Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From April 21st to 25th, 2025, the A - share market oscillated upward with prominent structural rotation characteristics. The ChiNext Index performed strongly with a weekly increase of 1.7%. Small - cap stocks showed more elasticity, and the CSI 2000 rose significantly by 2.7%. The main funds had a daily net outflow of 8.09 billion yuan, and the trading situation became more intense. The automobile, communication, and machinery equipment sectors led the gains, while consumer sectors such as food and beverage and social services corrected significantly. The trading volume increased moderately, and the trading heat of growth sectors such as electronics and computers declined slightly. It is recommended to focus on the pro - cyclical direction and the prosperous sub - industries supported by policies [6][10]. - The convertible bond market oscillated upward. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.9% this week, and the average daily trading volume slightly rebounded to 56.4 billion yuan. The median market price rebounded to 111.6 yuan, and the implied volatility slightly increased to 20.0%, indicating a mild recovery of risk appetite. Small - cap convertible bonds had better elasticity, and the valuations of low - parity and low - market - price convertible bonds were repaired. In terms of industries, convertible bonds in the communication, machinery equipment, and automobile sectors led the gains, while previous popular sectors such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery adjusted and sorted [10]. - In the primary market, the supply continued to heat up. Three new convertible bonds, Dinglong Convertible Bond, Qingyuan Convertible Bond, and Anji Convertible Bond, were issued, with a total fundraising of 2.24 billion yuan. Twelve listed companies updated their issuance plans, and the total scale of projects at the exchange acceptance and subsequent stages reached 55.48 billion yuan. In terms of clause games, the number of convertible bonds expected to trigger a downward revision remained high, and 28 convertible bonds issued announcements of expected downward revision this week. Only 2 convertible bonds announced early redemptions, and the redemption pressure was generally controllable. Overall, the equity and convertible bond markets may continue to oscillate and rotate in the short term, with structural opportunities remaining the main line. It is recommended to focus on low - premium and high - prosperity directions [6][10]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market Theme Weekly Review Equity Theme Weekly Review - This week, the A - share market's theme market showed a structural rotation within the growth track, still in a relatively trading - oriented game stage. The leading gainers were concentrated in sub - fields such as the communication chain, automotive electronics, and embodied intelligence. AI - generalized directions such as humanoid robots and intelligent driving continued to be strong. Some previous strong themes adjusted, and traditional "defensive" sectors also performed weakly. Overall, the current theme market is a re - balance within the growth track, and funds are concentrated in technology sub - directions with policy catalysts, technological innovation, and performance realization expectations [14]. Convertible Bond Weekly Review - This week, the convertible bond market continued to oscillate, with the index rising slightly and significant differentiation among individual bonds. The rise of bonds such as Fuxin Convertible Bond was mainly driven by the sharp rise of the underlying stocks. The underlying stocks of sectors such as military industry and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery were under pressure, and the related convertible bonds adjusted as a whole. The implied volatility rebounded, and the market risk preference slightly recovered but remained cautious. The downward - revision game was active, and 28 convertible bonds issued announcements of expected downward revision. The primary - market supply slightly accelerated, and the potential supply scale at the exchange acceptance and subsequent stages rose to 55.48 billion yuan. Overall, the convertible bond market still mainly featured structural rotation, and the short - term oscillation pattern may continue [17]. Market Weekly Tracking Equity Market Style Differentiation and Sector Rotation with Low - Level Supplementary Gains - The main A - share stock indices generally rose but showed some differentiation. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.6% this week, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.4%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.7%. Small - cap stocks were more favored by funds, with the CSI 2000 rising 2.7% and the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index falling 0.4%. The trading activity of the market slightly recovered, and the main funds had a daily net outflow of 8.09 billion yuan, with the pressure of capital outflow alleviated, but the characteristic of stock game was still obvious, indicating that market sentiment was slightly repaired in caution [20]. - In terms of industries, the automobile, communication, and machinery equipment sectors led the gains, with weekly increases of 4.8%, 2.9%, and 2.8% respectively. Consumer - attribute sectors such as social services, food and beverage, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery adjusted significantly. The overall trading volume increased moderately, and funds were concentrated in sectors such as electronics, computers, and machinery equipment. The trading activity of some sectors showed a structural differentiation feature, with some at a low level and some remaining at a high level [10][23][24]. Convertible Bond Market Shows Structural Premium Stratification - The convertible bond index rose slightly this week. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.90%, and the small - cap convertible bonds led the gains. The average daily trading volume slightly rebounded to 56.4 billion yuan, and the market heat marginally recovered. The implied volatility rose to 20.0%, and the median market price rose to 111.6 yuan, indicating a mild recovery of risk appetite [10]. - Divided by the parity interval, the valuation of low - parity convertible bonds was significantly compressed, while the high - parity interval showed relative resilience. Divided by the market - price interval, the valuation center moved down as a whole, and the adjustment of low - price bonds was particularly severe. It is recommended to focus on high - parity varieties with a conversion parity above 110 yuan and a stable fundamental, as well as individual bonds with clear prosperity support and large valuation - repair potential in the 90 - 120 yuan interval [35][36]. - In terms of sectors, most convertible bond sectors rose, with the media, automobile, and computer sectors leading the gains, and only the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector falling. In terms of individual bonds, most showed an upward trend, and the growth sector performed well. The top - five gainers in the conversion period were mainly driven by strong underlying stocks, with high underlying - stock increases and low conversion premium rates [47][51]. Primary Market Tracking and Clause Games This Week's Primary - Market Pre - issuance Situation - Three new convertible bonds, Dinglong Convertible Bond, Qingyuan Convertible Bond, and Anji Convertible Bond, were issued this week, with a total issuance scale of 2.24 billion yuan. Twelve listed companies updated their convertible - bond issuance plans, including two approved for registration, one passed by the listing committee, and three accepted by the exchange. The total scale of projects at the exchange acceptance and subsequent stages reached 55.48 billion yuan [10][56][59]. This Week's Downward - Revision - Related Announcement Arrangement - This week, 28 convertible bonds issued announcements of expected downward revision, 37 convertible bonds issued non - downward - revision announcements, and 2 convertible bonds proposed downward revisions. The current convertible bond market has different situations at each issuance stage, including 1 bond waiting to be listed, 6 companies approved for registration, 7 companies passing the listing committee, and 17 companies at the exchange acceptance stage, with corresponding planned issuance scales [63][64]. This Week's Redemption - Related Announcement Arrangement - This week, no convertible bonds announced expected redemptions, 1 convertible bond announced non - early redemption, and 2 convertible bonds announced early redemptions [75].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the positive stance on macroeconomic growth and stock market stability, which benefits the non-bank financial sector, particularly brokerage firms and financial information services [3] - The insurance sector is expected to see stable growth in liabilities and improved asset performance, with a focus on equity flexibility and economic recovery catalysts [3] Group 1: Brokerage and Multi-Financial Sector - The brokerage sector's net profit for listed firms reached 144.8 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16%, with Q1 2025 showing a significant 85% increase to 51.7 billion [4] - Brokerage firms with strong retail advantages and high dividend yields are highlighted as having attractive valuations, especially those with a net profit growth driven by brokerage and investment businesses [4] - Recommended stocks include high beta financial information service providers like Guiding Compass and Dongfang Wealth, as well as leading brokerages such as Guosen Securities and China Galaxy [4] Group 2: Insurance Sector - The insurance sector is facing pressure on both the asset and liability sides, but there is potential for stable growth in new business value (NBV) due to improved product offerings and declining liability costs [5] - The report suggests that the insurance sector's valuation remains low, with a focus on companies like China Pacific Insurance and China Life, which are expected to benefit from ongoing economic stabilization measures [5] - The anticipated increase in equity asset allocation by listed insurance companies is expected to enhance performance, particularly in the property insurance segment [5] Group 3: Market Data - The market turnover rate has remained high, with a 32% year-on-year increase in new account openings in Q1 2025, indicating strong retail investor engagement [14] - The margin financing scale reached 1.91 trillion, maintaining a high level, with trading ratios in a reasonable range [18] - New equity fund issuance in Q1 2025 reached 110.2 billion, a 102% year-on-year increase, driven by the popularity of ETF products [22]

Core Viewpoints - The market experienced a rapid decline after tariff shocks in April, but liquidity began to stabilize, leading to a rebound from the bottom. Short-term overseas risks are gradually easing, yet corporate earnings data from Q1 and April PMI indicate no improvement, limiting the market's willingness to engage in fundamental trading until clear tariff or policy stimulus turning points are observed. However, market trading activity remains decent, with thematic trading and rotation between high and low sectors likely to be the main trading strategies moving forward. The structural recovery of risk appetite in May may present trading opportunities [1] Macroeconomic Outlook - Domestic economic indicators from April, including PMI and real estate surveys, show relative pressure. The manufacturing PMI fell to 49%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing sentiment. Large enterprises report manageable risks related to exposure to the U.S., but many small enterprises face significant challenges in the supply chain. Real estate sentiment is weak, with Morgan Stanley's survey indicating a lack of confidence in price expectations and sales plans. On a positive note, consumption data during the "May Day" holiday was strong, and infrastructure remains resilient, suggesting a short-term stable economy with anticipated pressures ahead [2] Overseas Economic Context - The U.S. economy also shows short-term stability, with resilient core GDP and stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll data indicating limited negative impacts from tariff policies. Market expectations for a Fed rate cut have been pushed to July, and easing trade tensions have led to a recovery in U.S. equities. The S&P VIX index is gradually declining, reflecting a recovery in global risk appetite. However, Asian currencies are appreciating against the dollar, and gold has shown signs of adjustment, indicating ongoing impacts from tariffs on global asset classes. The potential for a rebound in risk assets exists, but its duration will depend on future tariff negotiations [3] Market Outlook - The risk appetite may continue to recover, with the TMT sector showing greater elasticity. The A-share market remained in a narrow trading range, while U.S. and Hong Kong stocks showed signs of recovery. For the market to achieve further recovery or new highs, one of the following conditions must be met: 1) a tariff agreement with lower rates; 2) domestic policy stimulus to offset tariff impacts; 3) synchronized rate cuts by China and the U.S. However, achieving these conditions appears challenging, suggesting limited upward potential and a likelihood of continued narrow fluctuations. The willingness to engage in fundamental trading is weak, but thematic trading and sector rotation may dominate future market activity, particularly in TMT sectors [4][5] Market Style - The recent Politburo meeting indicates strong mid-term policy support, suggesting a favorable environment for TMT and similar sectors. The market is in a recovery phase, with small caps outperforming large caps and growth stocks outperforming value stocks. With earnings growth still in negative territory post-earnings season, value styles reliant on earnings growth lack upward momentum, increasing the likelihood of a rotation between large and small caps. The investment strategy may focus on a "value dividend + TMT theme" approach, with high-quality, high-dividend assets expected to offer stable yields, particularly in sectors like banking and public utilities [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that a barbell strategy will remain effective from a mid-term perspective, with manageable risks at the index level in the short term, suggesting a moderate approach to capture structural opportunities [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The report recommends taking profits on low-beta dividends while increasing allocation to sectors with strong policy support, favorable earnings reports, and positive marginal catalysts, specifically in TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and domestic consumption [1] - Within the TMT sector, there is a focus on the cloud computing chain, which has high visibility in demand [1] - In domestic consumption, attention is drawn to service consumption in Hong Kong and high-cost-performance varieties in A-shares, such as dairy products and condiments, which show improvements in turnover and profit margins [1]

Market Overview - US stock markets closed higher on Friday, with the Dow Jones up 0.05%, Nasdaq up 1.26%, and S&P 500 up 0.74% [1] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.40% [1] - WTI crude oil futures rose by 0.37% to $63.02 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures increased by 0.48% to $66.87 per barrel [1] - International precious metals futures generally declined, with COMEX gold futures down 0.55% to $3330.20 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 1.43% to $33.34 per ounce [1] A-Share Market Performance - A-shares showed mixed performance on Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly down, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index saw small gains of 0.39% and 0.59% respectively [1] - The market experienced a weak recovery, with more stocks rising than falling, showing a ratio of 2832 gainers to 2371 losers [1] - Key sectors that performed well included electric power services, home appliances, machine tools, printed circuit boards, and tourism, while sectors like pet food, precious metals, and dairy products faced declines [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The electric power sector attracted significant capital flow, driven by the recent report from the National Energy Administration on green electricity certificates, which indicated a total issuance of 4.955 billion certificates by the end of 2024 [2] - The report highlighted that the transaction volume of green certificates in key regions exceeded 50% of the total, indicating strong market activity [2] - April's electricity consumption is expected to continue its recovery, with growth rates projected between 4.5% and 5.5% [2] Sector Performance - The top three sectors for net capital inflow were electric power, securities, and components, while the chemical pharmaceutical, banking, and retail sectors saw the highest net outflows [9][7] - The overall trading volume in the A-share market was 1.11 trillion yuan, an increase of 45.5 billion yuan from the previous trading day [5] Investment Strategy - The company suggests that the upcoming week, being the last before the May Day holiday, will see limited trading days and a focus on structural opportunities rather than broad market movements [8] - Investors are advised to maintain confidence and patience, avoiding blind chasing of high-flying stocks, and to look for low-entry opportunities [5] - The focus remains on domestic consumption and new productivity sectors for potential investment opportunities, with a caution on managing positions and trading frequency [8]

张忆东：逢低吸纳科技领域"性价比最高"的核心资产 智通财经4月28日电，在由兴证全球基金、智通财经、腾讯新闻共同主办的中国投资人峰会上，兴业证 券全球首席策略分析师张忆东表示，当前市场需以积极防御应对短期"螺蛳壳里做道场"格局，即在指数 震荡、结构性行情轮动中保持逆向交易策略，避免过度追逐市场情绪。他表示，贸易摩擦实质性协议落 地前，投资者可适度防御，但中期仍坚定看多中国资产。布局方向上，建议逢低吸纳科技领域"性价比 最高"的核心资产，并关注短期超跌的新消费标的，此外，面对新旧秩序转换期的全球动荡，黄金、军 工等传统避险资产及另类配置仍是抵御风险的重要对冲工具。张忆东强调，短期谨慎与中期乐观并不矛 盾，核心在于把握结构性机会与战略节奏。（智通财经记者 吴雨其） ...

东吴证券认为，特斯拉Optimus量产倒计时（2029年百万台目标）及国内首届人形机器人马拉松催化机 器人板块活跃。同时资金也向稀土永磁、碳纤维等上游材料扩散。这对于市场情绪的修复是好事，但由 于机器人板块是老热点，其持续性如何有待观察。美团无人机物流资质获批刺激万丰奥威（002085）、 中信海直（000099）午后涨停，板块成交额突破500亿元，政策红利与商业化落地预期共振。与机器人 板块类似，低空经济板块也是老树开新花，未来能有多大的持续性还要看能不能有新的龙头出现。 东莞证券认为，周三，市场全天高开后震荡分化，三大指数涨跌不一。盘面上，市场热点快速轮动，个 股涨多跌少。海外方面，美国总统表示，他无意解雇美联储主席；明尼阿波利斯联储主席表示，美联储 的独立性是实现良好经济运行的基础，强调政策将根据数据推动。市场对于美联储独立性的担忧暂时缓 解，全球避险情绪有所下降，黄金出现调整。国内方面，二季度国内宏观政策进入集中发力期，政策将 重点聚焦"振消费、稳楼市、稳股市、促民企"等关键领域，通过政策协同畅通国内大循环。货币政策方 面，预计重心将由一季度防风险转向稳增长，若美联储降息落地或促国内宽货币跟进。往后看 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage sector is expected to gradually recover, supported by resilient operations and structural opportunities within the industry [4][16] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In 2024, Anhui's large-scale liquor enterprises achieved revenue of 37.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, with total profits reaching 12.77 billion yuan, up 13.2% [4][21] - The liquor industry in Lüliang aims for a revenue target exceeding 70 billion yuan in 2025, with a focus on enhancing production capacity and quality [4][22] - The Sichuan liquor group targets a revenue of 40 billion yuan in 2025, emphasizing innovation and brand development [5][22] - Xishui aims for a liquor output value exceeding 30 billion yuan in 2025, continuing to strengthen its position as a major liquor production base [6][23] Key Company Performances - Qiaqia Food reported a revenue of 7.131 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 4.79%, driven by high-end products [7][24] - Budweiser Asia Pacific's 2024 revenue was approximately 45.31 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.0%, with a notable decline in the Chinese market [10][25] - Dongpeng Beverage launched a new product "Fruit Tea" aimed at the lower-tier market, reflecting a growing demand for cost-effective, large-packaged beverages [11][26] Investment Recommendations - For liquor, focus on companies like Luzhou Laojiao, Jiuzi Liquor, and others that cater to both high-end and real estate segments [16][30] - In the beer sector, consider Qingdao Beer and Chongqing Beer for their product optimization and market expansion strategies [16][30] - For soft drinks, Dongpeng Beverage and Bai Run Co. are recommended for their national expansion and clear product matrix [16][30] - In the frozen food segment, companies like Anji Food and Qianwei Central Kitchen are highlighted for their potential growth [16][31] - For snacks, attention is drawn to Salted Fish and Qiaqia Food for their channel expansion and performance recovery [16][31]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent investment activities of Yang Dong, a prominent private equity figure, who has been actively increasing his stakes in various Hong Kong stocks, particularly in Country Garden Services, indicating a bullish outlook on the Hong Kong market [1][2][4]. Group 1: Investment Activities - On February 14, Shanghai Ningquan Asset Management increased its stake in Country Garden Services by acquiring 900,000 shares at an average price of 5.13 HKD per share, bringing its total holdings to 168 million shares, surpassing the 5% threshold for a formal stake [1][4]. - As of February 28, Ningquan Asset had increased its holdings in 10 companies in the Hong Kong market, including major firms like Xinyi Energy, Datang Renewable, and Vanke Enterprises, reflecting a strong confidence in the market [2][14]. - The firm has also shown a pattern of increasing stakes in other stocks, such as Datang Renewable and Xinyi Energy, indicating a strategic approach to building a diversified portfolio [8][9][11]. Group 2: Company Performance - Country Garden Services, once valued at over 200 billion HKD, has faced significant challenges, including substantial asset impairments and a stock price decline of approximately 90%, now valued at under 20 billion HKD [3][5]. - Despite the downturn, Yang Dong's strategy of buying into Country Garden Services aligns with his historical investment philosophy of capitalizing on undervalued assets [4][5]. - The company reported a revenue of 21.05 billion HKD for the first half of 2024, a modest increase of 1.5%, but its core net profit dropped by about 31.7%, indicating pressure on profitability and cash flow [5]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Ningquan Asset's recent monthly report suggests that equity assets are a favorable choice for domestic investors, with a focus on structural opportunities in the market for the year ahead [2][16]. - The firm anticipates a "slow bull" market characterized by fluctuations, which could present opportunities for gains despite the current volatility [15][16]. - The asset allocation strategy indicates a preference for sectors such as real estate, basic chemicals, and utilities, with adjustments made based on market conditions [16][17].