Group 1: Consumption Strategy and Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-growth new consumption sectors, dividend defensive stocks, and traditional companies transitioning to new consumption [3][13] - High-growth new consumption opportunities include new tobacco products, beauty care, trendy toys, pet products, and tea beverages [3][13] - Dividend defensive stocks are prioritized due to unclear policy signals and ongoing domestic demand impacts, with a focus on white goods [3][13] Group 2: Macroeconomic and Midstream Consumption Tracking - In April, the domestic CPI remained stable with a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year, while core CPI increased by 0.5% [4][14] - April's export growth reached 8.1% year-on-year, marking the highest since 2022, although it showed signs of slowing due to a decrease in home appliance exports [4][16] Group 3: Home Appliances - In April, the overall retail sales of home appliances increased by 21.8% online and 18.6% offline, with the national subsidy for 11 major categories growing by 18.2% [7][28] - Specific categories showed varied performance: air conditioners up 34.8%, refrigerators up 1.0%, and washing machines up 10.8% online [7][28][29] Group 4: Light Industry Manufacturing - The new tobacco sector is experiencing upward momentum, with clear growth trends in the HNB industry and potential market share gains for companies like Smoore International [7][30] - The trendy toy market remains robust, with GMV growth of 109% in April year-on-year, driven by new company entries and innovative operational strategies [7][30] Group 5: Textile and Apparel - The easing of US tariffs is expected to boost export and domestic demand, with a focus on new consumption and brands with unique advantages [7][33][37] - The textile manufacturing sector is seeing a recovery in client confidence following tariff reductions, which may lead to increased orders and improved domestic factory utilization [7][37] Group 6: Social Services - The tea beverage sector is benefiting from improved same-store sales and competitive dynamics in the takeaway market, with expectations for further growth [7][35] - Hotel performance showed strong leisure demand during the May holiday, although business travel remains weak [7][35] Group 7: Retail and E-commerce - The competitive landscape in the takeaway market is evolving, with regulatory pressures on major platforms like Meituan and JD, although the overall competition remains intense [7][36] - Meituan's initiatives in instant retail and national subsidies are expected to impact JD's core categories significantly [7][38]

这是新消费智库第 2 6 3 6 期文章 新消费导读 1. 永璞上新冰薄荷黑巧咖啡液 2. 安踏上线滑板鞋 3. 半天妖推出两款特色新品 4. Bape 携手林俊杰推出限定系列 5. Al lbirds 官宣董洁为品牌大使 6. 彩棠 x 茉莉奶白推联名系列 7. 小马智行 公司正计划赴港上市 8. WinnCafe 稳因咖啡获数千万元融资 9. 铜师傅冲刺港交所 10. 手滑科技完成数千万元 A 轮融资 11. 日本麦当劳 xChi i kawa 推出 8 款限定玩具 12. 伊索薇绿香水全新上市 13. 毛戈平美妆 x 故宫文创推出第六季新品香水 . . . . . . 一周新品 1. 永璞上新冰薄荷黑巧咖啡液 图片来源：腾讯公共图库 近日， 永璞官宣上新冰薄荷黑巧风味意式咖啡液。这款冰薄荷黑巧风味意式咖啡液选用的是 100% 阿拉比卡咖啡豆，添加了≥ 0.25% 的薄 荷提取液。每条咖啡液新品的能量为 19k J ， 0 糖 0 脂，其中咖啡因含量≥ 200mg/ kg 。 （ FBIF 食品饮料创新） 2.延中饮料上新咸青桔风味盐汽水 延中饮料官宣上新咸青桔风味盐汽水。据品牌介绍，新品通过独特的工艺调 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the value of liquor allocation is stronger, and consumer goods are embracing new consumption trends. The food and beverage index increased by 0.5% from May 12 to May 16, ranking 15th among 28 sub-industries, underperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 0.6 percentage points. Sub-industries such as health products (+8.5%), baked goods (+2.4%), and dairy products (+1.5%) performed relatively well [3][10][12] - The report indicates that liquor companies are experiencing low revenue growth, which is already anticipated by the market. This is due to demand remaining at a low level and companies reducing channel burdens. The report suggests that liquor is currently at a bottom range, with signs of marginal recovery in business demand and a pragmatic approach from liquor companies to reduce supply growth to alleviate channel pressure. Future performance growth is expected to rise gradually [10][11] - New consumption trends are emerging, driven by changes in business models and consumer perceptions. This is reflected in the food and beverage industry through new channels. Traditional offline retail channels are facing challenges, leading to opportunities for upstream brand suppliers. Retailers are adopting differentiated product selections and focusing on quality, which benefits suppliers with strong brand and product capabilities [11][12] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The food and beverage index increased by 0.5%, ranking 15th out of 28, and underperformed the CSI 300 by about 0.6 percentage points. Health products, baked goods, and dairy products showed leading performance [10][12] - Individual stocks such as Xianle Health, Youyou Foods, and Xiwang Foods saw significant gains, while Bai Run Foods, Ganyuan Foods, and ST Jia Jia experienced declines [12][18] Upstream Data - Some upstream raw material prices have decreased. For instance, the price of whole milk powder increased by 30.6% year-on-year, while the price of fresh milk decreased by 10.0% year-on-year [18][21] - The price of pork increased by 1.8% year-on-year, while the price of live pigs decreased by 3.8% year-on-year [24][25] Liquor Industry News - Moutai's sales through major e-commerce channels grew by over 30% in the first four months of the year. The company is also implementing new policies to boost sales during banquets [44] Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Ximai Foods. Shanxi Fenjiu is expected to have high growth certainty in the medium term, while Guizhou Moutai is focusing on sustainable development and increasing dividend rates. Ximai Foods is anticipated to improve profitability due to better raw material costs [4][51]

Group 1 - The market is experiencing a "barbell" trading pattern, with strong performance in new consumption and active technology themes, as evidenced by the North Exchange 50 index rising by 3.13% and daily average trading volume increasing by 11.5% [10][18] - There is a notable divergence in market styles, with large-cap high-dividend and micro-cap themes performing well, while low PE indices and large-cap indices increased by 1.47% and 1.15%, respectively, contrasting with high PE and small-cap indices which fell by -0.95% and -0.27% [10][11] - The report highlights strong performances in sectors such as military industry and new consumption, with specific companies like Jinbo Biological, Lusi Co., and Kangbit showing significant strength [10][11] Group 2 - The North Exchange 50 index is approaching previous highs, indicating a cautious market environment where funds are structurally favoring new consumption [11] - The report suggests that the market environment in May remains favorable for the North Exchange and thematic investments, despite concerns about domestic stimulus measures potentially leading to underwhelming macro performance [11][12] - Companies recommended for attention include Jinbo Biological, Kangbit, Yizhi Konjac, and others in the new consumption sector, as they are expected to attract more institutional interest [11][12] Group 3 - The North Exchange has introduced a "small-scale fast" review mechanism for major asset restructuring, allowing companies with cumulative transaction amounts not exceeding 100 million yuan to bypass extensive review processes [12] - The report emphasizes that consumption and technology will remain key focus areas in Q2, with a long-term view on companies with competitive advantages [12] Group 4 - The North Exchange saw a total trading volume of 8.068 billion shares this week, with a trading value of 173.42 billion yuan, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 39.32% [18][27] - The average PE ratio for the North Exchange is reported at 94.45 times, with a median of 53.73 times, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to other indices [24][26] Group 5 - This week, one new stock, Tiangong Co., was listed on the North Exchange, bringing the total number of listed companies to 266 as of May 16, 2025 [31] - The new third board saw 7 new listings and 3 delistings, with planned financing of 170 million yuan and completed financing of 7 million yuan [54][56]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise of "Henan bosses," particularly focusing on the management styles of two prominent figures, Cui Peijun and Yu Donglai, who emphasize generosity and employee welfare as key components of their business strategies [3][5][9]. Group 1: Management Styles - Cui Peijun, chairman of Henan Mining Crane Company, is known for his unconventional approach of distributing cash rewards to employees during company events, exemplifying a hands-on and generous management style [3][15]. - Yu Donglai, the owner of Pang Donglai, promotes a philosophy of sharing profits with employees, suggesting that over 50% of profits should be distributed monthly to enhance employee motivation [5][22]. - Both bosses prioritize tangible rewards over abstract promises, focusing on immediate benefits for employees rather than future stock options or vague incentives [11][12][14]. Group 2: Employee Welfare - Employees at Pang Donglai enjoy extensive benefits, including 150 to 180 days of leave per year, with specific days allocated for emotional well-being [20]. - The average salaries at Pang Donglai are significantly higher than industry standards, reflecting the company's commitment to employee welfare [21]. - Cui Peijun also engages in various acts of kindness, such as providing free travel for employees' parents and spontaneous cash bonuses [19][16]. Group 3: Business Philosophy - The article highlights a shift in consumer preferences towards value and practicality, aligning with the straightforward business philosophies of Henan entrepreneurs [45][47]. - Henan's businesses, such as Mixue Ice City and White Elephant Instant Noodles, thrive on a model that emphasizes cost-effectiveness and direct engagement with consumers [29][50]. - The cautious and practical approach of Henan bosses, who often avoid high-risk capital ventures, has allowed them to maintain stable cash flows and build resilient businesses [34][68]. Group 4: Market Position - The emergence of Henan-based companies in the market is attributed to their ability to adapt to changing consumer demands for affordability and quality [44][46]. - The article notes that despite lacking the scale of coastal economic regions, Henan's robust food supply chain supports its businesses in maintaining competitive pricing [48][52]. - The success of these companies in the current market environment suggests a potential shift in the business landscape, favoring those with solid fundamentals over those relying on speculative growth [69].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a positive economic outlook for 2025, with a focus on the recovery of the new consumption sector driven by diverse consumer demands and supportive policies [3][7][10]. Industry Overview - In Q1 2025, China's GDP reached 31.9 trillion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations [7]. - Final consumption expenditure contributed 51.85% to GDP growth, indicating a rebound in consumer spending [7][9]. - The retail sales of consumer goods totaled 12.4671 trillion yuan in Q1, marking a 4.6% increase year-on-year [8]. Recent Industry Policies - Various policies have been implemented to stimulate consumption, including the "Consumption Promotion Special Action Plan" and measures to enhance service consumption [17][18]. - The government emphasizes increasing income for low- and middle-income groups and developing service consumption to boost economic growth [9][10]. Investment Dynamics - From January to April 2025, there were 128 financing cases in the new consumption sector, totaling 6.89 billion yuan, a decrease of 31.5% and 24.4% year-on-year, respectively [28]. - The food and beverage sector remains a hot spot for investment, with 42 financing cases reported in Q1 2025 [28][32]. - The silver economy and pet economy are gaining traction, with significant investments in areas such as elderly care and pet products [29][32]. Sector Trends - The new consumption landscape is characterized by a shift towards quality and health-oriented products, with personalized and customized offerings gaining popularity [10]. - The "Guzi Economy," centered around the secondary market of anime and gaming culture, is rapidly developing, driven by a growing user base and increasing disposable income among Gen Z consumers [48][49]. Key Financing Events - Notable financing events include Yuanqi Mart's nearly 100 million yuan C round financing and the IPO of Gu Ming Holdings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [20][22]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw significant IPO activities, including the successful listings of brands like Mi Xue Ice City and Ba Wang Tea Ji [24][26]. Active Investment Institutions - A total of 135 investment institutions were active in the new consumption sector in the first four months of 2025, with a focus on food and beverage, silver economy, and personal care sectors [43][44].

这是新消费智库第 2 6 3 5 期文章 新消费导读 新消费 1. 安慕希 × 绿箭推出清新薄荷味酸奶 1. 安慕希 × 绿箭推出清新薄荷味酸奶 2. 52TOYS 上线异形系列新品 3. Alexander Wang 与喜茶携手推出联名系列 4. 和其正推新养生水 5. 雀巢冠能发布抗过敏猫粮新品 6. 山东未来机器人获数亿元战略领投 7. 青岛啤酒拟收购即墨黄酒 100% 股权 8. 博裕基金拟收购北京 SKP 最高 45% 股权 9. 传欧莱雅有意收购 Medi k8 10. 白犀牛完成 2 亿元 B 轮融资 11. 斯嘉丽 · 约翰逊护肤品牌创业伙伴离职 12. PETA 呼吁爱马仕推出纯素奢侈包袋 13. 美团闪购联合百大品牌推出安心闪购计划 14. CRAFT 于上海和南京双城开店 15. 始祖鸟联手松赞推出纳木措主题系列 安慕希官宣推出与绿箭联名的夏季限定新品：清新薄荷味酸奶。该产品融合薄荷与酸奶风味，希望为消费者带来解暑与清凉体验。营养含量方 面，新品采用无蔗糖配方，每瓶含 7.1 克蛋白质。 （ FBIF 食品饮料创新） 2. 52TOYS 上线异形系列新品 52TOYS 重磅官宣「异形」系 ...

方正证券主要观点如下： 2)新趋势：功效多元化、剂型零食化，对供给端的研发能力提出更高的要求。功效方面，当前"悦己经 济"蓬勃发展，消费者对功效的期待变得更加具体且个性化，比如单个产品开发复合功效，这要求供给 端具备市场洞察捕捉各类群体的隐蔽健康痛点，同时也要具备开发循证有效产品的研发能力;剂型方 面，软糖、饮品等新兴剂型兼具适口性与便利性，有利于培养消费者的日常服用习惯，根据灼识咨询， 22-24年软糖/饮品剂型CAGR分别约为40%/30%，剂型增速领先，这要求供给端具有充足的新剂型产能 及出色的研发能力。 方正证券发布研报称，当前中国营养保健食品市场处于重要变革期，新消费驱动下行业呈现渠道多元 化、产品创新化、人群全龄化三大特征。该行重视积极把握新消费变革趋势的头部B端企业，新消费驱 动业绩增长，或有望带来板块的估值切换。建议关注积极布局新消费赛道的头部企业，推荐聚焦高价值 客户拓展的仙乐健康（300791）(300791.SZ)及布局跨境与宠物营养的百合股份（603102） (603102.SH)。该行预计，未来行业将保持中高个位数复合增长，头部企业集中度有望加速提升。 当前中国营养保健食品市场处于重 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the light industry manufacturing sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - Overall consumer demand remains weak, but there are opportunities in specific segments where product and channel transformations can enhance market share, and brand recognition or performance recovery is expected [8] - The pet food segment shows high potential with strong consumer education barriers, brand loyalty, and significant single product effects [8] - The baby care market is fragmented, with strong brands rapidly increasing market share through cost-effectiveness and popular products, heavily relying on online sales [8] - Domestic second-tier brands in sanitary napkins and toothpaste are gaining market share, utilizing platforms like Douyin for marketing and channel empowerment [8] - The trend of innovative products and brand rejuvenation in the trendy toy sector is accelerating, with companies like Pop Mart and Blokus experiencing rapid revenue growth [8] Summary by Sections 1) Product & Channel Transformation - Baiya Co. reported a significant increase in revenue and is expected to see a gradual improvement in its profitability model [9] - Dengkang Oral Care's revenue growth exceeded expectations, with a sustainable improvement in profitability [9] - Runben Co. experienced strong revenue growth driven by new product launches, particularly in the sunscreen category [9] - Zhongchong Co. is successfully transforming its brand, with expectations of over 40% growth in its flagship product [9] - Companies in the trendy toy sector are well-positioned to benefit from consumer trends and new product launches [9] 2) High Competitive Barriers - Guibao Pet's revenue and profit growth exceeded expectations, driven by strong brand performance and successful high-end product launches [10] - The overall industry remains vibrant, with companies optimizing their product and channel structures [10] 3) Performance Recovery Expected - Chenguang Co. has underperformed due to a weak consumer environment, but recovery is anticipated if market conditions improve [10] - The company is focusing on enhancing its IP product strategy, which is expected to contribute to new growth points [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the light industry manufacturing sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - Overall consumer demand remains weak, but there are opportunities in specific segments where product and channel transformations can enhance market share, and brand recognition or performance recovery is expected [2][8] - The pet food sector shows high potential with strong consumer education barriers, brand loyalty, and significant single product effects [2][8] - The baby care market is fragmented, with leading brands rapidly increasing market share through cost-effectiveness and popular products, heavily relying on online sales [2][8] - Domestic second-tier brands in sanitary napkins and toothpaste are gaining market share, utilizing platforms like Douyin for traffic generation and empowering other platforms and offline markets [2][8] - The trend of innovative products and brand rejuvenation in the trendy toy sector is accelerating, with companies like Pop Mart and Blokus experiencing rapid revenue growth [2][8] Summary by Sections 1) Product & Channel Transformation - Baiya Co. reported a significant revenue increase of 39% in Q4 2024 and 30% in Q1 2025, with a strong performance in e-commerce and a positive outlook for its probiotic series [3][9] - Dengkang Oral Care also showed robust growth, with a 39% increase in Q4 2024 and 19% in Q1 2025, benefiting from an optimized product structure and strong online sales [3][9] - Runben Co. experienced a 34% revenue increase in Q4 2024 and 44% in Q1 2025, driven by the rapid launch of new products [4][9] - The trendy toy sector, represented by companies like Blokus and Pop Mart, saw revenue growth of 156% and 278% respectively, indicating a strong market presence [4][9] 2) High Competitive Barriers - Guibao Pet's revenue and profit exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in its proprietary brand and successful high-end product launches [10] - The overall industry remains buoyant, with companies optimizing product and channel structures, leading to sustained revenue growth and improved profitability [10] 3) Performance Recovery Expected - Chenguang Co. reported lower-than-expected performance due to a weak consumer environment, but recovery is anticipated if market conditions improve [10] - The company is focusing on enhancing its IP product strategy, which is expected to contribute to new growth points [10]