反内卷

Search documents
【财经分析】8月中国大宗商品价格指数(CBPI)同比上涨1.2% 系列政策促指数连续四个月正增长
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-05 01:38
Core Viewpoint - The China Commodity Price Index (CBPI) for August 2025 is reported at 111.7 points, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.3% and a year-on-year increase of 1.2%, indicating a stable recovery in the commodity market [1][4]. Price Index Summary - The CBPI has shown a continuous month-on-month increase for four consecutive months, signaling a stable recovery in the commodity market [1][4]. - The energy price index has rebounded, reporting 98.7 points with a month-on-month increase of 2% [4][10]. - The black metal price index has continued to rebound, reaching 79.7 points with a month-on-month increase of 2.2% [4][10]. - The non-ferrous metal price index has also risen, reporting 130.4 points with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% [4][10]. - The chemical price index has declined, reporting 101.9 points with a month-on-month decrease of 1% and a year-on-year decrease of 11% [10]. - The agricultural product price index has slightly decreased to 97.1 points, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 0.8% but a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [10]. Commodity Price Changes - Among the 50 monitored commodities, 25 saw price increases while 25 experienced declines in August [8]. - The top three commodities with price increases were coke (20.1%), praseodymium oxide (19.1%), and lithium carbonate (16.6%) [8]. - The top three commodities with price declines were apples (-4.6%), methanol (-3.6%), and urea (-2.8%) [8]. Market Insights - Analysts attribute the rebound in black metal prices to the implementation of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and reducing competition [6][7]. - The rise in energy prices is linked to the peak summer energy demand and the ongoing implementation of "anti-involution" policies [6]. - The increase in non-ferrous metal prices is influenced by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a gradual recovery in domestic demand [6]. - The decline in chemical prices is primarily due to seasonal demand weakness and a drop in international oil prices, which has weakened cost support [10]. - The mineral price index has decreased due to high temperatures and heavy rainfall affecting project construction progress and downstream demand [10].
五矿期货文字早评-20250905
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 01:38
Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views - The short - term index faces adjustment pressure, but the long - term trend is to go long on dips. The bond market is expected to be volatile in the short term, and interest rates may decline in the long term. For most commodities, the market is affected by factors such as supply and demand, policies, and macro - economic conditions, and different trading strategies are recommended for different commodities [3][5]. Summaries by Categories Macro - Financial Stock Index - **News**: The State Council aims to boost the sports industry, the central bank conducts a 10000 - billion - yuan reverse repurchase, US Treasury yields decline, and Goldman Sachs predicts a potential rise in gold prices [2]. - **Basis Ratio**: The basis ratios of IF, IC, IM, and IH in different periods are provided, showing negative values [3]. - **Trading Logic**: After the previous rise, high - level sectors like AI are adjusting, and trading volume is shrinking. However, policy support for the capital market remains, so the long - term strategy is to go long on dips [3]. Treasury Bonds - **Market**: On Thursday, the main contracts of TL, T, and TF rose, while TS declined. The central bank conducts a 10000 - billion - yuan reverse repurchase, and the State Council promotes sports consumption. The central bank conducts a 2126 - billion - yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase with a net withdrawal of 2035 billion yuan [4]. - **Strategy**: The manufacturing PMI improved in August but is still below the boom - bust line. The central bank maintains a loose monetary policy. Interest rates may decline in the long term, but the bond market may be volatile in the short term [5]. Precious Metals - **Market**: Shanghai gold and silver, and COMEX gold and silver all declined. The US 10 - year Treasury yield is 4.17%, and the US dollar index is 98.29 [6]. - **Outlook**: US employment data is weak, and Fed officials are dovish. The labor market has weakened. Gold and silver prices are supported at high levels. It is recommended to go long on dips, with reference price ranges provided [6][7]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - **Market**: Copper prices declined. LME copper inventory decreased, while domestic social inventory increased. The price is supported by tight supply and approaching peak season. Reference price ranges for Shanghai and LME copper are provided [9]. Aluminum - **Market**: Aluminum prices declined. Domestic electrolytic aluminum inventory is relatively low, and demand is improving. The price is expected to be volatile, with reference price ranges provided [10]. Zinc - **Market**: Zinc prices declined. Zinc ore is in the seasonal inventory - building stage, and the market is in an oversupply situation. The price is expected to be in a low - level volatile pattern [11][12]. Lead - **Market**: Lead prices declined slightly. The supply of lead is expected to decrease marginally, and the price is expected to strengthen [13]. Nickel - **Market**: Nickel prices oscillated. The short - term macro - environment is positive, and the price is supported by various factors. It is recommended to go long on dips, with reference price ranges provided [14]. Tin - **Market**: Tin prices oscillated narrowly. Supply is tight due to slow复产 and planned maintenance, while demand is in the off - season. The price is expected to be volatile [15]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market**: The price of lithium carbonate contracts adjusted weakly, but the A - share lithium battery sector strengthened. Supply and demand are improving. It is recommended to pay attention to overseas raw material supply, with a reference price range provided [16]. Alumina - **Market**: Alumina prices declined. Supply and demand are in an oversupply situation, but the price decline space is limited. It is recommended to wait and see, with a reference price range provided [17]. Stainless Steel - **Market**: Stainless steel prices declined. The market is in a consolidation pattern due to factors such as the decline in nickel prices and weak demand [18]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market**: Cast aluminum alloy prices declined. The market is transitioning from the off - season to the peak season, and the price is expected to be high - level due to cost support and increased market activity [20][21]. Black Building Materials Steel - **Market**: Steel prices showed a volatile and slightly stronger trend but were under pressure. Demand is weak, and inventory is accumulating. If demand does not improve, prices may decline further [23][24]. Iron Ore - **Market**: Iron ore prices rose. Overseas shipments increased, and demand decreased. The price is expected to be volatile in the short term, and the focus is on the recovery of demand in the peak season [25][26]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Glass**: Prices are stable, and the market is generally stable. Supply is high, and inventory pressure is increasing. The price is expected to be weakly volatile in the short term and may follow the macro - environment in the long term [27]. - **Soda Ash**: Prices are stable, and inventory pressure is slightly increasing. The price is expected to be volatile in the short term and may gradually rise in the long term, but the upward space is limited [28]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market**: Manganese silicon and ferrosilicon prices declined. The "anti - involution" sentiment has faded, and prices are moving towards fundamentals. Manganese silicon may remain weak, and ferrosilicon depends on downstream demand. It is recommended to wait and see for speculative trading [29][30][31]. Industrial Silicon - **Market**: Industrial silicon prices rose slightly. Supply is increasing, and demand is insufficient. The price is expected to be weakly volatile, with a reference price range provided [32][33]. Polysilicon - **Market**: Polysilicon prices rose slightly. The market is in a "weak reality, strong expectation" pattern. The price is expected to be highly volatile, and it may rise further if positive news emerges [34][35]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **Market**: Rubber prices oscillated strongly. The price is affected by weather and supply - demand expectations. It is recommended to have a long - term bullish view and a short - term bullish strategy, with specific trading suggestions provided [37][40]. Crude Oil - **Market**: Crude oil and related product prices declined. Although the geopolitical premium has disappeared and the macro - environment is bearish, the price is undervalued, and it is a good time for left - hand side layout [41]. Methanol - **Market**: Methanol prices declined. Supply is in an oversupply situation, but the downward space is limited due to potential factors. It is recommended to wait and see [42]. Urea - **Market**: Urea prices were stable. Supply pressure has eased, but demand is weak. The price is expected to be in a range, and it is recommended to consider long positions on dips [43]. Styrene - **Market**: Styrene spot prices rose, and futures prices declined. The BZN spread is expected to repair, and the price may rebound after the inventory - reduction inflection point [44]. PVC - **Market**: PVC prices rose slightly. Supply is strong, demand is weak, and the export outlook is weak. It is recommended to consider short positions [46]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market**: Ethylene glycol prices rose. Supply is still in an oversupply situation, and the port inventory is expected to increase in the medium term. The price may decline in the medium term [47]. PTA - **Market**: PTA prices declined. Supply has changed from inventory - building to inventory - reduction, and demand is improving. It is recommended to consider long positions on dips following PX [48][49]. Para - Xylene - **Market**: Para - xylene prices declined. The load is high, and the price is supported by low inventory and improving downstream data. It is recommended to consider long positions on dips following crude oil [50]. Polyethylene - **Market**: Polyethylene prices declined. Supply is limited, and demand may increase in the peak season. The price is expected to oscillate upward [51]. Polypropylene - **Market**: Polypropylene prices declined. Supply pressure is high, and demand is in a seasonal rebound. The market has no prominent contradictions in the short term [52]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **Market**: Pig prices generally declined. Supply is expected to be weak in September, but demand and other factors may support the price. It is recommended to wait and see and consider far - month reverse spreads [56]. Eggs - **Market**: Egg prices were stable or rose. Supply is stable, and demand is increasing due to festival stocking. The price is expected to be easy to rise and difficult to fall in the short term, but there may be pressure in the medium term [57]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market**: US soybeans rose slightly, and domestic soybean meal prices rebounded. The supply of global protein raw materials is in an oversupply situation, and the price is expected to be in a range. It is recommended to consider long positions on dips at the low - cost range [58][59]. Oils and Fats - **Market**: Oils and fats oscillated. Palm oil exports in Malaysia increased, and production decreased. The price is supported by various factors and is expected to be strongly volatile. It is recommended to be bullish on palm oil in the fourth quarter [60][61]. Sugar - **Market**: Sugar prices declined. Domestic sugar imports increased, and there is an expectation of increased production in Guangxi. The long - term view is bearish, and the price trend depends on the international market [62][64]. Cotton - **Market**: Cotton prices oscillated. Global cotton production and inventory are expected to decline. The price is expected to be volatile at a high level in the short term due to potential improvement in fundamentals [65][66].
国海证券晨会纪要-20250905
Guohai Securities· 2025-09-05 01:30
Group 1: SF Express (顺丰同城) / Logistics - The company achieved revenue of 10.236 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 48.81%, and a net profit of 137 million yuan, up 120.43% year-on-year [3][4] - The ToB delivery and last-mile business saw significant growth, with a 50%+ increase in same-city delivery orders, driving revenue to 5.779 billion yuan, a 43.11% increase year-on-year [4] - The company’s gross margin was 6.65%, slightly down by 0.23 percentage points, while the net profit margin improved by 0.44 percentage points to 1.34% [5][6] Group 2: China Everbright Environment (光大环境) / Environmental Governance - The company reported a revenue of 14.304 billion HKD in H1 2025, a decrease of 8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.207 billion HKD, down 10% year-on-year [8][9] - Operating service revenue increased by 5% to 9.943 billion HKD, accounting for 70% of total revenue, while construction service revenue fell by 49% [9][10] - The company’s gross margin improved significantly to 44.26%, up 5.53 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin increased to 19.44%, up 0.84 percentage points [10] Group 3: Fenbi (粉笔) / Education - The company reported a revenue of 1.492 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 8.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 227 million yuan, down 18.39% year-on-year [11][12] - The AI question-answering system is expected to become a new growth engine, with significant potential for revenue increase [13][14] - The company forecasts revenues of 2.525 billion yuan, 2.618 billion yuan, and 2.793 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [14] Group 4: HuiLiang Technology (汇量科技) / Advertising Marketing - The company achieved total revenue of 938 million USD in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47%, and a net profit of 32.28 million USD, up 340% year-on-year [15][17] - The average daily advertising requests increased from over 200 billion in H1 2024 to over 300 billion in H1 2025, indicating strong client engagement [18] - The company forecasts revenues of 2.211 billion USD, 2.747 billion USD, and 3.301 billion USD for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [18] Group 5: Focus Media (分众传媒) / Advertising Marketing - The company reported total revenue of 6.112 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.43%, and a net profit of 2.665 billion yuan, up 6.87% year-on-year [20][21] - The gross margin improved to 68.3%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin reached 43.4%, up 2.3 percentage points [21][22] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1 yuan per 10 shares, with a cash dividend ratio of 25.5% [20] Group 6: Tungsten Industry / Industry Research - The report highlights a tightening supply of tungsten due to regulatory constraints and declining ore grades, with limited new projects expected [27][28] - The demand for tungsten is projected to grow, driven by applications in hard alloys and the semiconductor industry, with significant projects like the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project expected to boost demand [28][29] - The strategic importance of tungsten is increasing due to export controls and tariffs, leading to a potential revaluation of tungsten resources [29] Group 7: Great Wall Motors (长城汽车) / Passenger Vehicles - The company reported total revenue of 92.33 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1%, and a net profit of 6.34 billion yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year [31][32] - The company’s Q2 2025 revenue reached 52.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, with a significant increase in net profit [32][33] - The company forecasts revenues of 225.3 billion yuan, 278.5 billion yuan, and 312.5 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [34] Group 8: Dongfang Tower (东方铁塔) / Agricultural Chemical Products - The company achieved revenue of 2.148 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.51%, and a net profit of 493 million yuan, up 79.18% year-on-year [35][36] - The company’s Q2 revenue was 1.193 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.20%, with a significant increase in net profit [37][38] - The company forecasts revenues of 4.926 billion yuan, 5.145 billion yuan, and 5.372 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [39] Group 9: Yipule (易普力) / Chemical Products - The company reported revenue of 4.713 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, and a net profit of 409 million yuan, up 16.4% year-on-year [42][43] - The company’s Q2 revenue was 2.703 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.4%, with a significant increase in net profit [43][44] - The company’s performance is driven by high-quality development and market investment [44]
金属与材料“反内卷”之风未止,铜冶炼之路不竭
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-09-05 01:28
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of "anti-involution" in the copper smelting industry, driven by economic slowdown and the need for industry self-discipline to prevent vicious competition [3][4][6] - The copper smelting sector is facing significant losses, necessitating a focus on capacity optimization to improve profitability [3][22] - The report suggests that the copper industry is expected to return to profitability in the long term, with an emphasis on optimizing capacity and improving operational efficiency [3][22] Industry Overview - The "anti-involution" movement was first highlighted in a Politburo meeting on July 30, 2024, aiming to strengthen industry self-discipline and prevent harmful competition [3][5] - The copper smelting industry is currently experiencing substantial losses, with the need for a shift towards capacity optimization and the elimination of outdated production methods [3][22] - The report identifies the mismatch between copper mining and smelting capacities as a critical issue, with domestic smelting capacity expanding while raw material supply remains heavily reliant on imports [45][49] Economic Context - The report draws parallels between the current "anti-involution" movement and previous supply-side reforms, both occurring in a context of economic growth slowdown [7][9] - It highlights that both periods experienced declining GDP growth rates and prolonged periods of negative Producer Price Index (PPI) [9][10] - The current economic environment is characterized by weaker demand on the consumer side, exacerbating challenges for industries like copper smelting [10][14] Capacity Optimization Strategies - The report outlines key strategies for optimizing copper smelting capacity, including the elimination of outdated production capacity and the adoption of advanced smelting technologies [3][52] - It emphasizes the importance of constructing high-standard smelting facilities and effectively utilizing recycled resources [3][52] - The report suggests that companies with cost advantages in smelting are likely to have stronger profitability as the industry undergoes restructuring [3][22] Investment Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on companies with smelting cost advantages and those involved in mining and smelting integration, such as Zijin Mining, Western Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and others [3][22] - It indicates that the copper smelting industry may see a turnaround in profitability as capacity mismatches are addressed and operational efficiencies are improved [3][22] Challenges and Risks - The report notes that the copper smelting industry is currently facing significant challenges, including high production costs and a reliance on imported raw materials [3][45] - It highlights the need for the industry to adapt to changing market conditions and regulatory environments to mitigate risks associated with overcapacity and competition [3][22]
7月份国内市场钢材价格止跌回升
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-05 01:12
Core Viewpoint - In July, the domestic steel market showed an upward trend due to favorable macro policies, increased cost support, and enhanced expectations for crude steel production regulation. However, in August, the market began to return to fundamentals, with prices experiencing slight fluctuations amid weak demand and continuous inventory accumulation [1][6]. Price Index Summary - The China Steel Price Index (CSPI) averaged 92.79 points in July, an increase of 2.69 points (2.98%) month-on-month, but a decrease of 7.67 points (7.64%) year-on-year. The long product index averaged 94.82 points, up 2.90 points (3.16%) month-on-month, and the plate index averaged 91.10 points, up 2.78 points (3.14%) month-on-month [2]. - As of the end of July, the CSPI was 95.87 points, up 6.36 points (7.11%) month-on-month, but down 1.60 points (1.64%) year-to-date [2]. Price Trends of Major Steel Products - In July, the average prices of major steel products increased across the board, with hot-rolled coil prices rising by 133 CNY/ton (4.07%) and seamless pipe prices increasing by 15 CNY/ton (0.36%) [5]. Regional Price Index Analysis - In July, the average steel price index across six major regions in China showed a general upward trend, with the East China region experiencing the largest increase of 3.37% [7]. Investment and Economic Indicators - From January to July, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 288,229 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, with infrastructure investment growing by 3.2% [8]. - The manufacturing sector faced challenges, with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dropping to 49.3% in July, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [9]. Steel Production and Consumption - From January to July, crude steel production was 59,447 million tons, a decrease of 3.1% year-on-year, while apparent crude steel consumption fell by 6% [11]. - In July, the daily crude steel production was 256.9 thousand tons, down 7.4% month-on-month [11]. International Market Trends - The CRU international steel price index was 186.2 points in July, down 1.0% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year [13]. - The North American steel price index increased by 2.1% in July, while European and Asian markets continued to see price declines [17][19]. Future Price Trends and Policy Implications - The steel industry is expected to face challenges in exports due to ongoing trade investigations and tariffs, which may impact future pricing and demand [24]. - The industry is advised to focus on price governance mechanisms and self-regulation in production to adapt to changing market conditions [25][26].
黑色建材日报-20250905
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 01:05
黑色建材日报 2025-09-05 钢材 黑色建材组 陈张滢 从业资格号:F03098415 交易咨询号:Z0020771 0755-23375161 chenzy@wkqh.cn 郎志杰 从业资格号:F3030112 0755-23375125 langzj@wkqh.cn 万林新 从业资格号:F03133967 0755-23375162 wanlx@wkqh.cn 赵 航 从业资格号:F03133652 0755-23375155 zhao3@wkqh.cn 螺纹钢主力合约下午收盘价为 3117 元/吨, 较上一交易日涨 11 元/吨(0.354%)。当日注册仓单 222549 吨, 环比增加 896 吨。主力合约持仓量为 173.6432 万手,环比减少 18381 手。现货市场方面, 螺纹钢天 津汇总价格为 3200 元/吨, 环比增加 10/吨; 上海汇总价格为 3230 元/吨, 环比减少 0 元/吨。 热轧板卷 主力合约收盘价为 3313 元/吨, 较上一交易日涨 14 元/吨(0.424%)。 当日注册仓单 24459 吨, 环比减 少 301 吨。主力合约持仓量为 128.3425 万手, ...
中原证券晨会聚焦-20250905
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-09-05 01:00
证券研究报告-晨会聚焦 发布日期:2025 年 09 月 05 日 资料来源:聚源,中原证券研究所 -3% 5% 14% 22% 31% 39% 48% 56% 2024.09 2025.01 2025.05 2025.09 上证指数 深证成指 分析师:张刚 登记编码:S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 3,765.88 | -1.25 | | 深证成指 | | 12,118.70 | -2.83 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,365.21 | -2.12 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,154.54 | -2.39 | | 中证 | ...
9月利率策略展望:债券研究
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-09-05 00:23
Group 1 - The bond market experienced a volatile upward trend in August, with the yield curve steepening further. The market's high expectations for "anti-involution" policies were adjusted after the Politburo meeting at the end of July, combined with a weak fundamental backdrop [1][11] - In August, the 10-year government bond yield rose to 1.84%, an increase of 13.4 basis points from the end of July. The yields for 10-year policy bank bonds and other government-related bonds also saw similar increases [11][12] Group 2 - The significant rise in the stock market over the past two months has exerted pressure on the bond market, but this effect is expected to weaken in September. The continuous decrease in non-bank positions and the increase in allocation by institutional investors will gradually reduce the stock market's suppression of the bond market [2][15] - The manufacturing PMI for August was reported at 49.4%, remaining below the threshold, indicating a weak economic environment. The relative value of bonds has improved significantly from a fundamental perspective, suggesting that if the stock market continues to rise, the adjustment space for current interest rates is limited [2][15] Group 3 - Industrial product prices have been declining, and market expectations for "anti-involution" policies are returning to fundamentals, which may ease pressure on the bond market. The South China Industrial Products Index fell from a high of 3824 points on July 25 to 3602 points by September 3, reflecting a decrease in aggressive buying sentiment [3][19] - The bond market may revert to fundamental pricing as the weak recovery in the economy continues. The manufacturing PMI remains below the threshold, and various investment growth rates have significantly declined, indicating a weak demand environment [4][20] Group 4 - The liquidity in the market is expected to remain loose, with a decrease in fiscal deposits likely to supplement market liquidity. As of August 31, the net financing progress for government bonds was 69.4%, and for local bonds, it was 74.7%. If no new fiscal budget is introduced, the subsequent bond supply will decrease year-on-year [5][26] - The central bank has increased its support for the liquidity environment since 2025, which is expected to limit liquidity shocks at the end of the quarter. The average R007 rate at the end of June only increased by 2 basis points compared to May, indicating a stable liquidity environment [5][26] Group 5 - The bond market's earlier excessive gains have been gradually digested, and the yield curve is expected to normalize. The significant widening of the yield spread between 10-year and 1-year bonds has improved the relative value of long-term bonds [6][39] - The bond market is anticipated to gradually recover in September, with a recommendation for a barbell strategy to increase allocations. The adjustment limits for 10-year and 30-year government bonds are projected to be around 1.8% and 2.1%, respectively [7][43]
行长集体表态“反内卷”,恶性竞争时代将终结?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 00:12
从监管出手整治内卷式竞争,到多家银行高管在业绩发布会上公开表态"反内卷",现如今, 一场针对行业内卷的变革正在逐步改变着商业银行的竞争逻辑。 自中央经济工作会议提出综合整治内卷式竞争以来,"反内卷"已经成为银行业的共识。 在上市银行近期召开的2025中期业绩发布会上,多名高管提及"反内卷",据不完全统计,至 少包括邮储银行、中信银行、招商银行、平安银行、兴业银行、华夏银行、民生银行、浙商 银行、杭州银行等在内的九家上市银行。其中,有的高管明确表态"未来将持续降本增效, 不搞内卷式竞争";有的则从理念上进行根本转变,提出"加强宣导、严格约束,让价格内卷 回归价值服务"。 在多位银行高管看来,银行业过度内卷扰乱金融秩序,"反内卷"有利于银行业存贷款、中间 业务实现更加高质量、可持续的发展,为行业创造更为健康的市场环境。 银行如何做好"反内卷"? 坚持理性定价与风险定价 近年来,"内卷"已频繁出现在企业竞争的语境当中,由此出现的价格战也屡见不鲜。 在近期业绩发布会上,包括邮储银行、中信银行、招商银行、平安银行、兴业银行、华夏银 行、民生银行、浙商银行、杭州银行等在内的多家上市银行高管均表示,将积极执行"反内 卷"相 ...
0904A股日评:无惧风雨,“慢牛”仍在-20250905
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-04 23:30
丨证券研究报告丨 市场策略丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 0904 A 股日评:无惧风雨,"慢牛"仍在 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 今日 A 股市场震荡走低,三大指数齐跌,今日量能小幅回升。消费板块反弹,电信业务和电子 等科技板块集体下跌,金属材料及矿业、国防军工、医疗保健等板块今日也同步走低。从指数 表现来看,上证指数下跌 1.25%,深证成指下跌 2.83%,创业板指下跌 4.25%,上证 50 下跌 1.71%,沪深 300 下跌 2.12%,科创 50 下跌 6.08%,中证 1000 下跌 2.30%,市场成交额约 2.58 万亿元。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 SAC:S0490524010002 SFC:BTR264 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 0904 A 股日评:无惧风雨,"慢牛"仍在 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 今日 A 股市场震荡走低,三大指数齐跌,今日量能小幅回升。消费板块反弹,电信业务和电子 等科技板块集体下跌,金属材料及矿业 ...