中除建行暂未公布外,其他五家大行计划发行额度均有大幅提 升,与上年相比合计增长 46.26%; ...

Catalog | 一、 建筑业景气度有所回落，节后复工进度偏慢 . | | --- | | 二、 流动性维持充裕，社融实现开门红 … | | 三、 全国两会前瞻：稳增长、稳地产提振信心 | | 四、乌克兰重建释放基建需求,"一带一路"迎新机 | | 五、 推荐基建和房建产业链 | | （一） 建筑行业集中度提升 . | | （二） 建筑行业估值处于历史中低部区域 . | | (三) 政策加码利好基建房建产业链 | | （四） 建筑出海高景气利好国际工程企业 . | | 六、风险提示 | · 建筑行业 龙天光 张渌荻 维持 · 建筑行业 53.2 49.3 · 建筑行业 · 建筑行业 · 建筑行业 · 建筑行业 | | 2025 年固定资产投资目标 2024 年固定资产投资目标（%） | 校 2024年変化 | | --- | --- | --- | | 地区 | | | · 建筑行业 | | 北京 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 天津 | 3.0 | 正增长 | 调升 | | | 上海 | | | | | | 河北 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 调降 | ...

ESG 与央国企月度报告 完善绿色金融体系助力经济绿色转型 ESG 与央国企月度报告(2025年2月) 核心观点 风险提示:市场情绪不稳定的风险;历史数据推演规律改变的风险;政策理解不到 位的风险。 分析师 马宗明 ☎: 18600816533 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 2025年3月3日 国家金融监督管理总局办公厅与中国人民银行办公厅联合发布《银行业保 ● 险业绿色金融高质量发展实施方案》设定 5年量化目标,从支持重点领域、 完善服务体系、推动机构自身转型、增强风险管理、深化机制建设等方面 布局任务,并通过加强责任落实等措施保障实施。与此前政策相比,它覆盖 范围更广、任务更细化、机制建设更深入。聚焦产业结构优化等四大领域,从 供给侧提升服务质效。银行业和保险业在面临绿色信贷标准统一难、产品研发 难等挑战的同时,也迎来业务拓展、市场需求增长等机遇。《方案》将有力推 动经济绿色转型,实现金融与环保协同发展。 0 市场表现:2月纯央国企策略优于 ESG&央国企以及纯 ESG 策略,但月 度涨跌幅均为负。以 2023年 1 月 3 日为基准,截止 2025 年 2 月 28 ...

公司点评报告 · 计算机行业 业绩高速增长,国产化浪潮下迎发展黄金期 2025 年 2 月 28 日 海光信息(688041.SH) 推荐 维持评级 分析师 吴砚靖 ☎: 010-66568589 | 市场数据 | 2025-2-28 | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 688041 | | A 股收盘价(元) | 160.00 | | 上证指数 | 3.320.90 | | 总股本(万股) | 232,433.81 | | 实际流通 A 股(万股) | 88,655.72 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 1,418.49 | 相对沪深 300 表现图 2025-2-28 料来源: Wind,中国银河证券研究 网: wuyanjing@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130519070001 高峰 ☎：010-80927671 网: gaofeng_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522040001 研究助理:胡天昊 ☎：010-80927637 മ: hutianhao_yj @chinastock.com.cn www.chi ...

行业周报 · 建筑材料行业 小阳春需求带动部分产品价格上涨 2025年3月2日 核心观点 建筑材料行业 | | | 分析师 【银河建材】行业周报_节后需求尚未恢复,关注春 季市场恢复情况_20250209 www.chinastock.com.cn 贾亚萌 ☎: 010-80927680 网: jiayameng_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130523060001 相对沪深 300 表现图 2025-2-28 建筑材料(SW) 沪深300 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% 24-02 24-04 24-06 24-08 24-10 24-12 25-02 资料来源:中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 【银河建材】行业周报_需求逐步恢复,部分产品有 涨价预期_20250223 【银河建材】行业周报_市场逐步启动,需求恢复下 价格有望回升_20250216 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 水泥:需求持续恢复,预计价格延续上涨态势。本周全国水泥价格止跌回升。 ● 需求端,市场持续恢复,需求稳步增长,但整体需求恢复情况较往年同 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price range of 5.01 to 7.55 CNY per share, and a central value of 6.21 CNY [7]. Core Insights - The company is transitioning from a coal-based power generation platform to a specialized green hydrogen energy platform under the State Power Investment Corporation, with significant investments in renewable energy and hydrogen projects [5][11]. - The report highlights the expected growth in green hydrogen demand driven by short-term policies and the anticipated price parity by 2030, which will further open market opportunities [5][34]. - The company is actively developing integrated projects for green hydrogen and ammonia production, with expected profitability exceeding initial estimates due to favorable market conditions [5][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Transition to Green Hydrogen Platform - The company has shifted from a coal power focus to a green hydrogen platform, with a cumulative installed capacity of 330 MW for coal, 347 MW for wind, and 662 MW for solar as of the end of 2023 [5][11]. - The company aims to leverage its renewable energy advantages to reduce production costs in hydrogen generation and enhance green electricity consumption [5][11]. 2. Hydrogen Energy Development - Global hydrogen demand exceeded 97 million tons in 2023, with a significant portion still relying on gray hydrogen due to high production costs [5][34]. - The report estimates that by 2030, the demand for green hydrogen in coal power blending in China, Japan, and South Korea could reach approximately 11 million tons per year [5][34]. - The company is advancing projects for green ammonia and methanol, with the green ammonia project expected to start production by May 2025, projecting a gross margin of 19.90% [5][34]. 3. Renewable Energy Growth - The report indicates that the renewable energy sector is approaching a turning point, with multiple projects under construction that will support future capacity growth [5][34]. - The company has several projects in the pipeline, totaling an installed capacity of 4.6447 million kW, which includes wind, solar, and thermal energy [5][34]. - The company’s coal assets are expected to provide cash flow support for renewable projects and mitigate costs associated with auxiliary services [5][34]. 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.15 billion CNY, 1.31 billion CNY, and 1.58 billion CNY from 2024 to 2026, with growth rates of 26.64%, 13.75%, and 20.99% respectively [6][7]. - The report anticipates an increase in gross margin from 25.75% in 2023 to 29.58% by 2026, reflecting improved operational efficiency [6][7]. - The company’s financial metrics indicate a favorable valuation compared to peers, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio decreasing from 20.44 in 2023 to 11.73 by 2026 [6][7].