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车市告别顺风时代
Core Insights - The Chinese automotive market is at a historic crossroads, with increasing penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs) and a shift in market dominance, marking the end of the era of broad market growth and the beginning of a multi-dimensional competition focused on technology, ecology, and globalization [1] Market Performance - In November 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles in China reached 2.225 million units, a year-on-year decline of 8.1% and a month-on-month decline of 1.1% [2] - The retail sales of fuel vehicles fell by 22% year-on-year, while pure electric models saw a 9.2% increase, pushing the NEV retail penetration rate to 59.3%, which further rose to 62.3% by mid-December [3] Competitive Landscape - The competition in the NEV sector has shifted from growth to a focus on existing market share, with companies now competing on technology iteration, ecosystem building, and organizational efficiency [5] - BYD's domestic sales in November 2025 were 348,300 units, down 26.81% year-on-year, indicating increased competitive pressure and a need for technological advancement [5] - Chery's wholesale sales in November 2025 reached the top three among NEV manufacturers, with a year-on-year growth of 54% and a market share of 6.5% [6] Export Dynamics - Chinese automotive exports surpassed 700,000 units in November 2025, marking a transition to a more localized production and ecosystem output model in the global market [4][10] - From January to November 2025, China exported 6.343 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%, with NEV exports doubling and becoming a key driver of overseas growth [9] Strategic Shifts - Companies are adopting diverse strategies for international expansion, with BYD focusing on localized production and ecosystem integration, while Chery emphasizes high-value market penetration through technology [10][11] - New entrants like NIO and Li Auto are facing challenges in their unique business models, while Leap Motor is validating its differentiated survival path through vertical integration and cost control [9] Policy Implications - The adjustment of the new energy vehicle purchase tax policy in 2026 is expected to compel companies to enhance cost control and supply chain optimization [14] - The automotive industry is anticipated to shift from a "policy-driven" growth model to a "value-driven" one, emphasizing high-quality transitions [15] Future Outlook - The market is expected to see a modest growth of around 3% in 2026, with NEV penetration continuing to rise but at a slower pace [15][16] - Companies are preparing for intensified competition by focusing on product iteration, technological implementation, and cost optimization in both domestic and international markets [17][18]
ETS 2026光储产业格局与发展趋势线上研讨会圆满举行!梳理2026年产业供需脉络
TrendForce集邦· 2025-12-31 09:12
会议伊始,Tr e n dFo r c e集邦咨询总经理樊晓莉发表致辞,在向参会各方表示热烈欢迎的同 时,她高度肯定了光储行业的发展韧性,并对未来前景表达了坚定信心。随着开场致辞的 落定,会议迅速进入核心议程,来自光储行业的企业精英们与集邦咨询资深分析师相继发 表精彩演讲。 主题演讲 十年首现负增长,光伏盈利逻辑重构 Tr e n dFo r c e集邦咨询分析师王建指出, 2 0 2 6年全球光伏新增装机或将迎来十年来首次负增 长 ,预计回落至5 9 2 GW,同比下滑4 . 4%。随着中国市场步入"理性平台期",市场重心正加 速向中东非、美洲等新兴市场转移。 图:2026年全球光伏新增装机预测 在供给侧,行业将呈现"低端过剩、高端紧缺"的结构性特征,盈利模式也将从单一拼规模彻 底转向"技术夺溢价、出海抢利润",而未来企业的决胜关键在于 锁定6 5 0W+高功率组件的 技术高地 ,并需要警惕白银短缺这一供应链"灰犀牛" 。 全球储能确定性高增,大储主导格局稳固 2 0 2 5 年 1 2 月 3 0 日 下 午 , Tr e n dFo r c e 集 邦 咨 询 主 办 的 《 ETS 2 0 2 6 光 ...
中国智驾淘汰赛:赢者突围、尾部退场,终局未定
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 08:51
智通财经记者 | 周姝祺 过去一年,中国智能驾驶行业的扩张与收缩同时发生。辅助驾驶功能正在以前所未有的速度被推向量产车型,汽车公司对智驾能力的需求被迅速放大;另一 方面,智驾公司融资节奏放缓,部分企业已经被迫退出主流竞争序列。技术在加速落地,但行业的容错空间正在缩小。 12月30日,智驾供应商卓驭在十周年庆祝活动上晒出成绩单,公司已拥有9家客户、15个合作品牌以及超50个已量产车型;同月,地平线在首届生态大会 上,邀请了来自奇瑞、大众、一汽、吉利等10家整车厂站台。其征程系列芯片累计出货突破1000万套,最新推出的城区辅助驾驶方案在上市两周内激活量超 过1.2万辆。 在聚光灯之外,另一条轨迹正在同步展开。估值一度超过90亿元的纵目科技于2025年4月进入司法重整,禾多科技被申请破产清算;背靠长城汽车的毫末智 行,被曝暂停北京、上海等四地业务,员工关于欠薪和社保断缴的追问,未能等来明确回应。 这种反差标志着一个阶段性的变化。智能驾驶不再只是一个需要被验证的技术方向,而是进入了以规模化交付、成本效率和长期服务能力为核心的竞争周 期。在这一周期中,机会仍然存在,然而它只集中流向少数能够持续证明自身价值的公司。对其他 ...
锂电行业全年复盘:“反内卷”破局,开启价值竞争新周期!
历经两年多的行业洗牌及产能出清,锂电行业在2025年按下"回暖键",迎来向上突围的曙光。 这一年,供给端"反内卷"成效显现,叠加以储能为代表的需求端爆发式增长,锂电产业链供需格局逐步 改善,拉动产品价格、企业盈利水平企稳回升。 在景气度攀升背后,市场竞争逻辑也在悄然转变。当前,锂电行业正加速跳出低价竞争、产能比拼的粗 放模式,转向出海破局、技术迭代、前瞻布局等新路径,迈入以"价值竞争"为内核的高质量发展新阶 段。 01 "反内卷"成效显现 2025年,锂电行业在价格深跌后开启供给侧改革。在政策与产业协同发力下,一场贯穿锂矿开采至终端 应用的全链条"反内卷"行动拉开大幕,成为推动行业复苏的重要力量。 今年7月1日,新矿产资源法实施,锂矿被纳入战略性矿产目录并实行统一审批管理,开采门槛大幅提 高;7月7日,宜春市自然资源局发布《关于编制储量核实报告的通知》,提到8宗锂资源矿权存在出 让、变更、延续登记等越权情况,其中涉及宁德时代(300750)枧下窝矿区。8月9日,枧下窝矿区采矿 许可证到期停产,成为锂电行业"反内卷"的标志性事件。 随后,磷酸铁锂、隔膜、铜箔、六氟磷酸锂等赛道骨干企业纷纷召开座谈会,就价格自律、 ...
2025从NDC和全球碳市场角度:如何看待光伏行业的未来趋势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 03:20
今天分享的是:2025从NDC和全球碳市场角度:如何看待光伏行业的未来趋势 报告共计:34页 光伏行业未来走向何方?NDC与全球碳市场成关键驱动力 在全球能源结构转型的浪潮中,光伏行业的发展前景一直是各界关注的焦点。近期,一份来自专业机构的研究报告从国家自主贡献(NDC)与全球碳市场 构建的视角,对光伏产业的未来趋势进行了深入分析,揭示出其成长逻辑正在发生深刻变化。 成长性基石:NDC承诺驱动长期需求 报告指出,光伏产业的长期成长性,首要驱动力来源于全球应对气候变化的共同行动,特别是各国提交并更新的国家自主贡献(NDC)。随着包括中国、 欧盟在内的主要经济体陆续提交更具雄心的NDC3.0目标,全球能源转型的路线图愈发清晰,这为光伏等可再生能源提供了持续的政策托底和市场空间。分 析认为,尽管当前市场存在对短期产能过剩的担忧,但基于NDC承诺的长期需求依然坚实。以中国为例,在能源转型持续推进的背景下,未来的年度新增 光伏装机容量有望保持在高位。 系统融合:电力市场化改革激发新动能 报告强调,电力市场化改革的深化,对光伏行业而言是重要的机遇而非单纯的挑战。随着风光发电在电力系统中渗透率的提高,单纯追求设备降本的模式 ...
主力资金丨2股尾盘遭资金大幅出逃
(原标题:主力资金丨2股尾盘遭资金大幅出逃) 据证券时报·数据宝统计,从个股来看,40股主力资金净流入均超2亿元,9股主力资金净流入均超5亿元。 金风科技主力资金净流入8.29亿元,居首。据金风科技公众号消息,近日,安装98台金风机组的三峡江苏大丰800兆瓦海上风电项目完成全容量并 网发电,该项目刷新了我国海上风电项目的离岸距离纪录。金风科技为项目提供了三种机型的智能海上风电机组,为这一工程提供装备支撑。 6个行业获主力资金净流入。 A股三大指数今日(12月25日)集体小幅上扬,沪指日线七连阳。行业板块多数收涨,航天航空、电机、造纸印刷、包装材料、通用设备、汽车 零部件、保险板块涨幅居前,贵金属、能源金属板块跌幅居前。 从今日主力资金情况来看,沪深两市全天主力资金净流出204.39亿元。6个行业主力资金净流入,汽车行业主力资金净流入11.58亿元,居首;机械 设备、食品饮料行业主力资金净流入金额分别为5.04亿元、2.28亿元;家用电器、轻工制造、纺织服装行业主力资金净流入金额均超过1亿元。 25个主力资金净流出行业中,电子行业主力资金净流出金额居首,超50亿元;有色金属、计算机、医药生物、通信、基础化工等行 ...
“技术升级+生态共建”赋能中国重汽传统能源业务高质量发展,传统能源市场仍有增长空间
Da Zhong Ri Bao· 2025-12-22 10:03
在新能源转型加速与行业结构深度调整的双重背景下,传统能源商用车仍占据国内70%左右的市场份额,其在商用车 领域的根基尚未动摇。因此,中国重汽并未将传统能源业务进行被动收缩,而是通过战略性调整,以技术迭代突破效 能瓶颈,以生态共建拓展服务边界,在细分市场与海外布局中持续挖掘增量空间,实现传统能源业务的逆势突围与高 质量发展。 中国重汽集团依托国家级技术中心与近百年造车积淀,持续推动传统能源产品向高效低碳升级。财报显示,在传统能 源领域,中国重汽(3808.HK)全新一代中重卡平台以307项专利加身,将风阻系数降至0.45,油耗降低12%。以实打 实的技术升级让产品稳居行业效能与可靠性第一梯队。 同时,在智能化、网联化浪潮下,中国重汽集团积极推动新技术与传统能源产品的深度融合。目前,L2级智能辅助驾 驶系统已在传统能源商用车领域广泛普及,2025年高阶智能辅助驾驶系统销量达1500辆,国内市占率超40%。为巩固 技术领先地位,集团持续加大研发投入,未来五年将组建超8000人的顶级研发团队,持续强化核心技术攻关能力。 在行业集中度持续提升的趋势下,单纯的整车销售已难以满足市场竞争需求。传统能源领域需构建全产业链布局 ...
王琳:欧盟松绑“燃油车禁令”,对我们意味着什么
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2025-12-21 22:53
此次政策调整在欧洲内部引发激烈争论。支持者认为,放宽禁令可以让消费者在燃油车和电动车之间拥 有更多选择权。对汽车制造商和零部件生产商来说,能拥有更多的时间完成电动化转型,避免转型过程 中的阵痛。而充电设备不足的地区也可以继续受益于燃油车的便利。在反对者看来,要实现气候保护这 一终极目标只能依赖电动车,而此次禁令放宽只会使燃油车的市场生命周期无限延续。因为政策的不确 定性,大量资金仍会投到内燃机领域,从而无法促进电动车的研发,并最终导致欧洲汽车失去技术上的 主动权。消费者也会对此采取观望的态度,进而影响电动车在欧洲的普及。 来源:环球时报 欧盟委员会日前公布了对"燃油车禁令"的调整:2035年之后,配备内燃机的车型在欧盟范围内仍然可以 办理新车登记。这一调整放宽了欧盟原先的"零排放"标准。依照原先规定,从2035年起,欧盟新车的二 氧化碳排放量应在2021年的基础上减少100%,即欧盟的汽车生产应全部转向电动车或氢燃料电池车。 但新规将这一标准变成90%,混合电动车、增程式电动车,甚至传统燃油车仍可在欧盟内销售,前后差 额的10%则由环保钢材和生物燃料来抵消。 欧盟委员会在声明中强调,此举并不意味着欧盟要放弃气 ...
iRobot破产重组背后:代工厂转向品牌商有利有弊
Core Viewpoint - iRobot Corporation has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, entering a restructuring agreement with its main creditor, Picea, which will acquire 100% of iRobot's equity through a court-supervised process, leading to the company's delisting from NASDAQ and total loss for common stockholders [2][3][5]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of fiscal year 2025, iRobot reported revenues of $375 million, a year-over-year decline of 17.5%, and a net loss of $130 million, down 90% from the previous year [2]. - The company has only $24.8 million in cash and equivalents, with total liabilities reaching $508 million and shareholders' equity at -$26.8 million, indicating a negative cash flow of $104 million [2][3]. Reasons for Bankruptcy - The bankruptcy is attributed to intensified market competition, rising costs, and a lack of innovation, particularly as Chinese brands have rapidly gained market share with high-cost performance products [3][4]. - iRobot's asset-liability ratio has been as high as 105% over the past five years, indicating insolvency, with revenues projected to drop from $1.183 billion in 2022 to $682 million in 2024 [3][4]. - The failed acquisition by Amazon for approximately $1.7 billion, which was blocked by regulatory scrutiny, directly contributed to iRobot's financial distress [4][5]. Impact of Acquisition by Picea - The acquisition by Picea represents a significant shift for the company, providing a pathway for debt restructuring and business continuity while marking Picea's transition from a manufacturing leader to a global brand operator [6][7]. - This acquisition is expected to leverage Picea's supply chain efficiencies and technological capabilities to revitalize iRobot's product innovation and market competitiveness, particularly in emerging markets [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The global market for robotic vacuums is experiencing growth, with a reported 18.7% increase in shipments year-over-year, while iRobot's market share has fallen to 7.9%, pushing it out of the top five global players [5][10]. - Chinese brands dominate the market, with companies like Roborock and Ecovacs leading in sales, benefiting from cost advantages, rapid innovation cycles, and effective localization strategies [10][11]. Industry Insights - The rise of Chinese robotic vacuum manufacturers highlights the need for iRobot and similar companies to enhance their technological innovation and brand positioning to remain competitive in a rapidly evolving market [10][11]. - The bankruptcy of iRobot signifies a pivotal moment in the robotic vacuum industry, emphasizing the importance of adapting to market changes and consumer demands for enhanced product features and affordability [11].
科迈罗 总经理 章少坤:新能源浪潮下科迈罗Pack设备四大生态构建
起点锂电· 2025-12-19 12:17
| | | 分子 分 行 分 酒 管理 中 福 照明 | | | | × | মিন 親 | 程 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2015 ○ 2025 | | | 月4 | E | 与您 同 行 | | | | | | | | | 起点锂电行业年会暨锂电金鼎奖颁奖典礼 | | | | | | | | I | | 侧 储备 | 能 及 | 电 | | 池技术论 | | | Har | F Ele | | | HER 45.7 | | | | 年 森 | | | | | | | 中国 · 深圳 2025.12.18 | | | | | | | 专场冠名 | C BILGH | | | | | | | | | | 合影墙独家冠 | XES 随只能被害 | | - 川曾理电 | | | ARE (2017) | | 35 ■ ■ 材 B | | | 帮助及漏讲单位 | | omto | √ 副建能波 | 产 运乐电池 | NORDA | MSCAD天灯 | UPER | NTEK TERRES | 文 贤 ...