Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The PG market declined with a weakening basis and 01 - 02 spread. Domestic civil gas prices decreased, and the cheapest deliverable was East China civil gas. The propane - civil gas spread narrowed. Warehouse receipts decreased. The overseas paper - based prices dropped, but the spread strengthened. The PG - CP and PG - FEI spreads changed slightly. The freight rate decreased slightly. The FEI - MOPJ spread narrowed. Profits of Shandong PDH to propylene and alkylation units improved slightly, while MTBE production profits fluctuated and export profits remained good. There was an increase in arrivals, a decrease in external sales, and inventory accumulation at factories and ports. The PDH operating rate decreased, and Dongguan Juzhengyuan's PDH Phase II is expected to restart next week. Overall, domestic chemical demand is relatively strong, civil demand is increasing, but there are expected to be many arrivals in December. The Middle East supply is tight, and the market may be more inclined to wait - and - see before the CP official price announcement. Attention should also be paid to weather and oil price conditions [1] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Daily Changes - On Monday, for civil gas, prices were 4305 (-10) in East China, 4400 (+60) in Shandong, and 4405 (+5) in South China. The price of ether - after carbon four was 4400 (-90). The lowest delivery location was East China with a basis of 6 (+23), and the 01 - 02 spread was 98 (-10). FEI was 501.5 (+1.5) and CP was 489.5 (+7.5) dollars/ton [1] 2. Weekly Views - The PG futures price declined. The basis was - 43 (-57), and the 01 - 02 spread was 109 (-19). Domestic civil gas prices fell. The cheapest deliverable was East China civil gas at 4315 (-49), and the propane - civil gas spread narrowed. There were 4561 warehouse receipts (-54). Overseas paper - based prices dropped, and the spread strengthened. The gas - oil ratio between North Asia and North America changed little. The PG - CP spread was 126 (-2), and the PG - FEI spread was 114 (+3). The East China arrival, North America, and AFEI offshore discounts were flat, while the Middle East supply was tight with a discount of 35 dollars (+13). The freight rate decreased slightly. The FEI - MOPJ spread was - 55 (+11). The profit of Shandong PDH to propylene improved slightly, the alkylation unit improved slightly but remained poor, and the MTBE production profit fluctuated with good export profits. Arrivals increased, external sales decreased, and inventory accumulated at factories and ports. The PDH operating rate was 69.64% (-2.1), and Dongguan Juzhengyuan's PDH Phase II is expected to restart next week [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Reports Oils and Fats - Palm oil: Malaysian palm oil futures may face further downward pressure, and Dalian palm oil futures are likely to continue to weaken. [1] - Soybean oil: CBOT soybean oil is in a rebound after over - selling, and domestic soybean oil is supported by high import costs but has a pattern of sufficient supply and weak demand. [1] Meal - U.S. soybeans face supply - demand pressure, and South American new - crop soybeans have good planting progress, so the supply pressure continues to be released. Domestic meal prices are expected to oscillate widely. [2] Corn - Corn prices are affected by the rhythm of supply. In the short - term, the futures market is strong, but subsequent selling pressure may limit the gains. [5] Live Pigs - The supply of live pigs is abundant, and the price is expected to maintain an oscillating and weakening structure. The 3 - 7 reverse spread strategy can be held. [10] Sugar - ICE raw sugar futures are expected to oscillate around 14 cents per pound. Domestic sugar prices are expected to maintain an oscillating and weakening pattern this week. [13] Cotton - Globally, the cotton supply is loose. Domestically, cotton prices may oscillate in a range in the short - term. [14] Eggs - Egg prices are expected to oscillate at a low level, and attention should be paid to the support at the previous low. [17] Summary by Commodity Oils and Fats - **Prices and Changes**: On November 24, compared with November 21, soybean oil's spot price in Jiangsu increased by 20 yuan to 8490 yuan, the futures price (Y2601) decreased by 22 yuan to 8168 yuan, and the basis increased by 42 yuan to 322 yuan. Palm oil's spot price in Guangdong decreased by 40 yuan to 8430 yuan, the futures price (P2601) decreased by 64 yuan to 8486 yuan, and the basis increased by 24 yuan to - 56 yuan. Rapeseed oil's spot price in Jiangsu increased by 20 yuan to 10190 yuan, the futures price (OI601) decreased by 38 yuan to 9778 yuan, and the basis increased by 58 yuan to 412 yuan. [1] Meal - **Prices and Changes**: On November 24, compared with the previous values, soybean meal's spot price in Jiangsu remained unchanged at 3000 yuan, the futures price (M2601) decreased by 1 yuan to 3011 yuan, and the basis increased by 1 yuan to - 11 yuan. Rapeseed meal's spot price in Jiangsu increased by 20 yuan to 2440 yuan, the futures price (RM2601) increased by 12 yuan to 2446 yuan, and the basis increased by 5 yuan to - 6 yuan. [2] Corn - **Prices and Changes**: On November 24, compared with the previous values, the futures price of corn 2601 increased by 25 yuan to 2220 yuan, the basis increased by 5 yuan to 30 yuan, and the 1 - 5 spread increased by 13 yuan to - 44 yuan. [5] Live Pigs - **Prices and Changes**: On November 24, compared with the previous values, the futures price of live pigs 2605 increased by 65 yuan to 11925 yuan, the 1 - 5 spread decreased by 15 yuan to - 525 yuan. The spot price in Henan decreased by 150 yuan to 11550 yuan. [10] Sugar - **Prices and Changes**: On November 24, compared with the previous values, the futures price of sugar 2601 increased by 17 yuan to 5370 yuan, the Nanning spot price decreased by 30 yuan to 5450 yuan, and the Nanning basis decreased by 47 yuan to 131 yuan. [13] Cotton - **Prices and Changes**: On November 24, compared with the previous values, the futures price of cotton 2605 increased by 82 yuan to 13530 yuan, the 5 - 1 spread increased by 40 yuan to - 50 yuan, and the Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B increased by 3 yuan to 14574 yuan. [14] Eggs - **Prices and Changes**: On November 24, compared with the previous values, the price of the egg 12 - contract increased by 16 yuan to 2950 yuan per 500KG, the egg - producing area price decreased by 0.07 yuan to 2.84 yuan per catty, and the basis increased by 43 yuan to - 302 yuan per 500KG. [17]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views - After the restart of previously overhauled devices, the domestic production of cis - butadiene rubber is expected to increase in the short term, and the inventories of both production and trading enterprises are expected to rise slightly [2]. - The cost of cis - butadiene rubber is slightly stronger, but the high - premium offers have difficulty attracting buyers, and the private price - holding strategy also has limited support from the market. The inventory of sample production enterprises has increased, while that of sample trading enterprises has changed slightly [2]. - Last week, tire enterprises had insufficient orders, with some arranging overhauls and others reducing production, which dragged down the capacity utilization rate. As the production of overhauled enterprises gradually recovers, the capacity utilization rate of tire enterprises may show a restorative increase this week, but the overall demand growth is limited, and enterprise production control will restrict the increase [2]. - The br2601 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 10,000 - 10,550 in the short term [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract for synthetic rubber is 10,395 yuan/ton, with a ring - to - ring increase of 10; the position volume of the main contract is 70,323 yuan/ton, up 2,076 [2]. - The 1 - 2 spread of synthetic rubber is 20 yuan/ton, down 10; the total warehouse receipt quantity of butadiene rubber in warehouses is 2,960 tons, down 20 [2]. Spot Market - The mainstream price of cis - butadiene rubber (BR9000) from different petrochemical companies in various regions has decreased, with a range of 100 - 150 yuan/ton [2]. - The basis of synthetic rubber is 105 yuan/ton, down 10 [2]. - The price of Brent crude oil is 62.56 dollars/barrel, down 0.82; WTI crude oil is 58.06 dollars/barrel, down 0.94. The price of Northeast Asian ethylene is 730 dollars/ton, with no change; the price of naphtha CFR Japan is 573.13 dollars/ton, up 0.13; the intermediate price of butadiene CFR China is 770 dollars/ton, with no change. The mainstream price of butadiene in the Shandong market is 7,350 yuan/ton, down 190 [2]. Upstream Situation - The weekly production capacity of butadiene is 15.94 million tons/week, up 0.38; the capacity utilization rate is 72.53%, down 0.49 [2]. - The port inventory of butadiene is 39,800 tons, up 10,800; the operating rate of Shandong local refineries' atmospheric and vacuum distillation units is 54.26%, up 1.01 [2]. - The monthly output of cis - butadiene rubber is 13.76 million tons, up 0.72; the capacity utilization rate is 72.64%, up 2.72 [2]. - The weekly production profit of cis - butadiene rubber is 284 yuan/ton, down 352; the social inventory is 3.15 million tons, up 0.07; the manufacturer's inventory is 26,630 tons, up 780; the trader's inventory is 4,880 tons, down 90 [2]. Downstream Situation - The operating rate of domestic semi - steel tires is 70.05%, down 3.63; the operating rate of full - steel tires is 62.25%, down 2.25 [2]. - The monthly output of full - steel tires is 1,242 million pieces, down 72; the monthly output of semi - steel tires is 5,168 million pieces, down 857 [2]. - The inventory days of full - steel tires in Shandong are 40.24 days, up 0.69; the inventory days of semi - steel tires in Shandong are 45.86 days, up 0.5 [2]. Industry News - As of November 20, the capacity utilization rate of Chinese semi - steel tire sample enterprises was 69.36%, with a month - on - month decrease of 3.63 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 10.40 percentage points. The capacity utilization rate of full - steel tire sample enterprises was 62.04%, with a month - on - month decrease of 2.25 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 1.56 percentage points [2]. - In October 2025, the domestic output of cis - butadiene rubber was 13.76 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.72 million tons, or 5.52%, and a year - on - year increase of 24.07%. The capacity utilization rate was 71.39%, an increase of 1.46 percentage points from the previous period and 10.93 percentage points from the same period last year [2]. - As of November 19, the domestic inventory of cis - butadiene rubber was 3.15 million tons, an increase of 0.70 million tons from the previous period, or 2.24% [2].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking in Singapore weakened rapidly, the monthly spread ran at a historical low, the basis weakened and then fluctuated at a historical low, the 380 basis weakened and then rebounded on Friday, and the European HSFO cracking dropped rapidly. The EW continued to strengthen this week. The 0.5% cracking in Singapore weakened oscillatingly this week, the monthly spread weakened oscillatingly, and the basis strengthened slightly [6]. - In terms of inventory, global residue inventory increased, Singapore residue inventory decreased, high - sulfur floating storage increased significantly, ARA residue inventory increased, Fujairah residue inventory decreased slightly, high - sulfur floating storage decreased slightly, and EIA residue inventory increased. With the strengthening expectation of Russia - Ukraine peace talks, the prices of gasoline and diesel in the external market dropped significantly, and the price difference between low - sulfur fuel oil and diesel rebounded this week. After the fire at the Al Zour refinery on October 21st, it stopped production, and the Singapore basis has started to rebound recently [7]. - As global residue enters the inventory accumulation cycle, the external cracking is expected to be supported by the decline in crude oil prices, showing a short - term oscillating pattern. For FU01, maintain a high - short idea for both domestic and foreign markets, and consider arranging 1 - 2 reverse spreads. The short - term downward space for low - sulfur fuel oil is limited [7]. 3. Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/11/17 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/19 | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 366.33 | 359.79 | 351.60 | 354.27 | 342.52 | -11.75 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 415.16 | 411.23 | 401.83 | 401.58 | 392.05 | -9.53 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -6.17 | -6.97 | -7.51 | -7.11 | -7.70 | -0.59 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 707.49 | 732.42 | 724.68 | 705.27 | 674.04 | -31.23 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -292.33 | -321.19 | -322.85 | -303.69 | -281.99 | 21.70 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 31.67 | 33.67 | 34.17 | 31.62 | 28.61 | -3.01 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 48.83 | 51.44 | 50.23 | 47.31 | 49.53 | 2.22 | [4] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/11/17 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/19 | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 362.23 | 355.32 | 354.49 | 352.24 | 348.23 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 367.79 | 360.57 | 362.97 | 354.70 | 352.69 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 449.06 | 448.99 | 446.34 | 437.80 | 427.47 | | Singapore GO M1 | 92.04 | 93.29 | 95.91 | 94.36 | 88.67 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | -6.48 | -7.45 | -8.02 | -7.92 | -7.06 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -232.04 | -241.36 | -263.39 | -260.46 | -228.69 | [4] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/11/17 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/19 | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 356.03 | 348.12 | 348.03 | 345.42 | 343.36 | -2.06 | | FOB VLSFO | 449.02 | 448.99 | 446.12 | 438.34 | 427.46 | -10.88 | | 380 Basis | -5.60 | -6.55 | -5.80 | -5.25 | -4.55 | 0.70 | | High - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 3.6 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 0.2 | | Low - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 8.3 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 6.6 | 0.8 | [5] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/11/17 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/19 | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2593 | 2558 | 2560 | 2517 | 2502 | -15 | | FU 05 | 2632 | 2606 | 2609 | 2565 | 2539 | -26 | | FU 09 | 2602 | 2579 | 2578 | 2541 | 2513 | -28 | | FU 01 - 05 | -39 | -48 | -49 | -48 | -37 | 11 | | FU 05 - 09 | 30 | 27 | 31 | 24 | 26 | 2 | | FU 09 - 01 | 9 | 21 | 18 | 24 | 11 | -13 | [5] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/11/17 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/19 | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3236 | 3247 | 3266 | 3139 | 3078 | -61 | | LU 05 | 3221 | 3223 | 3240 | 3145 | 3085 | -60 | | LU 09 | 3220 | 3232 | 3246 | 3160 | 3119 | -41 | | LU 01 - 05 | 15 | 24 | 26 | -6 | -7 | -1 | | LU 05 - 09 | 1 | -9 | -6 | -15 | -34 | -19 | | LU 09 - 01 | -16 | -15 | -20 | 21 | 41 | 20 | [6]

研究咨询部苏妙达 执业资格证号：F03104403/Z0018167 发布时间：2025年11月24日 投资有风险，入市需谨慎，本公司具备期货交易咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明。 分析师苏妙达：F03104403/Z0018167 投资有风险，入市需谨慎。 冠通期货研究报告 --沥青周报 行情分析 供应端，上周沥青开工率环比回落4.2个百分点至24.8%，较去年同期低了7.0个百分点，处于近年同期最低水平。 据隆众资讯数据，11月份国内沥青预计排产222.8万吨，环比减少45.4万吨，减幅为16.9%，同比减少27.4万吨，减 幅为11.0%。上周，沥青下游各行业开工率涨跌互现，其中道路沥青开工环比持平于34%，受到资金和天气制约。上 周，东北地区沥青产量增加，叠加降价刺激出货，其出货量增加较多，全国出货量环比增加15.28%至24.6万吨，处 于中性略偏低水平。沥青炼厂库存存货比环比持平，处于近年来同期的最低位附近。俄罗斯副总理诺瓦克表示，美 国及西方最新实施的制裁并未对俄罗斯的石油产量造成影响，另外特朗普政府极力促成俄乌停火，泽连斯基表明对 和谈持开放态度，原油价格下跌。本周山东胜星等炼厂将稳定 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | | | | 聚酯数据日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号:Z0017251 | 2025/11/24 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | 指标 | 2025/11/20 2025/11/21 | | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | | INE原油(元/桶) | 455. 5 | 447. 4 | -8. 10 | 成交情况: PTA:原油下跌,且PX行情下跌,成本支撑减弱,利空 | | SC | PTA-SC(元/陣) | 1385.8 | 1414. 7 | 28. 86 | PTA行情。PTA去库存,基差走强。 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1. 4187 | 1. 4351 | 0. 0165 | | | | CFR中国PX | 833 | 824 | -9 | | | PX | PX-石脑油价差 | 260 | 262 | 2 | | | | PTA主力期价(元/吨) | 4696 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For PTA, with some proximal TA devices under maintenance, the start - up rate decreased, polyester load increased, inventory was depleted, basis strengthened slightly, and spot processing fees improved. PX domestic start - up increased, overseas devices reduced load, PXN strengthened, and cost - end PX had a good pattern. Attention should be paid to the opportunities of positive spreads at low prices and expanding processing fees [2]. - For MEG, with domestic oil - based production increasing load and coal - based production having some maintenance and load reduction, overall start - up declined. With supply load reduction and high polyester start - up, the inventory accumulation speed is expected to slow down. There are opportunities for short - term selling of put options, but the long - term pattern is expected to be weak [2]. - For polyester staple fiber, the short - term inventory pressure is limited due to high export growth, but the pattern may weaken in the long - term as the downstream enters the off - season and new devices are about to be put into production. Attention should be paid to the warehouse receipt situation [2]. - For natural rubber and 20 - grade rubber, with stable national explicit inventory and stable Thai cup - lump rubber prices affected by rainfall, the strategy is to wait and see [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs PTA - **Price and Index Changes**: From November 17 - 21, 2025, the price of crude oil decreased by 0.8, PTA spot price decreased by 15, and PTA processing fee increased by 41. The average daily trading basis for PTA was 2601(-61) [2]. - **Device Changes**: Yisheng Ningbo's 2.2 million - ton device and Honggang's 2.5 million - ton device were under maintenance [2]. - **Market Outlook**: TA will maintain a high - maintenance state, downstream has no obvious pressure, and with India revoking the BIS certification, the inventory accumulation slope is not high. There are opportunities for positive spreads at low prices and expanding processing fees [2]. MEG - **Price and Index Changes**: From November 17 - 21, 2025, the MEG outer - market price decreased by 3, the inner - market price decreased by 33, and the coal - based MEG profit decreased by 47.08 [2]. - **Device Changes**: Hongsifang's 300,000 - ton device and Huayi's 200,000 - ton device were under maintenance, and Zhenhai's 800,000 - ton device restarted [2]. - **Market Outlook**: With supply load reduction and high polyester start - up, the inventory accumulation speed is expected to slow down. There are short - term opportunities for selling put options, but the long - term pattern is expected to be weak [2]. Polyester Staple Fiber - **Price and Index Changes**: From November 17 - 21, 2025, the price of 1.4D cotton - type staple fiber decreased by 30, and the short - fiber profit decreased by 7 [2]. - **Device Operation**: The start - up rate was stable at 97.5%, production and sales improved slightly, and inventory was basically flat [2]. - **Market Outlook**: Short - term inventory pressure is limited due to high export growth, but the pattern may weaken in the long - term as the downstream enters the off - season and new devices are about to be put into production. Attention should be paid to the warehouse receipt situation [2]. Natural Rubber & 20 - grade Rubber - **Price and Index Changes**: From November 17 - 21, 2025, the price of US - dollar Thai standard rubber increased by 5, and the price of Shanghai full - latex decreased by 10 [5]. - **Market Outlook**: With stable national explicit inventory and stable Thai cup - lump rubber prices affected by rainfall, the strategy is to wait and see [5]. Styrene - **Price and Index Changes**: From November 17 - 21, 2025, the price of ethylene (CFR Northeast Asia) remained unchanged, the price of pure benzene (CFR China) remained unchanged, and the price of styrene (CFR China) decreased by 8 [8]. - **Profit Changes**: The domestic profit of styrene remained at 45, and the domestic profits of EPS, PS, and ABS remained unchanged [8].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents a daily update on futures arbitrage data for various commodities on November 24, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1][5][21][27][39][52]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Power Coal - The report shows the basis and spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of power coal from November 17 to 21, 2025. The basis remained at 32.6 yuan/ton during this period, and all spreads were 0 [2]. Energy Chemicals Energy Commodities - The basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided, along with price changes such as - 8.81, - 14.21, etc [7]. Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from November 17 to 21, 2025 are presented. For example, the basis of rubber on November 21 was - 490 yuan/ton [9]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For instance, the 5 - 1 month spread of rubber was 65 yuan/ton [10]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from November 17 to 21, 2025 are shown. On November 21, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2330 yuan/ton [10]. Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of rebar on November 21 was 173.0 yuan/ton [21]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. The 5 - 1 month spread of rebar was 42.0 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The ratios of rebar to iron ore, rebar to coke, coke to coking coal, and the spread of rebar - hot rolled coil from November 17 to 21, 2025 are given. On November 21, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.89 [20]. Non - ferrous Metals Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of copper on November 21 was 20 yuan/ton [31]. London Market - On November 21, 2025, the LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was 1.06 [34]. Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on November 21 was - 89 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of various agricultural products are given, including soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, etc. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of soybeans No.1 was 42 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The ratios and spreads such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc. on November 21, 2025 are presented. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.88 [39]. Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on November 21 was 71.22 [52]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of CSI 300 was - 408 [50].

Group 1: Report Summary - The report is a data daily from ITG Guomao Futures, focusing on the agricultural products, especially soybeans and soybean meal [2][3] - The report is dated November 21, 2025, and the analyst is Huang Xianglan [3] Group 2: Market Data Basis and Spread - On November 20, the basis of soybean meal's main contract in Zhangjiagang decreased by 45, while in Dongguan it increased by 5. The basis of rapeseed meal in Guangdong decreased by 4 [4] - The spot spread between soybean meal and rapeseed meal in Guangdong was 300, and the spread on the main contract was 451, with a change of 14 [5] Exchange Rate and Crushing Margin - The US dollar to RMB exchange rate was 7.0769, and the crushing margin for Brazilian soybeans was -52 yuan/ton, with no change [5] Inventory - The inventory data shows the trends of soybean inventory in Chinese ports, major oil mills, and feed enterprises' soybean meal inventory days from 2020 to 2025 [5] Operation and Crushing - The data also presents the operation rate and soybean crushing volume of major oil mills from 2020 to 2023 [5] Group 3: Supply and Demand Analysis Supply - USDA's November supply - demand report for 2025/26 reduced the US soybean yield per acre, exports, and carry - over, with less - than - expected positive impact [6] - CONB predicts Brazil's new crop output in 25/26 to reach 177.6 million tons. As of November 8, the sowing rate was 58.4% [6] - In China, soybean meal is expected to reduce inventory from November to December, but the supply in the fourth quarter is still relatively loose. The purchase of 12 - 1 month shipments is slow, and the supply gap in the first quarter of next year is uncertain [6] Demand - Livestock and poultry are expected to maintain high inventory in the short term, supporting feed demand. However, the current breeding profit is in the red, and national policies may affect long - term supply [6] - Soybean meal has a high cost - performance ratio, with recent downstream transactions being stable and good提货 performance [6] Group 4: Market Outlook - If there are no obvious weather problems, the market is expected to shift to trading the selling pressure of South American new crops from December to January, which may drag down the soybean meal pricing [6] - It is recommended to short M05 on rallies [6]

Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - The report presents the latest values, changes from the previous day, historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles of various stock index futures spreads on November 21, 2025, including IF, IH, IC, and IM futures' term - to - term spreads and cross - variety ratios [1]. - For example, the IF term - to - term spread of the next - month minus the current - month is - 18.80, with a change of - 0.60 from the previous day, and historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles of 20.90% and 24.10% respectively [1]. - The cross - variety ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, IC/IF, etc. are also provided, along with their changes and percentiles [1]. Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - On November 21, 2025, the report shows the IRR, latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing of different treasury bond futures, including TS, TF, T, and TL [2]. - It details the term - to - term spreads of different treasury bond futures, like the TS term - to - term spread of the current - season minus the next - season is 0.0420, with a change of - 0.0080 from the previous day and a percentile of 31.90% since listing [2]. - Cross - variety spreads between different treasury bond futures are also presented, such as TS - TF with a value of - 3.4730, a change of - 0.0550, and a percentile of 9.60% since listing [2]. Group 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - On November 21, 2025, the report provides domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions of precious metals [3]. - For example, the AU2512 contract's domestic futures closing price on November 20 was 932.56, down 4.44 from the previous day, with a decline of - 0.47% [3]. - The basis, such as gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract, is - 2.56, with a change of 0.16 from the previous value and a historical 1 - year percentile of 53.40% [3]. Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - On November 22, 2025, the report shows container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data [5]. - The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index on November 17 was 1357.67, down 147.1 from November 10, with a decline of - 9.78% [5]. - Fundamental data includes global container shipping capacity supply, port on - time rates, port calls, monthly export amounts, and overseas economic indicators [5].