Core Viewpoint - Nanhua Futures has submitted its second listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with CITIC Securities as its sole sponsor, indicating the company's growth and ambition in the financial services sector [1] Company Overview - Nanhua Futures, established in 1996 and headquartered in Hangzhou, China, is a leading futures company providing global financial services [1] - The company ranks second in China for ROE among futures companies and first for overseas income as of 2024 [1] Client Growth - The number of corporate clients in Nanhua's domestic futures brokerage business increased from 4,266 as of December 31, 2022, to 4,672 by December 31, 2023, representing a growth of 9.5% [1] - Financial institution clients grew from 1,140 as of December 31, 2022, to 1,488 by December 31, 2023, a 30.5% increase [1] Financial Performance - Client equity in Nanhua's domestic futures brokerage reached RMB 31.6 billion as of December 31, 2024, a 65.4% increase from RMB 19.1 billion on December 31, 2022 [2] - The company reported operating revenues of RMB 9.54 billion, RMB 12.93 billion, RMB 13.55 billion, and RMB 5.93 billion for the years ending in 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [2] Industry Landscape - The Chinese futures market is the largest globally, covering over 140 products across 41 industries, with a significant correlation between futures and spot prices [3] - The demand for Chinese companies to engage in global financial markets is increasing, with A-share listed companies achieving approximately RMB 3.8 trillion in overseas business revenue in the first half of 2024, a 12.8% year-on-year growth [3] Competitive Environment - The financial services industry is highly competitive, with over 150 futures companies operating in China as of August 31, 2025 [4] - Nanhua Futures faces competition from various financial institutions, including other futures companies, securities firms, and investment banks, impacting pricing and market share [4]

光大期货能化商品日报 光大期货能化商品日报（2025 年 11 月 11 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周一油价震荡反弹，其中 WTI 12 月合约收盘上涨 0.38 美元至 | | | | 60.13 美元/桶，涨幅 0.64%。布伦特 1 月合约收盘上涨 0.43 美元 | | | | 至 64.06 美元/桶，涨幅 0.68%。SC2512 以 460 元/桶收盘，下跌 | | | | 0.2 元/桶，跌幅 0.04%。美国参议院周日推进一项旨在让联邦政府 | | | | 重新开门并结束目前已持续 40 天停摆的措施，此次停摆已导致联 | | | | 邦工作人员被迫休假，食品援助延迟，航空旅行混乱。俄罗斯在 | | | | 黑海的 Tuapse 炼油厂在本月早些时候遭遇无人机袭击后暂停了 | | | 原油 | 燃料出口。俄罗斯石油生产商卢克石油正面临日益严重的业务中 | 震荡 | | | 断，因为美国要求企业在 11 月 21 日前切断与该公司业务的截止 | | | | 日期临近，且此前将其业务出售给瑞士贸易商贡沃尔的希望也已 | ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views Polyolefins - The polyolefin market is under pressure, with a divergence in the fundamentals of PP and PE. PP shows a dual increase in supply and demand, but there is a slight inventory build - up this week under the pressure of new production capacity. PE has weak supply and demand, and although there is inventory reduction this week, port inventory remains high. The cost side is mixed, with high inventory and cost support in a continuous game [2]. Glass and Soda Ash - For soda ash, the overall supply - demand pattern is still bearish. Short - term observation is recommended, and opportunities to short on rebounds can be awaited later. For glass, short - term there is still some rigid demand support, but in the long - term, there are concerns about the sustainability of demand, and the price is expected to be under pressure [4]. PVC and Caustic Soda - The caustic soda market is expected to be weak in the short - term, and the overall trend is bearish. The PVC market is in an oversupply situation, and the price is expected to continue the weak trend at the bottom [5]. Methanol - The port methanol market is under significant pressure, and the current market trades on the "weak reality" logic, with the core contradiction being high port inventory. Before the gas restriction in Iran, the weak reality will continue to be traded [8]. Natural Rubber - The supply in overseas production areas is expected to be strong during the peak season, and the domestic production is gradually decreasing. The demand is weakening in some northern regions. The market sentiment has improved, and subsequent attention should be paid to the raw material output in the main production areas and macro - level changes [11]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - The supply - demand outlook for pure benzene is generally loose, and the price driver is weak. It is recommended to short on rebounds following the oil price. The supply - demand of styrene may remain in a tight balance, but the price driver is insufficient. EB12 can be shorted on rebounds [12]. Polyester Industry Chain - For PX, the short - term is expected to fluctuate in the range of 6200 - 6800. For PTA, the short - term is expected to fluctuate in the range of 4300 - 4800. For ethylene glycol, the price is under pressure. For short - fiber, the rebound space is limited. For bottle - chips, the supply - demand is in a loose pattern [13]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Polyolefins - **Prices and Spreads**: L2601 and L2605, PP2601 and PP2605 have different price changes. The spreads between different contracts and the basis also show various trends. Spot prices of different varieties in different regions also have corresponding changes [2]. - **Inventory and开工率**: PE and PP have different changes in enterprise inventory, social inventory, and trade - related inventory. The start - up rates of PE and PP devices and downstream industries also vary [2]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Prices and Spreads**: Glass and soda ash have different price changes in different regions, and the basis and spreads between different contracts also change [4]. - **Supply and Demand**: Soda ash production remains at a high level, and the inventory is transferred to the middle and lower reaches. Glass production has changes in production lines, and the demand has short - term and long - term differences [4]. PVC and Caustic Soda - **Prices and Spreads**: The prices of PVC and caustic soda in different forms and regions have corresponding changes, and the basis and spreads between different contracts also vary [5]. - **Supply and Demand**: The caustic soda supply is increasing, and the demand support is weak. The PVC supply is under pressure, and the demand is in the off - season [5]. Methanol - **Prices and Spreads**: Methanol futures and spot prices in different regions have changes, and the basis and regional spreads also vary [6]. - **Inventory and开工率**: Methanol enterprise, port, and social inventories all increase. The start - up rates of upstream and downstream industries also have corresponding changes [7][8]. Natural Rubber - **Prices and Spreads**: The spot prices of natural rubber in different varieties and regions have changes, and the basis, month - to - month spreads also vary [11]. - **Supply and Demand**: The production in different countries has changes, and the start - up rates of tire industries and the import and export volumes also vary [11]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Prices and Spreads**: The prices of pure benzene and styrene in different forms and regions have changes, and the basis, spreads between different contracts, and import profits also vary [12]. - **Inventory and开工率**: The inventories of pure benzene and styrene in ports change, and the start - up rates of different industries in the industrial chain also vary [12]. Polyester Industry Chain - **Prices and Spreads**: The prices of upstream raw materials, PX, PTA, MEG, and downstream polyester products have changes, and the basis, spreads between different contracts, and processing fees also vary [13]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply and demand of different products in the polyester industry chain have corresponding changes, and the start - up rates of different industries also vary [13].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - Crude oil prices have been weakly oscillating recently, exerting some pressure on the unilateral prices of FU and LU. The high - sulfur fuel oil is in an adjustment phase, with the cracking spread, monthly spread, and spot premium declining, but there are still structural supporting factors. Attention should be paid to the change path of Russian supply under the dual influence of drone attacks and sanctions. For low - sulfur fuel oil, as the production of Azur and Dangote refineries decreases, the supply pressure eases marginally, and the market structure is slightly repaired. However, the low - sulfur oil market still lacks a continuous upward - driving force, especially facing resistance on the demand side [2]. 3. Strategy - **High - sulfur fuel oil**: Short - term neutral, medium - term bearish [3]. - **Low - sulfur fuel oil**: Short - term neutral, medium - term bearish [3]. - **Cross - variety**: Go long on the LU2601 - FU2601 spread on dips [3]. - **Cross - term**: No strategy [3]. - **Futures - spot**: No strategy [3]. - **Options**: No strategy [3]. 4. Market Data - The main contract of Shanghai Futures Exchange fuel oil futures closed up 0.04% at 2,693 yuan/ton during the day session, and the main contract of INE low - sulfur fuel oil futures closed up 0.71% at 3,280 yuan/ton [1]. - There are various charts showing prices, spreads, and trading volumes of Singapore high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oils, as well as fuel oil futures in China, with units including US dollars/ton and yuan/ton, and trading volume in lots [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Aluminum: Cautiously bullish [9] - Alumina: Neutral [9] - Aluminum alloy: Cautiously bullish [9] - Arbitrage: Neutral [9] 2. Core View of the Report - The overall supply - demand fundamentals of domestic electrolytic aluminum have not changed significantly. Overseas production cuts and positive macro - factors support the price, and the callback depth is limited. If the inventory reduction is smooth, the upward space of aluminum price may open [6]. - The supply - demand surplus pattern of alumina remains unchanged, but spot prices are supported by active procurement. The current price is undervalued, and attention should be paid to unexpected events [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Important Data Aluminum Spot - East China A00 aluminum price is 21,490 yuan/ton, with a change of - 50 yuan/ton from the previous trading day; the spot premium is - 30 yuan/ton, with no change from the previous trading day. - Central China A00 aluminum price is 21,380 yuan/ton, and the spot premium has changed by 10 yuan/ton to - 140 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. - Foshan A00 aluminum price is 21,370 yuan/ton, with a change of - 50 yuan/ton from the previous trading day; the spot premium is - 145 yuan/ton, with no change from the previous trading day [1]. Aluminum Futures - On November 10, 2025, the main Shanghai aluminum futures contract opened at 21,660 yuan/ton, closed at 21,725 yuan/ton, up 70 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The highest price was 21,750 yuan/ton, and the lowest was 21,535 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 238,609 lots, and the open interest was 382,845 lots [2]. Inventory - As of November 10, 2025, the domestic social inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots was 627,000 tons, an increase of 5,000 tons from the previous period; the warrant inventory was 64,142 tons, an increase of 372 tons from the previous trading day; the LME aluminum inventory was 547,225 tons, a decrease of 2,000 tons from the previous trading day [2]. Alumina Spot Price - On November 10, 2025, the SMM alumina price in Shanxi was 2,840 yuan/ton, in Shandong was 2,785 yuan/ton, in Henan was 2,865 yuan/ton, in Guangxi was 2,935 yuan/ton, in Guizhou was 2,960 yuan/ton, and the FOB price of Australian alumina was 320 US dollars/ton [2]. Alumina Futures - On November 10, 2025, the main alumina futures contract opened at 2,782 yuan/ton, closed at 2,829 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton or 1.80% from the previous trading day's closing price. The highest price was 2,844 yuan/ton, and the lowest was 2,780 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 497,030 lots, and the open interest was 407,979 lots [2]. Aluminum Alloy Price - On November 10, 2025, the purchase price of Baotai civil raw aluminum was 16,900 yuan/ton, and the purchase price of mechanical raw aluminum was 17,100 yuan/ton, with no change from the previous day. The Baotai quotation of ADC12 was 20,900 yuan/ton, with no change from the previous day [3]. Aluminum Alloy Inventory - The social inventory of aluminum alloy was 72,800 tons, and the in - plant inventory was 59,900 tons [4]. Aluminum Alloy Cost - Profit - The theoretical total cost is 21,042 yuan/ton, and the theoretical profit is - 142 yuan/ton [5]. 3.2 Market Analysis Electrolytic Aluminum - The overall domestic supply - demand fundamentals have not changed significantly. Overseas production cuts in Iceland, positive macro - factors, and the undervalued aluminum price in terms of the copper - aluminum ratio limit the downward space. Attention should be paid to the inventory reduction rhythm [6]. Alumina - Xinjiang electrolytic aluminum plants increased the purchase price. The supply of bauxite is under pressure, the supply - demand surplus pattern remains unchanged, but the spot price is supported by procurement. The current price is undervalued, and attention should be paid to unexpected events [7][8]. 3.3 Strategy - Unilateral: Bullish on aluminum with caution, neutral on alumina, and bullish on aluminum alloy with caution. - Arbitrage: Neutral [9]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Apple: Neutral to bullish [4] - Red dates: Neutral [8] Core Views - Apple: The price of apples in the futures market rose yesterday, with the main producing areas' ground transactions gradually ending. The prices of high - quality apples remained stable and firm, showing a two - tiered differentiation. The warehousing volume is lower than the same period last year, and the commodity rate is low this year [1][3][4]. - Red dates: The futures price of red dates fell slightly yesterday. The prices in the main producing areas and sales areas were generally stable with a slight decline. The new red dates in the sales areas were less accepted, and the inventory pressure was high. The consumption situation in the peak season will be a key factor affecting the market [5][7]. Summary by Related Catalogs Apple Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the Apple 2601 contract yesterday was 9159 yuan/ton, up 119 yuan/ton or 1.32% from the previous day [1]. - Spot: The price of 80 first - and second - grade late Fuji in Shandong Qixia was 3.75 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day; the price of over 70 semi - commodity late Fuji in Shaanxi Luochuan was 4.15 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day [1]. Recent Market Information - Ground transactions in late Fuji producing areas are gradually ending. The transaction of paper - wrapped film apples in Shanxi has slightly improved. In Shandong, transactions are concentrated in Qixia and Zhaoyuan, and the transaction in Penglai is ending. Small fruits are actively purchased, and fruit farmers sell at market prices. The fruit farmers' goods are still being warehoused in large quantities. In Shaanxi, the warehousing work is approaching the end, and some fruit farmers' goods in the western producing areas are being transferred out of storage [2]. Market Analysis - Yesterday, the apple futures price showed an upward trend. The ground transactions in the main producing areas are gradually ending. Shandong and Shanxi are still warehousing in large quantities, while Shaanxi is almost finished. The sales area's trading atmosphere is still weak, and the demand is under pressure. The overall出库 price of fruit farmers' goods in Shaanxi and Gansu is about 0.3 yuan higher than the ground price [3]. Strategy - The strategy is neutral to bullish. Although the volume of late Fuji has increased, the commodity rate this year is low, and merchants are cautious about ordering general - quality goods. The warehousing volume is lower than the same period last year [4]. Red Dates Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the Red Dates 2601 contract yesterday was 9585 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan/ton or 0.05% from the previous day [5]. - Spot: The price of first - grade gray dates in Hebei was 9.00 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous day [5]. Recent Market Information - The mainstream prices of general - grade red dates in different producing areas vary. The harvest progress in the producing areas is about 40%. Sellers' price - holding sentiment has weakened, and merchants' purchasing enthusiasm has increased. In the sales areas, new goods are less accepted, and the prices are weakly stable [6]. Market Analysis - The red dates futures price fell slightly yesterday. The prices in the main producing areas and sales areas are generally stable with a slight decline. The harvest progress in the producing areas is advancing, and the inventory pressure is high. The consumption situation in the peak season will be a key factor affecting the market [7]. Strategy - The strategy is neutral. Recently, the red dates futures price has fallen significantly, and market competition has increased. The new red dates in the main producing areas have not been harvested in large quantities. Attention should be paid to changes in purchase prices, fruit quality, and peak - season consumption [8].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - For nickel, due to high inventory and oversupply, the nickel price is expected to remain in low - level fluctuations, but recent mining disruptions in Indonesia and the Philippines should be monitored for potential price rebounds [4] - For stainless steel, with the end of the consumption peak season, lower - than - expected demand growth, and weakening cost support, the stainless - steel price is expected to stay in low - level oscillations [5] Group 3: Nickel Market Analysis Futures - On November 10, 2025, the main contract 2512 of Shanghai nickel opened at 119,670 yuan/ton and closed at 119,680 yuan/ton, a 0.01% change from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 82,864 (-9,186) lots, and the open interest was 117,784 (-4,095) lots [1] - The main contract of Shanghai nickel showed a low - opening and high - walking oscillatory repair pattern. Affected by macro - sentiment and the metal sector, it rebounded during the day session and slightly closed up. The high - level oscillation of the US dollar index still suppresses nickel prices. The domestic commodity sector rose collectively, and Shanghai nickel rebounded accordingly [2] Nickel Ore - The nickel - ore market trading atmosphere was calm, and prices remained stable. There was strong market wait - and - see sentiment, and there was a supply - demand price gap. Factory procurement enthusiasm was low [2] - In the Philippines, the Surigao mining area's shipping efficiency was delayed due to continuous rainfall, while the northern mining area had stable local supply. Indonesian November (Phase II) domestic trade benchmark prices are expected to be lowered by 0.12 - 0.2 dollars/wet ton, with a current mainstream premium of +26 [2] - Due to the rainy season and typhoons, shipping in the southern Surigao area of the Philippines has stopped, and nickel - ore exports are expected to sharply decline from November to December [2] Spot - Jinchuan Group's Shanghai market sales price was 123,300 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day. Spot trading was average, and the spot premium of each brand did not change [3] - The premium of Jinchuan nickel changed by 600 yuan/ton to 3,600 yuan/ton, the premium of imported nickel remained at 400 yuan/ton, and the premium of nickel beans was 2,450 yuan/ton [3] - The previous trading day's Shanghai nickel warehouse receipt volume was 32,533 (-101) tons, and the LME nickel inventory was 253,404 (+300) tons [3] Group 4: Nickel Strategy - Unilateral: Mainly conduct range operations - No strategies for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options trading are provided [4] Group 5: Stainless Steel Market Analysis Futures - On November 10, 2025, the main contract 2512 of stainless steel opened at 12,545 yuan/ton and closed at 12,605 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 100,514 (+26,181) lots, and the open interest was 46,429 (-4,171) lots [4] - The main contract of stainless steel showed an oscillatory and slightly stronger trend. It rebounded in the afternoon driven by the rise of the black - metal sector [4] Spot - Affected by the futures' stop - falling and rebound, spot inquiries increased, but actual trading activity was still low, and quotes were basically flat [5] - The stainless - steel price in the Wuxi market was 12,850 (+0) yuan/ton, and in the Foshan market was also 12,850 (+0) yuan/ton. The 304/2B premium was 305 - 605 yuan/ton [5] - The ex - factory tax - included average price of high - nickel pig iron changed by - 1.50 yuan/nickel point to 914.5 yuan/nickel point [5] Group 6: Stainless Steel Strategy - Unilateral: Neutral - No strategies for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options trading are provided [5]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-11-11 下游以签订长单为主 铅价维持震荡格局 市场要闻与重要数据 现货方面：2025-11-10，LME铅现货升水为-10.74美元/吨。SMM1#铅锭现货价较前一交易日变化50元/吨至17300 元/吨，SMM上海铅现货升贴水较前一交易日变化 0元/吨至0.00元/吨，SMM广东铅现货较前一交易日变化25元/吨 至17350元/吨，SMM河南铅现货较前一交易日变化25元/吨至17325元/吨，SMM天津铅现货升贴水较前一交易日变 化25元/吨至17375元/吨。铅精废价差较前一交易日变化0元/吨至-25元/吨，废电动车电池较前一交易日变化0元/吨 至10025元/吨，废白壳较前一交易日变化0元/吨至10150元/吨，废黑壳较前一交易日变化0元/吨至10400元/吨。 期货方面：2025-11-10，沪铅主力合约开于17440元/吨，收于17505元/吨，较前一交易日变化85元/吨，全天交易日 成交31610手，较前一交易日变化4404手，全天交易日持仓58725手，手较前一交易日变化-1093手，日内价格震荡， 最高点达到17535元/吨，最低点达到17440元/吨。 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Neutral; may stop falling in the short term, but the upward drive is limited, and it may mainly fluctuate in the bottom range [3] - Inter - period: None [3] - Cross - variety: None [3] Core Viewpoints - Local PDH device maintenance boosts and the restart of downstream devices brings demand increments, promoting the improvement of the propylene market trading. The Shandong spot price rebounds, and the futures market stops falling and consolidates [2] - The supply side has a phased reduction, but the supply is still loose, and the factory inventory pressure is still high. The demand side is driven by downstream bargain - hunting purchases, and the overall profit margin of downstream products has improved. The demand support for propylene may increase later [2] - International oil prices still face oversupply pressure, and the external propane market is continuously weak, so the cost support for propylene is limited [2] Summary by Directory 1. Propylene Basis Structure - Information includes the closing price of the propylene main contract, the East China basis of propylene, the North China basis of propylene, the 01 - 05 contract of propylene, the market price of propylene in East China, and the market price of propylene in Shandong [6][10] 2. Propylene Production Profit and Capacity Utilization - Information involves the difference between China's CFR propylene and Japan's CFR naphtha, propylene capacity utilization, PDH production gross profit of propylene, PDH capacity utilization of propylene, MTO production gross profit of propylene, methanol - to - olefins capacity utilization, propylene naphtha cracking production gross profit, and crude oil refinery capacity utilization [15][17][27] 3. Propylene Import and Export Profit - Information includes the difference between South Korea's FOB and China's CFR, the difference between Japan's CFR and China's CFR, the difference between Southeast Asia's CFR and China's CFR, and propylene import profit [30][31][33] 4. Propylene Downstream Profit and Capacity Utilization - Information covers the production profit and capacity utilization of PP powder, propylene oxide, n - butanol, octanol, acrylic acid, acrylonitrile, and phenol - acetone [38][39][53] 5. Propylene Inventory - Information includes propylene factory inventory and PP powder factory inventory [63][69]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - The investment rating for both soybeans and peanuts is neutral [4][6] Group 2: Core Views of the Report - For soybeans, the futures market closed slightly lower, and the spot market was stable. The restart of domestic soybean auctions by Cofco may impact prices, and the subsequent temperature drop is expected to boost market demand [1][3] - For peanuts, the futures market oscillated higher. The supply pressure continued to be released, but the demand side had poor承接力. Market attention is on the actions of major oil mills [4][5] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs (Soybeans) Market Analysis - Futures: The closing price of the Douyi 2601 contract was 4116.00 yuan/ton, a change of -2.00 yuan/ton (-0.05%) from the previous day [1] - Spot: The edible soybean spot basis was A01 - 36, a change of +2 (+32.14%) from the previous day. The new - season soybean market in Northeast China was stable, with farmers having more remaining grain and some holding a wait - and - see attitude. Downstream traders adopted a demand - based procurement strategy [1][2] Market News - Cofco plans to restart domestic soybean auctions this week, with a total auction volume of 30969 tons. High temperatures in the southern sales area may affect soybean sales, and a temperature drop is expected to increase demand [3] Strategy - The strategy is neutral [4] Group 4: Summary by Related Catalogs (Peanuts) Market Analysis - Futures: The closing price of the Peanut 2601 contract was 7814.00 yuan/ton, a change of +60.00 yuan/ton (+0.77%) from the previous day [4] - Spot: The average peanut spot price was 7840.00 yuan/ton, a change of +10.00 yuan/ton (+0.13%) from the previous day. The spot basis was PK01 - 414.00, a change of -60.00 (+16.95%) from the previous day. The national average price of general peanuts decreased, and oil mills' procurement was limited [4] Market News - The peanut futures market oscillated higher. The supply pressure was released, but most oil mills were on the sidelines, and the demand from food factories was average. There were concerns about a concentrated supply in Henan after rain [5] Strategy - The strategy is neutral, with the risk of weakening demand [6]