Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing efforts in China to combat "involution" in various industries, particularly in the context of the national unified market construction and the need for regulatory reforms to enhance competition and product quality [1][2][3]. Group 1: Involution in Industries - Involution is primarily observed in industrial activities where increased production does not lead to proportional profit increases, and may even result in losses [2][3]. - Key industries affected by involution include solar energy, electric vehicles, and e-commerce platforms, where companies engage in price wars that erode profit margins [6][7][8]. - The phenomenon of "monopolistic competition" is prevalent, where dominant firms in the supply chain exert downward pressure on prices, impacting upstream suppliers and leading to a cycle of involution [6][8]. Group 2: Government Initiatives - The Chinese government has initiated measures to address involution, including the establishment of guidelines for a unified market and the promotion of fair competition [1][2]. - The Central Economic Committee has emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and encourage product quality improvements [1][2]. - Recent discussions have highlighted the importance of addressing the root causes of involution, including market shrinkage, lack of innovation, and institutional barriers [9][12][13]. Group 3: Structural Reforms - Structural reforms are necessary to transition from a focus on capacity expansion to enhancing product quality and innovation [12][13]. - The article suggests that local governments should reduce their economic control and allow more decision-making power to enterprises to foster a more competitive environment [20][22]. - A shift in policy focus is needed to prioritize demand-side management alongside supply-side reforms to stimulate economic growth [30][31][35]. Group 4: Future Directions - The construction of a unified national market is seen as crucial for addressing involution and enhancing China's competitive edge in the global market [19][28]. - The article advocates for a phased approach to market construction, starting with rule unification, followed by market expansion, and ultimately strengthening market functions [29][33]. - Emphasis is placed on the need for a balanced approach to fiscal and monetary policies to support demand expansion and ensure sustainable economic growth [34][36].

Core Viewpoint - The construction of a unified national market in China is essential for adapting to complex changes in the global environment and is a key driver for high-quality economic development [1][3][10]. Group 1: Economic Performance and Market Size - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year, with domestic demand contributing 68.8% to economic growth, showcasing the resilience of the large market [1]. - The Southern Regional Electricity Market, which includes five provinces, has become the world's largest and busiest electricity market, with a daily trading volume of 38 billion kilowatt-hours [1][2]. Group 2: Market Integration and Resource Optimization - The Southern Regional Electricity Market breaks provincial administrative barriers, allowing for unified optimization of electricity resources across various power sources [2]. - The market includes over 220,000 registered entities and facilitates real-time trading, enhancing the decisive role of the market in resource allocation [2]. Group 3: Policy and Regulatory Framework - The Chinese government has implemented a series of reforms to establish a unified market, including the release of multiple versions of the market access negative list and the elimination of over 4,200 regulations that hinder fair competition [4][11]. - The new Anti-Unfair Competition Law emphasizes fair competition and includes provisions for reviewing government actions that may distort market conditions [6]. Group 4: Investment and Innovation - The recent launch of the 2025 New Energy Vehicle Rural Promotion initiative has expanded the vehicle model list from 60 to 124, indicating significant growth in the new energy vehicle sector [5]. - The establishment of a unified market is expected to enhance investment, technological innovation, and consumer upgrades across various sectors [5]. Group 5: Infrastructure and Connectivity - The high-speed rail network in China has expanded to over 48,000 kilometers, with significant international collaborations enhancing the global competitiveness of Chinese technology [9]. - The introduction of cross-regional logistics solutions, such as the first cross-province air freight station, has reduced logistics costs by nearly 30% [9]. Group 6: Market Dynamics and Competition - The government is actively working to eliminate local protectionism and market segmentation, which are seen as barriers to a unified market [15][17]. - The promotion of fair competition is crucial for optimizing resource allocation and stimulating market vitality, with measures in place to combat low-quality and counterfeit products [7][19]. Group 7: Future Outlook - The ongoing construction of a unified national market is expected to significantly influence the future landscape of the Chinese economy, enhancing its ability to attract global resources and foster international cooperation [20][21].

Economic Performance Overview - China's GDP growth for the first half of 2025 stands at 5.3%, reflecting a steady performance amidst complex economic conditions [2][3] - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.4% year-on-year, indicating robust industrial activity [3] - The total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 5.0%, showcasing resilience in the consumption market despite a slight slowdown in June [3] Trade and Financial Indicators - The total import and export volume reached 21.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, highlighting China's strong connection with global markets [3] - The cumulative increase in social financing reached 22.83 trillion yuan, with RMB loans increasing by 12.92 trillion yuan, supporting the real economy [3] Consumption and Investment Dynamics - Final consumption expenditure contributed 52% to economic growth, marking it as the primary driver of the economy [5] - Fixed asset investment growth was recorded at 2.8%, with real estate investment declining by 11.2%, indicating cautious corporate investment behavior [5][6] - Private investment, excluding real estate, grew by 5.1%, suggesting potential for recovery if the business environment improves [6] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1% in June, ending a four-month decline, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 3.6% [7][8] - Price recovery in sectors such as energy and automobiles indicates a gradual warming of the economy, although traditional sectors continue to face downward pressure [7][8] Future Outlook - The economic trajectory is expected to follow a U-shaped pattern, with potential challenges in the second half of the year, particularly in real estate and traditional industries [10] - Policy directions from the central government aim to optimize urban structures and promote service industries, which could support economic stability and growth [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes strengthening the domestic circulation as a strategic move for stable economic growth, requiring the removal of both physical barriers and institutional inertia [1][3] - The State Council's meeting on July 16 highlighted the importance of domestic demand as the main driver of China's economic development, with final consumption contributing an average of 56.2% to economic growth over the past four years, an increase of 8.6 percentage points compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" period [1] - In the first half of this year, domestic demand contributed 68.8% to GDP growth, with final consumption expenditure accounting for 52%, underscoring its role as the main economic driver [1] Group 2 - The policy of replacing old consumer goods is seen as a crucial measure to expand effective demand and facilitate economic circulation, particularly in the automotive and home appliance sectors [2] - On the supply side, increasing investment in new productive forces and emerging service industries can create new demand, promoting a positive interaction between consumption and industrial upgrades [2] - To break through existing barriers, enhancing policy precision and operability, as well as inter-departmental collaboration, is essential to address issues like local protectionism and data silos [2] Group 3 - The need for a high-quality domestic market is emphasized, which requires addressing deep-seated contradictions and issues that restrict domestic circulation [2][3] - Comprehensive reforms and improvements in institutional mechanisms and policy systems are necessary to enhance independent innovation capabilities, providing sufficient momentum for domestic circulation [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for a structured approach to industrial development and investment attraction, highlighting the shift from traditional methods to more regulated and effective strategies in response to recent policy changes [1][4][6]. Group 1: National Policy and Market Development - The Central Urban Work Conference highlighted key industries such as artificial intelligence, computing power, and new energy vehicles for national development [1]. - The meeting outlined the basic requirements for advancing a unified national market, which includes "five unifications and one openness" [2]. - The implementation of the Fair Competition Review Regulations has led to a more standardized approach to local investment attraction since August of last year [3]. Group 2: Changes in Investment Attraction Strategies - The traditional "tax incentives" and "reward subsidies" models for attracting investment are being phased out, giving rise to the "fund investment" model [4]. - Local governments are increasingly emphasizing the linkage between investment and attraction, establishing specialized investment funds to support this [4][6]. - There is a growing trend of "homogenization" in investment fields, which is counterproductive to building a unified national market [5]. Group 3: Regional Practices and Innovations - Guangdong Province has introduced measures to integrate capital market development into its investment attraction performance evaluation, reflecting a shift towards nurturing local industries [7]. - The focus is expected to shift from attracting external projects to cultivating local production industries, tailored to regional advantages [7][8]. - The rise of merger and acquisition (M&A) as a new strategy for investment attraction is noted, with local governments exploring opportunities to acquire listed companies [9][10][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The emphasis on not establishing government investment funds solely for attracting investment indicates a significant shift in strategy, impacting the current "fund investment" model [6]. - The need for transparency and regulation in investment attraction is expected to increase, following the Central Financial Committee's call for improved practices [12].

Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - For stock indices, the current fundamentals depend on the domestic economic recovery. With the continued decline of PPI in June, credit contraction and insufficient demand are the main contradictions. Although corporate profits improved in H1 2025 compared to 2024, and with the support of allocation funds, the A-share index is expected to fluctuate in the future [1]. - For treasury bonds, the treasury bond futures showed a mixed performance. The economic data in Q2 and June were resilient, but with the monetary policy support, there is no expectation of a significant tightening of funds, and the short-term expectation of interest rate cuts is low. The bond market lacks the momentum to strengthen further and is expected to fluctuate in the short term [2]. Group 3: Daily Price Changes Stock Index Futures - IH rose from 2,730.4 to 2,741.4, an increase of 11.0 or 0.40% [3]. - IF rose from 3,971.0 to 4,011.8, an increase of 40.8 or 1.03% [3]. - IC rose from 5,895.2 to 5,978.0, an increase of 82.8 or 1.40% [3]. - IM rose from 6,298.0 to 6,390.4, an increase of 92.4 or 1.47% [3]. Stock Indices - The Shanghai Composite 50 rose from 2,740.9 to 2,744.3, an increase of 3.4 or 0.12% [3]. - The CSI 300 rose from 4,007.2 to 4,034.5, an increase of 27.3 or 0.68% [3]. - The CSI 500 rose from 6,017.2 to 6,082.5, an increase of 65.3 or 1.08% [3]. - The CSI 1000 rose from 6,462.1 to 6,535.7, an increase of 73.6 or 1.14% [3]. Treasury Bond Futures - TS rose from 102.42 to 102.44, an increase of 0.016 or 0.02% [3]. - TF rose from 106.00 to 106.05, an increase of 0.045 or 0.04% [3]. - T rose from 108.84 to 108.89, an increase of 0.05 or 0.05% [3]. - TL rose from 120.71 to 120.73, an increase of 0.02 or 0.02% [3]. Group 4: Market News - This year, the national summer grain output was 299.48 billion jin, the second-highest in history after last year, laying a solid foundation for the stable annual grain production [4]. Group 5: Chart Analysis Stock Index Futures - Charts show the historical trends of IH, IF, IM, IC, and their corresponding basis trends [6][7][9]. Treasury Bond Futures - Charts show the trends of treasury bond futures, bond yields, basis, inter - period spreads, cross - variety spreads, and fund rates [13][15][17]. Exchange Rates - Charts show the trends of the US dollar against the RMB, the euro against the RMB, forward exchange rates, the US dollar index, and cross - currency exchange rates [20][21][24]. Group 6: Team Introduction - Zhu Jintao, a master in economics from Jilin University, is the director of macro - financial research at Everbright Futures Research Institute [27]. - Wang Dongying, an index analyst with a master's degree from Columbia University, focuses on stock index futures, including macro - fundamental quantification, key industry research, index financial report analysis, and market fund tracking [27].

Core Viewpoint - The construction of a national unified market is essential for building a new development pattern and promoting high-quality development, as emphasized by President Xi Jinping during the recent Central Financial Committee meeting [1] Group 1: Importance of "Hubs" and "Pivots" - Henan has the natural conditions and comprehensive advantages to become a hub in the construction of a national unified market, facilitating the flow of people, goods, and information [2] - Establishing hubs will enable Henan to serve as a center for the circulation of various resources, enhancing the efficiency of economic cycles [2] Group 2: Advantages of Henan - Henan benefits from favorable national policies aimed at accelerating the construction of a unified market, providing a significant opportunity for institutional innovation and regulatory collaboration [3] - The province has a large market scale with a population of 100 million and over 11 million business entities, which is a key comparative advantage [3] - Henan's geographical location in the Central Plains and its modern transportation system enhance its connectivity and logistical capabilities [3] Group 3: Collaborative Efforts - There is a strong consensus and active participation among various stakeholders in Henan to integrate and support the construction of a national unified market [4] - The leadership in Henan is committed to seizing opportunities and leveraging advantages to gain a competitive edge in high-quality regional development [4] Group 4: Strategic Actions - The recent meeting outlined six key actions to strengthen the hub economy and enhance the pivot effect, including market expansion and infrastructure connectivity [5] - Focus on overcoming challenges and releasing the potential of scale and agglomeration effects to facilitate investment, production, trade, and logistics [6] - The construction of hubs and pivots is aligned with national needs and the expectations of business entities, positioning Henan for a robust integration into the national market [6]

风劲帆满图新志，砥砺奋进正当时。河南融入服务全国统一大市场建设工作推进会，对融入服务全国统 一大市场建设工作进行再部署再推动，为奋力谱写中原大地推进中国式现代化新篇章提供有力支撑。 建设全国统一大市场是构建新发展格局、推动高质量发展的重大举措。在经济全球化深入发展和国内经 济转型升级的关键时期，拥有超大规模且极具增长潜力的市场，是我们发展的巨大优势和应对变局的坚 实依托。加快建设高效规范、公平竞争、充分开放的全国统一大市场，既有利于促进要素资源在更大范 围内顺畅流动和高效配置，降低市场交易成本，为推动科技创新和企业发展营造有利的市场环境；也有 利于以高质量供给创造和引领需求，为老百姓提供更多优质产品和服务。 力量在信心中汇聚，目标在奋斗中实现。在全局上谋势、在关键处落子，把贯彻中央精神和立足我省实 际、服务全国大局和推动自身发展、顺应发展趋势和积极主动作为有机结合起来，自觉融入服务全国统 一大市场建设，我们定能一步一个脚印把宏伟蓝图变成美好现实。（河南日报评论员） 作为经济大省、工业大省和人口大省，河南在融入服务全国统一大市场建设中独具优势。地处中原腹 地，融汇天下、便利四方，这里既是中部地区加快崛起、黄河流 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the economic outlook for China during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing the need for deeper reforms to address current economic challenges and set appropriate growth targets for the future [2][4][28]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Targets - The average economic growth rate during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is approximately 5.5%, with a target of around 5% for the current year [1][5]. - The GDP is expected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan this year, marking significant growth from previous years [1][6]. - Experts suggest setting a growth target of around 5% for the "15th Five-Year Plan," considering the need to achieve modernization goals by 2035 [7][8]. Group 2: Effective Demand and Consumption - The article identifies insufficient effective demand as a major issue, driven by external pressures and weak domestic consumption, particularly in the real estate sector [10]. - Recommendations to boost effective demand include stabilizing the real estate market, increasing residents' income, and removing consumption restrictions [11][12]. Group 3: Real Estate Market Dynamics - The real estate market has shown signs of stabilization, with a decrease in the sales area and sales volume of new homes, but confidence still needs to be restored [20][21]. - Future strategies to support the real estate market include removing restrictive policies, reducing the financial burden on homebuyers, and enhancing financial support for housing projects [21][23]. Group 4: Service Industry Development - The service sector is increasingly important, and there is a need to align service supply with consumer demand by breaking down barriers to entry and encouraging investment [16][17]. - Policies should support the development of the service industry through financial incentives and reducing unnecessary regulatory hurdles [17][18]. Group 5: Deepening Reforms - The article emphasizes the importance of deepening reforms to address economic challenges, including enhancing the role of state-owned enterprises and promoting a unified national market [28][29]. - Key reform areas include improving market regulation, reducing government intervention, and expanding institutional openness to align with international standards [30].

五年时间"再造"一个长三角！ 最近，国家发展改革委召开了一场重磅的新闻发布会，既是对"十四五"规划的一份详细总结和 梳理，也是这五年来国家晒出来的一份亮眼成绩单。您要想了解过去五年中国干成了什么，干 好了什么，未来五年的方向是什么，就一定要仔细关注了！要说这五年，咱可没闲着，经济底 盘更稳了，办事效率更高了，老百姓的实惠也更多了。总结起来就是三大感受：国家更强了， 办事更快了，生活更好了！ 首先是，"国家更强了"——这几年里经济增长总量超35万亿，这是什么概念？相当于再造一 个"长三角"那么大的经济体量！"十四五"期间，前四年中国经济平均增速达到5.5%，虽然增速 有所放缓，但步子走得更稳当，更踏实，增长水平仍然远超西方发达国家。特别是在经受过疫 情冲击、产业升级、有效需求不足、贸易摩擦等一系列问题和挑战后，能取得这样的成绩，确 实是来之不易。当前的经济增长，增速和质量同等重要，如此巨大的经济体量，仍能保持5% 左右的增速，可见全国统一大市场和以国内大循环为主的战略的巨大潜力。中国速度，关键时 刻真靠得住！ 出品丨21财经客户端 财经早察工作室 总统筹丨邓红辉 执行统筹丨陈晨星 祝乃娟 监制丨洪晓文 曾婷芳 ...