Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 2.8, maintaining the "Increase" rating for the next six months [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company reported a revenue of RMB 27 billion for FY25, a year-on-year decrease of 7%, and a net profit of RMB 1.3 billion, down 42% year-on-year. The gross margin was 38%, a decline of 3.4 percentage points, and the net margin was 4.8%, down 2.8 percentage points [1]. - The decline in revenue performance was attributed to weak consumer demand and pressure on offline foot traffic, leading to increased promotional efforts and a decrease in profit margins [1]. - The company has a strong cash flow position, with cash and cash equivalents amounting to RMB 2.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32%. Despite a 43.5% decline in pre-tax profit, the net cash generated from operating activities grew by 20% to RMB 3.8 billion [2]. - The total number of stores operated by the company decreased by 18.3% to 5,020, with a focus on improving retail service capabilities and store efficiency [3]. - The company is expanding its brand matrix by introducing the high-end running brand SOAR Running to the Chinese market and enhancing its collaboration with the Canadian outdoor brand norda [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY25 revenue was RMB 27 billion, down 7% year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 1.3 billion, down 42% year-on-year. The gross margin was 38%, down 3.4 percentage points, and the net margin was 4.8%, down 2.8 percentage points [1]. Cash Flow and Dividends - Cash and cash equivalents at the fiscal year-end were RMB 2.6 billion, up 32% year-on-year. Operating cash flow increased by 20% to RMB 3.8 billion despite a 43.5% decline in pre-tax profit. The annual dividend payout ratio was 135% [2]. Store Operations - The company operated 5,020 stores at the fiscal year-end, a decrease of 18.3% year-on-year. The focus is on enhancing retail service capabilities and improving store efficiency through stricter store opening and renovation criteria [3]. Brand Strategy - The company is introducing SOAR Running to the Chinese market and deepening its partnership with norda, aiming to capture opportunities in the outdoor segment through a comprehensive brand strategy [4]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast has been adjusted, with expected revenues for FY26-28 at RMB 26.5 billion, RMB 27.3 billion, and RMB 28.6 billion, respectively. The expected net profits are RMB 1.3 billion, RMB 1.5 billion, and RMB 1.7 billion for the same periods [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5] Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in profitability, with Q1 FY2025 revenue reaching 1.923 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 12.9%, slightly exceeding previous guidance. Adjusted net profit for the same period was 764 million yuan, up 43.9% year-over-year [1] - The number of paying enterprise clients reached a record high of 6.4 million, reflecting a 12.3% year-over-year increase, indicating a recovery in recruitment demand [1][3] - The company is focusing on deepening penetration in the blue-collar sector and lower-tier cities, with over 45% of new users being from the blue-collar segment, contributing to a rise in revenue from this area [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 FY2025, the gross margin was 83.84%, with a net profit margin of 26.63%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 12.44 percentage points [2] - The company expects revenue for Q2 FY2025 to be between 2.05 billion and 2.08 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year growth of 6.9% to 8.5% [1] User Growth and Market Trends - Monthly active users (MAU) averaged 57.6 million in Q1 FY2025, a year-over-year increase of 23.6% [1] - The recruitment market is showing signs of recovery post-Spring Festival, with an average new job postings growth of 17%-19% from January to April [3] Future Projections - The adjusted net profit is projected to reach 3.31 billion yuan in FY2025, with year-over-year growth rates of 21.9%, 8.6%, and 10.9% for FY2026 and FY2027 respectively [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, suggesting a potential upside of over 15% within the next 6-12 months [5][14]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the recent passing of the Stablecoin Regulation Bill in Hong Kong, allowing institutions to apply for compliance as stablecoin issuers by the end of the year [2]. - ZA Bank, a subsidiary of the company, aims to provide banking services for stablecoin issuers and has already partnered with over 80 Web3 companies [2][3]. - The company has launched cryptocurrency trading services for retail users in Hong Kong, simplifying the investment process through its app [3]. - The company is expected to see significant profit growth in 2025, with a projected net profit of 905 million yuan, reflecting a 50% increase from the previous year [5][11]. Financial Projections - Insurance service revenue is projected to grow from 27,535 million yuan in 2023 to 45,823 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13.5% [11]. - The company's net profit is expected to increase from 294 million yuan in 2023 to 1,360 million yuan by 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [11]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decrease from 0.84 in 2023 to 0.62 by 2027, suggesting potential undervaluation [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, suggesting a potential upside of over 15% within the next 6-12 months [5][14]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the recent passing of the Stablecoin Regulation Bill in Hong Kong, allowing institutions to apply for compliance as stablecoin issuers by the end of the year [2]. - ZA Bank, a subsidiary of the company, aims to provide banking services for Web 3.0 and has already partnered with over 80 Web3 companies, enhancing its market presence [2][3]. - The company has launched cryptocurrency trading services for retail users in Hong Kong, simplifying the investment process through its app [3]. - The company is expected to see significant profit growth in 2025, with a projected net profit of 905 million yuan, reflecting a 50% increase from the previous year [5][11]. Summary by Sections Business Development - ZA Bank is the first digital bank in Hong Kong to offer reserve banking services for stablecoin issuers, collaborating with Circle Innovation Technology as one of the first sandbox participants [2][4]. - The bank has established strong ties with digital asset exchanges and stablecoin issuers, indicating potential for further collaborations [4]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates a substantial increase in net profit for 2025, with a low base in the first half of 2024, where net profit is expected to be only 5.5 million yuan [5]. - The projected insurance service revenue for 2025 is 35.26 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 11.1% [11]. Valuation Metrics - As of now, the company's price-to-book (PB) ratio is 0.74, which is at the 5% percentile of valuations since 2018, indicating a low valuation opportunity [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in profitability, with Q1 FY2025 revenue reaching 1.923 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 12.9%, slightly exceeding previous guidance. Adjusted net profit for the same period was 764 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 43.9% [1] - The number of paying enterprises has reached a new high, indicating a recovery in recruitment demand. The average monthly active users (MAU) for Q1 FY2025 was 57.6 million, up 23.6% year-over-year and 9.3% quarter-over-quarter. The number of paying enterprise clients reached 6.4 million, marking a year-over-year increase of 12.3% [1][3] - The company is focusing on deepening its penetration in the blue-collar sector and lower-tier cities, with over 45% of new users being from the blue-collar segment. This has led to an increase in revenue contribution from blue-collar enterprises to over 39% [3] Financial Performance - For Q1 FY2025, the gross margin was 83.84%, with sales, R&D, and management expense ratios at 25.54%, 22.02%, and 13.80%, respectively. The net profit margin improved to 26.63%, with an adjusted net profit margin of 39.72% [2] - The company expects revenue for Q2 FY2025 to be between 2.05 billion and 2.08 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year growth of 6.9% to 8.5% [1] - The projected adjusted net profits for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 are 3.305 billion, 3.589 billion, and 3.979 billion yuan, respectively, indicating year-over-year growth rates of 21.9%, 8.6%, and 10.9% [3] Valuation Metrics - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 2.41 yuan for FY2025, with a P/E ratio of 27.5 and a P/B ratio of 3.5 [4] - The company’s total revenue is expected to grow from 5.952 billion yuan in FY2023 to 11.126 billion yuan in FY2027, with a CAGR of approximately 16.1% [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group with a target price of HKD 53.00, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6]. Core Insights - Xiaomi has achieved significant milestones, including maintaining a top-three global market share in smartphones for 19 consecutive quarters, successfully launching its automotive and chip businesses, and completing its ecosystem strategy [1][3]. - The introduction of the new self-developed chips, the Xiaomi玄戒 O1 and T1, positions the company among the leading flagship chip manufacturers, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [2]. - The company is expected to see substantial revenue growth, with projected revenues of RMB 506.27 billion, RMB 605.21 billion, and RMB 700.89 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of RMB 35.71 billion, RMB 45.78 billion, and RMB 59.89 billion for the same years [5][3]. Summary by Sections Product Launch and Achievements - Xiaomi unveiled its new玄戒 O1 and T1 chips and the YU7 SUV series during its 15th-anniversary event, showcasing a range of innovative products [1]. - The玄戒 O1 chip features advanced specifications, including a 3nm process, 19 billion transistors, and a multi-core CPU architecture, achieving over 3 million points on AnTuTu benchmark [2]. Automotive Business - The cumulative delivery of the Xiaomi SU7 series has surpassed 258,000 units, and the YU7 series is set to launch in July, featuring impressive specifications such as a range of 835 km for the standard version [3]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts significant revenue and profit growth for Xiaomi, with a projected revenue increase of 35% in 2024 and a steady growth trajectory in subsequent years [5][3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise from RMB 0.91 in 2024 to RMB 2.31 by 2027, reflecting strong profitability growth [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance in the next 12 months [6]. Core Insights - Xiaomi has achieved significant milestones, including maintaining a top-three global market share in smartphones for 19 consecutive quarters, successfully launching its automotive and chip businesses, and completing its ecosystem strategy [1][3]. - The introduction of the Xiaomi玄戒 O1 and T1 chips positions the company among the leading flagship chip manufacturers, with the O1 chip utilizing advanced 3nm technology and achieving over 3 million points in AnTuTu benchmarks [2]. - The company has delivered over 258,000 units of the SU7 series and is set to launch the YU7 series, which features impressive specifications such as a range of 835 km for the standard version [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Xiaomi are as follows: 2025 estimated revenue of 506.27 billion RMB, 2026 at 605.21 billion RMB, and 2027 at 700.89 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 38.4%, 19.5%, and 15.8% respectively [5]. - The net profit estimates are projected to be 35.71 billion RMB for 2025, 45.78 billion RMB for 2026, and 59.89 billion RMB for 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 50.9%, 28.2%, and 30.8% [5]. - The report anticipates a decrease in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 36 in 2025 to 21 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [5]. Strategic Developments - Xiaomi's investment in research and development has exceeded 100 billion RMB over the past five years, with an additional 200 billion RMB planned for the next five years, highlighting the company's commitment to innovation [1]. - The successful integration of self-developed chips and the launch of the YU7 series are expected to enhance Xiaomi's high-end smartphone strategy and accelerate growth in its automotive business, which is viewed as a new growth curve for the company [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor (09863.HK) with a target price of HKD 73, corresponding to a valuation of HKD 977 billion, which is 1.5x the estimated price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for 2025 [4][6]. Core Insights - Leap Motor's Q1 2025 gross margin exceeded expectations, achieving 14.9%, a significant improvement from -1.4% year-on-year, driven by increased sales volume and cost control measures [1][4]. - The company reported a Q1 revenue of CNY 10.02 billion, a year-on-year increase of 187.1%, with vehicle sales rising 162% to 87,552 units [1][4]. - The outlook for Q2 2025 anticipates sales of 130,000 to 140,000 units, with a gross margin expected to decline slightly [1][4]. Sales Performance - In Q1 2025, Leap Motor's sales reached 87,552 units, with the C series accounting for 77.5% of total sales, reflecting a 5.7 percentage point increase [2]. - The launch of new models, including the B10 and upgraded C series vehicles, is expected to drive continued sales growth [2][3]. International Expansion - Leap Motor exported 13,632 units from January to April 2025, leading among new energy vehicle manufacturers in China [3]. - The company has established over 500 sales and service points internationally, with plans for localized production in Malaysia and Europe by 2026 [3]. Component Business Outlook - Leap Motor's collaboration with major automotive players, including a strategic partnership with FAW and Stellantis, is expected to enhance its component business and improve economies of scale [4]. - The company anticipates significant growth in sales volume, projecting 550,000 units in 2025, with revenues reaching CNY 60 billion [4][5]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts Leap Motor's revenue to grow from CNY 16.75 billion in 2023 to CNY 99.81 billion by 2027, with a projected net profit of CNY 6.62 billion in 2027 [5][12]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 0.5% in 2023 to 14% by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [12][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company focuses on self-research and cost advantages, achieving an excellent price-performance ratio, with products covering a price range of 50,000 to 200,000 CNY. The revenue for Q1 2025 is projected to reach 10 billion CNY, with a gross margin of 14.9% [2][4]. - The domestic new car cycle is expected to drive continuous sales growth, while overseas expansion through collaboration with Stellantis opens up global sales opportunities [2][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 10.02 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 187.4%, and a gross margin of 14.9%, which is a 16.2 percentage point increase year-on-year. The average revenue per vehicle reached 114,000 CNY, up by 10,000 CNY year-on-year [7]. - The company reported a net loss of 130 million CNY in Q1 2025, significantly reducing losses compared to the previous year, with a corresponding profit margin of -1.3% [7]. Sales and Market Strategy - The company sold 88,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 162.1%. The C series accounted for approximately 77.5% of total sales, reflecting a 5.7 percentage point increase year-on-year [7]. - The company plans to launch 2-3 new products globally each year over the next three years, with the B10 model already launched and two additional B series models planned for 2025 [7]. Channel Development - As of the end of March 2025, the company has established 756 sales outlets, including 289 core centers and 467 experience centers, covering 279 cities. The company aims to increase coverage to 90% of cities above the county level by the end of 2025 [7]. - The overseas channel count exceeded 500 in Q1 2025, with plans for local assembly in Malaysia and localized manufacturing in Europe by 2026 [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][13]. Core Insights - The report highlights three key updates that support a positive outlook for the company's long-term development: 1) The company will benefit from the upgrade of smart driving functions from L2 to L2+, leading to an acceleration in market share for J3/J5 [27][28]. 2) In the medium to long term, the company holds multiple pre-installed orders from various automakers for high-level smart driving, securing a position in the high-level smart driving market alongside Nvidia and Huawei [34][27]. 3) The company is expected to benefit from dual advantages of "domestic production" and "stricter smart driving regulations" amid various market disturbances [25][37]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 37.11 billion, 57.21 billion, and 83.45 billion CNY for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 55.71%, 54.15%, and 45.87% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be -11.09 billion, -6.58 billion, and 6.01 billion CNY, indicating a potential return to profitability by 2027 [3][47]. 2. Market Discrepancies - There are two main points of divergence in market perception regarding the company: 1) The competitive strength of the company's products compared to suppliers like Nvidia and Huawei, with the J6P chip aligning its capabilities with high-performance scenarios [2][39]. 2) The impact of automakers developing their own smart driving solutions on the company's market position, which the report argues will not pose a significant threat due to high development costs and regulatory challenges [3][45]. 3. Financial Projections and Valuation - The report employs a Price-to-Sales (PS) valuation method, assigning a target market value of 111.3 billion CNY (121.2 billion HKD) for 2025, corresponding to a target price of 9.18 HKD per share, based on a 30x PS multiple [11][50]. 4. Product and Market Strategy - The company is positioned as an open ecosystem player, allowing greater flexibility for automakers through its BPU IP licensing model, which enhances collaboration opportunities with Tier 1 customers [40][39]. 5. Competitive Landscape - The report emphasizes the company's strategic partnerships with major automakers, including BYD, Ideal, and Volkswagen, which are expected to drive significant growth in chip shipments and market share in the L2+ segment [30][34]. 6. Regulatory Environment - The tightening of regulations in the smart driving sector is seen as beneficial for established suppliers with proven production capabilities, positioning the company favorably in the evolving market landscape [37][38].