更新时间：2025年04月28日08时11分 | 原油 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 数据类别 指标 较上日 较上周 | | 单位 | 4月25日 | | | | | | 绝对值 百分比 绝对值 百分比 | | | | | | | | | Sc 2.70 原油期货 | | 元/桶 | 496.10 | | 0.55% | 5.40 | 1.10% | | 0.40 | WTI | 美元/桶 | 63.17 | | 0.64% | #N/A | #N/A | | 0.41 | Brent | 美元/桶 | 66.91 | | 0.62% | #N/A | #N/A | | 0.01 | Sc-WTI | 美元/桶 | 5.67 | | 0.09% | #N/A | #N/A | | 内外价差 | Sc-Brent | 美元/桶 | 1.93 | -0.00 | -0.26% | #N/A | #N/A | | 1.81 | Brent-WTI | 美元/桶 | 3.74 | | 93.32% | #N/A ...

Inflation Data - The core CPI inflation rate in the U.S. fell to 0.06% in March, down 0.17 percentage points from February, significantly below the market expectation of 0.3%[1] - Overall CPI growth turned negative at -0.05% in March, down from 0.22% in February, also below the market expectation of 0.1%[1] - Year-on-year, the overall CPI and core CPI decreased by 0.4 and 0.3 percentage points to 2.4% and 2.8%, respectively[1] Employment Data - Non-farm payrolls increased by 228,000 in March, exceeding market expectations of 140,000 and significantly up from 117,000 in February[2] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.15% in March, compared to 4.14% in February[2] Tariff Impact - The weighted average tariff rate in the U.S. increased from 20.5% to 25.9% since Trump's administration, potentially raising inflation by 1.1 to 2.3 percentage points[3] - If the "reciprocal tariff" policy is fully implemented, the inflation impact could rise to 1.4 to 2.7 percentage points[3] Interest Rate Outlook - The forecast remains for 2-3 rate cuts of 25 basis points each throughout the year, although uncertainty due to tariff policies has increased[4] - The Federal Reserve may need to observe the situation before making decisions, as tariffs could push inflation higher[5] Economic Risks - Risks include slow rate cuts leading to recession and the potential for stagflation due to aggressive tariff policies[6]