当前全球外汇市场的运行逻辑正悄然发生转变。曾经喧嚣的政治言论，如关税威胁，已不再是引发市场 剧烈波动的主因。取而代之的是，宏观经济数据，特别是通胀指标，正日益成为引导货币走势的核心力 量。市场参与者展现出高度的适应性与冷静，将地缘政治杂音视为可预期的背景因素，而非突发的冲击 催化剂。 美元走势：基本面压倒一切 与此同时，欧元正经历着一种独特的"高阶烦恼"。尽管欧元在全球储备货币体系中的地位日益提升，吸 引了各国央行和机构投资者的青睐，成为一种重要的战略性资产和避险选择，但这种强势也带来了挑 战。今年欧元兑美元汇率的显著上涨，部分得益于美元的相对疲软以及投资者对替代资产的需求，这无 疑提升了欧元的国际影响力。 然而，对于欧洲本土企业，尤其是出口商而言，欧元的强势却是一把双刃剑。欧元升值直接侵蚀了其产 品在国际市场上的竞争力，而这恰逢全球需求疲软和新的关税风险。斯托克600指数企业盈利预期的显 著下调，尤其是在出口导向型企业中，正是这种压力的体现。在当前增长乏力的背景下，欧元走强与全 球需求疲软和关税风险叠加，对欧洲企业的外部收入构成了双重打击。 欧洲央行（ECB）也因此陷入了微妙的政策困境。尽管央行通常不直接干 ...

巴西肉类出口工业协会（ABIEC）负责人：50%的关税将使巴西无法向美国出口牛肉。 ...

日本首相石破茂与韩国总统李在明周二均乐观地表示，有望在8月1日之前达成双方都能接受的协议。 亚洲其他市场方面，截至美国东部时间凌晨3:30，香港恒生指数上涨1%；印度Nifty 50指数持平；澳大 利亚S&P/ASX 200指数亦收于持平。 2025年7月1日，唐纳德·特朗普总统在"空军一号"专机上接受媒体采访。图片来源：ANDREW CABALLERO- REYNOLDS—AFP/GETTY IMAGES 亚洲市场对特朗普政府最新宣布的对部分贸易伙伴的关税税率普遍反应平淡。与此同时，美国总统似乎 也将新关税的生效日期推迟至8月1日。 周一，特朗普政府宣布对日本和韩国这两个贸易伙伴统一征收25%的关税，这与特朗普在4月最初威胁 实施的税率大致相同。但目前，美国贸易伙伴的新贸易协定谈判期限延长至8月1日，而非先前设定的7 月9日最后期限。 日本日经225指数周二收涨0.3%，韩国Kospi指数上涨1.8%。 特朗普在致日本和韩国的信函中指出，被认定为"为逃 避更高关税"而转运的商品"将适用更高关税"， 但他并未提供具体细节。 此前特朗普政府与越南达成的协议规定，对通过该东南亚国家转运的商品征收40%的关税，但特 ...

Core Points - The Hong Kong government has published the "Import and Export Ordinance 2025" to technically amend the existing import and export regulations, facilitating the transition to the third phase of the "Single Window" system [1][2] - The "Single Window" aims to streamline the submission of trade documents between businesses and government, enhancing customs clearance efficiency and reinforcing Hong Kong's position as an international trade and logistics hub [1][2] - The third phase will replace the long-standing "Government Electronic Trade Services" and will require businesses to submit relevant trade documents through the "Single Window" [2][3] Summary by Sections Implementation Phases - The "Single Window" is being implemented in three phases, with the first two phases launched in 2020 and 2023, covering 42 types of trade documents [2] - The third phase is the most complex, involving a wide range of stakeholders and a large volume of documents, including import/export declarations and cargo information [2] Features of the Third Phase - Businesses can submit trade documents directly or authorize value-added service providers to do so on their behalf [2] - There is an option for businesses to voluntarily submit import/export declarations and cargo manifests before shipment through the "Single Window" [2] - Electronic submission of road cargo manifests and receipts will reduce operational costs for businesses [2] Transition Arrangements - The revised ordinance includes transitional provisions allowing the third phase to operate alongside the "Government Electronic Trade Services" for a period [3] - The Hong Kong Customs will conduct promotional and training activities to ensure a smooth transition for businesses before the launch of the third phase [3]

新华财经圣保罗7月10日电（记者杨家和）受美国总统特朗普宣布将对所有来自巴西的出口商品加征 50%关税影响，巴西金融市场10日出现剧烈波动。圣保罗股市主要股指Ibovespa当天下跌0.54%，收于 136,743.26点；汇市方面，美元对巴西雷亚尔汇率上涨0.69%，收于1美元兑5.5416雷亚尔。 9日，在巴西股市收盘后，特朗普在一封致巴西总统卢拉的信函中宣布，将自8月1日起对巴西出口至美 国的全部商品征收50%关税，理由是所谓"针对前总统博索纳罗的不公正待遇"。 美国是巴西仅次于中国的第二大贸易伙伴，此次加征的关税较4月宣布的10%大幅增加。该措施为独立 于原有关税体系的新增安排，同时美方还将启动对巴西"贸易不公行为"的调查。 值得注意的是，巴西副总统阿尔克明此前回应特朗普加征关税称，"巴西与美国贸易基本平衡"。此次巴 西被加征关税后，他回应道，"我认为没有理由提高对巴西的关税。巴西对美国来说不是问题。这项措 施对巴西不公平，而且会损害美国经济本身。" 特朗普此举引发市场广泛担忧。投资机构BTG Pactual指出，新一轮关税的最大成本不是对贸易流量的 潜在直接影响，而是"经济环境的恶化、两国历史伙伴关 ...

Core Points - The article discusses the unexpected increase in tariffs by the Trump administration on Vietnam, despite initial agreements suggesting a significant reduction in tariffs [1][2] - Vietnam's government has not formally accepted the proposed tariff changes, leading to skepticism about the existence of a finalized agreement [1][2] - The situation has caused strong reactions in Vietnam, with officials expressing surprise and disappointment at the unilateral decision made by the U.S. [2][3] Group 1: Tariff Negotiations - Trump announced a framework agreement that would impose a 20% tariff on Vietnamese exports, down from a previously announced 46% [1] - The Vietnamese negotiating team reportedly agreed to a tariff level of around 11%, which Trump disregarded in his announcement [1][2] - The lack of a formal agreement document raises questions about the validity and timing of the new tariff rates [2][3] Group 2: Impact on U.S.-Vietnam Relations - The tariff dispute could jeopardize the diplomatic relations and growing economic ties established between the U.S. and Vietnam since the end of the Vietnam War [3] - Trade between the U.S. and Vietnam has significantly increased, from $2.9 billion in 2002 to over $139 billion in 2022, with Vietnam becoming the sixth-largest source of U.S. imports [3] - Other countries are increasingly anxious about negotiating with the U.S. under the current administration, fearing arbitrary changes to agreements [3]

Economic Overview - The economic performance of Huicheng District remains stable under pressure, with industrial output value reaching 35.128 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.7% [1] - The industrial production accelerated, with a monthly output value of 7.833 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 16.9% [1] Industrial Performance - The value added in the mining industry increased by 26.9% year-on-year, while the manufacturing sector grew by 13.2% [1] - The electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry saw a decline of 1.8% year-on-year [1] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment decreased by 14.7% year-on-year, with the decline slightly widening compared to the previous month [1] - Construction and installation investment fell by 19.5% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 0.8 percentage points [1] Trade and Consumption - The total foreign trade import and export value reached 16.97 billion yuan, growing by 43.8% [3] - Imports surged by 111.3% to 8.78 billion yuan, while exports increased by 7.1% to 8.18 billion yuan [3] Retail Sales - Total retail sales of consumer goods amounted to 35.619 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9.1% [2] - Online retail sales through public networks reached 7.145 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 66.2% [2]

Group 1: Core Perspectives - The BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro marked the first meeting after the inclusion of new members, emphasizing the importance of youth cooperation as a bridge for cultural exchange and mutual understanding [1][2] - The BRICS declaration reaffirmed commitments to enhance cooperation across three main pillars: political and security, economic and financial, and cultural and human [2][10] - The expansion of BRICS has led to increased opportunities for young expatriates, who are eager to contribute to the BRICS mechanism and foster innovation [5][8] Group 2: Economic and Trade Developments - The inclusion of new BRICS partners has resulted in significant changes, particularly in multilateral dialogue and regional cooperation, enhancing connectivity with emerging economies [3][4] - There is a noticeable increase in Chinese investments in Brazil, with more local consumers opting for Chinese products, especially electric vehicles [2][4] - The BRICS mechanism has facilitated the establishment of new business ventures, such as a Chinese renewable energy company in Thailand, benefiting from tax incentives [4][6] Group 3: Youth Engagement and Innovation - Young expatriates are actively participating in BRICS-related initiatives, leveraging their familiarity with local markets and technologies to enhance cross-border cooperation [5][7] - The younger generation is utilizing new media and technology to promote cultural exchange and business opportunities, such as through e-commerce and social media platforms [7][8] - There is a strong desire among young expatriates to engage in sectors like renewable energy and agriculture, contributing to the development of innovative solutions within the BRICS framework [8][10] Group 4: Future Prospects and Global Governance - The BRICS mechanism is seen as a vital platform for enhancing South-South cooperation and addressing global challenges such as food security and climate change [10] - Young expatriates express optimism about the BRICS' role in global governance, particularly in amplifying the voice of the Global South on international issues [10]

俄罗斯政府表示，在7月小麦销售下降后，俄罗斯下令采取措施促进农业出口。 ...

【开栏的话】新一轮"出海潮"澎湃，"走出去"成为中企发展壮大的战略选择。作为全球最具增长潜力的新兴市场之一，非洲成为许多出海中国企业的选择。 与此同时，国际环境日趋复杂，不确定性因素明显增多，中企出海非洲也面临多重风险，如何正确认识和把握、有效防范和化解海外风险成为中企出海非洲 必须面对的课题。日前，由新华社直属机构中国经济信息社自主研发的"非洲探针"正式发布，致力于构建对非经贸数智化"信息枢纽"和覆盖中企出海非洲全 流程的开放、专业、可信、高效的信息服务生态。新华财经特开设"非洲探针"栏目，定期发布风险信息分析，助力中企出海行稳致远。 "非洲探针"数据显示，2025年以来，尼日利亚累计监测到的各类风险事件共计1383起，1月至6月平均每月监测到的风险事件为223起。分析发现，尼日利亚 风险事件总量和月均量均居非洲之首，整体安全形势复杂严峻。 从事件类型看，尼日利亚风险事件涉及社会治安、政治安全、社会动荡、交通安全、社会治理、政府干预、网络安全等多个类别。其中，社会治安事件、社 会动荡事件、政治安全事件数量位居前三，占比分别为46.90%、29.68%和12.02%。 新华财经上海7月10日电（谢贤保、葛佳明 ...