爱美客(300896):25Q1高基数下收入同比下降,建议关注国内复苏进度及海外并购进展
Haitong Securities International· 2025-05-05 07:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][5][16]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 17.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025 due to a high base effect, with revenue reported at RMB 660 million. However, there was a slight quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.5% compared to Q4 2024 [3][11]. - The gross margin remained stable at 93.9%, while operating expenses increased due to higher sales, administrative, and R&D expense ratios, leading to an overall operating expense ratio increase of 3.9 percentage points [12]. - Non-recurring gains offset the revenue decline, resulting in a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 440 million, down 15.9% year-on-year, but with a net profit margin improvement to 66.9% [13]. - The company is planning to acquire 85% of South Korean company REGEN for USD 190 million, which is expected to significantly contribute to revenue and profits in 2026 [14][16]. - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are RMB 3.30 billion and RMB 3.60 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.2% and 9.1% [15][16]. Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of RMB 3,026 million for 2024, with projections of RMB 3,304 million for 2025 and RMB 3,603 million for 2026, indicating a consistent growth trajectory [9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 2.02 billion in 2025 and RMB 2.18 billion in 2026, reflecting year-on-year growth of 3.1% and 7.7% [15][16]. - The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 94.6% for 2025, with a projected decline to 93.6% by 2026 [9].
软控股份(002073):2024年全年净利润创历史新高,2025Q1合同负债持续增长
Guohai Securities· 2025-05-05 07:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a record high net profit in 2024, with a strong growth momentum driven by sufficient orders for future growth [5][12] - The company is a global leader in rubber equipment, with ongoing projects and an optimized customer structure, indicating strong growth potential [12][13] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 7.178 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 506 million yuan, up 51.94% [5][15] - The company's gross profit margin was 23.44%, a decrease of 2.56 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased by 1.02 percentage points to 8.02% [5][15] - For Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.72%, and a net profit of 163 million yuan, up 31.80% year-on-year [8][10] Future Projections - The company forecasts operating revenues of 10.09 billion yuan, 11.09 billion yuan, and 11.69 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 768 million yuan, 869 million yuan, and 923 million yuan [12][15] - The projected growth rates for revenue and net profit are 41% and 52% for 2025, respectively [15] Market Position and Strategy - The company has established a marketing network across Europe, America, Asia, and Africa, with a strong local technical and service team, serving over 500 clients globally [10] - The company is investing 308 million yuan in a new project to enhance its competitive edge in the fine chemical industry, which is expected to significantly improve profitability in its new materials business [5][11]
伊力特(600197):2024年报及2025一季报点评:伊力王改革显效,小老窖有待修复
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-05 07:26
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·白酒Ⅱ 伊力特(600197) 2024 年报及 2025 一季报点评:伊力王改革 显效,小老窖有待修复 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 2,231 | 2,203 | 2,311 | 2,588 | 2,944 | | 同比(%) | 37.46 | (1.27) | 4.92 | 11.99 | 13.74 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 339.85 | 285.80 | 332.88 | 396.85 | 496.72 | | 同比(%) | 105.53 | (15.91) | 16.47 | 19.22 | 25.17 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.72 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.84 | 1.05 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 20.26 | 24.09 | 20.68 | 17.35 | 13.86 | [Table_T ...
伊利股份(600887):商誉减值致24年利润承压,25Q1表现超预期
Orient Securities· 2025-05-05 07:23
商誉减值致 24 年利润承压,25Q1 表现超 预期 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据 24 年年报、25 年一季报,对 25-26 年下调收入、上调毛利率。我们预测公司 25-27年每股收益分别为 1.73、1.97、2.17元(原预测 25-26年为 1.79、1.88元)。 结合可比公司,我们认为目前公司的合理估值水平为 2025 年的 21 倍市盈率,对应 目标价为 36.33 元,维持买入评级。 风险提示:经济恢复不及预期、原奶价格持续回落导致竞争加剧、减值损失缩窄幅度不 及预期、食品安全事件风险。 (此处简单列示风险,正文需单独对风险提示详细展开描述) 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 125,758 | 115,393 | 121,413 | 128,328 | 137,195 | | 同比增长 (%) | 2.5% | -8.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 11,873 | 1 ...
南网储能(600995):2025年一季报点评:调峰水电受益于来水偏丰,业绩略超市场预期
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-05 07:19
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电力 南网储能(600995) 2025 年一季报点评:调峰水电受益于来水偏 丰,业绩略超市场预期 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 5,630 | 6,174 | 6,673 | 7,731 | 8,691 | | 同比(%) | (31.85) | 9.67 | 8.08 | 15.86 | 12.42 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1,014 | 1,126 | 1,235 | 1,394 | 1,517 | | 同比(%) | (39.05) | 11.14 | 9.61 | 12.90 | 8.82 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.47 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 30.74 | 27.66 | 25.24 | 22.35 | 20.54 | [Table_Tag] [Table_ ...
华利集团(300979):新厂效率爬坡短期拖累盈利,中期看是新增长的机会
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-05 07:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 revenue met expectations, while profit fell short due to initial inefficiencies in new factory operations. The new factories are expected to provide growth opportunities in the medium term as they ramp up efficiency [7][6] - The company is experiencing significant growth in new brand orders, particularly from Adidas, which is expected to enhance revenue streams. The company is now one of the few manufacturers capable of producing for both Nike and Adidas [7] - The company's core competitiveness is strengthening through diversified production locations and technological advancements, including breakthroughs in midsole technology and automation [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 27,608 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 4,148 million yuan, reflecting an 8.0% increase [6] - The gross margin is forecasted to stabilize at 25.7% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 22.0% [6] - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 27,608 million, 31,762 million, and 36,301 million yuan respectively, while slightly lowering profit forecasts due to new factory efficiency issues [7]
招商银行(600036):2025 年一季报点评:一波三折
Guotou Securities· 2025-05-05 07:15
2025 年 05 月 05 日 招商银行(600036.SH) 一波三折—招商银行 2025 年一季报点评 事件:招商银行公布 2025 年一季报,营收同比增长-3.09%,拨 备前利润同比增长-4%,归母净利润同比增长-2.08%,各项业绩指 标增速较 2024 年报均略有下行,与 2024 年一季报情景较为类 似,我们点评如下: 招商银行 2025 年一季度业绩增长主要依靠规模扩张所驱动,而 净息差同比收窄、非息收入增长放缓则对利润增长形成拖累。 规模扩张速度与去年四季度大致相当。今年一季度,招商银行 生息资产(日均余额口径)同比增长 8.7%,较 2024Q4 增速基本 持平,仍处于去年初以来较快增长阶段,其中信贷增速基本平稳, 信贷扩张节奏仍偏低,而金融投资增速较 2024Q4 提升约 2 个百 分点,同业类资产增速略有放缓。从单季度新增生息资产规模(日 均余额口径)来看,今年 Q1 新增生息资产 1766 亿元,同比多增 84 亿元,其中新增信贷同比多增 62 亿元,而新增金融投资同比 多增 595 亿元。资产配置结构显示,当前有效信贷需求不足是资 产投放的核心矛盾。 进一步观察信贷结构,我们以招 ...
英派斯(002899):点评报告:24年利润高增,看好未来内需市场及健身器材智能化转型
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-05-05 07:08
英派斯(002899) 报告日期:2025 年 05 月 05 日 24 年利润高增,看好未来内需市场及健身器材智能化转型 ——英派斯点评报告 投资要点 公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报 公司 2024 年营收 12.1 亿元,同增 35.6%,归母净利润 1.09 亿元,同增 23.8%; 25Q1 营收 2.91 亿元,同增 21.9%,归母净利润 0.14 亿元,同增 2.19%。24 年全 年及 25Q1 营收均保持较高同比增速。 传统业务稳健增长 公司 2024 年营收 12.1 亿元,同增 35.6%。按产品用途来说,商业产品占比 87.7%;按地区来看,海外销售占比 78.7%,公司目前仍然是以商用器材为主导 的外销导向,而主要的增长动能来自于订单的增长,特别是 OEM/ODM 出口增 长迅速。在 OEM/ODM 产品业务领域,公司积极调整产品结构和市场战略,采 用以销定产的定制化生产模式,差异化进行研发、生产,实现与新客户的稳健合 作,实现 10 余款产品的量产出货以及完成部分产品打样、试产工作。 公司积极面对国际市场变化,同时拓展内需市场 公司在年报中指出了国际市场的变化较大 ...
毕得医药(688073):深度研究报告:多维度追求高质量发展,业绩拐点已至
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-05 07:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 48.11 CNY, compared to the current price of 40.95 CNY [4][12]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic market for drug molecular building blocks, emphasizing a multi-dimensional approach to high-quality development, with an inflection point in performance now evident [2][10]. - The report highlights the company's continuous expansion of product varieties and quantities, with a current inventory of 130,000 types of ready-to-use products, capable of providing over 500,000 unique and functional drug molecular building blocks [10][11]. - The company has been increasing its R&D investment, with some products reaching international advanced levels while maintaining a price advantage, being priced at 1/5 to 1/10 of international leaders like Sigma-Aldrich [10][11]. - The overseas revenue for the company is projected to reach 616 million CNY in 2024, with a gross margin of 50.40%, significantly higher than domestic margins, and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 43.52% from 2018 to 2024 [10][12]. Financial Summary - The company's total revenue is forecasted to grow from 1,102 million CNY in 2024 to 1,909 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.9%, 21.4%, 20.0%, and 19.0% respectively [3][12]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 117 million CNY in 2024 to 214 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 7.2%, 24.1%, 22.9%, and 19.6% respectively [3][12]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise from 1.29 CNY in 2024 to 2.36 CNY in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 32 to 17 [3][12]. Industry Context - The report notes a recovery in domestic market demand and an urgent need for domestic alternatives, driven by rising research funding and a shift towards local sourcing due to increased import costs [10][56]. - The overseas market is also showing signs of recovery, with an increase in demand from biopharmaceutical investments, creating significant growth opportunities for domestic companies [10][56].
双汇发展(000895):公司信息更新报告:一季度肉制品承压,屠宰规模及盈利均较快增长
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-05-05 06:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance showed slight pressure with a revenue of 14.3 billion yuan, down 0.1% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.137 billion yuan, down 10.6% year-on-year. The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is maintained at 5.24 billion, 5.51 billion, and 5.82 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.51, 1.59, and 1.68 yuan, indicating a stable investment opportunity [1][4] Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - In Q1 2025, the meat product segment generated revenue of 5.58 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.8% year-on-year, with sales volume and price at approximately 310,000 tons and 17.9 yuan/kg, down 17.4% and 0.5% respectively. This decline is attributed to insufficient consumer demand and inventory reduction in the market [2] - The profit per ton for meat products was approximately 4,729 yuan, down 5.3% year-on-year but still at a high level, with operating profit of 1.48 billion yuan, down 21.7%, and an operating profit margin of 26.5% [2] Slaughtering and Breeding Business - The slaughtering business achieved revenue of 7.0 billion yuan in Q1 2025, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year, with operating profit of 120 million yuan, up 24.7%, and an operating profit margin of 1.7%. Fresh product sales volume was about 450,000 tons, up 12.6% year-on-year [3] - The breeding business saw a revenue increase of 30.7% year-on-year, with a reduction in losses to 140 million yuan. The company plans to enhance management and cost control, expecting further improvement in operational performance throughout the year [3] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are 61.04 billion, 63.55 billion, and 65.83 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year growth of 2.2%, 4.1%, and 3.6% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 5.24 billion, 5.51 billion, and 5.82 billion yuan for the same period, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 5.0%, 5.1%, and 5.6% [4] - The company maintains a stable gross margin around 17.7% to 17.9% and a net margin of approximately 8.6% to 8.8% over the forecast period [9]