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贺博生:6.4黄金晚间小非农如何布局,原油最新独家多空操作建议指导
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 10:18
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The international gold market is experiencing a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces, with spot gold prices around $3355 per ounce, indicating underlying tensions despite a seemingly calm surface [1] - Strong performance in the U.S. job market is counterbalancing global trade tensions, while the OECD's latest warnings introduce new variables into the market [1] - Upcoming key data releases, particularly the ADP employment data and the non-farm payroll report, are expected to provide insights into Federal Reserve policy direction, which will influence gold market investment logic [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold is anticipated to enter a period of volatility, with short-term resistance at $3380 and support at $3345, indicating a potential range-bound trading environment [3] - The 30-minute moving average is showing signs of a downward trend, suggesting a possible adjustment if a bearish crossover occurs [3] - The trading strategy recommends focusing on buying on dips while considering selling on rebounds, with key levels to watch being $3380-$3390 for resistance and $3345-$3335 for support [3] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices have slightly declined due to a more balanced supply-demand scenario and concerns over the global economic outlook, with Brent crude at $65.58 per barrel and WTI at $63.32 per barrel [4] - Recent price drops follow a two-week high, influenced by factors such as wildfires in Canada disrupting oil production and geopolitical tensions affecting supply [4] - The oil market is currently influenced by competing forces, including geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production increases, leading to a potential high-level consolidation until clearer policy directions emerge [4] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The mid-term trend for oil prices is downward, with a potential test of the $50 mark after forming a bearish flag pattern [5] - Short-term movements are characterized by fluctuations around the moving average system, indicating a likely upward trend in the near term [5] - The trading strategy suggests focusing on buying on dips while considering selling on rebounds, with resistance levels at $64.5-$65.0 and support levels at $62.0-$61.5 [5]