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5.7一揽子金融政策解读:降息降准稳楼市股市,提振内需促关税谈判
Huafu Securities· 2025-05-07 05:12
Monetary Policy Insights - The central bank has decided to implement a comprehensive reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut of 0.5 percentage points, expected to release approximately 1 trillion yuan in liquidity, promoting stable growth in loans for households and enterprises[2] - A simultaneous reduction of 0.25 percentage points in the interest rates of structural monetary tools such as re-loans for agriculture and small enterprises will help lower the cost of liabilities for commercial banks, stabilizing net interest margins and enhancing the efficiency of interest rate transmission[2] - The expectation for continued active use of RRR cuts in the second half of the year remains, with an annual forecast of 100-150 basis points (BP) in total[2] Real Estate and Consumption - Policy interest rates have been reduced by 10 basis points (BP) and public housing loan rates by 25 BP to stabilize the real estate market, which is crucial for supporting domestic demand[3] - The creation of 500 billion yuan in service consumption and pension re-loans aims to stimulate demand for durable goods and services, particularly in the post-real estate cycle[3] - The recent downward trend in the real estate market, especially in second and third-tier cities, indicates that policy support is still needed to maintain stability[3] Economic Strategy and Trade Relations - The "stable exchange rate - stable real estate - promote domestic demand" cycle is expected to strengthen, providing a basis for China to engage in equal trade negotiations with the U.S.[3] - The Ministry of Commerce has signaled a willingness to engage in talks with the U.S., emphasizing mutual respect and benefit as prerequisites for dialogue[3] - The combination of stable real estate policies and measures to boost consumption and investment is enhancing market confidence in China's ability to manage external shocks[3] Capital Market Support - The central bank is increasing support for technological innovation and transformation with an additional 300 billion yuan in re-loans, alongside the creation of risk-sharing tools for tech innovation bonds[4] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) plans to introduce further reforms for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market to enhance market inclusivity and adaptability[4] - A combined monetary policy tool worth 800 billion yuan is aimed at stabilizing capital market expectations and mitigating potential market volatility risks[4]
关于降准降息,潘功胜详解
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 03:44
二是降低所有结构性货币政策工具利率0.25个百分点,结构性货币政策工具一般指中央银行向商业银行 提供的贷款,预计每年可节约银行资金成本大概150亿元—200亿元,推动银行加力支持经济结构转型。 中国人民银行行长潘功胜5月7日在国新办新闻发布会上表示,这次下调存款准备金率0.5个百分点,向 金融市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元。通过降准可以优化央行向银行体系提供流动性的结构,降低银行 负债成本,增强银行负债的稳定性。降准0.5个百分点以后,整体存款准备金率的平均水平将从原来的 6.6%降低到6.2%。 同时,阶段性降低汽车金融公司、金融租赁公司的存款准备金率,从目前的5%降至0%。这两类机构直 接面向汽车消费、设备更新投资等领域提供金融支持,降低存款准备金率后,将有效增强这两类机构面 向特定领域的信贷供给能力。 关于降低利率,潘功胜表示,有三方面内容:一是下调政策利率0.1个百分点,公开市场7天期逆回购操 作利率下调到1.4%。经过市场化的利率传导,预计将带动贷款市场报价利率(LPR)随之下行0.1个百 分点。同时,将通过利率自律机制引导商业银行相应下调存款利率。 "上述政策措施将向金融机构提供规模可观的、低成本的 ...
债券策略月报:2025年5月中债市场月度展望及配置策略-20250507
[Table_main] 衍生品市场类模板 报告日期:2025 年 5 月 策_main] 衍生品市场类模板 略 报 告 2025 年 5 月中债市场月度展望及配置策略 ──债券策略月报 市 场 策 报告导读 略 研 究 — 中 债 策 略 月 报 一季度经济实现开门红,实际 GDP 同比 5.4%,名义 GDP 同比 4.6%,反应 9.24 新政以来经济复苏的积极因素在不断累积;政治局会议强调加紧实施已落地的 政策,财政发债节奏加快,货币政策加力,市场对宽松预期明显升温。上证综 指和深证成指在月末分别收于 3279、9899.8,月内涨跌幅分别为-1.7%、-5.76%。 债市则受避险情绪影响,4 月初迎来一波快牛,10 年国债收益率两个交易日内 下行 18bp,但随着后续多空力量进入相对平衡状态,利率难上但也难下,10 年国债收益率在 1.62-1.67%区间震荡。展望后续,基本面对债市的影响逐渐 弱化+中美关税谈判难以短期达成和解的背景下,5 月偏宽松的资金面可能会 给短端品种带来更好的投资机会,同时可以在组合中保留一定的久期仓位,以 抓捕降准/降息落地后带来的一波快牛机会。 | 分析师: | 曹潮 ...
降息、降准!央行行长潘功胜最新发声 “十箭”齐发释放重磅利好!一文读懂
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 03:04
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 5月7日,国新办举行新闻发布会,介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况。中国人民银行行 长潘功胜在发布会上表示,中国人民银行将加大宏观调控强度,实施三大类10项措施。 降准降息!潘功胜:三大类政策,共十项措施 第一类是数量型政策,主要通过降准等措施,加大中长期流动性供给,保持市场流动性充裕。 1、降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点,预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元。 2、完善存款准备金制度,阶段性将汽车金融公司、金融租赁公司的存款准备金率从目前的5%调降为 0%。 第二类是价格型政策,主要包括下调政策利率、降低结构性货币政策工具的利率以及调降公积金贷款利 率。 1、下调政策利率0.1个百分点,即公开市场七天期逆回购利率从目前的1.5%降至1.4%,预计将带动贷款 市场报价利率(LPR)同步下行约0.1个百分点。 2、下调结构性货币政策工具利率0.25个百分点,包括各类专项结构性政策工具利率。例如,支农、支 小再贷款利率从目前的1.75%降至1.5%;抵押补充贷款(PSL)利率从目前的2.25%降至2%。 3、降低个人住房公积金贷 ...
中国消息提振,亚洲股市全线上涨,原油铁矿石上涨,黄金大跌40美元
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-07 02:57
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in risk appetite following China's interest rate cuts and confirmation of trade talks with the U.S., leading to a rise in Asian stock markets and commodity prices [1][5][6] - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and a 0.1 percentage point cut in the policy interest rate, bringing it down from 1.5% to 1.4% [1] - The upcoming visit of China's Vice Premier He Lifeng to Switzerland for trade talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is expected to further influence market sentiment [1] Group 2 - Asian markets showed positive performance, with MSCI Emerging Markets up by 0.4%, and notable increases in indices such as the South Korean Composite Index and the MSCI Vietnam Index [5][6] - Commodity prices, including iron ore and steel futures, experienced upward trends, with significant gains in agricultural products like soybeans, corn, and wheat, all rising over 1% [6][7] - International oil prices continued to rebound, with WTI crude oil rising over 0.63% and Brent crude oil increasing by 0.50% [7][8]
未知机构:华泰政策关于507金融部门发布会前瞻①新闻发布会选-20250507
未知机构· 2025-05-07 02:55
不过,当下形势和924有很大不同,尽管受关税战冲击,但当前股票市场风险偏好已显著改善;同时4月zzj会议已 经召开,下一步政策方向部署已经定调(vs上一轮9·26zzj会议,9·24发布会更像是打前站)。 我们之前也反复强调,本轮应对外 华泰政策|关于5·07金融部门发布会前瞻 华泰政策|关于5·07金融部门发布会前瞻 ① 新闻发布会选择在开盘时间召开(9:00),形式和规格上都很像924,一行一局一会"一把手"集体亮相。 ① 新闻发布会选择在开盘时间召开(9:00),形式和规格上都很像924,一行一局一会"一把手"集体亮相。 不过,当下形势和924有很大不同,尽管受关税战冲击,但当前股票市场风险偏好已显著改善;同时4月zzj会议已 经召开,下一步政策方向部署已经定调(vs上一轮9·26zzj会议,9·24发布会更像是打前站)。 是双降or降准+结构性降息 or only降准? 不同的组合对债券市场有不同含义。 我们认为,如果有降息指引,更大概率可能是结构性降息。 2)落实新的增量政策工具——创设新的结构性货币政策工具,设立新型政策性金融工具(科技消费和外贸)和推 出债市科技板;3)消费:服务消费与养老再贷款 ...
金十整理:“一行一局一会”发布会重点一览——降准降息“双管齐下”!一揽子金融政策重磅推出
news flash· 2025-05-07 02:48
Monetary Policy Measures - The central bank has introduced three categories of measures, including quantity-based policies to increase long-term liquidity supply, price-based policies to lower interest rates, and structural policies to enhance the implementation of monetary tools [1][2] - The reserve requirement ratio has been reduced by 0.5 percentage points, bringing the average level down from 6.6% to 6.2%, which is expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity [1] - The policy interest rate has been lowered by 0.1 percentage points, with the 7-day reverse repurchase rate decreasing from 1.5% to 1.4%, likely leading to a similar decline in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [1] Structural Financial Policies - A new 500 billion yuan "service consumption and pension refinancing" initiative has been established to guide commercial banks in increasing credit support for service consumption and pension sectors [2] - The quota for agricultural and small enterprise refinancing has been increased by 300 billion yuan to support banks in expanding loans to rural, small, and private enterprises [2] - The central bank has introduced a risk-sharing tool for technology innovation bonds, providing low-cost refinancing funds to purchase these bonds [2] Regulatory Measures - The Financial Regulatory Bureau plans to implement eight incremental policies, including accelerating the introduction of financing systems compatible with new real estate development models to stabilize the real estate market [3] - There will be adjustments to regulatory rules, with a 10% reduction in risk factors for stock investments to encourage insurance companies to increase market participation [3] - Policies supporting small and private enterprises' financing will be introduced to enhance coordination in financing efforts [3] Market Stability Initiatives - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is focused on maintaining market stability and gradually advancing market openness, including enhancing cross-border regulatory cooperation [4] - Measures will be taken to deepen reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market, improving system inclusiveness and adaptability [4] - The commission is also working on revising major asset restructuring management rules to support mergers and acquisitions more effectively [4]
重磅发布会:降准、降息来了!
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-05-07 02:39
今日上午9时,国新办将举行新闻发布会,请中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证券监督管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持 稳市场稳预期"有关情况。 会上,中国人民银行行长潘功胜同时宣布降准降息,将下调金融机构存款准备金率0.5个百分点,并下调政策利率0.1个百分点,从目前的1.5%下 调到1.4%,同时下调住房公积金利率0.25个百分点。 金融监管总局局长李云泽表示,将尽快推出支持小微企业、民营企业融资一揽子政策,做深做实融资协调工作机制,助力稳企业稳经济。制定实 施银行业保险业护航外贸发展系列政策措施,对受关税影响较大的市场主体提供精准服务,全力帮扶稳定经营、拓展市场。 中国证监会主席吴清表示,前行的路上会有风有雨,不管是轻风细雨,还是暴风骤雨,不管是风高浪急,还是惊涛骇浪,我们都有信心、有条 件、有能力来实现中国股市的稳定健康发展。 【10:02更新】 对于确受关税政策影响较大的上市公司,在股权质押、再融资、募集资金使用等方面进一步增强监管包容度,帮助纾困解难。 吴清在发布会上表示,外资持有A股流通市值稳定在3万亿元左右,证监会将坚定不移推进资本市场高水平对外开放;加强双多边的跨境监管合 作,塑造 ...
央行:明日降息,下周四降准!
证券时报· 2025-05-07 02:36
| | | | 中国人民银行 THE PEOPLE'S BANK OF CHINA | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 信息公开 | 新闻发布 | 法律法规 | 货币政策 | 宏观审慎 | 信贷政策 | 金融市场 | 金融稳定 | 调查统计 | 银行会计 | 支付体系 | | | 金融科技 | 人民币 | 经理国库 | 国际交往 | 人员招录 | 学术交流 | 征信管理 | 反洗钱 | 党建工作 | | | 服务互动 | 政务公开 | 政策解读 | 公告信息 | 图文直播 | 央行研究 | 音频视频 | 市场动态 | 网上展厅 | 报告下载 | 报刊年鉴 | | | 网送文告 | 办事大厅 2025年5月7日 星期三 我的位置:首页 > 沟通交流 > 新闻 | 在线申报 | 下载中心 | 网上调查 | 意见征集 | 金融知识 | 关于我们 | | | | | | 降准降息来了。 据中国人民银行网站消息,为实施好适度宽松的货币政策,加力支持实体经济,从2025年5月8日起,公开 ...
降准降息落地!30年国债ETF博时(511130)盘中上涨,成交额超7亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 02:34
截至5月6日,30年国债ETF博时近1年净值上涨16.79%,指数债券型基金排名3/378,居于前0.79%。从收益能力看,截至2025年5月6日,30年国债ETF博时自 成立以来,最高单月回报为5.35%,最长连涨月数为4个月,最长连涨涨幅为10.58%,涨跌月数比为9/4,上涨月份平均收益率为2.20%,月盈利百分比为 69.23%,月盈利概率为72.91%,历史持有1年盈利概率为100.00%。截至2025年5月6日,30年国债ETF博时近6个月超越基准年化收益为0.58%。 截至2025年4月30日,30年国债ETF博时近1年夏普比率为1.13。 回撤方面,截至2025年5月6日,30年国债ETF博时成立以来最大回撤6.89%,相对基准回撤1.28%。 费率方面,30年国债ETF博时管理费率为0.15%,托管费率为0.05%。 5月7日上午9时,国务院新闻办公室如期举行新闻发布会,请中国人民银行、金融监管总局、证监会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情 况,并答记者问。央行行长在会上宣布,降准0.5个百分点,并降低政策利率0.1个百分点。 截至2025年5月7日 10:11,30年国债E ...