本报记者 刘钊 新年伊始，汽车行业2025年度销量数据陆续揭晓。 具体来看，比亚迪全年纯电动汽车销量首次超越特斯拉，成为全球第一。与此同时，吉利汽车、长安汽车、奇瑞汽车等传 统汽车集团在"新能源+出海"双主线下加速追赶，新势力车企则呈现"强者恒强、分化加剧"的竞争格局。 多维布局谋增长 从年度销量排行看，头部车企的位次变化首先来自"规模差距"的再度拉大。 其中，比亚迪2025年新能源汽车销量为460.24万辆，同比增长7.73%，其中纯电车型全年累计销量为225.67万辆，同比增长 27.86%。以纯电口径衡量，比亚迪已在年度销量上超过特斯拉，后者全年交付约164万辆。 这一"新旧王者"的更替，意味着全球纯电市场的竞争焦点正从单一明星车型驱动，转向以成本、供应链与产品矩阵为核心 的体系化竞争。比亚迪的成功背后，是其"双轮驱动+全链布局"战略的支撑。在产品结构上，比亚迪坚持"纯电+插混"并行策 略，DM-i系列纯电续航超125km，冬季续航达成率为86%，解决了消费者的里程焦虑。在技术层面，比亚迪凭借垂直整合的全 产业链优势，实现了较好的成本控制，再叠加刀片电池的安全优势，形成了核心竞争力。 整体来看，2025 ...

New Car Launches - The new GAC Trumpchi M8 has been launched with a price range of 309,900 to 359,900 yuan, offering three models [2][3] - The M8 features a 7-seat layout, a 140kW 2.0T engine, a 160kW electric motor, and a 44.5kWh lithium battery, providing a pure electric range of 248 km [6][8] Company Developments - FAW Group has officially acquired a 5% stake in Leap Motor for 3.744 billion yuan, marking a significant collaboration between a traditional automaker and a new energy vehicle brand [10][12] - Geely has completed the integration of its Qianli Intelligent Driving core business and technology system, focusing on advanced driving technologies [3][14] - Tesla's global production has surpassed 9 million vehicles, with the Shanghai Gigafactory contributing nearly half of the total deliveries [4][16] Industry News - The 2026 national subsidy policy for automobiles has been released, adjusting subsidies based on vehicle price to avoid excessive support for low-priced models [33][36] - CATL has established 1,325 battery swap stations, enhancing its service capabilities for both passenger and commercial vehicles [9][32] Sales Performance - BYD sold 414,784 passenger vehicles in December, with a total annual sales of 4,545,423 units, maintaining its leadership in the new energy vehicle market [37][40] - Geely's December new energy sales reached 154,264 units, contributing to an annual total of 3,024,567 units [41][42] - Changan Automobile reported total sales of 254,800 units in December, with over 1 million new energy vehicles sold throughout the year [45][50] - Leap Motor delivered 60,423 vehicles in December, achieving a total of 596,555 units for the year [17][62] - NIO delivered 48,135 vehicles in December, with a total of 326,028 units for the year, showing significant growth in the second half of the year [66][69]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [6] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the implementation of a large-scale equipment update and consumer goods replacement policy for 2026, which includes subsidies for scrapping and replacing vehicles. The policy is expected to significantly boost the sales of mid-to-high-end passenger cars [6][9][18]. - The report maintains a judgment of "price increase and stable volume" for domestic passenger car demand in 2026, indicating a positive outlook for the industry despite potential market fluctuations [18]. Summary by Sections 1. 2026 Vehicle Replacement Policy - The policy supports scrapping and replacing personal vehicles with subsidies of 12% (up to 20,000 CNY) for new energy vehicles and 10% (up to 15,000 CNY) for fuel vehicles with an engine size of 2.0 liters or less [9][10]. - It also includes support for scrapping old commercial vehicles and promoting the electrification of city buses [9][10]. 2. Market Share Tracking in PHEV Segment - The report focuses on the performance of PHEV market shares, particularly for BYD and Geely, as they adjust their market strategies and configurations [11]. - The analysis indicates significant variance in market shares due to increased supply and competitive strategies [11]. 3. Recent Report Insights - The continuation of the vehicle replacement policy aligns with expectations, and the report anticipates a rise in the proportion of mid-to-high-end passenger car sales due to the subsidy structure [18]. - The report reflects on the previous year's strategy of "emerging from deflation," which has proven to be correct, and emphasizes the importance of regulatory changes and strategic adjustments by leading companies [18]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "shelf-style" investment approach, recommending various companies across the passenger vehicle chain, including Geely, BYD, and others for potential growth [19]. - Specific companies are categorized into "right-side" and "left-side" targets based on their operational performance and market positioning [19].

Core Insights - Major automotive companies in China, including BYD, Changan Automobile, and Geely, reported significant sales growth for 2025, with a notable increase in overseas sales and milestones achieved by new energy vehicle manufacturers [1][2][5][7]. BYD - BYD's total sales for 2025 reached 4.6024 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7.73%, with pure electric vehicle sales growing nearly 28% and commercial vehicle sales increasing by approximately 162% [2]. - BYD's overseas exports of new energy vehicles totaled 133,200 units in December 2025, with annual overseas sales surpassing 1 million units, reflecting a 145% year-on-year growth [4]. - The total installed capacity of BYD's power batteries and energy storage batteries was approximately 285.634 GWh, marking a nearly 47% increase from the previous year [4]. Changan Automobile - Changan's total sales for 2025 reached 2.913 million units, a year-on-year growth of 8.54%, with self-owned brand sales increasing by 10.86% and new energy vehicle sales growing by about 50% [5]. BAIC Blue Valley - BAIC Blue Valley achieved significant production and sales growth, with total production reaching 206,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 127.17%, and total sales of 209,600 units, up 84.06% [6]. Geely Automobile - Geely's total vehicle sales for 2025 were 3.0246 million units, a 39% increase compared to the previous year, exceeding its annual sales target [7]. - Geely set a sales target of 3.45 million units for 2026, representing a growth of approximately 14% from 2025, with a new energy vehicle sales target of 2.22 million units, up 32% [7]. NIO - NIO reported a delivery of 48,100 units in December 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.6%, with total deliveries for the year reaching 326,000 units, up 46.9% [8]. Li Auto - Li Auto delivered 44,200 new vehicles in December 2025, with a historical cumulative delivery surpassing 1.5 million units, expanding its market presence in Central Asia and Africa [9]. XPeng - XPeng delivered 37,500 smart electric vehicles in December 2025, with total annual deliveries of 429,400 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 126% [10]. - The company expanded its overseas market presence with 45,000 units delivered abroad, a 96% increase, and established 1,100 new charging stations, bringing the total to 3,000 [10].

Group 1 - The A-share market showed a significant recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index ending 2025 with an "11 consecutive days of gains" and major indices closing positively for 2026 [1][3] - The Every Day Brand 100 Index maintained an upward trend in 2025, achieving an annual increase of 15.21% and closing at 1145.49 points [1][2] - Factors such as the "14th Five-Year Plan" industrial guidance, overseas liquidity easing, and domestic policy support are expected to continue providing support for the A-share market in 2026 [1][3] Group 2 - In the last week of December 2025, the A-share market experienced mixed performance, with the Shanghai Index rising by 0.13% while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.58% [2] - Baidu Group-SW and Jiangxi Copper saw weekly gains exceeding 10%, with Jiangxi Copper's price increasing over 30% in two weeks [2] - Tencent Holdings and China Petroleum saw market capitalization growth exceeding 100 billion yuan, reaching 176.12 billion yuan and 102.49 billion yuan respectively [2] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December 2025 was expected, but internal divisions within the FOMC may slow down future rate cuts in Q1 2026 [3] - Domestic economic indicators showed resilience in exports, while consumer and investment metrics remained weak; however, the manufacturing PMI returned to expansion territory [3] - A-shares trading volume exceeded 2 trillion yuan in late December 2025, with margin financing balances reaching a historical high, indicating improved market sentiment [3] Group 4 - Baidu Group's stock performance was notable, with a single-day increase of 9.35% on January 2, 2026, and a weekly increase of 20.33% [4] - Baidu's Kunlun Chip, focused on AI chip development, is set to apply for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which could enhance Baidu's asset value if successful [5] - The Kunlun Chip is expected to support large-scale AI model training and is a core component of Baidu's AI infrastructure [4][5] Group 5 - Baidu's AI cloud revenue and smart driving business are experiencing strong growth, with AI cloud revenue reaching 6.1% market share in China [6] - In Q3 2025, Baidu's AI cloud revenue was 6.2 billion yuan, a 21% year-on-year increase, with AI infrastructure revenue growing by 33% [6] - Baidu's capital expenditure reached 10.1 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating ongoing investment in network infrastructure and cloud computing [6] Group 6 - Baidu's comprehensive technology system in autonomous driving has matured, leading to positive profitability per vehicle and significant order growth for its Robotaxi service [7] - The company is expanding its presence in high-value overseas markets, with a 200% year-on-year increase in orders [7] - Analysts are optimistic about Baidu's strategy in the next-generation "mobile living space" due to its advantages in cost and infrastructure compared to overseas competitors [7]

Core Insights - The 2025 Chinese automotive market showcased a "stronger getting stronger, increasing differentiation" trend amid deepening new energy transitions and intense industry competition [1] Group 1: Performance of Leading Companies - BYD achieved sales of 4.6024 million vehicles in 2025, with overseas sales surpassing 1 million for the first time, marking a 145% year-on-year increase in passenger and pickup truck sales [2] - BYD's pure electric vehicle sales reached 2.2567 million units, a nearly 28% increase, surpassing Tesla's 1.636 million units, making BYD the global leader in annual electric vehicle sales [2] - Geely also exceeded its annual sales target, achieving 3.0246 million units sold, a 39% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 1.6878 million units, up 90% [2] Group 2: Performance of Other Companies - Dongfeng Motor achieved its dual target of over 1 million new energy vehicles and 1.5 million total vehicle sales, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 1.04 million, a 21% increase [3] - Changan Automobile reported sales of 2.913 million vehicles, a growth of 8.5%, with new energy vehicle sales of 1.109 million, up 51% [5] - Chery Group sold 2.8064 million vehicles, a 7.8% increase, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 903,800 units, a 54.9% increase [5] Group 3: Underperformance of Certain Companies - China FAW achieved a total vehicle sales of 3.302 million, a 3.2% increase, but fell short of its target of 3.45 million [4] - Great Wall Motors reported sales of 1.3237 million vehicles, a 7.33% increase, but only achieved 33.09% of its 4 million target [5][6] - New energy vehicle sales for Great Wall reached 403,700 units, a 25.44% increase, but the overall performance was below expectations [5][6] Group 4: New Forces in the Market - Among new forces, Leap Motor, Xiaomi, and Xpeng all exceeded their annual sales targets, with Leap Motor achieving 596,600 units sold, marking a 119.3% target completion rate [7] - Xiaomi's vehicle deliveries surpassed 50,000 in December 2025, exceeding its annual target of 350,000 [7] - NIO and Li Auto, however, did not meet their targets, with NIO selling 326,000 units and Li Auto selling 406,300 units, both falling short of their respective goals [8][9]

Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the market this week, with a 1.9% increase, ranking 4th among Shenwan sub-industries, surpassing the CSI 300 by 1.8 percentage points [1] - Within the sub-sectors, automotive parts, commercial passenger vehicles, motorcycles and others, and commercial freight vehicles rose by 3.8%, 0.4%, 0.2%, and 0.1% respectively, while passenger vehicles and automotive services fell by 1.3% and 2.3% [1] Investment Recommendations - Recommended core stocks include Geely Automobile, Xpeng Motors, BYD, Berteli, Top Group, New Spring Co., Hu Guang Co., and Chunfeng Power [2][11] - For passenger vehicles, recommended stocks are Geely Automobile, Xpeng Motors, and BYD, with a focus on Jianghuai Automobile [5] - In the parts sector, recommendations include intelligent driving companies like Berteli, Horizon Robotics, and Kobot, as well as new force industry chains such as H chain (Xingyu Co., Hu Guang Co.) and T chain (Top Group, New Spring Co., Shuanghuan Transmission) [5][24] Robotics Sector - Huawei increased its investment in humanoid robots, with Dongguan Jimu Robotics Co., Ltd. raising its registered capital from 3.89 billion to 4.69 billion yuan, focusing on key technologies like machine vision and natural language processing [3][11] - The production progress and technological iteration of Tesla remain core themes, with domestic robot manufacturers like Yushut Technology expected to enter the IPO stage soon, potentially catalyzing the sector [3][11] Policy Impact on Demand - The new national subsidy policy for 2026 aims to stimulate domestic demand, transitioning from a fixed subsidy model to a flexible mechanism based on vehicle price [4][12] - The policy is expected to improve the structure of subsidized models, activating demand for mid-to-high-end vehicle replacements and reducing low-level price competition [4][18] Sales Performance - In December, BYD, Geely, and Changan ranked as the top three automakers by sales, with respective sales of 420,398, 255,000, and 236,817 units, showing a year-on-year change of -18.3%, +1.6%, and +12.7% [4][19] - New energy vehicle sales are projected to benefit from the new subsidy policy, with a focus on the sales targets set by Geely, Zero Run, and Xiaomi for 2026 [19][20] Motorcycle Market - The large-displacement motorcycle market is expanding rapidly, with sales of 250cc and above motorcycles reaching 61,000 units in November, a year-on-year increase of 11.3% [31] - Recommended companies in this sector include Chunfeng Power and Longxin General, which are leading in the large-displacement motorcycle market [31][33] Commercial Vehicle Sector - The heavy truck market saw a significant year-on-year increase of approximately 46% in November, driven by the old-for-new subsidy policy that supports the replacement of older diesel trucks [34][36] - Recommended companies in this sector include Weichai Power and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group [36] Tire Industry - The tire industry is experiencing a strong demand with high operating rates, particularly in the PCR segment, which stood at 72.05% [38] - Recommended companies include Sailun Tire and Senqilin, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing globalization and demand recovery [37][39]

事实上，昆仑芯并非横空出世的新玩家。其前身百度智能芯片及架构部自2011年起布局AI芯片，2021年4月份完成首轮融 资并独立运营，首轮估值即达130亿元。截至2025年7月份，公司已完成7轮融资，最新一轮D轮募资2.83亿美元，投后估值攀升 至29.7亿美元（约合210亿元人民币）。四年多时间，估值增长61.5%。 本报记者 袁传玺 2026年1月2日，百度集团股份有限公司（以下简称"百度"）发布公告显示，百度旗下AI芯片子公司——昆仑芯（北京）科 技股份有限公司（以下简称"昆仑芯"）已于2026年1月1日透过其联席保荐人以保密形式向香港联交所提交上市申请表格（A1表 格），申请批准昆仑芯于香港联交所主板上市及买卖。 "当前正是AI芯片行业的战略窗口期。"广州艾媒数聚信息咨询股份有限公司CEO张毅对《证券日报》记者表示，全球大模 型军备竞赛催生了对高性能、高能效AI算力的刚性需求，而政策端对硬科技企业的持续支持，也为昆仑芯这样的核心基础设施 企业提供了绝佳的上市时机。 受IPO消息刺激，百度港股股价于1月2日大涨9.35%，收报143.8港元/股，总市值达3955亿港元。 抢占AI芯片战略窗口期 尽管市场早 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China's new energy vehicle market penetration has rapidly increased in the past few years, exceeding 50% in 2025. In 2025, the domestic market shifted to "anti - involution", and exports gradually became a new growth point [3][122]. - Considering the overseas market trade environment, trade protectionism in Europe and the United States is severe, while countries along the Belt and Road and the Middle East have good development prospects. Regarding the development of the overseas new energy vehicle market itself, the development space of new energy vehicles in non - US regions is generally optimistic [3][122]. - In terms of the competition pattern, the market share of self - owned brands continues to expand. Enterprises with strong product capabilities, smooth overseas expansion, and high supply stability will be the core beneficiaries [3][122]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Tracking - The report shows the one - week price changes of related sectors and listed companies, including the closing prices and one - week price change percentages of many vehicle manufacturers and power battery and material companies [12][15]. 3.2产业链数据跟踪 3.2.1 China New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Sales and Exports**: Information on China's new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, domestic sales, and exports is presented through relevant charts [16][18][20]. - **Inventory Changes**: Charts show the monthly new additions of new energy passenger vehicle channel inventory and manufacturer inventory [25][26]. - **Delivery Volume of Chinese New Energy Vehicle Enterprises**: The monthly delivery volumes of many new energy vehicle companies such as Leapmotor, Li Auto, XPeng, and NIO are presented [29][30][35]. 3.2.2 Global and Overseas New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Global Market**: Charts show global new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV [40][41][43]. - **European Market**: Information on European new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in countries like the UK, Germany, and France is presented [45][46][51]. - **North American Market**: Charts show North American new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV [59][60][62]. - **Other Regions**: Information on new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in regions like Japan, South Korea, and Thailand is presented [63][64][67]. 3.2.3 Power Battery Industry Chain - Information on power battery loading volume (by material), export volume (by material), weekly average price of battery cells, and costs of cell materials is presented. It also includes data on the operating rates and prices of various battery materials such as ternary materials, phosphoric acid iron lithium, and negative electrode materials [79][81][84]. 3.2.4 Other Upstream Raw Materials - The daily prices of rubber, glass, steel, and aluminum are presented [100][101][102]. 3.3 Hot News Summaries 3.3.1 Industry Dynamics: China - In 2026, the implementation details of the car trade - in subsidy were introduced. The subsidy method changed from fixed - amount subsidy to subsidy based on the proportion of the new car's selling price, with the subsidy cap remaining unchanged [107]. - Four departments including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology jointly issued the "Implementation Plan for the Digital Transformation of the Automobile Industry", proposing two - stage development goals and six key tasks [109]. - According to the Passenger Car Association, from December 1 - 28, the new energy retail sales increased by 5% year - on - year, and the cumulative retail sales since this year increased by 18% year - on - year [110]. 3.3.2 Enterprise Dynamics - BYD's sales in December 2025 were 420,398 vehicles. In 2025, its annual sales of pure - electric vehicles exceeded Tesla's for the first time, ranking first globally [112]. - Geely Auto's sales in December 2025 were 236,817 vehicles. It announced a sales target of 3.45 million vehicles in 2026 [113][115]. - Chery Group's sales in December 2025 were 244,928 vehicles. In 2026, it aims to have a sales growth rate 10 - 20 percentage points higher than the industry average [116][118]. - Xiaomi Auto's delivery volume in December 2025 exceeded 50,000 vehicles, and its delivery target in 2026 is 550,000 vehicles. It also plans to launch four new models in 2026 [119]. 3.4 Industry Views - From December 1 - 28, 2025, the retail growth rate of the domestic passenger car market was - 17%, and the new energy growth rate was + 5%. As of December 28, 2025, the cumulative annual growth rates were 4% and 18% respectively. Self - owned brands such as BYD and Geely remained strong, and exports became a new growth point [120]. - The US new energy vehicle market declined in November 2025, while the European and other regions showed growth. Overall, the development space of new energy vehicles in non - US regions is optimistic [121]. 3.5 Investment Suggestions - China's new energy vehicle market penetration rate has rapidly increased, and exports have become a new growth point. Non - US regions have good development prospects, and self - owned brands with certain advantages will be the core beneficiaries [122].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The automotive sector is expected to experience a bottom recovery due to the implementation of the vehicle trade-in policy in 2026, with BYD surpassing Tesla to become the global sales champion for pure electric vehicles [5][16] - The domestic automotive market saw significant sales growth in 2025, with BYD leading with 4.6 million units sold, a 8% increase year-on-year [5][16] - The report highlights the competitive landscape, with new energy vehicle sales driving market growth, particularly for companies like BYD and NIO [5][16] Industry News - In 2025, BYD sold 4,602,436 vehicles, maintaining its position as the top seller, while new entrants like Leap Motor and Xiaomi also showed strong sales growth [5][13] - Tesla's 2025 delivery data revealed nearly 1.64 million vehicles delivered, with a 8.6% decrease compared to the previous year [14][16] - NIO has expanded its battery swap network, aiming to build 1,000 new battery swap stations by 2026 [15] - The lithium battery industry is experiencing price increases, with demand for energy storage batteries remaining high [18] - The 2026 vehicle trade-in policy will adjust subsidies based on vehicle price, with a maximum subsidy of 20,000 yuan [19] Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the market with a 1.49% increase, ranking fifth among A-share industries [6][28] - The passenger vehicle index saw a decline of 1.20%, while the automotive parts index increased by 3.63% [6][28] - The report indicates a decrease in PE ratios for passenger and commercial vehicle sectors, while the automotive parts sector saw a 12% increase in PE ratios [10][12] Investment Recommendations - For passenger vehicles, the report recommends companies like JAC Motors and Seres, with beneficiaries including Geely [7] - In the automotive parts sector, companies such as Desay SV and Zhejiang Xiantong are recommended, with beneficiaries including Weichai Power and Huayu Automotive [7]