Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance is expected to continue recovering driven by growth in the defense business, with potential in new fields such as quantum technology and instrumentation [5][6] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 100 million, 145 million, and 172 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 63.1, 43.7, and 36.9 times at the current stock price [6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 652 million yuan (up 17% year-on-year) and a net profit of 55.93 million yuan (up 55% year-on-year) [9] - In Q3 2025, revenue reached 243 million yuan (up 35% year-on-year and up 11% quarter-on-quarter), with a net profit of 18.75 million yuan (up 698% year-on-year but down 24% quarter-on-quarter) [9] - The company’s revenue and profitability showed significant recovery in Q3 2025, benefiting from improved demand in the defense sector [9] Business Outlook - The company is focusing on strategic emerging industries, with a strong foundation provided by the recovery of defense orders [9] - The company is actively expanding into quantum communication, medical, low-altitude economy, and intelligent connected vehicles, which are expected to drive future business growth [9] - The company maintains a high R&D expense ratio of 9%, with significant investment in defense-related new product development [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's performance is stable and improving, with overseas projects expected to drive structural optimization [4] - The company has a high dividend payout plan, distributing no less than 80% of the annual net profit attributable to shareholders or a minimum of 0.45 yuan per share, whichever is higher, enhancing investment attractiveness [5] - The company has seen a growth in orders, with a cumulative bid amount of approximately 22.213 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.13% [5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 20.954 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16.05% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 672 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 37.35% [4] - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 is 15.70%, an increase of 0.45 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The company’s net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 is 3.51%, an increase of 0.07 percentage points year-on-year [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 683 million yuan, 737 million yuan, and 798 million yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 7.06%, 7.97%, and 8.25% [4] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the company is projected to be 12.80, 11.85, and 10.95 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's main business is experiencing steady growth, and the value of its innovative pipeline continues to be realized [5] - The company reported a revenue of 231.88 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.85%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 57.51 billion yuan, up 24.50% year-on-year [7] - The company has achieved significant milestones in its internationalization efforts, including three overseas business development (BD) agreements that could provide regular profits [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 22,820 million yuan (2023), 27,985 million yuan (2024), 34,074 million yuan (2025E), 40,899 million yuan (2026E), and 49,373 million yuan (2027E) with corresponding growth rates of 7.26%, 22.63%, 21.76%, 20.03%, and 20.72% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 4,302 million yuan (2023), 6,337 million yuan (2024), 9,431 million yuan (2025E), 11,331 million yuan (2026E), and 13,693 million yuan (2027E), with growth rates of 10.14%, 47.28%, 48.84%, 20.14%, and 20.85% respectively [6] - The company has maintained a low debt ratio of 12.14% and a net asset value per share of 8.97 yuan [3] Product Development and Innovation - The company has launched new products such as EZH2 inhibitor and has received approvals for multiple new indications, indicating the ongoing realization of its innovative pipeline [7] - The company has received 48 clinical approvals and has several products included in the breakthrough therapy list, showcasing its strong R&D capabilities [7] International Expansion - The company has accelerated its internationalization process, with significant overseas BD transactions that could lead to substantial future revenues [7] - The agreements include collaborations with GSK and other companies, with potential milestone payments reaching up to 120 billion yuan [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has shown a quarter-on-quarter improvement in profits for Q3 2025, with the release of flexible and steel-lined pipe capacities expected by the end of the year, which may help capture market opportunities in the Middle East and other regions [5][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 559 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 76.47 million yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.2% [7] - The company is positioned to benefit from the acceleration of oil and gas development in emerging markets such as the Middle East and South America, leveraging its advanced technology and global presence to capture high-end market shares [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2023, the company is projected to have a revenue of 667 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.93%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 127 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 37.21% [6] - The revenue forecast for 2025 is 736 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22.79%, and a net profit of 141 million yuan, indicating a growth rate of 34.25% [6][8] Market Opportunities - The company is focusing on high-performance products in response to the domestic manufacturing upgrade, which is driving demand for high-end, green rubber hoses [7] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is expected to accelerate oil and gas development and infrastructure construction in emerging markets, further expanding the demand for fluid transmission hoses [7] Growth Drivers - The company is transitioning from a single hose supplier to a "fluid transmission system solution provider," with new growth points in flexible and steel-lined pipes expected to be operational by the end of 2025 [7] - The introduction of innovative products such as drone wall-breaking systems and self-luminous fire hoses is part of the company's strategy to enhance its competitive edge [7]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report is bullish on the bond market, suggesting that the current bond market has prominent allocation value and recommends investing in 10Y China Development Bank bonds, 30Y Treasury bonds, and 5Y capital bonds. [2] 2. Core View of the Report Based on the Q3 2025 quarterly reports of bond funds, the report analyzes the changes in interest rate bond funds, including scale, asset allocation, and investment strategies. It points out that due to factors such as the significant rise in the stock market and regulatory rule impacts in Q3, the bond market deviated from the capital and economic fundamentals, leading to a decline in the quarterly returns of interest rate bond funds. Currently, the bond market has high allocation value, and the bond yields are expected to decline in a volatile manner. [2] 3. Summary by Related Content Changes in Interest Rate Bond Funds in Q3 2025 - **Scale and Asset Allocation**: As of Q3 2025, the total asset value of interest rate bond funds was 3.1 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.44 trillion yuan from Q2 2025. The bond allocation ratio decreased, while the cash ratio increased slightly. [2] - **Heavy - Positioned Bonds**: Actively managed interest rate bond funds slightly increased their allocation to Treasury bonds and reduced their allocation to policy - financial bonds. Overall, they reduced their allocation to long - duration bonds, but actively managed funds significantly increased their allocation to Treasury bonds with a maturity of 1 year or less and continued to increase their allocation to 30 - year Treasury bonds. [2] - **Yield**: The average annualized yield of interest rate bond funds decreased from 3.96% in Q2 2025 to - 1.84% in Q3 2025. Credit bond funds had relatively stronger defensive capabilities. [2] Investment Strategy Changes in Q3 2025 In Q3, the bond market deviated from the capital and economic fundamentals. Due to the significant extension of the duration in Q2, the bond market adjustment in Q3 led to a sharp decline in the quarterly returns of interest rate bond funds. As a result, the duration was shortened, and the scale returned to the level of Q3 2024. [2] Investment Recommendations - **Market Outlook**: The bond market has prominent allocation value, and the bond yields are expected to decline in a volatile manner. The policy interest rate in Q4 may be cut by 10 - 20BP. [2] - **Investment Choices**: The top choices for bond market investment are 10Y China Development Bank bonds, 30Y Treasury bonds, and 5Y capital bonds. It is predicted that the yield of 10Y Treasury bonds will return to around 1.65%, the yield of 30Y Treasury bonds will reach 1.9%, and the yield of 5Y large - bank secondary capital bonds will reach 1.9%. [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance exceeded market expectations, with a notable focus on the dividend yield in the Hong Kong stock market [4] - The company reported a revenue of 173 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a decrease of 6.2% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 42.52% to 14.841 billion yuan [6] - The significant profit growth in Q3 was attributed to a decrease in coal prices, which enhanced profit elasticity, despite a decline in electricity sales and average on-grid electricity prices [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2023: 254,397 million yuan (3.11% YoY growth) - 2024: 245,551 million yuan (-3.48% YoY decline) - 2025E: 238,673 million yuan (-2.80% YoY decline) [5] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2023: 8,446 million yuan (214.33% YoY growth) - 2024: 10,135 million yuan (20.01% YoY growth) - 2025E: 15,444 million yuan (52.38% YoY growth) [5] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2023: 0.54 yuan - 2024: 0.65 yuan - 2025E: 0.98 yuan [5] - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2023: 6.39% - 2024: 7.38% - 2025E: 10.64% [5] Operational Highlights - The company added 10,295 MW of new installed capacity in the first three quarters, with coal, wind, and solar power contributing 3,463 MW, 2,205 MW, and 4,627 MW respectively [6] - The coal power profit margin reached approximately 0.06 yuan/kWh, with a continuous optimization of the balance sheet reflected in a debt-to-asset ratio of 63.78% [6] - The company’s financial expenses decreased by about 1 billion yuan year-on-year to 4.975 billion yuan in the first three quarters [6]

New Consumption - The company Ruyuchen (003010.SZ) reported a 73% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 2025, driven by strong performance in its proprietary brands [2][10] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.14 billion yuan, an 85% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 105 million yuan, up 82% [2][10] - The proprietary brand business accounted for 55.1% of total revenue, with brands like Zhanjia and Feicui maintaining high growth rates [11][12] Metal New Materials - Xiamen Tungsten (600549.SH) exceeded expectations in Q3 2025, with revenue of 12.82 billion yuan, a 39.3% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 810 million yuan, up 109.9% [15][16] - The tungsten and molybdenum segment saw significant profit growth due to rising tungsten prices, with Q3 profits reaching 1.06 billion yuan, a 98.3% increase year-on-year [16][18] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rising demand for cobalt lithium in the energy new materials sector, with a 45% year-on-year increase in sales volume [17][18] Transportation - Milkewei (603713.SH) reported a 2.1% increase in revenue to 3.64 billion yuan in Q3 2025, although net profit decreased by 3.5% to 173 million yuan [20][21] - The company's integrated logistics strategy is showing results, with total assets growing by 41.42% year-on-year, indicating rapid expansion in distribution business [21][23] - The gross margin improved to 11.2%, driven by optimization in distribution product categories [21][22] Machinery/Building Materials - Weixing New Materials (002372.SZ) experienced a revenue decline of 10.76% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with net profit down 13.52% [25][26] - The company reported a slight improvement in performance due to investment gains, with a gross margin of 43.04% in Q3 [26][27] - The company is facing challenges in operational performance despite a healthy cash flow situation [27][28] Overseas/Education Research - Tiangong International (00826.HK) is transitioning from a cutting tool manufacturer to a leader in high-end materials, focusing on powder metallurgy and titanium alloy sectors [34][35] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand in high-value sectors such as aerospace and consumer electronics [36][38] - The powder metallurgy technology is seen as a key platform for entering strategic new materials and high-end manufacturing markets, potentially enhancing both performance and valuation [37][38] North Exchange - Jianbang Technology (920242.BJ) reported a 9% year-on-year revenue increase to 586 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, despite facing credit loss provisions [39][40] - The company is expanding its product offerings in the automotive electronics sector and has initiated production at its Thailand factory [41][42] - Future growth is anticipated from the development of optoelectronic hybrid interconnection products and a focus on non-automotive components [42]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The new factory ramp-up meets expectations, contributing to improved quarterly gross profit, with a year-to-date revenue growth of 6.67% [5][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 18.68 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with a gross margin of 21.96%, showing a slight increase from the first half of the year [7] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the sports footwear OEM sector in China, benefiting from short-term demand recovery and long-term capacity expansion [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 20,114 million yuan in 2023, 24,006 million yuan in 2024, 26,929 million yuan in 2025, 30,414 million yuan in 2026, and 34,739 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -2.21%, 19.35%, 12.18%, 12.94%, and 14.22% respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 3,200 million yuan in 2023, 3,840 million yuan in 2024, 3,515 million yuan in 2025, 4,187 million yuan in 2026, and 4,977 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -0.86%, 20.00%, -8.46%, 19.12%, and 18.85% respectively [6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.74 yuan in 2023, 3.29 yuan in 2024, 3.01 yuan in 2025, 3.59 yuan in 2026, and 4.26 yuan in 2027 [6] Market Performance - The company’s sales volume of sports shoes reached 168 million pairs, with a year-on-year increase of 3.04%, maintaining steady growth despite a high base in 2024 [7] - The average selling price (ASP) of products increased by 0.99% compared to the first half of the year, contributing to revenue stability [7] - The company is expected to benefit from structural changes in customer demand and new brand collaborations, which will drive ASP upward [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report indicates that the company's performance shows signs of marginal improvement, with a positive revenue growth in the third quarter of 2025, despite a year-on-year decline in the first three quarters [7] - The company is recognized as a leader in the waterproof materials industry in China, and it is believed to be entering a sustainable high-quality development phase after strategic adjustments [7] Financial Summary - Total market capitalization is 30,575.36 million yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 24,511.76 million yuan [3] - The company reported a total revenue of 32,823 million yuan for 2023, with a projected decline to 28,056 million yuan in 2024, followed by a slight recovery in subsequent years [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 2,273 million yuan in 2023, dropping significantly to 108 million yuan in 2024, but rebounding to 1,131 million yuan in 2025 [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.95 yuan in 2023, decreasing to 0.05 yuan in 2024, and then recovering to 0.47 yuan in 2025 [6] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 8.01% in 2023, dropping to 0.43% in 2024, and gradually increasing to 7.56% by 2027 [6] Performance Analysis - In the third quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7,032 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.51%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2,450 million yuan, down 26.58% year-on-year [7] - The gross profit margin for the third quarter was reported at 24.80%, showing a decline compared to the previous year [7] - The company has improved its cash flow management, with net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 184.56% year-on-year [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the global tool steel sector, with a solid foundation for sustainable profitability. It has made breakthroughs in powder metallurgy and titanium alloy technologies, positioning itself in high-growth sectors such as integrated die-casting for electric vehicles, consumer electronics, and aerospace, establishing a clear second growth curve [6][9]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 49.41 billion, 56.99 billion, and 65.45 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.2%, 15.3%, and 14.8%. Corresponding net profits are projected at 4.31 billion, 6.20 billion, and 8.50 billion RMB, with growth rates of 20.0%, 43.9%, and 37.2% [6][9]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of October 28, 2025, the closing price is 3.05 HKD, with a market capitalization of 8,311.25 million HKD. The stock has seen a one-year high of 3.28 HKD and a low of 1.65 HKD [3]. Business Overview - The company has been in the special steel industry for over 40 years, evolving from a cutting tool manufacturer to a leader in high-end materials, covering high-speed steel, tool steel, cutting tools, and titanium alloys [8][18]. - The company has a concentrated and stable shareholding structure, with the Zhu family as the actual controllers, ensuring strategic execution continuity [8][17]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 5,163.31 million RMB in 2023, with a projected decline in 2024 followed by a recovery in subsequent years. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have remained stable, supported by high R&D investment [7][31]. - The first half of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 7.1% year-on-year, attributed to reduced exports and lower demand from consumer electronics. However, net profit increased by 10.4% due to favorable currency exchange rates and improved gross margins in tool steel [22][23]. Growth Drivers - The company’s core business in tool steel is expected to enter an upward cycle, driven by domestic demand recovery and import substitution in high-end materials [8][22]. - The titanium alloy business is positioned to benefit from expanding demand in consumer electronics and aerospace, with significant growth potential as the market evolves [8][37]. Technological Advancements - The company has successfully established a powder metallurgy production line, filling a domestic gap in the large-scale production of tool steel, and is expected to lead in domestic substitution efforts [15][18]. - Ongoing R&D efforts have resulted in numerous innovations, including high-nitrogen alloy materials and advanced titanium products, enhancing the company's competitive edge in high-end manufacturing [31][34].