| 燃 料 油 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 鹿特丹3.5% HSF | 鹿特丹0.5% VLS | 鹿特丹HSFO-Br | 鹿特丹10ppm G | 鹿特丹VLSFO-G | LGO-Brent M1 | 鹿特丹VLSFO-H | | | O掉期 M1 | FO掉期 M1 | ent M1 | asoil掉期 M1 | O M1 | | SFO M1 | | 2025/06/11 | 409.51 | 461.45 | -2.98 | 616.64 | -155.19 | 15.03 | 51.94 | | 2025/06/12 | 417.96 | 468.13 | -2.76 | 625.97 | -157.84 | 16.61 | 50.17 | | 2025/06/13 | 441.01 | 487.74 | -2.60 | 662.68 | -174.94 | 16.61 | 46.73 | | 2025/06/16 | 440.56 | 480.32 | -1.20 | 661. ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2) Core View of the Report - The fundamentals of the LPG market are marginally improving but still under pressure, with significant geopolitical risks. It is recommended to operate with caution [1] 3) Summary by Relevant Content a) Price Changes - **Daily Changes**: In the civil gas segment, prices in Shandong remained stable at 4610, increased by 61 to 4677 in East China, and decreased by 30 to 4690 in South China. The price of ether - post carbon four decreased by 20 to 4960. The cheapest deliverable was Shandong civil gas at 4610. The PP price declined, PDH production profit worsened, and FEI production profit was lower than CP. The PG futures price was revised downwards, the basis of the 07 contract increased by 16 to 228, and the 07 - 09 spread decreased by 18 to 160. The US - to - Far - East arbitrage window closed [1] - **Weekly Changes**: Civil gas prices rose significantly, with the cheapest deliverable being East China civil gas at 4603. There were signs of stabilization in Shandong; the market in East China was generally weak due to the expected commissioning of Zhenhai Phase II but improved marginally due to the postponed commissioning of Daxie; the spot market in South China rebounded due to the impact of typhoons on ship arrivals. The PG futures market was strong, the basis of the 07 contract weakened to 221 (-130), and the 07 - 09 spread was 195 (+10). The external market price strengthened significantly, mainly affected by geopolitical factors. In terms of spreads, PG - CP reached 18 US dollars (+27), and FEI - CP reached -19 (+31). Freight rates increased, and the waiting time at the Panama Canal for VLGCs decreased [1] b) Production Profit and Market Conditions - PDH production profit worsened, and FEI production profit was lower than CP. The profitability of alkylated oil decreased significantly, MTBE gas - fractionation etherification profit increased, isomerization etherification profit decreased, and the spreads of FEI - MOPJ and naphtha cracking decreased [1] c) Supply and Demand - **Supply**: Port inventories and factory inventories decreased. Arrivals and external shipments declined, and it is expected that external shipments will increase and arrivals will decrease in the future [1] - **Demand**: Chemical demand improved overall. The operating rate of PDH increased to 64.3%, the operating rate of alkylation increased to 48.18%, and MTBE production increased significantly. With rising temperatures, combustion demand is expected to decline [1] d) Futures Market - The PG futures price was adjusted. The basis of the 07 contract and the 07 - 09 spread changed. The number of registered warehouse receipts was 9005 lots (-335) [1]

甲醇日报 | 2025-06-18 港口基差快速走强 甲醇观点 市场要闻与重要数据 内地方面：Q5500鄂尔多斯动力煤410元/吨（+0），内蒙煤制甲醇生产利润693元/吨（-5）；内地甲醇价格方面，内 蒙北线1988元/吨（-5），内蒙北线基差133元/吨（+4），内蒙南线2000元/吨（+110）；山东临沂2325元/吨（-55）， 鲁南基差70元/吨（-46）；河南2270元/吨（-30），河南基差15元/吨（-21）；河北2195元/吨（+65），河北基差0元/吨 （+74）。隆众内地工厂库存379120吨（+8630），西北工厂库存237100吨（+2600）；隆众内地工厂待发订单302090 吨（+39910），西北工厂待发订单167000吨（+17000）。 港口方面：太仓甲醇2615元/吨（+30），太仓基差160元/吨（+39），CFR中国298美元/吨（+13），华东进口价差-31 元/吨（-16），常州甲醇2500元/吨；广东甲醇2505元/吨（+25），广东基差50元/吨（+34）。隆众港口总库存652200 吨（+71000），江苏港口库存312000吨（+30700），浙江港口库存 ...

聚烯烃日报 | 2025-06-18 冲突加剧，聚烯烃延续走高 市场分析 价格与基差方面，L主力合约收盘价为7317元/吨（-21），PP主力合约收盘价为7125元/吨（-8），LL华北现货为7310 元/吨（+10），LL华东现货为7350元/吨（+0），PP华东现货为7190元/吨（+10），LL华北基差为-7元/吨（+31），LL 华东基差为33元/吨（+21）， PP华东基差为65元/吨（+18）。 上游供应方面，PE开工率为79.2%（+1.8%），PP开工率为78.6%（+1.6%）。 生产利润方面，PE油制生产利润为-67.7元/吨（+177.0），PP油制生产利润为-477.7元/吨（+177.0），PDH制PP生产 利润为6.5元/吨（-26.9）。 进出口方面，LL进口利润为-23.1元/吨（+100.0），PP进口利润为-322.7元/吨（+30.0），PP出口利润为3.0美元/吨（-3.7）。 下游需求方面，PE下游农膜开工率为12.4%（-0.5%），PE下游包装膜开工率为48.4%（-0.5%），PP下游塑编开工率 为44.4%（-0.3%），PP下游BOPP膜开工率为60.4%（ ...

金融研究 2025年6月18日 星期三 金融期货早班车 招商期货有限公司 市场表现：6 月 17 日，A 股四大股指有所回调，其中上证指数下跌 0.04%，报收 3387.4 点；深成指 下跌 0.12%，报收 10151.43 点；创业板指下跌 0.36%，报收 2049.94 点；科创 50 指数下跌 0.8%， 报收 963.08 点。市场成交 12,371 亿元，较前日减少 65 亿元。行业板块方面，煤炭(+0.89%)，公用 事业(+0.82%)，石油石化(+0.72%)涨幅居前；医药生物(-1.44%)，美容护理(-1.24%)，传媒(-1.22%) 跌幅居前。从市场强弱看，IH>IF>IM>IC，个股涨/平/跌数分别为 2,250/247/2,916。沪深两市，机构、 主力、大户、散户全天资金分别净流入-76、-119、20、176 亿元，分别变动-96、-73、+112、+56 亿元。 股指期货 基差：IM、IC、IF、IH 次月合约基差分别为 102.87、70.11、42.78 与 40.75 点，基差年化收益率分 别为-17.45%、-12.7%、-11.51%与-15.82%，三年期历 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货品种套利数据日报（2025 年 6 月 18 日） 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤（元/吨） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/06/17 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/16 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/13 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/12 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/11 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 动力煤基差 基差（右） 动力煤现货价:秦皇岛 期货结算价(活跃合约) :动力煤 www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南 ...

2025年6月18日 集运日报 (航运研究小组) 以伊冲突继续扩大，原油大涨超4%，商品反弹情绪较强，风险偏好者可考虑逢高试空 SCFIS、NCFI运价指数 6月13日 6月16日 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（综合指数）1536.84点，较上期下跌7.94% 上海出口集装箱结算运价指数SCFIS（欧洲航线）1697.63点，较上期上涨4.6% 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（欧洲航线）1307.92点，较上期上涨16.4% 上海出口集装箱结算运价指数SCFIS（美西航线）2908.68点，较上期上涨33.1% 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（美西航线）2230.99点，较上期下跌31.55% 6月13日 6月13日 上海出口集装箱运价指数SCFI公布价格2088.24点，较上期下跌152.11点 中国出口集装箱运价指数CCFI（综合指数）1243.05点，较上期上涨7.6% 上海出口集装箱运价指数SCFI欧线价格1844USD/TEU, 较上期上涨10.62% 上海出口集装箱运价指数SCFI美西航线4120USD/FEU，较上期下跌26.51% 中国出口集装箱运价指数CCFI（欧洲航线）1488.87点， ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | 2025年6月18日 | 品种 | 最新值 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | 机关 | 较前一日变化 | 2.22 | IF期现价差 | -1.78 | 65.90% | 55.90% | | | | | | | | | | | H期现价差 | 3.46 | 38.90% | 42.70% | -3.15 | 期现价差 | 89.30% | 81.10% | IC期现价差 | -2.51 | 9.10 | -11.47 | IM期现价差 | 8.59 | 90.00% | 62.70% | | 1.20% | 次月-崇月 | -41.00 | 0.00 | 6.70% | 11.80% | 委員-录 ...

| 硅铁 (SF509) | | 5428 | 5264 | 164 | 3.12% | 79.10% | 折算价:72硅铁合格块:内蒙-天津仓单 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 硅罐(SM509) | | 5720 | 5536 | 184 | 3.32% | 55.60% | 折算价:6517硅锰:内蒙-湖北仓单 | | | 螺纹钢 (RB2510) | | 3090 | 2981 | 109 | 3.66% | 51.80% | HRB40020mm:上海 | | | 热卷(HC2510) | | 3190 | 3093 | 97 | 3.14% | 55.60% | Q235B: 4.75mm: 上海 | | | 铁矿石 (12509) | | 766 | ୧୦୦ | 67 | 9.64% | 52.30% | 折算价:62.5%巴混粉(BRBF):淡水河谷:日照港 | | | 焦炭 (J2509) | | 1347 | 1366 | -19 | -1.36% | 35.17% | 折算价:准一级冶金焦A13, ...

山东标品基差(+80) 500 300 100 -300 -500 s 疯皮期货 沥青早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/6/18 | | 指标 | 5/19 | 6/9 | 6/13 | 6/16 | 6/17 | 日度变化 | 周度変化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | BU主力合约 | 3502 | 3488 | 3628 | 3667 | 3644 | -23 | 156 | | | BU06 | 3502 | 3516 | 3600 | 3650 | 3381 | -269 | -135 | | | BU09 | 3430 | 3488 | 3628 | 3667 | 3644 | -23 | 156 | | | BU12 | 3231 | 3320 | 3469 | 3499 | 3482 | -17 | 162 | | 据面 | BU03 | 3227 | 3267 | 3394 | 3423 | 3379 | -44 | 112 | | | 成交量 | 349940 | 463328 | 758434 | ...