要点 新订单指数在2025年4月环比上升8.7点至57.5.基本符合季节性规律。市场情绪在2025年4月恶化至 34.3(环比下降12.1点)。 房地产新开工降幅收窄;水利基础设施建设依然强劲，3月份公路和铁路基础设施建设数据有所改善。 3 月份房地产新开工降幅收窄 中国房地产销售降幅收窄，但新开工依然疲软。2025年1-3月，中国房地产投资同比下降9.9%，与2025 年1-2月的9.8%相近。2025年3月新房销售降幅收窄至-3.0%(2025年1-2月同比降幅为-5.19%)。然而， 2025年1-3月新开工建筑面积仍同比下降24.6%(2025年1-2月为-29.9%)，这表明3月降幅收窄至同比下降 18.7%。 中原地产数据显示，二手房周销量自2021年以来一直保持在历史高位。2025年1-3月基础设施投资增长 5.8%(2025年1-2月为5.6%)，其中水利/铁路/公路投资同比增长+36.8%/+0.5%/-0.2%(2025年1-2月为 +39.1%/+0.2%/-3.2%)，显示3月份数据有所改善。 与此同时，2025年3月水泥需求同比增长2.5%，扭转了2025年1-2月-5.7%的局面， ...

证券研究报告 工业/基础材料 从顺周期到逆周期，配置内需投资链 上周高层北京调研和国常会，均提出促进或持续推动"房地产市场平稳健康 发展"，市场对增量政策期待较高，我们相对推荐估值处于低位、经营业绩 有望稳健增长的石膏板龙头和板材龙头。二手房成交持续高景气，推荐涂料 和管材。3 月基建投资环比继续改善，外需扰动下有望继续发力，短期重点 推荐水利管网机会。光伏玻璃、玻纤等顺周期品种复价后，短期供给有所增 加。我们短期继续推荐内需逆周期及供给端约束较强的品种，重点推荐四川 路桥、中材国际、中国交建、中国核建、三联虹普、海螺水泥、华新水泥 H、 北新建材、兔宝宝、三棵树。 上周细分行业回顾 截至 4.17，上周全国水泥价格周环比-0.9%；水泥出货率 48.7%，周环比/ 同比+0.4%/-1.7pct；上周国内浮法玻璃均价 71 元/重量箱，周环比/同比 +0.7%/-23.3%，重点样本企业库存 5624 万重箱，周环比基本持平，年同比 +3.8%，库存天数约 28.93 天，环比增加 0.01 天。截至 4.17，3.2mm/2.0mm 光伏玻璃主流订单价格 22.3/14.3 元/平米，周环比基本持平，行业 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Recommended" [3][38]. Core Views - The impact of the tariff policy on the building materials industry is limited, and the real estate sector is expected to drive domestic demand, leading to industry valuation recovery [5][38]. - In March 2025, the average cement shipment rate increased by approximately 26 percentage points month-on-month and 8 percentage points year-on-year, indicating seasonal recovery in demand [16][38]. - The glass industry is experiencing slow demand recovery, with overall market prices expected to remain weak in April 2025 [39][40]. - The fiberglass sector is seeing strong demand from wind power and new energy vehicles, with the tariff policy having a limited impact on the industry [30][31][38]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry - In March 2025, the national cement production reached 158 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, showing better-than-expected performance [10]. - The average price of cement in March 2025 was 394.92 yuan per ton, a decrease of 4.5 yuan from February [16][38]. - Key stocks to watch include Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ), Huaxin Cement (600801.SH), and Conch Cement (600585.SH) [16][38]. Glass Industry - The flat glass production in the first quarter of 2025 was 234 million weight boxes, a year-on-year decrease of 6.4% [23]. - The overall market demand is expected to improve in April, but the growth pace remains slow [39][40]. - Key stocks to consider are Qibin Group (601636.SH) and Jinjing Technology (600586.SH) [39][40]. Fiberglass Industry - The fiberglass industry is experiencing a slight increase in PPI, with strong demand from the wind power and new energy vehicle sectors [30][31]. - The tariff policy has a limited impact on the fiberglass and products industry, with a focus on expanding domestic markets [31][38]. - Key stocks to monitor include China Jushi (600176.SH) and Zhongcai Technology (002080.SZ) [31][38]. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is expected to benefit from real estate policies aimed at stabilizing the market, with limited impact from the tariff policy [9][40]. - Key stocks to focus on include Weixing New Materials (002372.SZ), Beixin Building Materials (000786.SZ), and Dongfang Yuhong (002271.SZ) [9][40].

12家中东LP到场，首届中阿投资峰会圆满落幕 2024全球最佳投资机构榜单正式揭晓 2024中国母基金全景报告 4月12日，首届武汉理工大学科技成果投融资峰会举行。此次大会主题为"四链融合 数智赋能 全力打造服务国家战略和支撑行业发展新高地"。教育部、湖北省、武汉市等地市、相关投融 资机构和建材建工、交通、汽车三大行业龙头企业等领导嘉宾，学校师生代表齐聚一堂，共话 成果转化新理念，共谋"四链融合"新举措，共建成果转化新生态。 大会举行武汉理工大学国家大学科技园优化重塑启动仪式。发起设立武理科创基金，基金由学 校与长江产业投资集团联合发起设立，首期募资规模为10亿元。 大会举行圆桌论坛， 由中国国际科技促进会母基金分会秘书长、母基金研究中心联合创始人王 爽主持 ，嘉宾为中国工程院院士、武汉理工大学材料复合新技术全国重点实验室主任、湖北隆 中实验室主任傅正义，中银国际投资总监汪洋，中国建材集团科技管理部主任王重海，众合创 投/鼎鑫国际资本合伙人张云峰，分别从创新链、产业链、资金链、人才链视角，就传统产业 转型升级、培育和壮大战略新兴产业和未来产业背景下， 高校科技创新如何发挥作用，实 现"四链"深度融合进行研讨 ...

CITI'S TAKE Materials demand in 1Q25 was mostly in line with our expectation, with stronger prints on steel and cement, and weaker on coal. As the trade war between the US and China escalates, we assess the impact from trade disruptions and potential RMB depreciation on materials. We believe the impact of tariffs has already kicked in for the battery supply chain (see note) and expect more to be felt through commodities in the coming months. This should call for more decisive policies from Chinese side to b ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the real estate sector, emphasizing its role in boosting domestic demand and stabilizing the market [1][12]. Core Insights - The real estate market is transitioning back to its residential function, with significant declines in new home sales and construction activities projected for 2022-2024 [1][12]. - The implementation of new policies on May 17, 2024, aims to support the real estate market, including adjustments to loan rates and down payment requirements [1][12]. - Infrastructure projects are also highlighted as key drivers of domestic demand, particularly in regions like Xinjiang and Guangxi, with significant investments underway [2][13]. - The "Belt and Road" initiative remains a focal point for international expansion, with ongoing collaborations between China and Vietnam to enhance infrastructure connectivity [2][13]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - The report discusses the importance of real estate in stimulating domestic demand, noting a shift towards residential needs and a significant drop in key market indicators [1][12]. - It highlights the recent government meetings aimed at stabilizing the real estate market and the potential impact of new policies on housing loans [1][12]. Cyclical Linkage - Cement prices have shown a year-on-year increase, with the national average price at 395 RMB/t, while glass prices have also seen slight increases [3][14]. - The report notes a stable demand for aluminum and steel, with expectations for continued high supply levels [3][14]. National Subsidy Tracking - Various regions have successfully implemented consumer subsidies, such as Shanghai's 1.8 billion RMB for home appliance upgrades, significantly boosting sales [4][15]. - The report suggests focusing on companies related to subsidized products in the construction materials sector [4][15]. Important Developments - The report mentions the strengthening of the strategic partnership between China and Vietnam, along with significant stock purchases by major shareholders in various companies [5][16]. - It emphasizes the government's commitment to stabilizing the stock market and supporting the real estate sector [5][16]. Market Performance (April 14-18) - The construction materials index experienced a slight decline, with specific segments like refractory materials and pipes performing better than others [17]. Construction Material Price Changes - Cement prices have slightly decreased in certain regions, while glass prices have shown minor increases, indicating a mixed market response [29][39]. - The report provides detailed statistics on the pricing trends and inventory levels for various construction materials [29][39].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 20 年 月 日 建筑材料 关注内需刺激主线，等待政策落地 2025 年 4 月 14 日至 4 月 18 日建筑材料板块（SW）下跌 0.02%，其中 水泥（SW）下跌 0.09%，玻璃制造（SW）下跌 0.15%，玻纤制造（SW） 下跌 1.79%，装修建材（SW）上涨 0.73%，本周建材板块相对沪深 300 超额收益-0.38%。本期建筑材料板块（SW）资金净流入额为 0.02 亿元。 【周数据总结和观点】 本周国常会指出"要持续稳定股市，持续推动房地产市场平稳健康发展"， "扩大有效投资，大力提振民间投资积极性"等，后续内需刺激有望加码。 根据 wind 统计，2025 年 3 月地方政府债总发行量 9788.03 亿元，发行金 额同比 2024 年 3 月增长 55.5%，截至目前，2025 年一般债发行规模 0.47 万亿元，同比-0.10 万亿元，专项债发行规模 2.78 万亿元，同比+1.61 万 亿元。化债下加码政府财政压力有望减轻，企业资产负债表也存在修复的 空间，市政工程类项目有望加快推进，市政管网及减隔震实物工作量 ...

Group 1: Company Analysis - Lu'an Huanneng is identified as a leading enterprise in the blowing coal sector, characterized by pure business operations and high elasticity. Despite being in a downward coal price cycle, the company's current price-to-book (PB) ratio presents value, with projected net profits for 2024-2026 at 2.62 billion, 2.14 billion, and 3.03 billion yuan, translating to earnings per share (EPS) of 0.87, 0.71, and 1.01 yuan respectively. The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are 13, 16, and 11 times, leading to an "overweight" rating [2] - Bailing Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 27.675 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 9.32% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 292.73% to 1.567 billion yuan. The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in consumer spending, with net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 adjusted to 473 million and 519 million yuan, respectively, and a new forecast for 2027 set at 565 million yuan [19] Group 2: Industry Insights - The impact of the US-China tariff conflict on domestic electricity consumption is deemed limited. The electric machinery and equipment manufacturing sector, which has a significant export volume to the US, shows that tariff changes will not substantially affect overall electricity demand. Historical data from July 2018 to January 2020 indicates that the hydropower sector outperformed, while thermal power slightly lagged but still surpassed wind, solar, and nuclear power sectors. Recommended stocks include Yangtze Power and Sichuan Investment Energy in the hydropower sector, and Huadian International and Anhui Energy in the thermal power sector [6] - The recent tariff imposition by the US has led to a preemptive increase in consumer purchasing behavior, with March retail sales in the US showing a month-on-month growth of 1.4%, a significant rise from February's 0.2%. However, this surge may lead to a potential weakening of future retail demand, prompting the Federal Reserve to maintain a cautious stance in the short term [15]

证券代码：600585 证券简称：海螺水泥 公告编号：临2025-14 安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司 董事会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司（"本公司"或"公司"）董事会于2025年4月17日以通讯方式召开会议，应到 董事8人，实到董事8人，本次会议由公司董事长杨军先生主持。本次会议的召开符合《公司法》和本公 司《公司章程》的规定，会议程序及所作决议合法有效。本次会议审议的各议案表决结果均为：有效表 决票数8票，其中赞成票8票，占有效表决票数的100%；反对票0票；弃权票0票。本次会议通过如下决 议： 朱胜利先生：1972年8月出生，现担任本公司第九届董事会副董事长、执行董事。朱先生获中共安徽省 委党校研究生学历，于2024年加入本集团，在此之前，曾担任合肥市新站综合开发试验区管委会副主 任，合肥市招商局局长，合肥市投资促进局局长，合肥市发展和改革委员会主任，合肥市副市长，安徽 省人民政府国有资产监督管理委员会副主任等职务。朱先生熟悉经济与投资发展工作，并具有较强的组 织领导能力。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Resource Selection Index has shown a decline in performance over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating a challenging environment for resource-related companies in the A-share market [2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Resource Selection Index closed at 2273.45 points, with a decline of 6.22% over the past month, 2.91% over the past three months, and 2.37% year-to-date [1][2]. - The index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the energy and materials sectors, with a base date of December 31, 2004, set at 1000.0 points [2]. Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten weighted companies in the index include Zijin Mining (8.09%), China Shenhua (3.57%), Wanhua Chemical (2.85%), China Petroleum (2.5%), and China Petrochemical (2.3%) [2]. - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (67.70%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (32.30%) [2]. Group 3: Sector Allocation - The sector allocation of the index shows that non-ferrous metals account for 37.26%, chemicals for 26.79%, energy for 21.79%, steel for 7.21%, non-metallic materials for 5.70%, and paper and packaging for 1.25% [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [3]. - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [3].