Colin Purdie为宏利投资管理公开市场全球首席投资官，常驻伦敦办公室。他领导公开市场投资团队，负责公开市场投资流程的各个方面，以及 股票、固定收益和解决方案导向型策略的投资业绩。他还负责制定和实施公司的投资理念、风险管理，以及环境、社会和治理（ESG）整合工 作。 【导读】宏利投资管理Colin Purdie：中国市场对科技、创新的政策支持力度空前 全球保险巨头宏利集团旗下宏利投资管理公开市场全球首席投资官Colin Purdie日前接受中国基金报专访时表示，中国支持技术发展、创新和可 持续增长的政策力度是空前的，这将推动技术发展。关于中国的"十五五"规划建议，他表示关注重点包括创新和技术、绿色能源和消费升级。 宏利投资管理在中国拥有独资的公募基金和QDLP业务。 中国市场支持技术发展、创新和可持续增长的政策力度是空前的 "我们仍处于本轮技术革命的早期阶段。尽管人们谈论AI已久，但市场真正关注的时间还很短。AI技术仍有巨大的颠覆性和变革性空间。"Colin Purdie表示。 中国市场支持技术发展、创新和可持续增长的政策力度是空前的，这将鼓励进一步发展。在自动化和机器人领域，中国已经取得巨大成就。会 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that China's policy support for technology development, innovation, and sustainable growth is unprecedented, which will drive technological advancements and create significant investment opportunities [4]. Group 1: Policy Support and Focus Areas - China is in the early stages of a technological revolution, with substantial achievements in automation and robotics, supported by significant capital and policy backing [4]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" highlights three key areas of focus: innovation and technology, green energy, and consumption upgrades, which are expected to attract international investment [5]. - The article notes that China is a leader in solar and renewable energy, with impressive infrastructure projects that will receive more attention in the five-year plan [5]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - There is a renewed interest in Chinese assets from overseas investors, particularly if breakthroughs in technology and innovation occur [6]. - The shift of global capital from the West to the East is noted, with funds flowing from U.S. assets into European and some Asian markets [6]. Group 3: Economic Outlook and Challenges - The article discusses the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve, including the need for careful decision-making amid uncertain economic signals [8]. - Different sectors are evolving at varying paces, with technology and AI continuing to grow rapidly, while housing and labor markets face issues [9]. - The article highlights the potential for a divergence in returns among technology companies, with some likely to benefit significantly from investments in AI while others may not [9].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai tourism market performed steadily during the New Year's Day holiday, with a total of 2.7053 million visitors and an average hotel occupancy rate of 75% [3][4]. Group 1: Tourism Activities - The Shanghai Municipal Bureau of Culture and Tourism launched 120 one to three-day New Year's tourism routes, covering various themes such as "Shanghai-style Jiangnan," "silver-haired leisure," "joyful family," and "trendy shopping," to attract both domestic and international tourists [3][4]. - The first Tourism Strategy Super Contest is ongoing, promoting the theme "Travel to Shanghai, Super New Year," with various cultural and tourism activities planned for the holiday [3]. Group 2: Event Highlights - Key events include the "New Year Music Concert" and "Binhai Music Flash Mob" at the Baoshan main venue, and the "2026 Trend Ahead" New Year's Blessing Run at the Oriental Pearl Tower [4]. - Shanghai Disneyland launched the "New Year Star Wish Festival," featuring the "Light Up the New Year" castle illusion show, while Shanghai Haichang Ocean Park introduced the "Mountain and Sea Play Tour" with fireworks and drone performances [4]. Group 3: Popularity of Wellness and Leisure - Wellness facilities such as hot spring hotels and bathing centers saw increased popularity, with long queues observed at a chain hot spring hotel on New Year's Day, indicating a trend towards family gatherings and relaxation [6]. - Data from Meituan showed that search volume for "24-hour bathing centers" increased over six times year-on-year in the week leading up to New Year's Day, reflecting a growing interest in integrated leisure services [6].

Group 1 - The core consumer preferences during the New Year's Eve in Shanghai included gold, beauty products, and sports apparel, aligning with retail statistics [1][3] - The First Eight Hundred Shopping Mall reported an 8% year-on-year increase in total sales during its carnival event, with significant foot traffic growth in double digits [3] - The New World City on Nanjing Road extended its operating hours to 12:30 AM on New Year's Day, with beauty products, gold jewelry, and sports brands being the top-selling categories [3] Group 2 - From January to November 2025, Shanghai's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 15,212.93 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [4] - Shanghai accounted for 23.2% of the national sales in clothing and footwear, 10.9% in gold and jewelry, and 14.9% in daily necessities, with cosmetics having the highest share [4] - The retail sales of cosmetics in Shanghai from January to November 2025 reached 130.609 billion yuan, marking a 5.7% year-on-year increase and ranking fourth among nine categories of goods [4]

Group 1 - On the first day of the New Year holiday, Shanghai received a total of 2.7053 million visitors, with an average hotel occupancy rate of 75% [1] - The Shanghai tourism market operated smoothly during the holiday, indicating a strong recovery in the tourism sector [1] - The Shanghai Municipal Bureau of Culture and Tourism launched 120 one to three-day New Year travel itineraries covering various themes, enhancing the appeal of the city's cultural tourism [4] Group 2 - The first season of the Super Travel Guide Competition is ongoing, promoting diverse cultural and tourism activities for the 2026 New Year holiday in Shanghai [4] - Various themed events and activities are planned, including a New Year music concert and a themed event at the Oriental Pearl Tower, showcasing the city's vibrant cultural offerings [4] - The integration of dining, accommodation, and entertainment services in hot spring hotels and bathing centers has gained popularity, with significant increases in search volume for related services [8] Group 3 - The hot spring and bathing industry is expected to experience a golden development period from 2025 to 2030, driven by consumption upgrades, technological innovations, and supportive policies [8]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of consumption as a key driver of economic growth in China, highlighting that it is a primary focus of government policy for 2025, aiming for a unique development path characterized by stability and progress [1][14]. Macroeconomic Context - In 2025, consumption's contribution to economic growth reached 53.5%, an increase of 9 percentage points from the previous year, showcasing its stability amid pressures on investment and exports [3]. - From January to November, the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 4.0% year-on-year, with service retail sales leading at a growth rate of 5.4% [3]. Trends in Consumption - **Smart Replacement Trend**: The introduction of long-term special government bonds and local subsidies has led to a surge in sales from old-for-new consumption, exceeding 2.5 trillion yuan, marking a significant reduction in consumption barriers [4]. - **Emotional Value Rise**: A notable 56.3% of Generation Z consumers are willing to pay for emotional experiences, indicating a shift from functional consumption to products that resonate emotionally [7]. - **Channel Revolution**: Online retail sales of physical goods approached 26%, with live e-commerce and instant retail reshaping consumption dynamics, particularly in previously underserved county markets [10]. - **Supply-Side Awakening**: The light industry and manufacturing sectors are proactively creating new demand by eliminating low-value capacity and adopting smart manufacturing technologies [11]. Expert Perspectives - A leading brand expert highlights that the 2025 consumer market signifies a new cycle of "brand technology," where successful companies leverage both hard technology and emotional appeal to thrive in a competitive landscape [12]. - The expert stresses that digital transformation is essential for survival in the market, advocating for deep integration of technological innovation throughout the product lifecycle to elevate "Chinese manufacturing" to "Chinese branding" [12]. Conclusion - The article concludes that the "steady progress" in the consumer market is a result of effective policy and market vitality, suggesting that the future of China's consumption landscape will continue to evolve through structural reforms and the emergence of new productive forces [14].

Core Insights - The implementation of the old-for-new consumption policy since 2025 has significantly boosted sales and consumer engagement, with over 2.6 trillion yuan in sales benefiting more than 360 million people [1][2] Group 1: Economic Impact - The policy has supported continuous expansion in consumption, with retail sales of consumer goods growing by 4.0% year-on-year from January to November, accelerating by 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous year, and contributing over 1 percentage point to total retail sales [1] - Retail sales of home appliances have surpassed 1 trillion yuan, breaking historical records [1] Group 2: Industry Upgrades - In the automotive sector, nearly 60% of old vehicles replaced were new energy vehicles, leading to a retail market share of over 50% for new energy passenger cars for nine consecutive months, reaching 59.4% in November [1] - Over 90% of home appliances replaced were first-level energy efficiency products, indicating a significant upgrade in product quality [1] - Sales of communication equipment have shown continuous growth for 11 months [1] Group 3: Environmental Benefits - The recycling of scrapped vehicles increased by 24.5% in 2025, resulting in the recycling of approximately 9.6 million tons of steel and 1.3 million tons of non-ferrous metals, which reduced carbon emissions by about 24.5 million tons [1] Group 4: Quality of Life Improvement - Since the full implementation of the policy in September 2024, over 480 million direct subsidies have been issued to consumers, facilitating the entry of numerous green, low-carbon, and smart products into daily life [2] - For every two new household cars sold, one benefited from the old-for-new subsidy, and the replacement of old electric bicycles exceeded nine times that of 2024, with 90% of new bicycles meeting current national safety standards [2] Group 5: Boosting Offline Retail - The policy has led to increased consumer foot traffic in physical stores, enhancing cross-scenario consumption in leisure, entertainment, and dining, with a reported 30% increase in consumer spending in areas with concentrated home appliance replacement stores [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the evolving trends in tissue paper consumption, emphasizing the relationship between consumption upgrades and waste reduction [1][2] - There are three main trends in tissue paper consumption: 1) scenario refinement with a growing market segmentation, introducing new products like hanging tissue and oil-removing wet wipes; 2) quality prioritization where consumers are willing to pay more for high-quality products; 3) increased focus on green and eco-friendly options, such as the popularity of mini tissue packs and biodegradable paper [1] - The green trend, exemplified by bamboo pulp tissues, not only reduces deforestation but also minimizes paper waste during use, thereby attracting more consumers and aligning consumption with waste reduction [1] Group 2 - New consumer demands are driving new supply, with innovations in eco-friendly materials like bamboo fiber and sugarcane residue, as well as the design of appropriate specifications and the introduction of biodegradable products [2] - The integration of high-quality usage with environmental sustainability is achievable through the promotion of green products, which can stimulate consumption while ensuring eco-friendliness [2]

万事达卡经济研究所研究报告指出，2026年中国消费将呈现出显著的强化趋势，"新消费"品类——如美 容健康、新兴生活方式以及由"粉丝经济"驱动的消费热潮有望持续扩容。特别是消费者从追求"单纯低 价"转向拥抱"精明消费"的变革趋势，正重塑中国零售业与数字渠道的生态。 德意志银行中国区首席经济学家熊奕表示，2026年消费将继续成为中国经济增长的主引擎，预计将为 GDP贡献2.8个百分点，商品消费或将录得温和增长，服务消费亦将在政策支持下持续改善。 中新社上海1月1日电 (记者 姜煜)新年伊始，多家外资机构展望2026年中国经济发展前景时不约而同指 出：消费仍是主引擎，其在中国GDP中的占比将继续提升。 据威灵顿投资管理宏观策略师郁嘉言分析，2025年，中国消费的复苏得益于强有力的财政支持，一个可 喜的迹象是，消费结构正在由商品转向服务，消费者更愿意把钱花在休闲旅游、外出就餐、个人兴趣爱 好及生活方式等体验和享受型消费方面。与此同时，部分细分领域出现高端化趋势，消费者更青睐产品 的设计与品质，而非价格。这些都是在消费信心回升以及商品供给充裕背景下出现的新型消费升级形 态。 "2026年，消费在中国GDP中的占比将继续 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance confirms the continuation of subsidy policies for the "Two New" initiative, signaling strong support for consumer upgrades [1] Group 1: Policy and Support Measures - The notification outlines the support scope, subsidy standards, and work requirements for the "Two New" policy by 2026, emphasizing the need to enhance consumption convenience in rural areas [1] - Measures include increasing offline business entities in rural areas and guiding online channels to focus on these regions [1] Group 2: Company Response - Beijing Mobile has quickly responded to the national policy by launching substantial consumer incentives, including a dual benefit program combining device purchase discounts with national subsidies [1] - The "Save and Buy" program allows users to participate by committing to a 24-month contract with monthly spending between 238 to 598 yuan, offering discounts up to 2600 yuan based on spending tiers [1] Group 3: Product and Discount Details - The implementation of mobile contract discounts combined with national subsidies allows consumers to receive an additional 15% subsidy on the final price, with a maximum product subsidy of 500 yuan [2] - For example, the popular model vivo S50, priced at 3299 yuan, can offer total discounts of up to 1939.85 yuan when participating in the "Save and Buy" program [2] Group 4: Market Context and Future Plans - The launch of these discount activities aligns with the growing demand for digital products as the consumer market continues to recover [4] - Beijing Mobile aims to enhance service processes, diversify product offerings, and upgrade discount activities to further stimulate regional consumption vitality [4]