Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [1][12]. Core Views - The company's revenue and profit decline in 2024 are primarily due to the development business, while the operational and service segments show steady growth, contributing 70% to gross profit [2][12]. - The company is expected to face a peak in public debt repayment in 2025, but operational loans are anticipated to provide support for repayment [12]. - By the end of 2025, the company's financial pressure is expected to significantly ease, leading to a potential increase in free cash flow and improved investment cycles [12]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, total revenue was 127.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 29%, with a pre-tax profit of 18.7 billion yuan, down 24% year-on-year [2][3]. - The core net profit for 2024 was 6.97 billion yuan, reflecting a 38% decrease year-on-year [2]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.96, 1.05, and 1.14 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.5, 8.7, and 8.0 [12][3]. Business Segment Analysis - The development business faced a 35% revenue decline in 2024, while operational and service businesses grew, with operational revenue increasing by 5% and service revenue by 10% [2][10]. - The company plans to open 11 shopping centers in 2025, maintaining the same number as in the previous year, indicating stability in the operational segment [11][12]. - The debt scale has been systematically reduced, with a total interest-bearing debt of 176.3 billion yuan at the end of 2024, down 8% from the previous year [12][10]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price is 9.83 HKD, with a market capitalization of 67.6 billion HKD [4]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is reported at 6.4%, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 63.1% [4][14]. - The projected PE ratios for the upcoming years suggest a potential undervaluation, with the company trading at lower multiples compared to historical averages [12][14].

证券研究报告 | 策略研究 2025 年 4 月 1 日 4 月 ETF 有望重回净申购，大盘价值胜率更高 ——A 股流动性与风格跟踪月报（202504） 进入 4 月，4 月 2 日对等关税政策落地后到 4 月上旬，市场风险偏好可能有短 暂的改善窗口，市场或小幅反弹；但 4 月中旬到下旬一季报集中披露期，市场 风险偏好整体下降，融资资金或加速流出；再加上美国 3 月通胀数据可能再度 造成扰动，市场防御为主，大盘价值风格占优。到 4 月政治局会议召开前后， 随着市场开始博弈政策预期，风险偏好回升，小盘成长、科技风格可能在月末逐 渐回归。月度维度，对应指数推荐上证 50、300 红利和 300 材料。 定期报告 相关报告 《风格阶段性回归均衡，先成长后价 值——A 股流动性与风格跟踪月报 （202503）》 《融资资金回流在望，小盘成长风格 占优——A 股流动性与风格跟踪月 报（202502）》 《政策力度空前改善市场风偏，大盘 成长风格有望回归——A 股流动性 与风格跟踪月报（202410）》 《美联储降息预期升温，聚焦高质量 龙头风格——A 股流动性与风格跟 踪月报（202409）》 《股权风险溢价回升，大 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for China Resources Land (01109.HK) with a target price of HKD 34.86 per share, indicating a potential upside from the current price of HKD 25.9 [1][3]. Core Views - The report highlights that the increase in the proportion of recurring business profits supports the stability of the company's performance and shareholder returns. The operational real estate business, primarily focused on shopping centers, has sustainable growth potential both internally and externally. The gross profit margin of the development and sales business may gradually stabilize, and the ongoing transformation towards asset management is viewed positively. The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of CNY 3.30, CNY 3.50, and CNY 3.89 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -8%, +6%, and +11% [1][12]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported total revenue of CNY 278.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 18% to CNY 25.58 billion, primarily due to a decline in gross profit margins from development sales [2][12]. - The company’s core net profit for 2024 is projected to be CNY 25.4 billion, reflecting a 9% decline year-on-year. The revenue breakdown shows that the development sales business, operational real estate business, light asset management business, and ecosystem factor business generated revenues of CNY 237.15 billion, CNY 23.3 billion, CNY 12.13 billion, and CNY 6.22 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 5%, 14%, and 1% [2][10]. - The overall gross profit margin decreased by 3.6 percentage points to 21.6%, with the development sales business gross margin dropping by 3.9 percentage points to 16.8%. In contrast, the operational real estate business gross margin increased by 0.4 percentage points to 70% [2][10]. Business Segment Insights - The shopping center segment opened 16 new centers in 2024, with retail sales and rental income continuing to grow. The company plans to maintain a stable opening pace over the next four years, which is expected to support rental income growth [8][10]. - The office rental income decreased by 9% to CNY 1.9 billion, with an occupancy rate dropping by 7 percentage points to 75% [9]. - Hotel revenue also saw a decline of 11% to CNY 2.1 billion, with a slight increase in occupancy rate to 64% [9]. Asset Management and Financial Health - The company’s asset management scale reached CNY 462.1 billion, an 8% increase year-on-year, with shopping centers contributing CNY 297.9 billion to this total [11][12]. - The debt structure has been optimized, with a weighted average financing cost of 3.11%, a decrease of 45 basis points year-on-year. The net interest-bearing debt ratio stands at 31.9% [12][12]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The core net profit distribution rate is maintained at 37%, with a proposed final dividend of CNY 1.119 per share, resulting in an estimated dividend yield of approximately 5.5% based on the report's release date closing price [12][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Hisense Home Appliances [3]. Core Views - The company's 2024 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue projected to grow by 8% to reach 92.7 billion yuan and net profit expected to increase by 18% to 3.35 billion yuan, surpassing market forecasts [1][2]. - The company has achieved a dividend payout of 1.7 billion yuan, representing a 51% payout ratio and a dividend yield of 4.3% [1]. - The report emphasizes the strong growth potential for the company, particularly driven by government-supported consumption initiatives and the expected improvement in performance through 2025 [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 85.6 billion yuan, with projections of 92.7 billion yuan for 2024, 101.5 billion yuan for 2025, and continuing growth through 2027 [2][13]. - The company's net profit for 2023 is 2.84 billion yuan, with forecasts of 3.35 billion yuan for 2024, 3.75 billion yuan for 2025, and 4.97 billion yuan for 2027 [2][13]. - The report indicates a PE ratio of 14.8 for 2023, decreasing to 12.5 for 2024, and further down to 8.4 by 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation [14]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to remain strong, with values of 21.7% for 2023 and 23.3% for 2027 [3][14]. Segment Performance - In 2024, the HVAC segment is expected to decline by 6%, while home air conditioning is projected to grow by 19%, with a notable improvement in net profit margin [7]. - The report highlights a 36% increase in overseas appliance revenue, with significant growth in regions such as Europe (35%) and the Americas (46.5%) [7]. - The overall gross margin is expected to slightly decrease by 0.56 percentage points, attributed to faster growth in overseas sales compared to domestic demand [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a strong outlook for the company, with expected net profits of 3.8 billion yuan in 2025, 4.3 billion yuan in 2026, and 5 billion yuan in 2027, indicating a growth rate of 12% to 15% [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved total revenue of 10.506 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of 461 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 442 million in 2024, representing year-on-year increases of 28.89%, 27.45%, and 42.92% respectively [1] - The company's motorcycle engine business saw sales of 2.9852 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.44%, with revenue of 3.824 billion, up 13.68% [2] - The acquisition of Longxin General Power Co., Ltd. was completed, making the company the controlling shareholder, which is expected to enhance its market position [3] - The company is positioned as a leader in general power machinery and motorcycle engines in China, with significant growth potential in the aviation engine sector due to the development of the low-altitude economy [11] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, total revenue reached 3.102 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36.39%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 70 million, marking a return to profitability [1] - The general power machinery and terminal products sales totaled 4.8345 million units, up 37.34%, with total revenue of 5.226 billion, a 35.33% increase [11] - The aviation power business revenue grew by 71.67% to 160 million, driven by increasing order demand and market share [11][9] Strategic Developments - The company has made significant advancements in its new energy business, including innovations in electric drive systems and the establishment of a hydrogen supply station [11] - Strategic partnerships have been formed to enhance production capabilities and digital transformation in manufacturing [11] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 641 million, 762 million, and 871 million in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 39.3, 33.1, and 28.9 [10][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company experienced significant revenue decline in 2024, with total revenue of 685 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 74.28%, primarily due to market demand fluctuations and delays in key customer procurement plans [1][7] - The company is expected to recover significantly in 2025, with projected revenue of 3.375 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 393% [8] - The company is focusing on technological innovation and increasing R&D investment to maintain its industry position despite the challenges faced in 2024 [7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -539.16 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 117.82% [1][8] - The gross margin improved by 13.10 percentage points to 32.05% in 2024, benefiting from product delivery structure adjustments and cost reduction efforts [7] - The company’s inventory reached a historical high of 2.62 billion yuan by the end of 2024, an increase of 164.91% from the beginning of the year [7] Future Projections - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 290 million yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 91 [7][8] - The company anticipates a significant increase in military trade deliveries in 2025, with expected sales to related parties reaching 1.4 billion yuan, accounting for 45% of similar business [7] - The company is actively preparing for production and inventory buildup to meet future demand [7] Market Position and Product Development - The company showcased new models at the 15th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition, enhancing its drone collaborative system [7] - The "Wing Loong" and "Cloud Shadow" series drones have been integrated into a comprehensive operational system, demonstrating improved combat effectiveness [2][7]

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 01 日 中航西飞（000768.SZ） 24 年业绩实现稳定增长，军民交付任务按期完成 中游制造/军工 2024 年，公司实现营业收入 432.16 亿元（同比+7.23%），实现归母净利润 10.23 亿元（同比+18.87%）；实现扣非净利润 9.21 亿元（同比+13.78%）。 强烈推荐（维持） 目标估值：NA 当前股价：23.65 元 1、《中航西飞（000768）—积极布局 低空经济，HH 系列签署 50 套意向订 单》2024-11-25 2、《中航西飞（000768）—24Q3 利 润端同比高增，毛利率同环比提升显 著》2024-10-31 3、《中航西飞（000768）—上半年营 收稳步增长，净利率同比有所提升》 2024-08-27 王超 S1090514080007 wangchao18@cmschina.com.cn 战泳壮 研究助理 zhanyongzhuang@cmschina.com. cn ❑ 24 年业绩实现稳定增长，军民交付任务按期完成。2024 年，公司实现营业收 入 432.16 亿元（同比+7.23%），实现归 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for China Gold International [3] Core Views - The company achieved a turnaround in its financial performance for 2024, with a revenue of $760 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 64.7%, and a net profit of $60 million, marking a return to profitability [1][2] - The report highlights the significant recovery in Q4 2024, with revenues reaching $290 million, a year-on-year increase of 312%, and a net profit of $70 million, reflecting a 148.1% quarter-on-quarter growth [1] - The company is actively advancing the construction of the third phase tailings storage facility at the Jiama mine, which is expected to enhance production capacity by approximately 30% by mid-2027 [6] Financial Data and Valuation - The total revenue for 2024 is projected at 5,439 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 67% [2] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated to reach 2,314 million yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 8.8 [2][10] - The company’s total assets are expected to grow from 20,077 million yuan in 2023 to 26,351 million yuan by 2027 [7] Production and Cost Insights - The gold production from the Jiama mine is expected to be 1.7 tons in 2024, an increase of 1.1 tons year-on-year, while copper production is projected at 48,000 tons, up by 2.8 tons [6] - The report notes that the total production cost for copper is anticipated to decrease as production increases, with Q4 2024 costs dropping to $7,302 per ton [6] Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is China National Gold Group Corporation, holding a 40.01% stake in the company [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3][4]. Core Views - The company achieved a record high in quarterly performance for Q4 2024, with a significant increase in gross margin [2]. - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 42.837 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.37%, primarily due to external factors such as contract signing and supply chain progress [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.394 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.86%, while the non-recurring net profit was 3.373 billion yuan, up 15.88% year-on-year [2]. - For Q4 alone, revenue was 17.540 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 50.99% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders soaring by 145.19% to 1.576 billion yuan [2]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 12.47%, an increase of 1.52 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 3.741 billion yuan, 4.273 billion yuan, and 4.923 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 31, 27, and 24 [3]. - The total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 47.720 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11% [8]. - The company’s operating profit is expected to reach 4.321 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 10% increase year-on-year [8]. - The report indicates a decrease in R&D expenses to 7.27 billion yuan, down 25.47% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced capitalized R&D investments [2]. Shareholder and Market Data - The company has a total share capital of 2.756 billion shares, with a market capitalization of 116.5 billion yuan [4]. - The major shareholder is China Aviation Industry Corporation, holding 65.84% of the shares [4]. - The current stock price is 42.28 yuan [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.45 billion and a net profit of 98.2 million for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 10.7% and 15.0% respectively, primarily due to weak consumer demand and pressure on store sales [1][6] - For 2025, the company will focus on improving operational quality and enhancing store efficiency, with an emphasis on profitability [1][6] - The company is actively expanding into new channels, including membership supermarkets and overseas markets, to overcome traditional store growth limitations [1][6] Financial Data and Valuation - The total market capitalization is 4.1 billion HKD, with a current share price of 1.96 HKD [3] - The company has a total share capital of 2,218 million shares and a net asset value per share of 1.6 HKD [3] - The return on equity (ROE) is 2.7% and the debt-to-asset ratio is 21.0% [3][9] Revenue and Profit Trends - The company experienced a revenue decline of 10.7% in 2024, with a significant drop in store count from 3,816 at the end of 2023 to 3,031 by the end of 2024 [1][6] - The average revenue per store slightly decreased, with a net reduction of 360 and 425 stores in the first and second halves of 2024 respectively [1][6] - The gross profit margin improved to 56.8% in 2024, up by 4.4 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to a decrease in raw material prices [1][6] Future Projections - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 to 0.04 HKD each, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 41x for 2025 [1][6] - The company aims to maintain core stores while focusing on new channel developments in 2025 [1][6]