1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report [1] 2. Report Core Viewpoints - The Central Economic Work Conference held from December 10 - 11 adjusted macro - policy implementation paths and key task statements. Fiscal policy will continue to be active, and monetary policy will be moderately loose with more flexible use of tools. Key tasks in multiple fields have changed significantly [2][10] - In 2026, the bond market may perform better than expected. Policy rates are predicted to drop by about 20BP, with a possible 10BP cut in Q1. The 30Y Treasury yield may fall below 2%. Currently, it is recommended to focus on the allocation value of 5Y bank capital bonds and ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [4][85] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Macro News - The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that China's economy faces challenges such as external impacts and domestic supply - demand imbalance. Macro - policies will be more proactive, with new implementation paths and adjustments in key tasks across various fields [2][10] - In November 2025, the stock of social financing increased by 8.5% year - on - year. The balance of M1 was 112.9 trillion yuan (+4.9% yoy), M0 was 13.7 trillion yuan (+10.6% yoy), and M2 was 337.0 trillion yuan (+8% yoy) [4][26] - The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.5% - 3.75% on December 10, the third consecutive 25 - basis - point cut since September [4][30] 3.2 Meso - level High - frequency Data 3.2.1 Consumption - As of December 7, the daily average retail and wholesale volume of passenger cars decreased by 32.3% and 39.8% year - on - year respectively. As of December 12, the 7 - day national box office revenue increased by 190.6% year - on - year. As of December 5, the retail volume and total of three major home appliances decreased by 24.7% and 46.1% year - on - year respectively [36][41] 3.2.2 Transportation - As of December 7, port container throughput increased by 5.9% year - on - year, postal express pick - up and delivery volume increased by 5.4% and 4.0% respectively, while railway freight volume and highway truck traffic decreased by 2.0% and 0.4% respectively. As of December 12, the average subway passenger volume in first - tier cities increased by 3.7% year - on - year [43][46] 3.2.3 Industrial Operating Rate - As of December 10 - 12, the operating rates of various industries showed mixed trends. For example, the blast furnace operating rate of major steel enterprises increased by 0.3pct year - on - year, while the asphalt operating rate decreased by 1.0pct year - on - year [48] 3.2.4 Real Estate - As of December 12, the 7 - day commercial housing transaction area in 30 large - and medium - sized cities decreased by 33.7% year - on - year. As of December 5, the second - hand housing transaction area in 9 sample cities decreased by 49.0% year - on - year [53][56] 3.2.5 Prices - As of December 12, the average wholesale prices of pork, northern port thermal coal, and WTI crude oil decreased year - on - year and compared to four weeks ago. The average wholesale prices of vegetables and 6 key fruits increased year - on - year and compared to four weeks ago [60] 3.3 Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets - On December 12, overnight Shibor and some short - term interest rates decreased. Most Treasury yields declined, while the yields of some government - backed bonds and local government bonds showed mixed trends. The yields of US, Japanese, British, and German 10 - year Treasury bonds increased. The US dollar - RMB exchange rate decreased [69][71][77] 3.4 Investment Recommendations - Due to changes in macro - policies and key tasks at the Central Economic Work Conference and the current situation of the bond market, it is expected that the bond market will perform better in 2026. It is recommended to focus on the allocation value of 5Y bank capital bonds and ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [83][85]

证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 14 日 证券分析师 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 蔡思 SAC：S1350524070005 caisi@huayuanstock.com 豆鹏超 doupengchao@huayuanstock.com 投资评级： 看好（维持） BEST 项目招投标密集公示 关注核聚 变供应链发展 ——大能源行业 2025 年第 50 周周报（20251214） 投资要点： 核聚变：BEST 项目招投标密集公示 关注核聚变供应链发展 2025 年四季度以来，核聚变领域国内重点项目——合肥 BEST 项目招标规模放量明 显： 2025Q4 至今单季度招标规模达到约 26.2 亿元，较 2025Q3 招标规模约 6.2 亿 元、2025Q2 中标规模 0.52 亿元、2025Q1 中标规模 2.63 亿元等数据明显放量（注： 2025Q1 和 2025Q2 采用中标规模数据是 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the small metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that tungsten prices have reached a historical high due to supply contraction and price increases for long-term contracts in December [3] - The supply-demand dynamics for rare earths are relatively balanced, with prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxide experiencing a slight rebound [5] - Molybdenum prices are fluctuating due to weak demand from the steel sector, while tungsten prices are driven by stable domestic demand and increased long-term contract prices [5] - Tin prices are strengthening due to macroeconomic factors and ongoing supply disruptions, particularly in key mining regions [5] - Antimony prices are expected to reverse from their recent decline as export recovery expectations strengthen [5] Summary by Category Rare Earths - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 2.21% to 579,000 CNY/ton, while dysprosium and terbium prices decreased by 7.43% to 1,370,000 CNY/ton and 3.75% to 6,280,000 CNY/ton respectively [10][5] - Supply issues are easing as some producers control output due to cost pressures, while demand from downstream magnetic material companies remains stable [5] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices rose by 2.77% to 3,715 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron (Mo60) prices increased by 1.27% to 238,500 CNY/ton [19][5] - The industry is facing a supply-demand tug-of-war, with signs of supply contraction emerging [5] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices increased by 9.76% to 371,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices rose by 12.12% to 555,000 CNY/ton [26][5] - Supply is tightening as mining production slows, while domestic demand remains stable [5] Tin - SHFE tin prices rose by 9.17% to 333,000 CNY/ton, and LME tin prices increased by 7.11% to 41,905 USD/ton [30][5] - Supply disruptions in key regions are contributing to price increases [5] Antimony - Antimony ingot prices fell by 2.90% to 167,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate prices decreased by 3.24% to 149,500 CNY/ton [36][5] - Expectations for export recovery are strengthening, which may lead to a price rebound [5]

Fixed Income - The central economic work conference indicates a continuation of moderately loose monetary policy, suggesting that the current environment remains conducive to rate cuts and reserve requirement reductions [2][10] - The net financing scale of government bonds in 2026 is expected to slightly increase to around 14.5 trillion yuan, maintaining a stable issuance without significantly increasing supply pressure [10][12] - Social financing growth is projected to decline to approximately 7.3% in 2026, with a total increment of around 34 trillion yuan [10][12] - The bond market in 2026 may perform better than expected, with a potential policy interest rate cut of about 20 basis points anticipated [12][18] Pharmaceutical Industry - The collagen market shows significant potential, with animal-derived products having distinct advantages; Baijin Medical has three types of animal collagen products, with the first type recently approved [4][23] - The domestic market for animal-derived collagen in functional skincare and medical dressings is projected to reach 243 billion yuan by 2027 [23] - Baijin Medical is expected to submit 12 product registrations this year, with ongoing product launches anticipated, driving long-term growth [4][23] New Consumption - The CPI in November increased by 0.7%, primarily driven by rising food prices, marking the highest growth since March 2024 [28][29] - Lin Qingxuan, a high-end domestic skincare brand, reported a revenue of 1.052 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 98.3% [29][30] - The company has a strong offline presence with 554 stores, over 95% of which are located in shopping malls, positioning it as a leader among domestic and international high-end skincare brands [29][30] Metal New Materials - The Federal Reserve's recent rate cut of 25 basis points has led to an increase in copper prices, with expectations of a supply-demand shift towards a shortage in the future [32][33] - The lithium market is experiencing strong demand, with lithium prices entering an upward cycle due to ongoing inventory depletion [35] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to a tight supply situation, with recent changes in export regulations from the Democratic Republic of Congo impacting the market [36] North Exchange - The recent adjustments to the North Exchange 50 and specialized indices are expected to enhance the quality and scale of listed companies, with a focus on performance and strong growth potential [39][40] - The market is showing signs of stabilization, with an emphasis on identifying undervalued assets and companies in strong growth sectors such as commercial aerospace and AI [40]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media and internet industry [4] Core Views - Disney's investment of $1 billion in OpenAI and its partnership with Sora for content licensing is seen as a significant move that may lead to new business models and enhance IP value [5] - The film and television sectors are expected to see steady growth, driven by strong performances from quality imported films and new policies promoting content creation [5] - The AI application sector is witnessing advancements, particularly in content generation, which could accelerate the elevation of IP content [6] - The internet sector is experiencing competitive dynamics, with major companies adapting their strategies to leverage AI technologies [8] - The gaming industry is showing robust performance, with top titles maintaining strong user engagement and revenue potential [9] Summary by Sections Media Sector - Disney's collaboration with OpenAI is expected to standardize AI content copyright usage and create new revenue streams [5] - The film market is projected to grow, with notable films like "Zootopia 2" and "Avatar 3" performing well in China [5] - Recommendations include focusing on quality IP companies and film distribution firms [5] AI Applications - The release of Nano Banana Pro indicates significant improvements in AI capabilities, which may enhance content production [6] - Companies involved in IP rights and industrialized content production are recommended for investment [6] Internet Sector - The launch of the Doubao mobile assistant highlights the ongoing evolution of AI technologies in the internet space [8] - Major internet companies are expected to continue adjusting their strategies to maintain competitive advantages [8] Gaming Sector - The gaming industry is seeing high engagement with major titles like "Honor of Kings" and "Delta Force" leading the market [9] - Investment opportunities are identified in companies exploring AI integration in gaming [9] New Business Models - The rise of group broadcasting is transforming the industry from reliance on individual charisma to systematic growth [10] - Companies directly involved in group broadcasting and those benefiting from its growth are highlighted as potential investment targets [10] Publishing and State-Owned Media - State-owned publishing companies are exploring new business models and enhancing dividend sustainability [11] - The report suggests monitoring the merger and acquisition activities of state-owned media companies [11] Market Overview - The media sector showed a slight increase of 0.26% in the week from December 8 to December 12, ranking 8th among all industries [15] - The report notes significant movements in stock prices of various media companies, with notable gainers and losers identified [16][20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the potential of the collagen market, particularly animal-derived collagen, and suggests focusing on BaiRen Medical as a key investment opportunity. The market for animal-derived collagen in functional skincare and medical dressings is projected to reach a combined scale of 24.3 billion by 2027 [5][13] - The report highlights the ongoing transformation in the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, with a shift from generic to innovative drugs, and the increasing importance of overseas markets and aging population consumption [5][37] Summary by Sections 1. BaiRen Medical's Animal-Derived Collagen Approval - BaiRen Medical has received approval for its animal-derived collagen implant, which is expected to significantly contribute to the collagen market. The product is designed to improve facial smoothness and has shown an improvement rate of 84.23% in clinical trials [15][17] - The domestic market for animal-derived collagen is expected to grow substantially, with projections of 13 billion for functional skincare and 11.3 billion for medical dressings by 2027 [13][17] 2. Industry Perspective - The pharmaceutical index has shown a decline of 1.04% from December 8 to December 12, with a year-to-date increase of 14.65%. The report notes that the innovative drug sector remains a key focus for investment, with several companies expected to perform well in the upcoming quarters [5][22] - The report identifies several companies to watch, including XinLiTai, SanSheng Pharmaceutical, and BaiRen Medical, among others, as they are positioned to benefit from the ongoing industry trends [5][41]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the precious metals sector is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Viewpoints - The prices of gold and silver have shown strong upward momentum, with London spot gold rising by 3.72% to $4346.95 per ounce and London spot silver increasing by 19.66% to $64.51 per ounce in the past two weeks [6][11] - The main drivers for the recent price increases include the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and initiate a short-term bond purchase program, slow progress in the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations, and the Bank of Japan signaling a shift towards interest rate hikes [6][7] - The global demand for gold is projected to reach 4974 tons in 2024, a 1.5% increase from 2023, driven by strong purchases from central banks and rising investment demand [7] Summary by Sections Price Trends - In the last two weeks, London spot gold increased by 3.72% to $4346.95 per ounce, while the Shanghai gold price rose by 1.75% to 970.66 yuan per gram. London spot silver surged by 19.66% to $64.51 per ounce, and the Shanghai silver price increased by 17.01% to 14892 yuan per kilogram [11][12] U.S. Economic Data and Federal Reserve Tracking - The U.S. labor market remains resilient, which may extend the current interest rate cut cycle. The Federal Reserve has significant policy space, increasing the window for gold buying [7][23] Positioning and Trading Volume - The trading volume for Shanghai gold increased by 2.61% to 348,600 contracts, while the trading volume for Shanghai silver rose by 0.42% to 788,200 contracts [11][43] Domestic and International Price Differences - The domestic gold price difference from international prices is -12.66 yuan per gram, while the silver price difference is 792.11 yuan per kilogram [52] Futures Basis - As of the last week, the international gold basis (spot-futures) was $17.15 per ounce, an increase of $82.50 from two weeks ago, while the domestic gold basis was -5.86 yuan per gram, up by 0.65 yuan [57]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a "Focus" on the company, indicating potential investment interest [2][4]. Core Insights - Jiangtian Technology focuses on high-end consumer brand labels, ranking among the top in the food and beverage and daily chemical sectors [2][12]. - The company has been recognized as one of the top 50 brands in the Chinese label printing industry for four consecutive years, with a projected net profit exceeding 100 million yuan in 2025 [2][12]. - The company plans to use the funds raised from its IPO for the construction of intelligent production lines for packaging printing products and a technology research and development center [10][11]. Company Overview - Jiangtian Technology's IPO price is set at 21.21 yuan per share, with an earnings ratio of 13.76X, and the subscription date is December 16, 2025 [2][5]. - The company will issue 13,213,637 shares, accounting for 20% of the total shares post-issue, with a strategic placement of 1,321,363 shares [2][5]. - The company has established long-term partnerships with renowned global brands such as Unilever, Procter & Gamble, and Shell, as well as domestic brands like Nongfu Spring and Yili [12][24]. Financial Performance - The company expects a revenue growth of 12.24% to 15.95% in 2025, with a net profit forecast of 10.3 million to 11.2 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.58% to 15.89% [30][32]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 468 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.85% [28][32]. - The gross profit margin for the company's main products has remained stable, with a slight fluctuation in the margins of its film labels [18][28]. Industry Insights - The Chinese packaging industry is projected to exceed 2 trillion yuan in revenue in 2024, with a low overall concentration in the market [33][35]. - The label printing market in China is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1% in usage and 6.6% in sales revenue by 2026 [43][44]. - The domestic demand for self-adhesive labels has been increasing, with production rising from 7.1 billion square meters in 2019 to an estimated 9.7 billion square meters in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 8.11% [43][44].

证券研究报告 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈婉妤 SAC：S1350524110006 chenwanyu@huayuanstock.com 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 有色金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 14 日 美联储如期降息 25BP，铜价上行 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——有色金属 大宗金属周报（2025/12/8-2025/12/12） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜 ： 美 联 储 如 期 降 息 25BP ， 铜 价 上 行 。 本 周 伦 铜 / 沪 铜 / 美 铜 涨 跌 幅 分 别 为 +1.54%/+1.40%/-1.75%。宏观方面，美联储 12 月议息会议如期降息 25BP，铜价上行。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the robust growth of emerging consumer goods, reflecting the new consumption concepts developed by the younger generation in the current social environment. Understanding this new consumption narrative is crucial for capturing the growth of new consumer companies [4][15] - The report suggests focusing on high-quality domestic brands with strong professionalism and innovation in the beauty and skincare sector, such as Mao Geping and Shangmei [4][15] - In the gold and jewelry sector, it recommends attention to leading brands in the ancient gold segment that are favored by younger consumers, such as Laopu Gold and Chaohongji [4][15] - For trendy toys, companies with successful experience in IP creation and operation, like Pop Mart, are highlighted [4][15] - In the ready-to-drink tea segment, it advises focusing on strong brand power and extensive business coverage of leading tea brands like Mixue Group and Guming [4][15] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Performance - In November, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.7% year-on-year, with the rise primarily driven by food prices turning from decline to increase. The CPI's year-on-year growth rate expanded by 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous month, marking the highest level since March 2024 [4] - The report tracks the performance of the new consumption sector, noting a weekly decline of 1.64% in the beauty and personal care sector and a 0.21% decline in the retail sector from December 8 to December 12, 2025 [7] Key Industry Data - In October, the retail sales of clothing and textiles increased by 6.3% year-on-year, cosmetics by 9.6%, and gold and silver jewelry by 37.6% [11][17] - The report indicates that the retail sales of beverages rose by 7.1% year-on-year in October [17]