Core Viewpoint - The recent issuance of a total of $3.08 billion in QDII (Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor) quotas by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange represents a significant step in supporting cross-border investment by qualified institutions, reflecting China's commitment to financial market openness and enhancing investor confidence [1] Group 1: Impact on Financial Market - The expansion of QDII quotas promotes the two-way opening of China's financial market, enhancing its influence in the global financial system and signaling China's determination to integrate into the global financial landscape [2] - The QDII system, alongside the QFII (Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor) system, facilitates the dual flow of capital, optimizing global capital allocation and creating a new pattern of coordinated development between "bringing in" and "going out" [2] Group 2: Internationalization of Renminbi - Certain QDII products allow for investments in offshore RMB-denominated assets, which helps expand the use and acceptance of the Renminbi abroad, enhancing its attractiveness as an international investment currency [3] - The healthy development of the QDII system contributes to the steady rise of the Renminbi's status in the international monetary system [3] Group 3: Investor Demand and Asset Management - The growing demand for cross-border investment has led to an increase in the scale of QDII funds, with the latest net asset value reaching 654.28 billion yuan, reflecting investor recognition and demand for QDII products [4] - The issuance of new QDII quotas provides strong support for asset management institutions to meet the increasing global asset allocation and risk diversification needs of domestic residents [4] Group 4: Competitiveness of Domestic Financial Institutions - The recent QDII quota expansion allows financial institutions, particularly fund companies and brokerages, to enhance their international competitiveness and global asset management capabilities [5] - The expansion is not merely about increasing scale; it aims to guide domestic funds to invest abroad, fulfilling various investor needs while strengthening the integration of the Chinese economy into the global financial system [5]

Core Insights - The report by JLL indicates that the Shanghai bulk property market recorded a total transaction value of 15.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with 37 transactions completed, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline to less than half of the previous year's level [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - There is a noticeable divergence between domestic and foreign investors in the bulk property market, with domestic investors showing strong resilience and achieving a record share of total transactions [1] - Foreign investors are strategically reducing their holdings, leading to accelerated turnover of quality assets at discounted prices, creating new investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Investor Behavior - Self-use buyers continue to focus on office and research properties, with notable transactions including BFC's acquisition of three plots and Le Xin Technology's purchase of R&D properties in Zhangjiang [1] - Investment buyers exhibit polarized strategies, with non-institutional investors completing significant transactions like the West Lake Joint Venture's acquisition of the Jinglai Fang project, while institutional investors seek value recovery in distressed assets and stable cash flow properties [1] Group 3: Property Types and Trends - Office and research properties maintain the highest transaction share at 31%, although this is a decrease from the previous year, while apartments have gained traction with a 27% share due to ongoing public market support [2] - Commercial properties are frequently traded, with nearly 50% of transactions occurring through judicial auction channels, highlighted by the Chenghuangmiao Square's record auction price of 1.209 billion yuan [2] - Hotel asset transactions are characterized by smaller, high-quality projects, with three transactions in the 100 million to 300 million yuan range, all acquired by private investors [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - JLL anticipates that discounted office projects held by foreign funds will continue to transact, potentially increasing the share of office properties in the second half of the year [2] - The low-interest environment in China is expected to provide favorable financing conditions for domestic buyers, encouraging them to capitalize on market opportunities [2] - Shanghai is accelerating its development as an international economic, financial, trade, shipping, and technological innovation center, with policies aimed at optimizing the business environment and enhancing industry support [2]

大类资产 3 季度配置信号 ： 根据 2025 年 6 月底的最新数据，信用利差和期限利差均发出收窄信号， Q3 宏观环境预测结果为 Inflation 。 宏观动量模型配置信号： 根据 2025 年 6 月底的最新数据，股票、债券和黄金市场在 2025 年 7 月信号 分别为正向，负向和正向。 报告导读： 根据 2025 年 6 月底的最新数据，股票、债券和黄金市场在 2025 年 7 月信 号分别为正向，负向和正向。 行业复合趋势因子组合表现及信号： 2015 年 1 月至 2025 年 6 月，行业复合趋势因子组合的累积收益 为 86.40% ，超额收益为 40.53% 。上月（ 2025 年 6 月）因子信号为正向， Wind 全 A 当月收益率 为 4.74% 。根据 2025 年 6 月底的最新数据，行业复合趋势因子为 -0.34 ，有所回升，继续维持正向 信号。 风险提示： 模型失效风险、因子失效风险、海外市场波动风险。 报告来源 以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已发布的证券研究报告。 报告名称：大类资产及择时观点月报（2025.07） 报告日期：2025.07.02 报告作者： 郑雅斌 （分析师）， ...

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Core Viewpoint - The recent approval of a new batch of QDII (Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor) quotas by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) indicates a growing demand for overseas investment from domestic institutions, particularly in the Hong Kong stock market, which has shown significant returns in the first half of the year [1][2][5]. Summary by Categories QDII Quota Expansion - As of June 30, 2025, the total approved QDII investment quota reached $170.87 billion, an increase of $3.08 billion from $167.79 billion on May 9, 2024 [1]. - A total of 82 institutions received the new quota, including banks, insurance companies, trust companies, securities firms, and fund companies, with individual quotas ranging from $10 million to $50 million [1][2]. Institutional Winners - Major beneficiaries of the new QDII quotas include 10 banks and their wealth management subsidiaries, each receiving $50 million, as well as 22 fund companies, including E Fund and GF Fund, which also received $50 million [2]. - Other institutions received varying amounts, with 12 institutions getting $40 million, 9 institutions receiving $30 million, and several others receiving smaller amounts [2]. Market Performance and Investor Sentiment - Domestic investors are showing heightened interest in the Hong Kong stock market, driven by strong performance from QDII products, particularly those focused on the pharmaceutical sector, which saw returns exceeding 85% in the first half of the year [5]. - In contrast, QDII products focused on the U.S. stock market have underperformed, with over half of them reporting negative returns, attributed to various uncertainties affecting the U.S. market [6]. Future Outlook - The expansion of QDII quotas is expected to enhance the competitiveness and internationalization of domestic asset management institutions, contributing to a more open financial system [3]. - Analysts suggest that the Hong Kong market remains attractive for investment, while the U.S. market faces uncertainties, particularly regarding trade policies and economic conditions [7][8].

证券研究报告 | 金融工程 gszqdatemark 2025 07 01 年 月 日 量化点评报告 七月配置建议：不轻易低配 A 股 资产配置：A 股配置价值相对较高。 1）A 股：高赔率-中等胜率品种。基于 ERP 和 DRP 的标准化数值等权计 算 A 股赔率，截至 6 月底 A 股赔率为 1.2 倍标准差，仍然处于较高水平； 近期降准降息以及信贷见底推动 A 股胜率回升至 0 轴附近，但增长方向仍 然为负，A 股胜率预计仍维持在中等水平。 2）债券：极低赔率-高胜率品种。当前债券赔率处于-1.5 倍标准差的极低 水平，表明长债仍存在一定估值风险；近期债券胜率指标由于货币宽松和 增长下行上行至 20%的较高水平，若信用和增长筑底回升可能压低胜率。 3）美股：极低赔率-中高胜率品种。美股 AIAE 指标当前位于 52%的极高 水平，处于历史 99.7%分位数，回撤风险仍然较高；美联储流动性指数当 前位于 20%的中高水平，表明美联储流动性较为宽松，我们将持续关注后 续信号是否发生转向，若转向美股则回到一季度低赔率-低胜率状态，配置 价值进一步降低。 风格配置：价值风格微观打分最高。价值风格微观打分最高：当 ...

房子的价格为什么会回落？ 这几年，相信大家都能意识到，此刻 我们正在经历一个财富不断减少的时代。 说一个扎心的数据： 根据机构统计的数据显示，这 几年居民财富 总市值从 400 万亿人民币，降到现在的 300 万亿， 大概损失了 100 万亿左右。 这其中，居民财富主要流失的份额，大多来自于房产。 所以这几年居民的财富缩水，基本上都是因为房子的价格回落。 你可以说很多的原因，但是最根本的原因只有一个： 通S 在统计局公布的最新数据中，有两个关键的数据值得关注： 第一个 是 PPI数据 ，这项数据代表的是工厂的商品出厂价，下跌了3.3%； 第二个是 CPI数据 ，这项数据代表的是居民端买东西消费的价格，下跌3.6%。 这两个指数双双下跌，可以说紧缩已经形成了大趋势。 但老实说，通S本身其实并不可怕，对于多数人而言，真正可怕的是： 很多人还在用匹配通胀的资产结构应对着通S，做着错误的资产配置。 为什么说现在很多人正在做错误的资产配置？ 原因很简单，就是 没有经历过通S 。 这事情其实就和谈恋爱是一样的—— 吃过见过的人，自然能应对自如；没有经历过的人，肯定要交学费。 可以说 过去这40年以来，我们从来没经历过这么 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The global precious metals market is entering a structural upcycle, driven by rising geopolitical risks, ambiguous monetary policies, and increased demand for safe-haven assets [1][3] - Gold prices are expected to rise by 35% in 2025, reaching a historical annual average high, with a cumulative increase of nearly 25% in the first half of 2025 [1][2] - Silver is projected to increase by 17% in 2025 and 3% in 2026, supported by growing demand from the renewable energy, photovoltaic, and semiconductor industries [2][3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The first quarter of 2025 saw the largest net inflow into gold ETFs since 2022, indicating a long-term trend towards diversification of reserves by central banks [1][3] - Platinum prices surged nearly 30% in the first half of 2025, driven by supply constraints, with expectations of a 10% increase in 2025 and 2% in 2026 [2][3] - The geopolitical situation remains unstable, with ongoing risks in regions like the Middle East and Ukraine, contributing to the upward pressure on precious metal prices [3] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on gold and silver as core defensive assets, while strategically allocating platinum as a high-elasticity asset amid supply-demand dynamics [3] - The overall market sentiment indicates that the risks for precious metals remain skewed to the upside, suggesting structural allocation value in the future [3]

以下文章来源于量化投资 ，作者十拳剑灵 1、投顾组合作为仓位基石（超 1/4 占比），能自动调仓并执行再平衡策略，省去大量个股基金的研究 时间和操作时间。 量化投资 . 百万滚到千万的实盘分享与思考，不定期分享资产配置研究： 1.广度上通过爬虫定期对全市场所有公募 基金进行自动数据获取、存储； 2.深度上计算时间序列特征、协方差矩阵；3.分别锚定2%和10%波动 率，求解最大回报率下的配置方案。 一直在帮家人打理基金账户，用天天基金快十年了（ 2015 年 3 月开户）。目前账户总资产 608,380.54元，其中包括 2万元本金、58万元收益 。大部分的本金都在这些年逐渐被取出来用于改善 生活了。毕竟，投资就是为了产生现金流来消费，这也是响应国家促进消费的号召。 今天结合截图聊聊实际体验，给有类似需求的朋友参考。收益部分值得注意两个数据：累计收益 +584,879.74元和当前持仓收益+45,484.71元的差距，说明大部分盈利的基金都以卖出了，在不断调仓 优化结构。刚过去的6月表现不错，月收益+25,512.09元（+4.53%），上周也有+1.72%的正收益。 按照最大成本算，账户自2018年以来的年化 ...

Group 1 - BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, has observed an increasing interest among its global clients in reallocating assets from the U.S. to other markets [1] - A recent survey conducted by BlackRock revealed that over 20% of clients are considering reducing their exposure to the U.S. market and the dollar [1] - Elaine Wu, Head of Investment and Portfolio Solutions for Asia Pacific at BlackRock, noted that a significant number of clients are focusing on Asian equity allocations [1] Group 2 - Despite the shift in interest, some clients still maintain their interest in the U.S. market [1] - Clients who are currently reducing their U.S. asset allocations may potentially return in the future [1]