美联储降息预期
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黄金、白银,触底反弹!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-18 08:30
当地时间2月17日,国际贵金属期货价格普遍下跌,COMEX黄金期货跌2.33%,报4896.10美元/盎司;COMEX白银期货跌3.93%,报73.55美元/盎 司。现货黄金跌2.33%,报4878.89美元/盎司;现货白银跌4.16%,报73.50美元/盎司。 2月18日亚市早盘,现货黄金、白银低开后强势拉升,截至15时14分,现货黄金价格报4941.18美元/盎司,日内涨1.30%;现货白银涨2.94%,报 75.67美元/盎司。 | 现货黄金 XAU 交易中 | | | | | 与 美元/盎司 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4941.18 63.47(1.30%) | | | | | 2026-02-18 15:14:43 | | 买价:4941.18 | | | | 最高 : 4941.75 | 最低:4853.18 | | 现货白银 XAG 交易中 | | | | | 与 美元/盎司 | | 75.67 2.16(2.94%) | | | | | 2026-02-18 15:14:23 | | 买价:75.67 | 卖价:75.74 | 今开:7 ...
春节期间,全球资本市场涨跌情况,与节后市场预测
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-18 07:29
Core Viewpoint - The global capital markets exhibited a stable performance during the Spring Festival holiday, setting a favorable external environment for the A-share market's reopening, with key drivers including expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a recovery in industrial metal demand [3][6][13]. Equity Markets - The A-share market experienced a slight decline before the holiday, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4082.07 points, down 1.26%, and the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.28% [4]. - The Hong Kong stock market was the only major Asian market open during the holiday, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.52% to 26705.94 points, driven by sectors such as semiconductors and AI applications [5]. - The U.S. stock market remained stable, with the Dow Jones increasing by 0.10% and the S&P 500 maintaining a strong position, supported by robust corporate earnings and expectations of interest rate cuts [5][14]. Debt Market and Currency - The U.S. Treasury yields declined, with the 10-year yield falling to 3.85%, reflecting an 80% probability of a rate cut by June, driven by easing inflation data [6][13]. - The exchange rate remained stable, with the USD/CNY rate at 6.9225, supported by the People's Bank of China's liquidity measures and narrowing interest rate differentials [6]. Commodity Market - Industrial metals showed strong performance, with copper prices rising by 1.4% to $13,176 per ton, benefiting from global demand recovery and expectations of liquidity easing [7]. - Oil prices remained stable, with WTI crude oil slightly increasing to $62.89 per barrel, influenced by geopolitical factors and supply-demand dynamics [7]. Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to experience a bullish trend post-holiday, with historical data indicating a 76% probability of an increase in the first five trading days after the Spring Festival [9]. - The Hong Kong market is anticipated to undergo a structural rebound, with a 60% probability of an increase in the month following the holiday, driven by external sentiment and capital inflows [11]. - The U.S. market is projected to continue its strong performance, particularly in technology sectors, supported by favorable interest rate expectations and solid corporate earnings [14].
金价银价又跌了 黄金白银大跌原因找到了
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-18 00:53
【金价银价又跌了 #黄金白银大跌原因找到了#】当地时间17日,全球多个主要市场因传统节日休市, 贵金属市场交投清淡。在美联储降息预期有所降温的背景下,黄金在5000 美元/盎司的关键心理关口遭 遇阻力,叠加部分投资者获利了结,加剧了贵金属价格的下行压力。截至北京时间17日12时30分,伦敦 现货黄金价格报4956.77美元/盎司,下跌0.72%;现货白银价格报75.325美元/盎司,下跌1.64%;纽约商 品交易所4月交割的黄金期价报每盎司4971.60美元,跌幅为1.48%。3月交割的白银期价报每盎司75.505 美元,跌幅为3.15%。@央视财经 #金价##金价银价直线跳水# ...
美股深V反弹,苹果涨超3%,芯片股普跌,金银油大跌,特朗普称将间接参与美伊谈判
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 23:18
Market Overview - US stock market experienced a significant rebound on February 17, with all three major indices closing slightly higher after initially opening lower, with the Dow Jones down over 300 points and the Nasdaq down over 1.2% at one point [9][10]. Major Indices Performance - The closing values for the major indices were as follows: Dow Jones at 49,533.19 (+32.26, +0.07%), Nasdaq at 22,578.38 (+31.71, +0.14%), and S&P 500 at 6,843.22 (+7.05, +0.10%) [10]. Technology Sector - Large tech stocks showed mixed results, with Apple rising over 3% due to news of accelerating development of three new wearable devices. Amazon and Nvidia also increased by over 1%, while Tesla, Microsoft, and Google fell by over 1% [10][12]. Semiconductor Sector - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index decreased by 0.02%. Notable movements included Broadcom rising over 2%, Qualcomm and ARM increasing over 1%, while Micron Technology and AMD fell over 2%, and Intel dropped over 1% [10][11]. Banking Sector - Bank stocks collectively rose, with JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs increasing by over 1%, and Citigroup rising over 2% [11]. Energy Sector - Energy stocks declined across the board, with ExxonMobil down over 1%, Chevron down 0.75%, ConocoPhillips down over 2%, and Occidental Petroleum down 0.26% [12]. Mining Sector - Mining stocks also faced declines, with Kinross Gold and Harmony Gold dropping over 5%, and Pan American Silver down over 3% [12]. Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.10%. Individual stock performances varied, with Luokung Technology rising nearly 16%, and companies like TAL Education and Kingsoft Cloud dropping over 2% [12]. Precious Metals - Spot gold closed down 2.24% at $4,878.90 per ounce, while spot silver fell to $73.50 per ounce, marking a significant decline [12][13]. Oil Prices - International oil prices also saw a decrease, with WTI crude oil futures at $62.33 per barrel (down 0.89%) and Brent crude oil futures at $67.42 per barrel (down 1.79%) [13]. Cryptocurrency Market - Major cryptocurrencies experienced declines, with Bitcoin briefly dropping below $67,000 before recovering to $67,638.90, reflecting a 1.31% decrease [14].
埃氏金业股价下跌3.77%,受板块回调及业绩波动影响
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 19:43
经济观察网 根据2026年2月17日的市场数据,埃氏金业(EGO.N)当日下跌3.77%,收盘报45.59美元, 其逆势下跌的原因可归纳为以下几点: 板块变化情况 尽管美股三大指数当日收涨(道指涨0.30%,纳指涨0.50%),但黄金板块整体下跌1.41%。现货黄金在 2月17日盘中跌破4900美元/盎司,白银一度暴跌约5%,贵金属市场的避险情绪降温对黄金股形成压 力。埃氏金业作为板块内成分股,难以独善其身。 股价情况 该股此前涨幅较大,近5日累计上涨8.59%,年初至今涨幅达26.91%。2月17日股价振幅5.20%,最低触 及43.24美元,部分资金选择在近期高位兑现收益,导致日内承压。 业绩经营情况 行业政策现状 RadexMarkets瑞德克斯指出,强劲的非农数据(1月新增就业13万)使市场对美联储降息预期进一步推 迟,压制了无息资产黄金的吸引力。这一宏观环境变化加剧了黄金股的整体调整压力。 综上,埃氏金业的下跌是板块回调、技术面调整、基本面业绩波动及宏观情绪多重因素共振的结果。 以上内容基于公开资料整理,不构成投资建议。 尽管公司2025年第三季度营业收入同比增长31.17%,但归母净利润同比下滑4 ...
宏力股价下跌5% 受板块疲软及宏观风险偏好降温影响
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 16:30
经济观察网 根据截至2026年2月17日的市场数据,宏力(HLP.OQ)股价当日下跌5.00%,收于1.14美 元。其下跌主要受以下因素影响: 美联储降息预期推迟,叠加恐慌指数(VIX)升至22.50的高位,市场避险情绪升温。贵金属(黄金跌 破4850美元)及加密货币(比特币失守6.7万美元)大幅回调,进一步抑制中小盘股的风险偏好。 板块变化情况 当日美股钢铁板块下跌0.96%,而纳斯达克指数下跌0.47%。市场对人工智能领域高资本开支的担忧引 发科技股抛售,并蔓延至周期性板块,拖累钢铁等传统行业情绪。 资金面与技术面 宏力当日成交额仅9.09万美元,量比1.07,显示交投清淡且买盘动力不足。股价振幅达11.03%,盘中跌 破关键支撑位,最低触及1.13美元,反映空头情绪占主导工具数据。 市场环境 公司基本面 尽管宏力年初至今累计上涨9.62%,但近期无重大利好公告或业绩指引更新。在板块资金流出及市场聚 焦AI颠覆风险的背景下,缺乏短期催化剂的个股更易受到流动性冲击工具数据。 综上,宏力股价下跌是板块疲软、技术面破位及宏观风险偏好降温共同作用的结果。 以上内容基于公开资料整理,不构成投资建议。 ...
全球资产深夜大跌,美股半导体股下挫,白银失守72美元,比特币跌破6.7万美元
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-17 15:28
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a decline, with all three major indices falling, and the Nasdaq Composite Index dropping by 1% [1] - The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), known as the "fear index," reached 22.50, up from around 17 at the beginning of the previous week [1] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index led the decline in technology stocks, with notable drops from companies such as Advanced Micro Devices (over 5%), Intel, and Micron Technology (nearly 4%) [1] - The "Big Seven" tech stocks have collectively fallen by 7.2% year-to-date [1] Gold and Silver Market - Gold-related stocks saw a decline, with Harmony Gold down 6%, K92 Mining down 4.6%, and Pan American Silver down 4.4% [2] - International gold prices fell sharply, with spot gold dropping below $4,850 and spot silver also falling below $72, marking new lows since February 6 [3] - The London gold price decreased by 2.55% year-to-date, while London silver fell by 5.11% [4] Oil and Gas Market - International oil and gas prices experienced a significant drop, with WTI crude oil and ICE Brent crude oil both falling nearly 2%, and U.S. natural gas futures dropping by 6% [4] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin fell below $67,000, with a daily decline of 2.9%, and approximately 77,000 traders faced liquidation in the global market [5] Geopolitical Developments - Positive developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations were reported, with Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian stating that progress has been made [5][7] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook has shifted, with Chicago Fed President Goolsbee indicating that further rate cuts may occur if inflation continues to decline [7]
美股异动丨现货白银跌破72美元,白银股集体走低
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 15:25
Group 1 - Silver stocks collectively declined, with First Majestic Silver falling nearly 10%, Endeavour Silver down 9.5%, and New Pacific Metals decreasing by 8.5% [1] - Spot silver prices dropped below $72 per ounce, marking a new low since February 6 [1] - The precious metals market experienced low trading volumes due to multiple major markets being closed for traditional holidays [1] Group 2 - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has cooled, leading to resistance for gold at the critical psychological level of $5,000 per ounce [1] - Some investors are taking profits, which has intensified downward pressure on precious metal prices [1]
帮主快评:大年初一,黄金白银给投资者发了张“绿色账单”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 15:00
大年初一,饺子刚下锅,海外市场就给投资者上了一道"凉菜"。 现货黄金失守4950美元,白银暴跌超4%。节前追高的人,红包还没捂热,先收到一张"绿色账单"。 谁干的?两股力量。 二是流动性。中国市场春节休市,美国总统日放假,交易员们都在吃团圆饭,盘面一碰就倒。在稀薄的 流动性面前,几笔卖单就能砸出深坑。 所以问题来了:这一跌,是上车机会,还是逃跑信号? 一是美联储。1月非农超预期,降息预期从6月推到7月。利率不降,不生息的黄金自然承压。 我的判断:别拿节日行情当趋势。流动性枯竭放大的波动,往往来得快去得也快。真正决定黄金方向 的,还是那句老话——全球央行还在买,地缘风险还在,去美元化还在。这些底层逻辑,一根日线改变 不了。 给三个操作建议: 第一,不接飞刀。等波动率回落、成交量恢复正常。 第二,分清交易和配置。短线客已出局,长线客反而该看看自己信仰够不够。 第三,盯住4900关口。如果能站稳,避险属性就没丢。 你觉得,这轮调整到位了吗?评论区聊聊 ...
大年初一,黄金、白银,集体下跌!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 13:51
2026年开年以来,金银价格先后冲高回调,但调整中走势分化明显。截至发稿,现货黄金年内仍保有约 15%的涨幅;白银则从年初超过50%的累计涨幅大幅收缩至6%左右。 当地时间17日,全球多个主要市场因传统节日休市,贵金属市场交投清淡。在美联储降息预期有所降温 的背景下,黄金在5000美元/盎司的关键心理关口遭遇阻力,叠加部分投资者获利了结,加剧了贵金属 价格的下行压力。 继昨日先跌后涨大反转后,截至北京时间17日12时30分,伦敦现货黄金价格报4956.77美元/盎司,下跌 0.72%; 现货白银价格报75.325美元/盎司,下跌1.64%; 纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期价报每盎司4971.60美元,跌幅为1.48%。 3月交割的白银期价报每盎司75.505美元,跌幅为3.15%。 中信证券金属行业首席分析师敖翀在接受记者采访时表示:"流动性是整个这一轮推动全球绝大多数资 产上涨的一个核心因素。所以,我们就很好理解离流动性越近、离钱越近的资产可能涨得越快。其次, 我们认为在目前的情况下,地缘政治冲突还是比较越演越烈的一个情况,导致这个黄金会不断地扮演避 险的这种角色。我觉得金价上涨的趋势并没有完结,依然是可以 ...