Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the robust growth of emerging consumer goods, reflecting the new consumption concepts developed by the younger generation in the current social environment. Understanding this new consumption narrative is crucial for capturing the growth of new consumer companies [4][15] - The report suggests focusing on high-quality domestic brands with strong professionalism and innovation in the beauty and skincare sector, such as Mao Geping and Shangmei [4][15] - In the gold and jewelry sector, it recommends attention to leading brands in the ancient gold segment that are favored by younger consumers, such as Laopu Gold and Chaohongji [4][15] - For trendy toys, companies with successful experience in IP creation and operation, like Pop Mart, are highlighted [4][15] - In the ready-to-drink tea segment, it advises focusing on strong brand power and extensive business coverage of leading tea brands like Mixue Group and Guming [4][15] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Performance - In November, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.7% year-on-year, with the rise primarily driven by food prices turning from decline to increase. The CPI's year-on-year growth rate expanded by 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous month, marking the highest level since March 2024 [4] - The report tracks the performance of the new consumption sector, noting a weekly decline of 1.64% in the beauty and personal care sector and a 0.21% decline in the retail sector from December 8 to December 12, 2025 [7] Key Industry Data - In October, the retail sales of clothing and textiles increased by 6.3% year-on-year, cosmetics by 9.6%, and gold and silver jewelry by 37.6% [11][17] - The report indicates that the retail sales of beverages rose by 7.1% year-on-year in October [17]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Credit demand remains weak, with new loans in November significantly lower than the same period last year, and future new loans may continue to be lower year - on - year, with loan growth rates continuing to decline [2] - M1 growth continues to decline, and it may further drop in the future. M2 growth decreased slightly month - on - month in November [2] - Social financing growth may continue to decline in the next few months, with an expected year - end social financing growth rate of around 8.2% [2] - The bond market in 2026 may perform better than expected, with a recommended focus on the allocation value of 5Y bank capital bonds and ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [2] 3. Summary by Related Content 3.1 November Financial Data - On the evening of December 12, the central bank disclosed November financial data: new loans were 39 billion yuan, and social financing increased by 2.49 trillion yuan. At the end of November, M2 reached 337 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8.0%; M1 increased by 4.9% year - on - year; and the social financing growth rate was 8.5% [1] 3.2 Credit Situation - Due to weak credit demand, new loans in the first month of a quarter are usually low, while banks prefer to boost credit scales at the end of a quarter. In November, new loans were only 39 billion yuan, significantly lower than the same period last year. Personal loans were - 20.63 billion yuan, corporate loans were + 61 billion yuan, and non - bank inter - bank loans were - 1.47 billion yuan [2] - In November, short - term personal loans were - 21.58 billion yuan, and long - term personal loans were + 1 billion yuan, both significantly lower than the same period last year, indicating that residents are actively de - leveraging, and consumption and mortgage credit demands are weak. Corporate short - term loans were + 10 billion yuan, corporate long - term loans were + 17 billion yuan, and bill financing was + 33.42 billion yuan, showing weak corporate credit demand [2] 3.3 M1 and M2 Situation - Since January 2025, the central bank has used a new M1 caliber, which further includes personal current deposits and non - bank payment institution customer reserves. The new M1 growth rate is more stable. In November, the new M1 growth rate was 4.9%, 1.3 percentage points lower than the end of last month, and has been declining since the end of September. The M2 growth rate was 8.0% at the end of November, a slight month - on - month decrease [2] 3.4 Social Financing Situation - In November, the social financing increment was 2.49 trillion yuan (2.33 trillion yuan in November 2024), a slight year - on - year increase, mainly from off - balance - sheet financing and net corporate bond financing. The increment of RMB loans to the real economy in November was 40.53 billion yuan, 11.63 billion yuan less than the same period last year [2] - Entrusted loans were - 1.88 billion yuan, trust loans were + 8.44 billion yuan, undiscounted bank acceptance bills were + 14.9 billion yuan; corporate bond net financing was 41.69 billion yuan, 17.88 billion yuan more than the same period last year; government bond net financing was 1.2 trillion yuan. Due to the slight year - on - year increase in social financing, the social financing growth rate remained flat at 8.5% at the end of November [2] - It is expected that the new loans (social financing caliber) for the whole year will be lower year - on - year, government bond net financing will expand significantly year - on - year, social financing will increase year - on - year, the social financing growth rate may first rise and then fall, and the year - end social financing growth rate will be around 8.2%. Due to the misaligned issuance rhythm of government bonds, the social financing growth rate peaked in July, and it may continue to decline significantly in the next few months [2] 3.5 Bond Market Outlook - Since the second half of the year, the bond market has often deviated from the fundamentals and is dominated by institutional behavior. Currently, the long - term bond yield has reached a new high this year, and with the increasing economic downward pressure, the probability of a successful long - position is high. It is expected that the policy interest rate will be lowered by about 20BP in 2026, with a possible 10BP cut in the first quarter [2] - Currently, many non - bank institutions are bearish on the bond market, but the bond market in 2026 may perform better than expected. The rapid decline in bank liability costs, the high allocation value of government bonds, and weak credit demand are expected to support banks to significantly increase bond investments. In addition, the rapid growth of wealth management scale and the low proportion of bond holdings in wealth management are expected to support credit bonds within 3 years. It is recommended to focus on the allocation value of 5Y bank capital bonds and ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Report's Core Viewpoints - Since Q3 2025, there has been a prevalent bearish sentiment in the bond market, with long - term bonds significantly adjusted and the term spread of ultra - long bonds notably widened. The current central economic work conference indicates that the current situation is still in a cycle of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, and the bond market in 2026 may perform better than expected [2]. - The net financing scale of government bonds in 2026 may slightly expand, with the deficit rate likely to remain around 4%. Under debt resolution, the financing demand of urban investment and credit demand may continue to be weak [2]. - The importance of social financing growth rate may decline, and the future may gradually淡化 the total social financing target and shift more towards interest rate regulation. It is expected that the social financing increment in 2026 will be around 34 trillion yuan, and the social financing growth rate will gradually drop to about 7.3% [2]. - Currently, the conditions for a further reduction in policy interest rates may be met. It is recommended to patiently wait for the policy interest rate cut, and it is expected that the policy interest rate will be cut by about 20BP in 2026, with a possible 10BP cut in the first quarter [2]. - It is recommended to focus on the allocation value of 5Y bank capital bonds and ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [3]. Summaries Based on Related Content Bond Market Situation - As of December 11, the yield of 10 - year treasury bonds increased by 22BP compared to January 2, the yield of 30 - year treasury bonds increased by 38BP, and the yield of 5 - year commercial bank secondary capital bonds (AAA -) increased by 44BP. The "30Y - 10Y" treasury bond term spread reached 39BP on December 11, close to the upper limit of the [10,43]BP range since early 2023 [2]. Government Bond Financing - The central economic work conference's statement implies that the deficit rate in 2026 may remain around 4%, and the net issuance scale of government bonds may remain relatively stable. It is expected that the net financing scale of government bonds in 2026 will be about 14.5 trillion yuan, a slight increase year - on - year [2]. Social Financing - The central economic work conference did not mention the matching of social financing scale and money supply growth with economic growth and price level targets as in 2024. It is expected that the social financing increment in 2026 will be about 34 trillion yuan, and the social financing growth rate will gradually drop to about 7.3% [2]. Policy Interest Rate - The conditions for a policy interest rate cut may be met. The Fed cut interest rates by 75BP in the second half of the year, the Sino - US interest rate spread inversion has been significantly alleviated, the RMB exchange rate has changed from depreciation to a slight appreciation, the cost rate of banks' interest - bearing liabilities has declined steadily, and the economy is under downward pressure [2]. Bond Market Outlook - In 2026, the bond market may perform better than expected. It is expected that the policy interest rate will be cut by about 20BP in 2026, with a possible 10BP cut in the first quarter. In the long - term, the yield of 30Y treasury bonds is expected to fall below 2% [2][3]. Investment Recommendations - Currently, it is recommended to focus on the allocation value of 5Y bank capital bonds and ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a decline in performance for the third quarter, but its stable earnings and dividend value are highlighted [5] - The company plans to acquire 1.6GW of wind power, which is expected to significantly enhance profitability [7] - The coal-electricity integration strategy is expected to solidify the company's profit moat, with a commitment to substantial dividends over the next three years [7] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have a revenue of 19,533 million RMB, a decrease of 12.38% year-on-year [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2,140 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.96% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.33 RMB [6] - The company has a target price of 5.03 RMB per share based on a discounted cash flow analysis [7]

证券研究报告 电子 | 消费电子 北交所|首次覆盖报告 投资要点： 雅葆轩(920357.BJ) 投资评级： 增持（首次） ——PCBA 电子制造服务"小巨人"，受益于汽车电子智驾需求和工控数字化转型 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 12 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 年 | 12 | 日 | | 2025 | | 月 | 11 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | 25.11 | | | | | | | 一 年 内 最 最 低 | | | | / | | 高 | | | | （元） | | | 31.57/16.24 | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | 2,010.81 | | | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | 1,117.76 | | | | ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In November, the year-on-year increase in CPI was mainly driven by a sharp rebound in fresh vegetable prices, while PPI remained weak year-on-year. The unexpected rebound in exports may be due to factors such as the suppression of the base effect in October, Christmas stocking in Europe and the United States, and improvements in Sino-US tariffs. The structure of foreign trade exports continued to improve, with diversification results becoming prominent, and high-end manufacturing becoming the core driving force for exports [2]. - The economy still faces certain pressures. Although there is growth in durable goods and service consumption supported by policies on the consumer side, the structural differentiation of CPI and the mild rebound of core CPI reflect that the overall consumer willingness of residents still needs to be boosted. Exports rebounded unexpectedly in November, and the trade structure continued to improve. Affected by the high base of pre - emptive exports in the first half of this year, the resilience of foreign trade growth next year needs to be continuously observed. The 75BP interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the second half of the year have brought changes in global liquidity, and overseas trade frictions may still continuously disrupt export expectations. Against the backdrop of the intertwining of internal and external factors, the probability of the introduction of growth - stabilizing policies such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts has increased, and attention should be paid to the implementation effects of policies and the improvement signals of prices and foreign trade [3]. - The performance of the bond market in 2026 is expected to be better than expected. Since the second half of the year, the bond market has often deviated from the fundamentals and is mainly dominated by institutional behavior. From the perspective of the domestic fundamentals, the domestic economic data is under pressure, and the necessity of lowering the policy interest rate has significantly increased. From the external environment, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 75BP, and the inversion of the Sino - US interest rate spread has been significantly relieved. Currently, the yield of long - term bonds has reached a high point this year. Under the dual effects of internal and external factors, the probability of a successful long - position strategy is relatively high [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs CPI Situation - In November, CPI increased by 0.7% year - on - year, the highest level since March 2024. Food prices turned from a decline of 2.9% last month to an increase of 0.2%, while non - food prices rose by 0.8% year - on - year. Core CPI increased by 1.2% year - on - year, maintaining above 1% for three consecutive months [2]. - Food prices "turning from negative to positive" were the core driving force. Fresh vegetable prices rose by 14.5% year - on - year, with the impact on the year - on - year increase of CPI increasing by about 0.49 percentage points. The year - on - year decline in pork prices narrowed to - 15.0%, and the prices of beef and mutton increased. Energy prices had a greater drag, with energy prices falling by 3.4% year - on - year [2]. - There was a structural differentiation in core CPI. On the industrial consumer goods side, the year - on - year increase in gold jewelry prices expanded to 58.4%, and clothing prices rose by 2.0%, but household appliance prices decreased. On the service side, although the demand for post - holiday travel declined, the prices of domestic services and dining out still maintained positive growth [2]. PPI Situation - In November, PPI decreased by 2.2% year - on - year, with the decline expanding by 0.1 percentage points. Production materials decreased by 2.4% year - on - year, and living materials decreased by 1.5% year - on - year. PPI increased by 0.1% month - on - month, maintaining positive growth for two consecutive months [2]. - Domestic policies and seasonal demand supported upstream prices. The start of "peak - winter power consumption" in November led to a surge in coal demand, and the prices of coal mining and washing and coal processing increased significantly month - on - month. The effects of comprehensive rectification of "involution - style" competition were evident, and the year - on - year decline in prices of some industries continued to narrow [2]. - Input factors showed a differentiated pattern. The increase in international non - ferrous metal prices drove up the prices of domestic non - ferrous metal mining and smelting industries, while the decline in international oil prices led to a decline in the prices of the oil and gas extraction and refined petroleum product industries [2]. - The seasonal decline in downstream demand for infrastructure restricted the overall ex - factory prices. The prices of the ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year, reflecting the weakening of infrastructure demand. Most industries' ex - factory prices were still under significant pressure year - on - year, but non - ferrous metal industries performed well [2][3]. Foreign Trade Situation - In November, the total value of imports and exports was 3.9 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.1%. Exports were 2.3 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.7%, turning from negative to positive compared with October. Imports were 1.6 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.7%, continuing the six - month growth trend. The trade structure continued to have the characteristics of "strong exports and stable imports" [3]. - Trade with the EU and Africa rebounded significantly, while the decline in exports to the US continued to expand. Exports to ASEAN maintained double - digit growth. Exports to the EU rebounded strongly, and exports to Africa had a high growth rate. Although the decline in exports to the US expanded, the drag on overall exports was offset by the growth of the EU and African markets [3]. - This month's unexpected export growth was mainly affected by the rebound in export growth to the EU and Africa. High - end manufacturing became the core driving force for the rebound. Exports of mechanical and electrical products and high - tech products increased significantly year - on - year, while the growth rates of labor - intensive products were still in the decline range [3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its market position and growth potential [5][8]. Core Insights - The company specializes in polyurethane materials and has over 20 years of technical expertise, focusing on three main product categories: polyurethane elastomers, polyester/polyether polyols, and other downstream derivatives [6][15]. - The company achieved revenue of 3.55 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.98%, and a significant increase in net profit by 54.98% to 112 million yuan [6][25]. - The company is positioned as a national manufacturing champion in the CPU segment, with a market share of 35% in 2021, and is expanding its production capacity to enhance its competitive edge [6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Overview - The company is a leading manufacturer of polyurethane raw materials and derivatives, with a diverse product range that includes elastomers, polyols, and other fine chemical materials [15][22]. - The company has established a robust R&D framework, holding over 520 patents and participating in the formulation of more than 20 national standards [17][19]. 2. Industry Context - China is a major producer and consumer of polyurethane, accounting for approximately 50% of global production, with the market expected to grow to 237.9 billion yuan by 2027 [6][40]. - The industry is characterized by increasing concentration, with major players dominating the upstream raw materials market, particularly in MDI and TDI [43][48]. 3. Competitive Advantages - The company has a leading position in the polyurethane sector, with ongoing capacity expansion projects that will significantly increase its production capabilities [6][10]. - The company is focusing on high-end product development and expanding its applications in various industries, including automotive and renewable energy [10][64]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 202 million yuan, 233 million yuan, and 268 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21.7, 18.8, and 16.3 [8][29]. - Revenue is expected to grow steadily, with a forecasted increase in operating income from 7.48 billion yuan in 2025 to 9.39 billion yuan in 2027 [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its dual-driven strategy of "eSports + Trustworthy Innovation" and the introduction of AI PC and AI smart glasses products [5][9]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the gradual recovery of the PC market, entering a commercial market renewal cycle, with a projected increase in global desktop and laptop shipments [8][18]. - The company has established itself as a significant player in the eSports hardware sector, focusing on high-performance gaming PCs and peripherals, while also expanding into the Trustworthy Innovation sector with products widely adopted across various industries [33][50]. - The integration of AI technology into its product offerings is a key focus, with the launch of AI-enabled PCs and smart glasses aimed at enhancing user experience and operational efficiency [50][63]. Summary by Relevant Sections Market Performance - The company's stock closed at 24.73 yuan, with a market capitalization of 2,473 million yuan and a circulating market value of 2,440.23 million yuan. The annual high and low prices were 48.62 yuan and 19.88 yuan, respectively [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2,555 million yuan in 2023, 2,955 million yuan in 2024, and 3,275 million yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.82% from 2024 to 2025. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 34 million yuan in 2023, 21 million yuan in 2024, and 27 million yuan in 2025 [6][9]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 71.71 in 2023, 115.03 in 2024, and 91.48 in 2025, indicating a high valuation relative to earnings [6][9]. Business Strategy - The company aims to establish 100 top-tier agents and 100 industry-leading users as part of its dual-track strategy to enhance market penetration [7]. - The focus on AI technology and high-performance hardware is expected to create a second growth curve, with significant investments in product development and brand enhancement [11][50]. Product Development - The company has launched several new products, including the RTX50 series gaming laptops and AI smart glasses, which are designed to meet the evolving needs of users in various sectors [50][63]. - The AI smart glasses, Aura AI, support advanced features such as real-time translation and image recognition, marking a significant step in the integration of AI into consumer electronics [63]. Customer Base - The top five customers accounted for 68.36% of total revenue in 2024, with significant contributions from Haier Group and other major distributors [42][44]. R&D and Innovation - The company has a robust pipeline of R&D projects, with 166 patents filed, focusing on enhancing product competitiveness and user experience [51][52]. Market Trends - The global PC market is expected to stabilize, with a projected shipment of 67.4 million units in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.4% [18][19]. Competitive Landscape - Major competitors include Lenovo, Dell, HP, and ASUS, with Lenovo holding a significant market share in the global PC market [19][25]. This comprehensive analysis highlights the company's strategic positioning, financial outlook, and product innovation, indicating a favorable investment opportunity in the evolving tech landscape.

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the stable market potential for high-end vehicles priced above 400,000 yuan, with a significant opportunity for domestic brands to increase their market share in this segment [3][5][7] - The shift in competitive factors from brand and performance parameters to technology attributes and emotional experiences is highlighted as a key trend in the automotive industry [6][7] - The report suggests that domestic automakers, leveraging their technological advancements and understanding of consumer needs, are well-positioned to create popular models that meet customer demands [7] Market Data - The high-end vehicle market (above 400,000 yuan) has maintained sales between 700,000 to 1,200,000 units annually since 2018, representing over 5% of total vehicle sales [5] - In the first ten months of 2025, internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles accounted for 52.9% of sales in this segment, while battery electric vehicles (BEV) made up only 15.0% [5] - The report forecasts that the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the high-end market will exceed 50% by 2026 [5] Competitive Landscape - Foreign brands currently dominate the high-end vehicle market, holding 59.1% of the market share, with traditional foreign brands like BBA accounting for over 40% [6] - Domestic brands have seen a significant increase in market share, rising to 40.9% since 2021, with companies like Seres, Li Auto, BYD, and Geely surpassing Volkswagen in market presence [6] Investment Analysis - The report recommends focusing on domestic brands with strong product capabilities and robust new vehicle cycles, particularly Seres and JAC Motors, as they are expected to benefit from the stable high-end market and the upcoming reduction in new energy vehicle purchase subsidies [3][7]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the company Core Insights - The company, Ming Ming Hen Mang, is a leading player in the snack retail industry, with a total of 14,394 stores across 28 provinces in China as of December 31, 2024, indicating significant market penetration [6][2] - The Chinese food and beverage retail market is projected to reach 7.1 trillion yuan in 2024, growing at a CAGR of 5.2% from 2019 to 2024, with the snack retail segment expected to grow from approximately 2.9 trillion yuan in 2019 to 3.7 trillion yuan in 2024 [13][14] - The company primarily generates revenue through franchising, with franchise income accounting for 98.8% of total revenue in 2024, amounting to 38.89 billion yuan [28][37] - The company has a strong supply chain management system, combining self-operated and outsourced logistics, with 25 self-operated warehouses and 11 third-party warehouses, ensuring efficient distribution [50][51] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Ming Ming Hen Mang is positioned as a top player in the snack retail industry, having established a significant presence since its founding in 2016 and the acquisition of Zhao Yi Ming in 2023 [6][2] Market Growth - The food and beverage retail market in China is expected to grow steadily, with the snack retail segment projected to expand significantly, particularly in lower-tier cities [13][14][15] Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a revenue of 39.34 billion yuan and a gross profit of 2.999 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 282.15% and 288.31% respectively [28][31] - Adjusted net profit reached 910 million yuan in 2024, showing a substantial increase of 288.67% compared to the previous year [31] Franchise Model and Expansion - The company has rapidly expanded its franchise network, adding 8,083 new franchise stores in 2024, with a total of 14,379 stores by year-end [37][42] - Approximately 58% of the stores are located in county and town areas, indicating a strong focus on penetrating lower-tier markets [42] Supply Chain and Digitalization - The company employs a robust supply chain strategy, with a focus on digitalization to enhance efficiency in product selection, logistics, and store management [50][51] - The logistics costs as a percentage of total revenue have been effectively controlled, indicating superior management compared to industry peers [50] Product Offering and Pricing Strategy - The company emphasizes high-quality and cost-effective products, with an average price approximately 25% lower than similar products in offline supermarkets [47] - The product range includes over 1,800 SKUs per store, with a significant portion being custom products developed in collaboration with manufacturers [47]