Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6][18] Core Views - The company's net profit for Q1 2025 increased by 92.7% year-on-year to 11.312 billion RMB, exceeding the expected growth range of 80%-100% [5][6] - The improvement in the Combined Operating Ratio (COR) was better than expected, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.4 percentage points to 94.5%, driven by reduced disaster losses and optimized expense inputs [5][6] - The company has seen a significant increase in underwriting profit, which rose by 183% year-on-year to 6.653 billion RMB [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 insurance premium income and service revenue were 180.421 billion RMB and 120.741 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 3.7% and 6.1% [5][8] - The company’s investment performance was strong, with a year-on-year increase in total investment return rate of 0.4 percentage points to 1.2% [6] - The financial investment asset allocation as of March 2025 included 30.6% in FVOCI equities, an increase of 2.2 percentage points from the end of 2024 [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected operating revenue for 2025 is 516.176 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.4% [7] - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 34.954 billion RMB, representing an 8.6% year-on-year increase [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.57 RMB, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.31 [7] Segment Analysis - In Q1 2025, the auto insurance premium income and service revenue were 71.696 billion RMB and 74.334 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 3.5% and 2.8% [8] - Non-auto insurance premium income and service revenue reached 108.725 billion RMB and 46.407 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 3.8% and 11.7% [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Poly Property (06049.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in revenue and profit, with a notable increase in the dividend payout ratio to 50%. The management expects a recovery in profitability following business optimization adjustments [5][6] - The revenue for 2024 reached 16.34 billion HKD, representing an 8.5% year-on-year increase, while the net profit was 1.47 billion HKD, up 6.8% year-on-year. However, gross and net profit margins have slightly declined [6] - The property management revenue grew by 15.0% year-on-year to 11.67 billion HKD, accounting for 71.4% of total revenue, despite a slight decrease in gross margin [7] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025-2026 and introduced new estimates for 2027, projecting net profits of 1.58 billion, 1.72 billion, and 1.88 billion HKD for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][9] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company reported a revenue of 163.42 billion HKD, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%. The net profit was 14.74 billion HKD, reflecting a 6.8% increase. The gross margin was 18.3%, down 1.3 percentage points, and the net margin was 9.1%, down 0.2 percentage points [6][9] - The company’s cash and bank balance stood at 11.87 billion HKD at the end of 2024, a 7.8% increase year-on-year, with trade receivables rising by 4.8 billion HKD [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 2.86 HKD, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.9 times [5][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, suggesting a potential upside of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 3 billion HKD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 87%, primarily due to a reduction in income tax expenses [3]. - The company's net assets grew by 15.4% compared to the end of the previous year, attributed to rising interest rates in Q1 [3]. - The company is effectively transitioning towards dividend insurance, with significant market share in both individual and bank insurance channels, achieving 98.9% and 88.6% respectively in early 2025 [3]. Financial Performance - The company recorded an insurance service revenue of 107.489 billion HKD in 2023, with a projected growth to 115.036 billion HKD in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 3.39% [9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 6.19 billion HKD in 2023 to 10.564 billion HKD in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 25.29% [9]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.72 HKD in 2023 to 2.94 HKD in 2025 [9]. Valuation Metrics - As of now, the company's price-to-embedded value (PEV) stands at 0.20 times, indicating a low valuation and suggesting potential investment opportunities [4]. - The report anticipates a return on equity (ROE) of 12.04% in 2025, increasing to 14.71% by 2027 [9]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 6.03 in 2023 to 3.53 in 2025, indicating an attractive valuation [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 23.25 [3][7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of CNY 36.22 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 41% to CNY 1.15 billion, while the core net profit fell by 5% to CNY 2.23 billion [2][3][7] - The company's cyclical business showed steady growth, with a revenue of CNY 30.79 billion from cyclical operations, marking a 16% increase year-on-year, which now constitutes 85% of total revenue [7] - The report highlights a significant decline in the gross margin of developer-related businesses, which has dropped to 0%, indicating a potential bottoming out of core net profit [7] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 36.22 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2%. The operating profit was CNY 1.70 billion, down 36.2% from the previous year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was CNY 1.15 billion, a decrease of 41.2% [4][9] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at CNY 0.98, with future estimates of CNY 1.54, CNY 1.90, and CNY 2.10 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][9] - The gross margin is expected to decline to 13% in 2024, with a slight recovery projected in subsequent years [4][9] Business Segments - The community space, commercial city services, and technology segments generated revenues of CNY 20.9 billion, CNY 12.3 billion, and CNY 3.0 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.5%, 5.4%, and 8.6% [7] - The company has successfully reduced its reliance on related party transactions, with the proportion of revenue from related parties decreasing by 4 percentage points to 9.5% [7] Market Comparison - The report provides a comparison of the company's valuation metrics against peers, indicating an adjusted average PE of 14x for comparable companies in 2025 [3][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][11]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated strong growth resilience, with significant new customer acquisition in tax-advantaged products in China and rapid expansion in business regions, suggesting good long-term growth potential [4]. - The company reported a 13% year-on-year increase in New Business Value (NBV) for Q1 2025, reaching $1.497 billion, with a margin improvement of 3.0 percentage points to 57.5% [2]. - The company has initiated a $1.6 billion share buyback program, expected to be completed within three months [3]. Financial Performance - The NBV growth was driven by a favorable shift in product mix, with agency channel NBV increasing by 21% to $1.218 billion, contributing over 75% of total NBV [2]. - The company forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% to 11% for after-tax operating profit per share from 2023 to 2026 [3]. - Insurance revenue is projected to grow from $17.514 billion in 2023 to $22.678 billion by 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 7.3% to 10.3% [9][10]. Regional Performance - AIA Hong Kong reported a 16% increase in NBV, benefiting from balanced growth in local and mainland Chinese visitors [2]. - AIA Thailand experienced exceptional NBV growth due to regulatory changes that introduced personal medical insurance products, leading to strong agency channel sales [2]. - AIA Singapore saw robust NBV growth, particularly in unit-linked long-term savings products, with strong agency productivity [2]. Valuation Metrics - As of now, the company's Price to Embedded Value (PEV) stands at 1.04 times, indicating a low valuation level and suggesting long-term investment value [4]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from $0.35 in 2023 to $0.79 by 2027, with a corresponding increase in Return on Equity (ROE) from 8.8% to 18.8% over the same period [9][10].

证券研究报告·海外公司点评·旅游及消闲设施(HS) 达势股份（01405.HK） 门店稳步扩张，盈利持续改善 2025 年 04 月 30 日 买入（维持） 证券分析师 苏铖 执业证书：S0600524120010 such@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 邓洁 执业证书：S0600525030001 dengj@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 -6% 5% 16% 27% 38% 49% 60% 71% 82% 93% 104% 2024/4/30 2024/8/29 2024/12/28 2025/4/28 达势股份 恒生指数 市场数据 | 收盘价(港元) | 95.00 | | --- | --- | | 一年最低/最高价 | 51.10/125.20 | | 市净率(倍) | 5.53 | | 港股流通市值(百万港 | 12,431.24 | | 元) | | 基础数据 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） ...

2025 年 4 月 30 日 公司研究 提质增效成果显著，现金充裕分红慷慨 ——绿城服务（2869.HK）2024 年度业绩点评 要点 事件：绿城服务 2024 年营收同比+6.5%，归母净利润同比+29.7%。 4 月 24 日，绿城服务发布 2024 年年度报告，期内实现营收 185 亿元（含 MAG， 公司在年内出售 MAG，为便于与上年比较，公司在损益表披露终止经营业务影 响下的收入和利润，而在管理层讨论与分析中未加以区分，下同），同比增长 6.5%，实现毛利 32 亿元，同比增长 9.7%，毛利率 17.3%，同比提升 0.5pct； 核心经营利润（毛利-行政开支-营销开支）15.9 亿元，同比增长 22.5%；归母净 利润 7.9 亿元，同比增长 29.7%。 点评：基本面优秀，核心业务稳健，提质增效成果显著，分红慷慨。 1）基本面优秀，核心业务稳健。2024 年公司物管/园区服务/咨询服务分别实现 收入 124.0/33.7/24.1 亿元，同比+11.7%/-5.5%/+5.1%，截至 2024 年末，公 司在管面积 5 亿平，稳居行业第一梯队，储备面积 3.6 亿平，未来可持续增长能 力较 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.451 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 98.2 million yuan, down 15.0% year-on-year [1][2] - The company is actively optimizing its store structure, closing underperforming stores, resulting in a total of 3,031 stores by the end of 2024, with a net closure of 785 stores [2] - The average single-store revenue for self-operated and franchised stores in 2024 was 840,000 yuan and 346,000 yuan respectively, indicating a significant decline due to weak consumer spending and intensified competition [2] - The gross profit margin improved by 4.4 percentage points to 56.8% in 2024, driven by cost reductions and lean management [2] - The company is focusing on enhancing single-store efficiency and optimizing product structure to improve competitiveness and brand strength [3] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 2,451 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -10.88% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 98.2 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -15.03% [4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.07 yuan, 0.08 yuan, and 0.10 yuan respectively [3][4] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 4.01%, slightly down from the previous year [2][6] - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 420 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.3% [2] Industry Insights - The prepared food industry is facing challenges such as intensified competition from other snack categories and a shift in consumer spending patterns [2] - The recovery of single-store performance is seen as a key signal for a new round of development in the industry [2] - The company is leveraging its unique flavor appeal to enhance its product offerings in new distribution channels, including partnerships with major retailers like Costco [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, New Energy (2688 HK), with a target price of HKD 74.60, indicating a potential upside of 21.4% from the current price of HKD 61.45 [4][9]. Core Insights - The first quarter of 2025 saw gas sales remain stable, influenced by a warm winter, with retail gas volume showing a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, outperforming the mainland's natural gas apparent consumption decline of 2.2% [2][7]. - The management indicated that the warm winter impacted gas sales by approximately 2-3 percentage points, with residential gas sales increasing by 1.1% year-on-year [2][7]. - The privatization plan is progressing steadily, with expectations to seek shareholder approval in the fourth quarter of this year [7][8]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 113,858 million - 2024: RMB 109,853 million - 2025E: RMB 116,552 million (6.1% YoY growth) - 2026E: RMB 122,701 million - 2027E: RMB 129,239 million [3][11]. - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: RMB 6,816 million - 2024: RMB 5,987 million - 2025E: RMB 7,174 million (3.2% YoY growth) - 2026E: RMB 7,782 million - 2027E: RMB 8,098 million [3][11]. - The company is expected to maintain moderate profit growth over the next three years, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5% from 2024 to 2027 [7][8]. Operational Performance - The company’s retail gas sales volume is projected to grow as follows: - 2023: 25,145 million cubic meters - 2024: 26,200 million cubic meters - 2025E: 26,782 million cubic meters (2.2% growth) - 2026E: 27,588 million cubic meters - 2027E: 28,421 million cubic meters [8]. - The company has also seen a 9.9% year-on-year increase in its diversified energy sales volume, reaching 100 billion kWh in the first quarter [7][8]. Market Position - The company’s market capitalization is approximately HKD 68,286.31 million, with a 52-week high of HKD 79.30 and a low of HKD 45.25 [6][9]. - The stock has shown a year-to-date change of 10.03% [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "5.5" for the IPO, based on various criteria [6][7]. Core Insights - The company, Hu Shang A Yi, is a leading chain in the fresh tea beverage market in China, operating through a franchise model with product prices ranging from 7 to 22 RMB [1]. - Revenue projections for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are 2.2 billion, 3.35 billion, and 3.28 billion RMB, with growth rates of 34%, 52%, and -1.9% respectively [1]. - The company has a significant market presence, with a total of 9,176 stores as of December 2024, 50% of which are located in tier-three cities and below [2]. - The fresh tea beverage market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a market size of 258.5 billion RMB and a growth rate of 19% [3]. Company Overview - Hu Shang A Yi has established a robust supply chain network across China, including 12 major logistics warehouses and various cold chain facilities [4]. - The brand has gained national recognition since its inception in 2013, leveraging social media and collaborations to enhance its market presence [4]. - The company has seen significant store growth, with net increases of 1,531, 2,482, and 1,387 stores in 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, indicating a strong expansion strategy [1]. Industry Status and Outlook - The fresh beverage market in China is projected to continue its rapid growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.5% from 2018 to 2023 [3]. - Hu Shang A Yi ranks first in store count in northern China and holds a 4.6% market share by GMV, placing it fifth overall in the industry [3]. Investment Considerations - The IPO price range is set between 95.57 and 113.12 HKD, with a post-IPO market capitalization estimated at 10 to 11.8 billion HKD [6][7]. - The company has secured cornerstone investors, including Yingfeng Holdings and Huabao, which have committed to 24.7% of the total issuance [6].