科技叙事

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越是艰险越向前 中国资本市场破浪前行
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-05-07 15:46
事实上,自去年4月12日《国务院关于加强监管防范风险推动资本市场高质量发展的若干意见》(即 新"国九条")发布以来,资本市场"1+N"政策体系渐次落地,新一轮资本市场改革的画卷正徐徐展开, 完善稳市机制、深化资本市场投融资综合改革等举措持续推进。 ■谢若琳 在5月7日举行的国新办新闻发布会上,证监会主席吴清表示,中国资产的配置价值和吸引力在持续提 升。吴清表示:"前行路上有风有雨是常态,不管面临的是轻风细雨还是狂风暴雨,是风高浪急还是惊 涛骇浪,我们都完全有条件、有信心、有能力实现中国股市稳定健康发展。" 在推动资本市场破浪前行之路上,风雨兼程是状态,风雨无阻是心态。监管层的表态,必将大大提振投 资者信心,激发市场活力,助力市场行稳致远。 面对外部冲击,政策与市场协同发力。一方面,政策持续护航。4月25日召开的中共中央政治局会议强 调,要"持续稳定和活跃资本市场",这延续了2024年中央经济工作会议、2025年《政府工作报告》等重 要会议和文件中"稳市"的态度,充分体现了国家对资本市场的呵护。 数据显示,A股合计有5392家上市公司披露了2024年年报,合计实现营业收入70.46万亿元,实现归母净 利润5.2 ...
国新办“一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期”发布会点评:关注新提法,续写新叙事
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-07 14:40
非银金融 证券研究报告 关注新提法,续写新叙事——国新办"一揽子金融政 行业报告 | 行业点评 策支持稳市场稳预期"发布会点评 事件:2025 年 5 月 7 日,国新办举办"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"发布 会,央行行长潘功胜、金管局局长李云泽、证监会主席吴清分别介绍政策情况。 要点: 1、央行方面,以定向"加杠杆"的方式"稳内需",科技和消费是两大抓手。第一, 数量政策和价格政策符合预期。下调存款准备金率 50bps,下调政策利率 10bps, 下调公积金贷款利率 25bps。第二,结构政策力度更大。结构性货币工具利率下调 25bps,力度更大。第三,着力于以央行加杠杆支持实体经济,定向清晰。十项政 策中六项直指再贷款工具,两项与准备金率相关,以央行定向加杠杆的形式稳定内 需。主要提及"科技"和"消费"两大抓手,科技改造再贷款、服务消费与养老再 贷款、支农支小再贷款、创新债券风险分担工具。 2、金管局方面,宏观方针锚定稳预期,微观举措定向于科技发展与企业纾困。一 方面,进一步推动银行和保险公司资本金补充,"稳楼市"和"稳股市"仍是"稳预 期"目标的具象阐释,优化保险公司股票投资风险因子引导保险资金入市 ...
机构调研保持高热度 “科技叙事”是主线
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-04-18 17:28
在国际贸易形势变化不定的背景下,机构投资者正在寻找更长期的投资机会。证券时报记者梳理发现, 本周机构调研动向,高度关注科技浪潮下上市公司新业务、新产品的开展情况。业内人士分析,机构看 好科技产业成为驱动中国经济增长、支撑A股中期走牛的新动能。 A股本周(4月14日至18日)震荡整理,银行、房地产、煤炭、石油等传统行业股价明显修复,在上述 板块带动下,上证指数单周上涨1.19%。深证成指、创业板指分别小幅下跌0.54%、0.64%。 同时,博士眼镜还在今年与雷鸟创新合作推出了雷鸟V3 AI拍摄眼镜,其中由博士眼镜为产品提供舒适 度、美观性等设计研发支持。雷鸟创新之外,博士眼镜还同步和星纪魅族、界环、李未可等业内头部智 能眼镜厂商品牌开展合作。 消防产品供应商青鸟消防在接待机构调研时表示,在当前AI基础设施高度电气化的背景下,算力中 心、数据中心等设施面临着更高的火灾风险,保护其中宝贵的数据资源和高价值资产至关重要。 据介绍,青鸟消防自主研发的全氟己酮灭火系统特别适用于数据中心、通信基站等关键设施,且与海外 竞品相比具有显著的成本优势。后续,公司计划将自主研发的先进算法融入电气火灾监控探测器等产 品,实现从传统消 ...
中金:科技叙事、地缘重估与全球资本再布局
中金点睛· 2025-03-16 23:55
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant changes in global capital markets driven by two unexpected narrative shifts: the breakthrough of DeepSeek, which reshapes perceptions of Chinese innovation, and the weakening of the "American exceptionalism" narrative under Trump's governance, prompting a reassessment of global geopolitical economics [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance and Asset Revaluation - Since the beginning of the year, there has been little change in global economic fundamentals, but capital markets have experienced significant shifts, with Chinese stocks outperforming and the US dollar declining [3][4]. - As of March 14, the Hang Seng Tech Index, representing Chinese tech stocks, surged by 31.6%, leading global asset performance, while the Nasdaq index, which had previously led for three years, fell by 10% [3][4]. - The reversal in asset performance is attributed to the two narrative changes: the DeepSeek breakthrough and the challenges to the "American exceptionalism" narrative [3][4]. Group 2: Narrative Evolution and Its Impact - The article outlines the concept of narrative economics, emphasizing that successful narratives require elements such as personal relevance, repetition, narrative constellations, and self-reinforcement [5][6]. - DeepSeek exemplifies a successful narrative that has rapidly gained traction due to its low cost, high performance, and open-source advantages, symbolizing a break from Western technological monopolies [7][8]. - The geopolitical narrative has shifted since Trump's election, with initial optimism giving way to concerns over tariffs and immigration policies, leading to increased uncertainty in US economic policy [9][10]. Group 3: Capital Flow Dynamics - Over the past three years, global capital flows have been heavily influenced by the old narratives surrounding China and the US, with a notable outflow of foreign capital from China since 2022 [16][18]. - The share of foreign capital in China's A-share market has decreased from 10% in 2021 to approximately 7.5% currently, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment [16][17]. - In contrast, the US market has seen significant inflows, totaling around $950 billion since 2022, driven by the popularity of the AI narrative [18][19]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Policy Recommendations - The article posits that the current narrative changes may still be in their early stages, with potential for further asset revaluation and capital flow adjustments depending on the interaction between narratives and fundamentals [21][22]. - It outlines three potential phases for the evolution of the Chinese AI narrative: narrative strengthening, narrative realization, and narrative upgrading, each with corresponding implications for asset revaluation and capital flows [23][24][25]. - The company emphasizes the need for timely policy interventions to support economic recovery and investor confidence, particularly in real estate, local finance, and consumption [28].